Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 165, NWS Kansas City, MO

July 12, 2016Bates County, Cass County, Henry County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 12, 2016, 6:29 AM CDT for Bates County, Cass County, Henry County, Missouri. It was in force for 31 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jul 12, 2016, 6:29 AM CDT (11:29 UTC)
Expired: Jul 12, 2016, 7:00 AM CDT
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Kansas City, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Bates County, MO, Cass County, MO, Henry County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jul 12, 6:29 AM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	Butler, MO	HALF OF ROOF BLOWN OFF OF LUMBER YARD BUILDING ONTO NEARBY ROADWAY.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 0 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1513 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -52 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1142 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 121 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

664 
WUUS53 KEAX 121129
SVREAX
MOC013-037-083-121200-
/O.NEW.KEAX.SV.W.0165.160712T1129Z-160712T1200Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
629 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN CASS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  BATES COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  HENRY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 700 AM CDT

* AT 628 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHWEST
  OF MONTROSE...OR 12 MILES EAST OF BUTLER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 50
  MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CLINTON...BUTLER...WINDSOR...RICH HILL...URICH...CALHOUN...
  DEEPWATER...MONTROSE...CREIGHTON...COAL...ROCKVILLE...
  BROWNINGTON...BLAIRSTOWN...TIGHTWAD...PASSAIC...HARTWELL...
  BALLARD AND LA DUE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3805 9425 3806 9440 3825 9455 3842 9424
      3857 9411 3856 9366 3852 9351 3821 9352
      3822 9357 3821 9357 3820 9356 3821 9405
      3803 9406 3806 9413 3804 9420 3805 9421
      3803 9423
TIME...MOT...LOC 1128Z 319DEG 43KT 3833 9411 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

32

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 12, 4:02 AM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 4:02 AM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
402 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 401 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

Short Term (Today through Wednesday night):

MCS over northern Missouri this morning and another over eastern
Kansas are about to merge together as they continue to push sewd.
These storms are being fueled by a swly 40-50kt LLJ. This LLJ is
expected to weaken this morning however storms will continue to move
across the CWA and weaken through the morning hours as it does. This
will leave residual cloud cover across the area this morning as
well. The cold front which sparked the convection last night is
still well to the west across eastern NE extending swwd into central
Kansas. This will leave the area in a very moist environment today
with dewpoints in the low to mid 70s. Convection during the
afternoon will be contingent on any overflow boundaries left over
from this morning's convection and increased instability in the
afternoon if the sun does emerge. Both the NAM and GFS depict 2500-
3000J/kg of MUCAPE which would aid in the potential for severe
storms with large hail and damaging winds the main threat. However,
the better threat may come this evening when the LLJ strengthens
again and noses into the area. Another MCS is expected to develop
over the area. Severe storms with large hail and damaging winds will
again be possible. Also, another round of heavy rain will be
possible with PWAT values hovering right around 2". Tomorrow morning
the LLJ again veers and weakens and thunderstorms should again
diminish. During the afternoon on Wednesday a shortwave trough will
move through the northern Plains into the Upper Midwest. This will
finally force the aforementioned cold front towards the area
Wednesday afternoon. Storms are expected to develop across the Upper
Midwest during the afternoon however the local area should remain
capped for the bulk of the day Wednesday. It is not until that
enough convergence along the cold front and the upper shortwave
impinges on the local area that storms will develop locally. Extreme
instability coupled with dewpoints in the mid 70s will allow for
severe storms capable of large hail and damaging wings. Heavy rain
will again be a concern with PWATs between 1.75"-2". Late
afternoon/evening storms may be maintain or enhanced but yet another
nocturnal LLJ which will again be nosing into the local area
Wednesday night.

