Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Wind Chill Advisories in 2016
Wind Chill Advisory 1, NWS State College, PA
NWS State College, PA issued this wind chill advisory at Jan 17, 2016, 2:54 PM EST for Cambria County, Somerset County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Jan 18, 2016, 3:00 AM EST. It was in force for 31 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 17, 2016, 2:54 PM EST (19:54 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 18, 2016, 3:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 19, 2016, 10:00 AM EST
- In force
- 31 hr
- Issued by
- NWS State College, PA
Counties Cambria County, PA, Somerset County, PA
The radar
The State College radar (KCCX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KAGC), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 780 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 85 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 14 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 4 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
956 WWUS41 KCTP 171954 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 254 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 PAZ004-005-180300- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD 254 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION... WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS THE PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF AN ARCTIC FRONT. THE SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ALL OF MONDAY AND LAST INTO TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. * WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE TEENS THIS EVENING...THEN LOWS BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO. HIGHS MONDAY 10 TO 15. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE- EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ006-010-011-180300- /O.NEW.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.160118T1100Z-160119T0300Z/ POTTER-ELK-CAMERON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY... EMPORIUM 254 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM EST MONDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM EST MONDAY. * HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF POTTER AND CAMERON COUNTIES. * TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH A FEW HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AS AN ARCTIC FRONT PASSES. SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY. * IMPACTS...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES IN ISOLATED HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW. * WINDS...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ON MONDAY AFTERNOON. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE TEENS THIS EVENING AND TO THE UPPER SINGLE DIGITS BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. HIGHS MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 DEGREES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. && $$ PAZ024-033-180300- /O.NEW.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.160118T0800Z-160119T1500Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 254 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. * WIND CHILL...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. * TIMING...WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO IN THE PRE DAWN HOURS MONDAY MORNING...CONTINUING THROUGHOUT MONDAY INTO MID MORNING TUESDAY. * WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH LATE TONIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ON MONDAY. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE TEENS TONIGHT TO THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO BY MONDAY MORNING. HIGHS MONDAY WILL BE NEAR 10 ABOVE...WHILE LOWS TUESDAY MORNING DROP TO ZERO TO 5 ABOVE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ DEVOIR/DANGELO
8 follow-up statements
359 WWUS41 KCTP 180210 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 910 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 PAZ004-005-181415- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD 910 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION... WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS THE PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. * TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF AN ARCTIC FRONT. THE SNOW BANDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ALL OF MONDAY AND LAST INTO TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. * WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT. HIGHS MONDAY 10 TO 15. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE- EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ006-010-011-181415- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.160118T1100Z-160119T0300Z/ POTTER-ELK-CAMERON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY... EMPORIUM 910 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM EST MONDAY... * HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW... ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF POTTER AND CAMERON COUNTIES. * TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH A FEW HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AS AN ARCTIC FRONT PASSES. SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY. * IMPACTS...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES IN ISOLATED HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT. HIGHS MONDAY 10 TO 15. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. && $$ PAZ024-033-181415- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.160118T0800Z-160119T1500Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 910 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. * WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 17 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES 2 TO 16 ABOVE...AND WINDS WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TIMING...WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO IN THE PRE DAWN HOURS MONDAY MORNING...CONTINUING THROUGHOUT MONDAY INTO MID MORNING TUESDAY. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH MONDAY AFTERNOON. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT. HIGHS MONDAY WILL BE NEAR 10 ABOVE...WHILE LOWS TUESDAY MORNING WILL DROP TO ZERO TO 5 ABOVE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$
