Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Lake Effect Snow Warnings in 2016

Lake Effect Snow Warning 2, NWS State College, PA

January 17, 2016McKean County, Warren County, Pennsylvania

NWS State College, PA issued this lake effect snow warning at Jan 17, 2016, 1:59 AM EST for McKean County, Warren County, Pennsylvania. It took effect at Jan 17, 2016, 2:00 PM EST. It was in force for 41 hr. 12 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jan 17, 2016, 1:59 AM EST (06:59 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 17, 2016, 2:00 PM EST
Expired
Jan 19, 2016, 6:32 AM EST
In force
41 hr
Issued by
NWS State College, PA

Counties McKean County, PA, Warren County, PA

The radar

The State College radar (KCCX), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jan 17, 7:00 PM ESTSNOW 3Tidioute, PA
Jan 18, 7:00 AM ESTSNOW 4Chandlers Valley 1se, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL.
Jan 18, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 1.4Kane, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
Jan 18, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 2.7Warren, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
Jan 18, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 3Bradford 4w, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
Jan 18, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 3Kinzua, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
Jan 18, 8:00 AM ESTSNOW 4Chandlers Valley, PA24 HOUR SNOWFALL. CO-OP OBSERVER
Jan 18, 9:30 AM ESTSNOW 4Bradford, PA
Jan 18, 6:09 PM ESTSNOW 12Columbus, PA
Jan 18, 6:10 PM ESTSNOW 15Bear Lake, PA
Jan 18, 6:11 PM ESTSNOW 3Warren, PA
Jan 18, 6:20 PM ESTSNOW 2Eldred, PA

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Buffalo Intl Airport, NY (KBUF), launched 00:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 126 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-01-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Buffalo Intl Airport, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-01-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 28 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
941 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

605 
WWUS41 KCTP 170659
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
159 AM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

PAZ004-005-172200-
/O.UPG.KCTP.LE.A.0002.160117T1900Z-160119T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KCTP.LE.W.0002.160117T1900Z-160119T1200Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD
159 AM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IS NO LONGER IN
EFFECT.

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH 
  AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE
  REGION...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS THE
  PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTY DURING THE 3
  DAY PERIOD.

* TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
  DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WAKE OF AN ARCTIC FRONT. THE
  SNOWBANDS WILL PERSIST AND MEANDER JUST SLIGHTLY NORTH AND
  SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION RIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY. THE VERY COLD 
  TEMPERATURES AND WIND CHILLS COULD LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA...OR 
  FROSTBITE TO SKIN EXPOSED FOR EVEN A RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD 
  OF TIME.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...MID 20S FOR HIGHS TODAY...THEN HIGHS ONLY IN THE
  LOWER TEENS MONDAY. TEMPERATURES AT NIGHT WILL DIP INTO THE
  SINGLE DIGITS FOR LOWS. WIND CHILLS OF ZERO TO 10 BELOW ARE
  EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN
A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER
HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE
IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.

&&


$$

LAMBERT/CERU
9 follow-up statements
518 
WWUS41 KCTP 171453
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
953 AM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

PAZ004-005-180300-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.160117T1900Z-160119T1200Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD
953 AM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST TUESDAY...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH 
  AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE
  REGION...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS THE
  PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTY OVER THE
  WHOLE 3 DAY PERIOD.

* TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
  DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING IN THE WAKE OF AN ARCTIC
  FRONT. THE SNOW BANDS WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED
  ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...MID 20S FOR HIGHS TODAY...THEN HIGHS ONLY IN 
  THE LOWER TEENS MONDAY. TEMPERATURES AT NIGHT WILL DIP INTO 
  THE SINGLE DIGITS FOR LOWS. WIND CHILLS OF ZERO TO 10 BELOW 
  ARE EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN
A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER
HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE
IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.

&&

$$
956 
WWUS41 KCTP 171954
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
254 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

PAZ004-005-180300-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD
254 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH 
  AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...
  WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS THE PERENNIAL
  SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTY THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
  DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF AN ARCTIC FRONT. THE SNOW
  BANDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ALL OF MONDAY AND LAST INTO TUESDAY
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST TO NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE TEENS THIS EVENING...THEN
  LOWS BOTH MONDAY AND TUESDAY MORNINGS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE
  ZERO. HIGHS MONDAY 10 TO 15.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN
A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER
HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE
IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.

&&

$$

PAZ006-010-011-180300-
/O.NEW.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.160118T1100Z-160119T0300Z/
POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...
EMPORIUM
254 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM EST
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM EST
MONDAY.