Long Range (Thursday through Monday):

The long range continues to look unsettled as the upper level flow
becomes quasi-zonal across the region. Models analyzes the cold
front across the southern CWA by Thursday afternoon. Thunderstorms
will again be possible along this front with afternoon instability
and again Thursday night as again the LLJ reintensifies. Storms may
however may develop south of the area depending on how much push to
the south the front makes. Additional rounds of storms will be
possible for Friday and Saturday night as several shortwaves
traverse the area on zonal flow. By Sunday, the cold front will
return back through the area as a warm front as upper level ridging
builds into the area. This should allow for hot conditions to return
to the area late this weekend into the beginning of next week.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1058 PM CDT MON JUL 11 2016

Thunderstorm complex over east central NE/west central IA is expected
to sag south and into northern MO overnight. MVFR ceilings expected
with the stronger cells. Activity will likely continue south towards
the KC terminals during the pre-dawn hours and decrease in coverage
and intensity. Some concern that new convection forming along the KS
portion of the cold front could track east and into east central
KS/west central MO towards sunrise. Models having a difficult and
slow time adapting to current convective trends. Difficult to gauge
where any of the outflow boundaries will end up as they will likely
dictate where new convection forms later Tuesday afternoon and
evening so best to broadbrush with VCTS and VFR
ceilings/visibilities.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&

Discussion...73
Aviation...MJ

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 12, 5:07 AM CDT, 1 hour 22 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
507 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-131015-
ATCHISON KS-MIAMI-LINN KS-DONIPHAN-LEAVENWORTH-WYANDOTTE-JOHNSON KS-
ATCHISON MO-NODAWAY-WORTH-GENTRY-HARRISON-MERCER-PUTNAM-SCHUYLER-
HOLT-ANDREW-DE KALB-DAVIESS-GRUNDY-SULLIVAN-ADAIR-BUCHANAN-CLINTON-
CALDWELL-LIVINGSTON-LINN MO-MACON-PLATTE-CLAY-RAY-CARROLL-CHARITON-
RANDOLPH-JACKSON-LAFAYETTE-SALINE-HOWARD-CASS-JOHNSON MO-PETTIS-
COOPER-BATES-HENRY-
507 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST...NORTH CENTRAL AND
WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI...AS WELL AS EXTREME EASTERN KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

 STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EARLY THIS MORNING...AGAIN
 THIS EVENING...WITH A THIRD ROUND POSSIBLE TONIGHT. LARGE HAIL...
 STRONG WINDS...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE
 STRONGEST ACTIVITY.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

 SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS WEEK AS AN UNSETTLED
 WEATHER PATTERN DEVELOPS OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. SEVERE STORMS WILL
 BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY WITH LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WINDS REMAINING
 THE MAIN THREATS. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLOODING
 WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS WEEK AS SEVERAL ROUNDS OF STORMS ARE
 POSSIBLE.

 MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT...
 HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/EAX/HWO

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 12, 5:18 AM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
518 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0510 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NW ATCHISON           39.57N 95.13W
07/12/2016                   ATCHISON           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN NEAR 286TH AND PRATT IN ATCHISON.

&&

SMELL

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 5:34 AM CDT, 55 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
534 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

KSZ104-105-MOZ020-021-028-029-037-043-121115-
WYANDOTTE KS-JOHNSON KS-BUCHANAN MO-JACKSON MO-CLAY MO-CLINTON MO-
PLATTE MO-CASS MO-
534 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN WYANDOTTE...EASTERN
JOHNSON...SOUTHERN CLINTON...NORTHERN CASS...EASTERN PLATTE...
JACKSON...CLAY AND SOUTHEASTERN BUCHANAN COUNTIES UNTIL 615 AM CDT...

AT 533 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR DEARBORN TO AVONDALE
TO 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF SPRING HILL...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KANSAS CITY...OVERLAND PARK...OLATHE...INDEPENDENCE...LEE'S SUMMIT...
SHAWNEE...BLUE SPRINGS...LENEXA...LEAWOOD...RAYTOWN...LIBERTY...
GLADSTONE...GRANDVIEW...BELTON...PRAIRIE VILLAGE...RAYMORE...
GRAIN VALLEY...EXCELSIOR SPRINGS...MERRIAM AND HARRISONVILLE.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 INTERSTATE 70 IN MISSOURI BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 29.
 INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 418 AND 423.
 INTERSTATE 35 IN MISSOURI BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 39.
 INTERSTATE 35 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 214 AND 235.
 INTERSTATE 29 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 14...AND BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 29 AND 39.
 INTERSTATE 635 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 12.
 INTERSTATE 470 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 16.
 INTERSTATE 435 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 1...AND BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 34 AND 83.