268 WWUS41 KCTP 180921 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 421 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016 PAZ004-005-182300- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD 421 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION... WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS THE PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTY. * TIMING...FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR INTO THE LATE MORNING HOURS WITH VISIBILITY VARYING BETWEEN 1 AND 3 MILES. BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PUSH FURTHER INLAND AND COVER MUCH OF WARNED AREA BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL THEN MEANDER SLOWLY NORTH AND SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION INTO TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * VISIBILITIES...MAINLY 1 TO 2 MILES...BUT LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS MORNING...AND AGAIN TONIGHT. AFTERNOON HIGHS TODAY BETWEEN 10 AND 15. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE- EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ006-010-011-182300- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.160118T1100Z-160119T0300Z/ POTTER-ELK-CAMERON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY... EMPORIUM 421 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW... ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF POTTER AND CAMERON COUNTIES. * TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL PERSIST TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. BRIEF HEAVIER SNOW WILL OCCUR IN A FEW LAKE NARROW LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS. * IMPACTS...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES IN ISOLATED HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. * VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES. * TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT. HIGHS MONDAY 10 TO 15. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. && $$ PAZ024-033-182300- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 421 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. * WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING...WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS...AND WINDS WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TIMING...WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO EARLY TODAY AND RECOVER JUST SEVERAL DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. * TEMPERATURES...NEAR OR JUST ABOVE ZERO THIS MORNING...AND AGAIN TONIGHT. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE NEAR 10 ABOVE ZERO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$ LAMBERT/CERU
559 WWUS41 KCTP 181623 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 1123 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016 PAZ004-005-190430- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD 1123 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS THE PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN WARREN COUNTY. * TIMING...FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR INTO THE LATE MORNING HOURS. BANDS OF SNOW WILL PUSH FURTHER INLAND AND COVER MUCH OF WARNED AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL THEN MEANDER SLOWLY NORTH AND SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...6 TO 12 ABOVE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE- EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ006-010-011-190300- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T0300Z/ POTTER-ELK-CAMERON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY... EMPORIUM 1123 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTALS GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF POTTER COUNTY AND SOUTHERN ELK AND CAMERON COUNTIES. * TIMING...INTERMITTENT SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL PERSIST TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. BRIEF HEAVIER SNOW IS MOST LIKELY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES IN ISOLATED HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...7 TO 12 ABOVE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. && $$ PAZ024-033-190430- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 1123 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. * WIND CHILL...10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. * TIMING...WIND CHILLS WILL STAY 5 TO 15 BELOW ZERO THROUGH THE DAY AND WILL GET EVEN LOWER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE AND WINDS SLACKEN ON TUESDAY MORNING. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$