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
  SNOW...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LESSER
  AMOUNTS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF POTTER AND CAMERON COUNTIES.

* TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH A FEW HEAVIER
  BURSTS OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AS AN ARCTIC FRONT
  PASSES. SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL PERSIST
  OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY
  ROADS...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES IN
  ISOLATED HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW.

* WINDS...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH
  LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 30 MPH ON MONDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE TEENS THIS EVENING AND TO THE
  UPPER SINGLE DIGITS BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. HIGHS MONDAY
  AFTERNOON WILL BE BETWEEN 10 AND 15 DEGREES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PAZ024-033-180300-
/O.NEW.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.160118T0800Z-160119T1500Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET
254 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS ISSUED A WIND
CHILL ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM MONDAY TO 10 AM EST
TUESDAY.

* LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* WIND CHILL...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO. 

* TIMING...WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO IN THE PRE
  DAWN HOURS MONDAY MORNING...CONTINUING THROUGHOUT MONDAY INTO MID
  MORNING TUESDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH LATE TONIGHT
  WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH ON MONDAY.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE TEENS TONIGHT TO THE SINGLE
  DIGITS ABOVE ZERO BY MONDAY MORNING. HIGHS MONDAY WILL BE NEAR
  10 ABOVE...WHILE LOWS TUESDAY MORNING DROP TO ZERO TO 5 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE  HOMELESS ARE
ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD
TEMPERATURES.

&&

$$

DEVOIR/DANGELO
359 
WWUS41 KCTP 180210
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
910 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

PAZ004-005-181415-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD
910 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH 
  AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...
   WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS THE PERENNIAL 
  SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTY THROUGH TUESDAY 
  MORNING.

* TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL 
  DEVELOP THIS EVENING IN THE WAKE OF AN ARCTIC FRONT. THE SNOW 
  BANDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH ALL OF MONDAY AND LAST INTO 
  TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT. HIGHS
  MONDAY 10 TO 15.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN
A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER
HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE
IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.

&&

$$

PAZ006-010-011-181415-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.160118T1100Z-160119T0300Z/
POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...
EMPORIUM
910 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 10 PM
EST MONDAY...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...
   ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LESSER 
  AMOUNTS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF POTTER AND CAMERON COUNTIES.

* TIMING...BANDS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH A FEW HEAVIER 
  BURSTS OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP THIS EVENING AS AN ARCTIC FRONT 
  PASSES. SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL PERSIST 
  OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY.

* IMPACTS...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY ROADS...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW REDUCING 
  VISIBILITIES IN ISOLATED HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH MONDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT. HIGHS
  MONDAY 10 TO 15.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PAZ024-033-181415-
/O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.160118T0800Z-160119T1500Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET
910 PM EST SUN JAN 17 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM MONDAY TO
10 AM EST TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 17 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES 2 TO 16 
  ABOVE...AND WINDS WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO IN THE 
  PRE DAWN HOURS MONDAY MORNING...CONTINUING THROUGHOUT MONDAY 
  INTO MID MORNING TUESDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH MONDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING THROUGH THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT.
  HIGHS MONDAY WILL BE NEAR 10 ABOVE...WHILE LOWS TUESDAY MORNING
  WILL DROP TO ZERO TO 5 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE  HOMELESS ARE
ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD
TEMPERATURES.

&&

$$
268 
WWUS41 KCTP 180921
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
421 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

PAZ004-005-182300-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD
421 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH 
  AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION...
  WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS THE PERENNIAL
  SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTY.

* TIMING...FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR INTO THE LATE MORNING
  HOURS WITH VISIBILITY VARYING BETWEEN 1 AND 3 MILES. BANDS OF
  MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL PUSH FURTHER INLAND AND
  COVER MUCH OF WARNED AREA BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE LAKE
  EFFECT SNOW BANDS WILL THEN MEANDER SLOWLY NORTH AND SOUTH
  ACROSS THE REGION INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...MAINLY 1 TO 2 MILES...BUT LESS THAN ONE QUARTER
  OF A MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS THIS MORNING...AND AGAIN
  TONIGHT. AFTERNOON HIGHS TODAY BETWEEN 10 AND 15.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN
A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER
HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE
IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.

&&

$$

PAZ006-010-011-182300-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.160118T1100Z-160119T0300Z/
POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...
EMPORIUM
421 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...
  ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LESSER 
  AMOUNTS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF POTTER AND CAMERON COUNTIES.