LAT...LON 3868 9461 3874 9461 3875 9488 3919 9465
      3967 9486 3954 9420 3921 9421 3921 9417
      3918 9419 3917 9414 3914 9410 3873 9412
      3858 9420
TIME...MOT...LOC 1033Z 288DEG 39KT 3957 9470 3916 9452 3878 9472

32

Local storm report, Jul 12, 5:41 AM CDT, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
541 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PARKVILLE               39.20N 94.68W
07/12/2016                   PLATTE             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN IN SOUTHERN PARKVILLE.

&&

SAW

Local storm report, Jul 12, 6:02 AM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
602 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0442 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SE KANSAS CITY        39.06N 94.53W
07/12/2016                   JACKSON            MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TREE DOWN AT 39TH AND CHELSEA AVE

&&

SAW

Local storm report, Jul 12, 6:08 AM CDT, 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
608 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0536 AM     TSTM WND GST     SW OVERLAND PARK        38.98N 94.67W
07/12/2016  E60 MPH          JOHNSON            KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL SMALL TREE LIMBS DOWN NEAR 151ST STREET AND 69
            HIGHWAY.

&&

SMELL

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 6:14 AM CDT, 15 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
614 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

MOZ043-044-053-054-121200-
HENRY MO-JOHNSON MO-BATES MO-CASS MO-
614 AM CDT TUE JUL 12 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR JOHNSON...SOUTHEASTERN CASS...
CENTRAL BATES AND HENRY COUNTIES UNTIL 700 AM CDT...

AT 613 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR KINGSVILLE TO NEAR
GARDEN CITY TO 9 MILES EAST OF LINN VALLEY...AND MOVING EAST AT 65
MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WARRENSBURG...CLINTON...BUTLER...WINDSOR...KNOB
NOSTER...HOLDEN...ADRIAN...
GARDEN CITY...WHITEMAN AIR FORCE
BASE...ARCHIE...LEETON...URICH...CALHOUN...
DEEPWATER...MONTROSE...CREIGHTON...CHILHOWEE...KINGSVILLE...WHITEMAN
AFB AND COAL.

LAT...LON 3831 9459 3852 9428 3884 9409 3875 9350
      3827 9352 3820 9361 3821 9405 3810 9406
TIME...MOT...LOC 1113Z 287DEG 58KT 3878 9409 3852 9427 3833 9454

32

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 12, 12:10 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Atchison, Nodaway, Worth	35 min
Jul 12, 1:48 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Atchison	27 min
Jul 12, 2:13 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Atchison, Nodaway	4 hr
Jul 12, 2:54 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Clay, Clinton, Platte and 1 more	51 min
Jul 12, 3:04 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Clay, Clinton, Jackson and 4 more	56 min
Jul 12, 3:59 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Carroll, Cass, Clay, Cooper, Jackson, Johnson and 4 more	46 min
Jul 12, 4:30 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Holt, Nodaway	4 hr
Jul 12, 4:37 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Bates, Cass, Cooper, Henry, Jackson, Johnson and 3 more	53 min
Jul 12, 4:51 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, DeKalb, Platte	39 min
Jul 12, 5:10 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	EAX	Clay, Jackson, Platte	35 min
Jul 12, 5:19 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	EAX	Buchanan	4 hr
Jul 12, 5:34 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Cass, Clay, Jackson	41 min
Jul 12, 5:43 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	EAX	Buchanan, Clay, Clinton, Jackson, Lafayette, Platte and 1 more	4 hr
Jul 12, 6:14 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	EAX	Bates, Henry, Johnson	46 min
Jul 12, 6:40 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Clay, Ray	31 hr
Jul 12, 8:25 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	EAX	Ray	49 hr
Jul 12, 9:18 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	EAX	Andrew, Buchanan	9 hr
Jul 12, 9:47 AM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	EAX	Caldwell, Clay, Clinton, DeKalb, Jackson, Lafayette and 1 more	9 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.