910 WWUS41 KCTP 182007 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 307 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 PAZ004-005-190815- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD 307 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AS WELL. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS THE PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN WARREN COUNTY. * TIMING...FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR INTO THE LATE MORNING HOURS. BANDS OF SNOW WILL PUSH FARTHER INLAND AND COVER MUCH OF WARNED AREA EARLY TONIGHT. THE BANDS OF SNOW WILL THEN MEANDER SLOWLY NORTH AND SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS TONIGHT OF 5 TO 10 ABOVE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE- EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ006-010-011-190300- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T0300Z/ POTTER-ELK-CAMERON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY... EMPORIUM 307 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING... * HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTALS GENERALLY 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF POTTER COUNTY AND SOUTHERN ELK AND CAMERON COUNTIES. * TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL START TO PICK UP THIS EVENING...BUT WILL STILL BE MORE ISOLATED THAN WIDESPREAD. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES TONIGHT. * IMPACTS...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY ROADS...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES IN ISOLATED HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 ABOVE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS. && $$ PAZ024-033-190815- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 307 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. * WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 20 BELOW. * TIMING...WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO WILL GET SLIGHTLY LOWER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE AND WINDS SLACKEN ON TUESDAY MORNING. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS BETWEEN 0 AND 5 ABOVE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$
514 WWUS41 KCTP 190159 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 859 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 PAZ006-010-011-190300- /O.CAN.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T0300Z/ POTTER-ELK-CAMERON- 859 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT ARE NOT EXPECTED TO AMOUNT TO MORE THAN A COATING TO AN INCH IN MOST SPOTS. $$ PAZ004-005-191200- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD 859 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... * HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AS WELL. * SNOW ACCUMULATION...TOTAL STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS THE PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN WARREN COUNTY. * TIMING...BANDS OF SNOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE WARNED AREA OVERNIGHT...BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE TUESDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS TONIGHT OF 5 TO 10 ABOVE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE- EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE- EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ024-033-191200- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 859 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY... * LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS. * HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. * WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 20 BELOW. * TIMING...WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO WILL GET SLIGHTLY LOWER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE AND WINDS SLACKEN ON TUESDAY MORNING. * WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...LOWS BETWEEN 0 AND 5 ABOVE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$
363 WWUS41 KCTP 190742 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 242 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016 PAZ004-005-191200- /O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD 242 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... * SNOW ACCUMULATION...ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES. STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES IN FAR NORTHWEST WARREN COUNTY. * TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY. WIND CHILLS OF 5 TO 10 BELOW ZERO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE. && $$ PAZ024-033-191500- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 242 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WIND CHILL...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN 30 MINUTES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$
899 WWUS41 KCTP 191132 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 632 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016 PAZ004-005-191245- /O.CAN.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/ WARREN-MCKEAN- 632 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TODAY. AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS. $$ PAZ024-033-191500- /O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 632 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... * WIND CHILL...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. * IMPACTS...FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN 30 MINUTES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE HOMELESS ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD TEMPERATURES. && $$