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL PERSIST TODAY
  INTO THIS EVENING. BRIEF HEAVIER SNOW WILL OCCUR IN A FEW LAKE
  NARROW LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS.

* IMPACTS...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY ROADS...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW REDUCING 
  VISIBILITIES IN ISOLATED HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN ONE QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES.

* TEMPERATURES...FALLING INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS OVERNIGHT. HIGHS 
  MONDAY 10 TO 15.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PAZ024-033-182300-
/O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET
421 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO THIS MORNING...WITH
  TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER SINGLE DIGITS...AND WINDS WEST 10 TO
  20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TIMING...WIND CHILLS WILL DROP TO 15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO EARLY
  TODAY AND RECOVER JUST SEVERAL DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON AND
  TONIGHT.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH THIS 
  AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...NEAR OR JUST ABOVE ZERO THIS MORNING...AND AGAIN
  TONIGHT. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE NEAR 10 ABOVE ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE  HOMELESS ARE
ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD
TEMPERATURES.

&&

$$

LAMBERT/CERU
559 
WWUS41 KCTP 181623
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
1123 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

PAZ004-005-190430-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD
1123 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW...ALONG WITH
  AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH
  OF THE REGION...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS
  THE PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN WARREN COUNTY.

* TIMING...FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR INTO THE LATE MORNING
  HOURS. BANDS OF SNOW WILL PUSH FURTHER INLAND AND COVER MUCH OF
  WARNED AREA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS
  WILL THEN MEANDER SLOWLY NORTH AND SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION INTO
  TUESDAY MORNING. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF TUESDAY
  MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED
  ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...6 TO 12 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN
A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER
HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE
IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.

&&

$$

PAZ006-010-011-190300-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T0300Z/
POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...
EMPORIUM
1123 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY LAKE EFFECT
  SNOW...ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTALS GENERALLY 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH
  LESSER AMOUNTS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF POTTER COUNTY AND
  SOUTHERN ELK AND CAMERON COUNTIES.

* TIMING...INTERMITTENT SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL
  PERSIST TODAY INTO THIS EVENING. BRIEF HEAVIER SNOW IS MOST
  LIKELY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS WILL
  TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES TONIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED AND 
  SLIPPERY ROADS...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW REDUCING 
  VISIBILITIES IN ISOLATED HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...7 TO 12 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PAZ024-033-190430-
/O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET
1123 AM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* WIND CHILL...10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO.

* TIMING...WIND CHILLS WILL STAY 5 TO 15 BELOW ZERO THROUGH THE
  DAY AND WILL GET EVEN LOWER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE AND
  WINDS SLACKEN ON TUESDAY MORNING. 

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE  HOMELESS ARE
ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD
TEMPERATURES.

&&

$$
910 
WWUS41 KCTP 182007
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
307 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

PAZ004-005-190815-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD
307 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF
  HEAVY SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AS WELL.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS MUCH 
  OF THE REGION...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES ACROSS 
  THE PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN WARREN COUNTY.

* TIMING...FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS WILL OCCUR INTO THE LATE MORNING
  HOURS. BANDS OF SNOW WILL PUSH FARTHER INLAND AND COVER MUCH OF
  WARNED AREA EARLY TONIGHT. THE BANDS OF SNOW WILL THEN MEANDER
  SLOWLY NORTH AND SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION. THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL
  TAPER OFF TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS TONIGHT OF 5 TO 10 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN
A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER
HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE
IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.

&&

$$

PAZ006-010-011-190300-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T0300Z/
POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COUDERSPORT...ST. MARYS...RIDGWAY...
EMPORIUM
307 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* HAZARD TYPES...PERIODS OF MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND AREAS
  OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...STORM TOTALS GENERALLY 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH
  LESSER AMOUNTS OVER EASTERN PORTIONS OF POTTER COUNTY AND
  SOUTHERN ELK AND CAMERON COUNTIES.

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS OF VARYING INTENSITY WILL START TO PICK UP
  THIS EVENING...BUT WILL STILL BE MORE ISOLATED THAN WIDESPREAD.
  THE SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF TO FLURRIES TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS ON SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY
  ROADS...WITH BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW REDUCING VISIBILITIES IN
  ISOLATED HEAVIER BURSTS OF SNOW.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS BETWEEN 5 AND 10 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

PAZ024-033-190815-
/O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET
307 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 20 BELOW.