205 WWUS41 KCTP 191451 WSWCTP URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 951 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016 PAZ024-033-191600- /O.EXP.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/ CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET 951 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 10 AM EST THIS MORNING... WIND CHILLS MAY BE 10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS...BUT SHOULD BE ABOVE THAT RANGE FOR THE REST OF THE DAY. THEREFORE...THE WIND CHILL ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Jan 17, 9:32 AM EST, 5 hours 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 17, 9:32 AM EST, 5 hours 22 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 932 AM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 .SYNOPSIS... AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE KEYSTONE STATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL SETTLE OVER THE GREAT LAKES FOR A FEW DAYS. THIS WILL LEAD TO A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND LOW WIND CHILLS DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE COMING WEEK. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/... 930 AM UPDATE... LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES STILL LOOKS POSSIBLE FOR LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE CENTRAL AND SERN COS WITH STRONG JET MAX OVERHEAD SLIDING NE. LIGHT SNOW FALLING IN CENTRAL WV AND MAY BE INTOI THE LAURELS IN ANOTHER HR/TWO. CIGS LOW THERE AND DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS NOT AS LOW AS THE REST OF THE AREA. THUS...THE MOST LIKELY PLACE FOR ACCUMS IS THE SWRN QUARTER OF THE AREA...PERHAPS UP INTO HAP VAL. WHILE S-- MAY ALSO OCCUR IN THE SERN THIRD OF THE AREA...THE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS ARE A LITTLE WIDER AND CIGS HIGHER. TEMPS ALSO JUST ABOVE FZG THERE. SO...ACCUM THERE IS POSS...BUT NOT SO MUCH AS THE SW. OTHER TWEAKS VERY MINOR MAINLY WITH TIMING OF NWRN/WRN SHSN/SQ FOR LATER THIS AFTN/EARLY EVENING. FCST REASONING THERE PRETTY MUCH UNCHANGED. PREV... *SIGNIFICANT/LONG-DURATION LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL FOR NORTHWEST PA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... *BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES AND SUBZERO WIND CHILLS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY... INTRODUCED SOME LIGHT SNOW FOR THE AFTERNOON HRS ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR SCENT PENN...THE LOWER SUSQ...AND WRN POCONOS /MAINLY TO THE SE OF THE INTERSTATE 81 CORRIDOR/. A FEW TO SVRL HOUR PERIOD OF MDTLY STG AND DEEPENING MID-LVL UVVEL WILL OCCUR ABOVE A RATHER DRY BOUNDARY LAYER AS THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF A STG 155-165KT UPPER JET LIFTS NE ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC REGION. LES WARNING IN EFFECT FOR WARREN AND MCKEAN COUNTIES FROM 19Z TODAY THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY. CHILLY 850 MB AIR WITH WEAK RIDGING MOVING OVER THE STATE AT THE SFC AND ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE PLENTY OF CLOUDS...BUT JUST SOME AREAS OF VERY LIGHT SNOW/FLURRIES ACROSS THE NRN AND WESTERN MTNS THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE...A PLUME OF FAIRLY THICK CIRRUS/CIRROSTRATUS...ASSOCIATED WITH THE NRN EDGE OF A WAVE EMBEDDED IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM AND ENTRANCE REGION OF A STG 165 KT JET AT 300 MB...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THIS MORNING ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PENN. MIN TEMPS SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK TODAY LIKELY TO BE 5-8F MILDER THAN NORMAL AREA-WIDE THANKS TO THE AFOREMENTIONED CLOUDS AND LLVL DOWNSLOPE FLOW HOLDING THEM TO NEAR 20F ACROSS THE NW MTNS AND AROUND 30F IN THE SOUTHEAST. CLOUDS PERSIST OVER THE NW HALF OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AS THE ARCTIC FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...WHILE PARTIAL CLEARING OCCURS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE SE...AS HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WEAK SRN STREAM WAVE MOVES QUICKLY THROUGH THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THEN OFF THE EAST COAST. SOME FLURRIES MAY SNEAK NORTH OF THE MD BORDER LATE SUNDAY BUT WILL KEEP POPS NEAR ZERO DUE TO LOW CONFIDENCE OF THIS AS ONLY A FEW MEMBERS OF THE SREF AND THE GFS HINT AT MEAS QPF THERE. MORE IMPORTANT IS THE BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR MOVING IN FROM THE WEST AS A WEAK LOW ZIPS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. A 1-3 PERIOD OF SNOW SHOWERS OR EVEN STEADY...LIGHT TO MDT SNOW WILL OCCUR IMMEDIATELY AHEAD AND ALONG WITH THE ARCTIC FRONT. 850-500 MB LAPSE RATES ARE MDTLY STEEP /5.5-6.5 DEG C PER KM/...BUT NOT NEARLY AS EXTREME AS THOSE WHICH CAUSED THE BLINDING SQUALLS...FLASH FREEZING...AND EVEN A FEW INSTANCES OF THUNDER-SNOW LAST TUESDAY JAN 12TH. HIGH TEMPS TODAY RANGING FROM THE MID-UPPER 20S ACROSS THE NRN AND WRN MTNS...TO THE MID 30S THROUGHOUT THE SUSQ VALLEY...WILL BE A FEW DEG F ABOVE NORMAL. BEHIND THE TRAILING ARCTIC FRONT IS A DRASTIC CHANGE IN AIRMASS. 