* TIMING...WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO WILL GET SLIGHTLY
  LOWER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE AND WINDS SLACKEN ON
  TUESDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS BETWEEN 0 AND 5 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE  HOMELESS ARE
ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD
TEMPERATURES.

&&

$$
514 
WWUS41 KCTP 190159
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
859 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

PAZ006-010-011-190300-
/O.CAN.KCTP.LE.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T0300Z/
POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-
859 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

ADDITIONAL SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE AREA TONIGHT...BUT
ARE NOT EXPECTED TO AMOUNT TO MORE THAN A COATING TO AN INCH IN
MOST SPOTS. 

$$

PAZ004-005-191200-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD
859 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* HAZARD TYPES...LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WITH BRIEF PERIODS OF 
  HEAVY SNOW. AREAS OF BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW AS WELL.

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...TOTAL STORM TOTALS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ACROSS
  MUCH OF THE REGION...WITH THE LIKELIHOOD FOR OVER 15 INCHES
  ACROSS THE PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHERN AND WESTERN WARREN
  COUNTY.

* TIMING...BANDS OF SNOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE WARNED AREA
  OVERNIGHT...BEFORE TAPERING OFF LATE TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...EXTREMELY POOR TRAVEL CONDITIONS DUE TO SNOW COVERED 
  ROADS AND TIMES OF GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITY.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS TONIGHT OF 5 TO 10 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING MEANS SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS. LAKE-
EFFECT SNOW TYPICALLY FALLS AS NARROW BANDS OF HEAVY SNOW WITHIN
A LARGER AREA OF LIGHTER SNOW. SNOWFALL RATES OF OVER AN INCH PER
HOUR ARE LIKELY UNDER THE HEAVIER BANDS. VISIBILITIES VARY
GREATLY AND CAN DROP TO ZERO WITHIN MINUTES. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...
KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS AND A CELLULAR PHONE
IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION FOR
THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT...
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.

&&

$$

PAZ024-033-191200-
/O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET
859 PM EST MON JAN 18 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* LOCATIONS...LAUREL HIGHLANDS.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 20 BELOW.

* TIMING...WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS BELOW ZERO WILL GET SLIGHTLY 
  LOWER TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE AND WINDS SLACKEN ON 
  TUESDAY MORNING.

* WINDS...WEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS BETWEEN 0 AND 5 ABOVE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE  HOMELESS ARE
ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD
TEMPERATURES.

&&

$$
363 
WWUS41 KCTP 190742
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
242 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016

PAZ004-005-191200-
/O.CON.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARREN...BRADFORD
242 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* SNOW ACCUMULATION...ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES. STORM TOTALS OF 6
  TO 12 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES IN
  FAR NORTHWEST WARREN COUNTY.

* TIMING...SNOW SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF LATER THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SNOW COVERED ROADS AND RAPID CHANGES IN VISIBILITY.
  WIND CHILLS OF 5 TO 10 BELOW ZERO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...BLANKETS
AND A CELLULAR PHONE IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. STAY
TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER
INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE
FOUND AT... WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE.

&&

$$

PAZ024-033-191500-
/O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET
242 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WIND CHILL...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO.

* IMPACTS...FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN 30 MINUTES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE  HOMELESS ARE
ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD
TEMPERATURES.

&&

$$
899 
WWUS41 KCTP 191132
WSWCTP

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
632 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016

PAZ004-005-191245-
/O.CAN.KCTP.LE.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160119T1200Z/
WARREN-MCKEAN-
632 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STATE COLLEGE HAS CANCELLED THE
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TODAY. AN ADDITIONAL
1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE IN THE MOST PERSISTENT
LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS.

$$

PAZ024-033-191500-
/O.CON.KCTP.WC.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160119T1500Z/
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSTOWN...SOMERSET
632 AM EST TUE JAN 19 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WIND CHILL...15 TO 20 BELOW ZERO.

* IMPACTS...FROSTBITE TO EXPOSED SKIN IN 30 MINUTES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU WILL BE OUTDOORS...DRESS IN LAYERS AND WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES. YOUNG CHILDREN...THE ELDERLY AND THE  HOMELESS ARE
ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO THE COLD. APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD BE
TAKEN TO ENSURE PETS HAVE ADEQUATE PROTECTION FROM THE COLD
TEMPERATURES.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this lake effect snow warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS State College, PA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this lake effect snow warning went out at Jan 16, 9:36 PM EST, 4 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 16, 9:36 PM EST, 4 hours 23 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
936 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE STATE LATE SUNDAY AND MUCH
COLDER AIR WILL MOVE IN. A LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AREA
WILL SETTLE OVER THE GREAT LAKES FOR A FEW DAYS. THIS WILL LEAD TO
A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW AND LOW WIND CHILLS DURING
THE FIRST HALF OF THE COMING WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SUNDAY MORNING/...
CHILLY 850 MB AIR AND WNW BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW OVER THE EASTERN
LAKES IS PRODUCING PLENTY OF CLOUDS AND BANDS LIGHT FLURRIES OVER
PORTIONS OF THE ALLEGHENIES LATE THIS EVENING. THERE IS ENOUGH
UPSLOPE FLOW INTO PORTIONS OF THE ALLEGHENIES FOR A FEW
REPORTS WEST OF OUR AREA OF PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE IN THE RIDGES
OF FAYETTE AND GARRETT COUNTIES...AS RELAYED BY PBZ. NO SUCH
REPORTS FROM OUR CWA AT THIS TIME...AND DRYING CONTINUING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING FROM THE W WEST OVERNIGHT...AND MIN TEMPS
LIKELY TO STAY 5F MILDER THAN NORMAL AREA- WIDE AS THE CLOUDS AND
DOWNSLOPE HOLD THEM TO THE UPPER TEENS AND U20S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
CLOUDS PERSIST OVER THE NW HALF OF THE AREA INTO THE DAY. WHILE AT
LEAST PARTIAL CLEARING OCCURS IN THE SE...HIGH CLOUDS SLIDE OVER
FROM THE S AS A WEAK SRN STREAM WAVE MOVES QUICKLY THROUGH THE SRN
APPS AND OFF THE EAST COAST. SOME FLURRIES MAY SNEAK NORTH OF THE
MD BORDER LATE SUNDAY BUT WILL KEEP POPS NEAR ZERO DUE TO LOW
CONFIDENCE OF THIS AS ONLY A FEW MEMBERS OF THE SREF AND THE GFS
HINT AT MEAS QPF THERE. MORE IMPORTANT IS THE BLAST OF ARCTIC AIR
MOVING IN FROM THE WEST AS A WEAK LOW ZIPS ACROSS THE GREAT
LAKES. BEHIND THE TRAILING COLD FRONT IS A DRASTIC CHANGE IN
AIRMASS. 9H TEMPS EVENTUALLY DROP INTO THE -20S BEHIND THE FRONT.
LIGHT SNOW SHOULD BREAK OUT OVER THE NW IN THE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING JUST BEFORE THE FRONT AND ASSOCD SHSN/SQALLS PUSH ACROSS.
THE EVENING ARRIVAL/PASSAGE SHOULD SPELL A LESS-POTENT SQUALL TIME
THAN THE OTHER DAY. TEMPS SUNDAY WILL TOP OUT ONLY 5-10F BETTER
THAN MORNING TEMPS...WITH THE BEST RISES IN THE SE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
*SIGNIFICANT/LONG-DURATION LAKE EFFECT SNOWFALL FOR NORTHWEST PA
 SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING...
*BITTER COLD TEMPERATURES AND SUBZERO WIND CHILLS SUNDAY NIGHT
 THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY...

INITIAL SURGE OF COLDER AIR WILL FOLLOW BEHIND DEPARTING LOW
OVER THE CANADIAN MARITIMES SATURDAY NIGHT. MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS
ANOTHER LOW TRACKING WELL OFF THE EAST COAST ON SUNDAY. LEADING
EDGE OF ARTIC AIR WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH
SOME LIGHT SNOW.

WE EXPECT A LONG-DURATION LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT DEVELOP SUNDAY
AFTERNOON AS WINDS SHIFT BEHIND THE FRONT...LASTING INTO TUESDAY
MORNING WITH SIGNIFICANT /AND IN SOME CASES HEAVY/ SNOW
ACCUMULATION LIKELY OVER THE PERENNIAL SNOWBELT OF NORTHWESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA. COMMUNITIES ACROSS WARREN AND MCKEAN COUNTIES STAND
A GOOD SHOT AT SEEING HEAVY SNOW TOTALS IN EXCESS OF 6
INCHES...WITH SOME PLACES TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF WARREN
RECEIVING IN EXCESS OF 1 FOOT OVER THE 36 TO 48 HOUR PERIOD.

OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS AS A RESULT OF UPSLOPE FLOW AND POSSIBLY
A NARROW/MEANDERING BAND OF LAKE EFFECT WILL LIKELY BRING A FEW
FLUFFY INCHES OF SNOW IN THE FAVORED OROGRAPHIC AREAS TO THE
SOUTH /OVER THE NORTHWEST ALLEGHENIES AND LAUREL HIGHLANDS/.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD BOTTOM OUT MON-TUE BEFORE TRENDING MODESTLY
WARMER DURING THE SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK. THE OVERALL
PRECIPITATION PATTERN DURING THE PERIOD SHOULD BE A RELATIVELY
DRY ONE...OUTSIDE OF THE FAVORED LAKE EFFECT SNOW BELT.

&&

.AVIATION /03Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
WESTERLY/NORTHWESTERLY SFC WINDS HAVE ALLOWED EASTERN TAF SITES TO
RETURN TO VFR CONDS. MVFR REMAINS ACROSS CENTRAL AND WESTERN
SECTIONS OF THE AIRSPACE...AS STUBBORN LOW CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NIGHT. UPSLOPE FLOW INTO KJST AND KBFD WILL LEAD TO
SCT SHSN INTO THE LATE EVENING/EARLY NIGHT. HOWEVER...THERE SHOULD
BE A LULL LATER TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING WHERE MAINLY MVFR CIGS
ARE EXPECTED. AOO/UNV WILL HOLD AT MVFR CIGS AND MAY HAVE A FLURRY
OR TWO.

THE WINDS WILL BACK ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A WEAK LOW PASSES
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES W-E. HOWEVER...TRAILING THE LOW WILL BE A
SHARP ARCTIC FRONT WHICH WILL BLOW THROUGH SUN EVENING/NIGHT.
SOME LIGHT SNOW WILL BREAK OUT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT OVER
KBFD...BUT MOST OTHER SITES WILL REMAIN AS THEY WERE -- MVFR
CENTRAL AND VFR EAST UNTIL THE FRONT NEARS AND PASSES. SOME
IMPROVEMENT IS POSSIBLE IN THE CNTRL AND ERN TERMINALS DURING THE
DAYLIGHT. THE SNOW SHOWERS/SQUALLS ALONG THE FRONT WILL PROBABLY
GO VLIFR FOR A BRIEF TIME AT KBFD/KJST AND L/IFR FOR THE CENTRAL
TERMINALS SUN NIGHT.

THEN...A PROLONGED PERIOD /DAYS/ OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL SET UP.

OUTLOOK...

MON-TUE...MVFR/IFR SNOW SHOWERS LAURELS AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.
MAINLY VFR ELSEWHERE.

WED-THU...NO SIG WX.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING FOR PAZ004-005.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DANGELO
NEAR TERM...DANGELO/DEVOIR
SHORT TERM...DANGELO
LONG TERM...LAMBERT/TYBURSKI
AVIATION...DANGELO/GARTNER
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 16, 2:17 PM EST, 11 hours 42 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA
217 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016

PAZ019-025>028-034>036-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-063>066-171930-
SOUTHERN CENTRE-BLAIR-HUNTINGDON-MIFFLIN-JUNIATA-BEDFORD-FULTON-
FRANKLIN-SULLIVAN-SOUTHERN CLINTON-SOUTHERN LYCOMING-UNION-SNYDER-
MONTOUR-NORTHUMBERLAND-COLUMBIA-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-
CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-LANCASTER-
217 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ004-005-171930-
WARREN-MCKEAN-
217 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO
WEATHER.GOV/STATECOLLEGE ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE
INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ006-010>012-017-018-024-033-037-041-171930-
POTTER-ELK-CAMERON-NORTHERN CLINTON-CLEARFIELD-NORTHERN CENTRE-
CAMBRIA-SOMERSET-TIOGA-NORTHERN LYCOMING-
217 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

FREQUENT SNOW SHOWERS AND LOCALLY HEAVIER LAKE EFFECT AND UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND
PERSIST INTO EARLY TUESDAY. MODERATE SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THIS 36 TO 48 HOUR PERIOD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS State College, PA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 17, 2:54 PM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryCTPCameron, Elk, Potter30 hr
Jan 17, 2:54 PM ESTWind Chill AdvisoryCTPCambria, Somerset43 hr
Jan 17, 6:47 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementCTPBlair, Centre, Clinton, Huntingdon28 min

Nearby

Lake Effect Snow Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2016Every lake effect snow warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.