9H TEMPS EVENTUALLY DROP INTO THE -20S BEHIND THE FRONT. LIGHT SNOW SHOULD BREAK OUT OVER THE NW IN THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING JUST BEFORE THE FRONT AND ASSOCIATED SHSN/SQUALLS PUSH ACROSS. THE EVENING ARRIVAL/PASSAGE SHOULD SPELL A LESS-POTENT SQUALL TIME THAN THE OTHER DAY. TEMPS SUNDAY WILL TOP OUT ONLY 5-10F BETTER THAN MORNING TEMPS...WITH THE BEST RISES IN THE SE. && .SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/... THE ARCTIC FRONT WILL BE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE SUSQ VALLEY THIS EVENING...ACCOMPANIED BY ISOLATED-SCTD SHSN...AND PERHAPS A QUICK COATING TO 0.5 INCH OF SNOW IN SOME PLACES. A LONG-DURATION...AND WELL-ALIGNED/MDTLY STRONG WNW BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW IS IN STORE FOR TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. THIS FAVORABLE TRAJECTORY WILL COMBINE WITH DEEP COLD AIR AND TEMPS RIGHT WITHIN THE DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH REGION WITHIN THE CLOUD LAYER...TO BRING HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOWS ACROSS WARREN /AND EVEN MUCH OF MCKEAN COUNTY/ DURING THIS PERIOD. THE WIND AND INFLUX OF ARCTIC AIR...WITH TEMPS SINKING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS NRN AND WRN MTNS...AND LOWER TO MID TEENS IN THE SUSQUEHANNA VALLEY...WILL CREATE BITTERLY COLD WIND CHILLS AS LOW AS 10 BELOW ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTH AND WEST...WITH VALUES OF ZERO TO 5F ACROSS THE RIDGE AND VALLEY REGION OF THE STATE. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/... THE LONG-DURATION LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT WILL BE WINDING DOWN TUESDAY MORNING. HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION IMPACT LIKELY OVER THE PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA. COMMUNITIES ACROSS WARREN AND MCKEAN COUNTIES STAND A GOOD SHOT AT SEEING HEAVY SNOW TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES...WITH SOME PLACES TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF WARREN RECEIVING 12 TO 16 INCHES OVER THE 36 TO 48 HOUR PERIOD. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS AS A RESULT OF UPSLOPE FLOW AND A NARROW/MEANDERING BAND OR TWO OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL LIKELY BRING A FEW FLUFFY INCHES OF SNOW IN THE FAVORED OROGRAPHIC AREAS TO THE SOUTH /OVER THE NORTHWEST ALLEGHENIES AND LAUREL HIGHLANDS/. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BOTTOM OUT MON NIGHT-EARLY TUE BEFORE TRENDING MODESTLY WARMER DURING THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. THE OVERALL PRECIPITATION PATTERN DURING THE PERIOD SHOULD BE A RELATIVELY DRY ONE...OUTSIDE OF THE FAVORED LAKE EFFECT SNOW BELT. && .AVIATION /15Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... 15Z UPDATE... MENTIONED SOME --SN RESTRICTIONS /MAINLY MVFR/ AT KJST/KAOO/KUNV FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY. PERHAPS ONLY KJST GOES TO IFR FOR A BRIEF PD. PREV... PERSISTENT AND SOMETIMES GUSTY WESTERLY FLOW HAS ALLOWED FOR STRATO CU TO FORM OVER THE THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL TAF SITES. THE LOWERING OF THIS CIGS HAS BROUGHT IFR TP JST. EXPECT FOR THESE CIGS AT BFD...JST...UNV AND AOO TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF THE MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY IMPROVING AS THE WINDS SHIFT TO THE SOUTH LATE THIS MORNING...EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. AS THE WINDS BACK THIS AFTERNOON A WEAK LOW WILL PASS THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES W-E. HOWEVER...TRAILING THE LOW WILL BE A SHARP ARCTIC FRONT WHICH WILL BLOW THROUGH THIS EVENING/NIGHT. SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BREAK OUT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT OVER KBFD...BUT MOST OTHER SITES WILL REMAIN AS THEY WERE -- MVFR CENTRAL AND VFR EAST UNTIL THE FRONT NEARS AND PASSES. SOME IMPROVEMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE CNTRL AND ERN TERMINALS MID AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE SNOW SHOWERS/SQUALLS ALONG THE FRONT WILL PROBABLY GO VLIFR FOR A BRIEF TIME AT KBFD/KJST AND L/IFR FOR THE CENTRAL TERMINALS TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL SET UP THAT SHOULD CONTINUE FOR BFD AND JST INTO TUESDAY MORNING. OUTLOOK... MON-TUE...MVFR/IFR SNOW SHOWERS LAURELS AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. MAINLY VFR ELSEWHERE. WED-THU...NO SIG WX. && .CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY FOR PAZ004-005. && SYNOPSIS...LAMBERT NEAR TERM...DANGELO/LAMBERT SHORT TERM...LAMBERT LONG TERM...LAMBERT/TYBURSKI AVIATION...CERU/GARTNER
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 17, 2:38 PM EST, 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA 238 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 PAZ012-017>019-025>028-034>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059- 063>066-181945- NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR- HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-FRANKLIN-TIOGA- NORTHERN LYCOMING-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION- SNYDER-MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL- LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER- 238 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. PAZ004-005-181945- WARREN-MCKEAN- 238 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. PAZ006-010-011-181945- POTTER-ELK-CAMERON- 238 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM EST MONDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. PAZ024-033-181945- CAMBRIA-SOMERSET- 238 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST TUESDAY... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND CHILL ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WIND CHILL ADVISORY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
The office that day
Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 1:59 AM EST | Lake Effect Snow Warning | CTP | McKean, Warren | 53 hr |
| Jan 17, 2:54 PM EST | Lake Effect Snow Advisory | CTP | Cameron, Elk, Potter | 30 hr |
| Jan 17, 6:47 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | CTP | Blair, Centre, Clinton, Huntingdon | 28 min |
Nearby
Wind Chill Advisories in Pennsylvania, 2016Every wind chill advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.