Winter Weather Advisory 4, NWS Buffalo, NY

089 
WWUS41 KBUF 142230
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
530 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

NYZ007-142330-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.W.0003.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
JEFFERSON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WATERTOWN
530 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

WHILE AN INCH OR SO OF SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE COUNTY THIS EVENING...SIGNIFICANT LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED. 

$$

NYZ001>004-010>014-085-150630-
/O.EXT.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160115T1100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
530 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER TO THE FINGER LAKES REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING UNDER AN INCH OR LESS TONIGHT.
  TRACE TO A HUNDREDTH OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE 
  CAN CREATE SLICK ROADS...BRIDGES...RAMPS AND OVERPASSES. A 
  SLIPPERY GLAZE IS POSSIBLE ON UNTREATED WALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

NYZ006-008-150000-
/O.CON.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
530 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...FAR NORTHERN PORTIONS OF OSWEGO COUNTY AND THE
  SOUTHERN HALF OF LEWIS COUNTY.

* TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

* ACCUMULATIONS...A COUPLE INCHES THROUGH TONIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 20S TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CREATE SNOW COVERED ROADS...
  RESULTING IN DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON 
  AND EARLY EVENING HOURS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW THE WEATHER CAN VARY FROM LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW
IN NARROW BANDS TO CLEAR SKIES JUST A FEW MILES AWAY. IF YOU WILL
BE TRAVELING ACROSS THE REGION BE PREPARED FOR RAPID CHANGES IN
ROAD AND VISIBILITY CONDITIONS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...POSTING
TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE HASHTAG
BUFWX

&&

$$

RSH

526 
WWUS41 KBUF 142357
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
657 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

NYZ006-008-150100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.LE.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
OSWEGO-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...LOWVILLE
657 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE LAKE
EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

$$

NYZ001>004-010>014-085-150800-
/O.CON.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160115T1100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
657 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
FRIDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NIAGARA FRONTIER TO THE FINGER LAKES REGION.

* TIMING...THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* HAZARDS...FREEZING DRIZZLE AND LIGHT SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATING UNDER AN INCH TONIGHT. TRACE
  TO A HUNDREDTH OF AN INCH OF ICE POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.

* TEMPERATURES...LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...THE COMBINATION OF LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE 
  CAN CREATE SLICK ROADS...BRIDGES...RAMPS AND OVERPASSES. A 
  SLIPPERY GLAZE IS POSSIBLE ON UNTREATED WALKS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NORMALLY ISSUED FOR A VARIETY OF
WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS SUCH AS LIGHT SNOW...BLOWING SNOW...
SLEET...FREEZING RAIN AND WIND CHILLS. WHILE THE WEATHER WILL BE
SIGNIFICANT...THE WORD ADVISORY IMPLIES THAT SEVERE WINTER
WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF
WEATHER INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUFFALO.

REPORT SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN BUFFALO BY SENDING AN EMAIL TO BUFSTORM.REPORT@NOAA.GOV...
POSTING TO THE NWS BUFFALO FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET...USING THE
HASHTAG BUFWX

&&

$$

067 
WWUS41 KBUF 150259
WSWBUF

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
959 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

NYZ001>004-010>014-085-150400-
/O.CAN.KBUF.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160115T1100Z/
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
NEWARK...BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
959 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
106 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. A WARM FRONT WILL SHIFT ACROSS
OUR REGION LATER TODAY AND BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF LIGHT SNOW INTO
THIS EVENING. MILDER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FRIDAY BEHIND THE WARM
FRONT WITH RAIN SHOWERS INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...BEFORE ANOTHER BLAST OF
COLD AIR BRINGS ADDITIONAL LAKE SNOWS SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS AFTERNOON A STRONG BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW CONTINUES EAST
OF LAKE ONTARIO...WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF ONE TO TWO INCHES PER
HOUR. EXPECTING THIS RATE TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...AND WITH JUST LITTLE FLUCTUATION TO THE BAND WE COULD SEE
UP TO 8 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION ACROSS SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON COUNTY...AND MAYBE A HALF A FOOT ACROSS LEWIS COUNTY.
WILL THEREFORE EXTEND THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FOR JEFFERSON
COUNTY...AND ISSUE A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY FOR LEWIS COUNTY
UNTIL 00Z TONIGHT.

EAST OF LAKE ERIE A BROAD BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS TRANSITIONING
INTO WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW ACROSS WNY. WITH WARMING
ALOFT...ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL GENERATE LIGHT SNOW ACROSS WNY THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.

LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THE FORECAST IS A LITTLE TRICKY.
BUFKIT PROFILES SHOW SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND WEAK SYNOPTIC LIFT
DISPLACED WELL BELOW THE SNOW GROWTH REGION WITH CLOUD TEMPERATURES
WARMER THAN -10C. THIS MAY ALLOW FOR SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE AS THE
LIGHT SNOW TAPERS OFF...IF SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE SLOW TO WARM
ABOVE FREEZING. TEMPERATURES WILL EXHIBIT A NON-DIURNAL TREND
WARMING THROUGH THE NIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES FRIDAY AND
INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO ON FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL LIFT A WARM FRONT
TO OUR NORTH ON FRIDAY WHICH WILL WARM TEMPERATURES INTO THE LOWER
40S IN MOST AREAS. LINGERING LIGHT PRECIPITATION WITH THIS WARM
FRONT SHOULD END BY MID-DAY WITH A PERIOD OF DRY WEATHER. AFTER
THIS...A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS IS LIKELY TO BRING A PERIOD OF PRECIPITATION
TO THE REGION ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT. THE FORECAST WILL
FOLLOW MODEL CONSENSUS FOR TIMING...BUT GUIDANCE DIFFERS BY A FEW
HOURS ON TIMING. FOR MOST AREAS IT WILL BE WARM ENOUGH FOR ALL
RAIN...BUT THERMAL PROFILES WILL BE MARGINALLY COLD ENOUGH FOR WET
SNOW ON THE TUG HILL AND ACROSS HIGHER TERRAIN IN NORTHERN
JEFFERSON/LEWIS COUNTIES. CONSENSUS MEAN QPF IS ABOUT A QUARTER
INCH...SO ANY WET SNOW ACCUMULATION WOULD BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE.

TEMPERATURES WILL COOL BEHIND THE FRONT WITH FALLING TEMPERATURES
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. FORECAST CONSENSUS 850MB TEMPERATURES DROP FROM
AROUND -7C SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO -12C LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. SOUNDINGS
SHOW CLOUD TOPS ONLY SLIGHTLY COOLER THAN THIS WHICH SUGGESTS POOR
MICROPHYSICS FOR DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. THE
WESTERLY FLOW IS LIKELY TO PRODUCE SNOW EAST OF THE LAKES...BUT THIS
SHOULD STRUGGLE TO ACCUMULATE WITH SMALL FLAKES OR SLEET POSSIBLY
MIXED IN.

CONDITIONS WILL BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR LAKE EFFECT SNOW ON
SATURDAY NIGHT WHEN MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE APPROACHES AND AS
TEMPERATURES ALOFT COOL. BY SATURDAY NIGHT CLOUD TOPS SHOULD SUPPORT
DENDRITIC SNOW GROWTH WHICH SHOULD ALLOW BANDS EAST OF THE LAKES TO
BECOME BETTER DEVELOPED. BY THIS TIME WESTERLY WINDS WILL NOT BE
VERY STRONG WHICH SHOULD LIMIT THE INLAND EXTENT OF SNOW. AMOUNTS
ARE STILL UNCERTAIN...WITH ADVISORY AMOUNTS POSSIBLE EAST OF THE
LAKES SUCH AS THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE AND TUG HILL. THE WESTERLY FLOW
WILL KEEP THE SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OUT OF
THE BUFFALO/ROCHESTER/WATERTOWN METRO AREAS.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THIS TIME PERIOD WILL REMAIN ACTIVE AS COLD AIR CONTINUES TO FLOW
SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION.

SUNDAY A POTENT UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ADVANCE ACROSS THE REGION.
THERE MAY BE ENOUGH LIFT AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE TO GENERATE A FEW
SNOW SHOWERS...AND WILL HAVE LIKELY POPS OVER MUCH OF THE REGION.
SNOWFALL TOTALS WILL BE AGAIN MINOR...WITH LIKELY AN INCH OR LESS
OF SNOWFALL.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY ANOTHER LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT...WITH POSSIBLE
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS WILL TAKE SHAPE. ALOFT A BROAD UPPER
LEVEL 500 HPA TROUGH WILL BE FOUND TO THE NORTH OF LAKE
ONTARIO...WITH A SURFACE LAKE AGGREGATE TROUGH FORMING OVER THE
GREAT LAKES REGION WITHIN A -18 TO -22C 850 HPA AIRMASS.
CONVERGENCE ALONG THIS TROUGH WITHIN NORTHWEST FLOW WILL LIKELY
AGAIN FORM LAKE EFFECT SNOW WITH SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ERIE. THE
VERY COLD AIR OVER THE UNFROZEN LAKES WILL CREATE A FAIR AMOUNT OF
LAKE INSTABILITY MONDAY WITH LAKE INDUCED CAPE VALUES INCREASING
TO 500 TO 750 J/KG AND EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS RISING TO 12 TO 14K
FEET. THERE WILL ALSO LIKELY BE UPSTREAM CONNECTIONS TO THE LAKE
ONTARIO AND ERIE BAND...WITH CONNECTIONS AS FAR WEST AS LAKE
SUPERIOR POSSIBLE.

WHILE THE POSITION OF BANDS ARE STILL UNCERTAIN AT THIS POINT IN
TIME...THE POSITION OF THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND THE NORTHWEST
FLOW SUGGESTS THAT THE SNOW BANDS SHOULD REMAIN WELL SOUTH
WATERTOWN.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND A DECREASE IN THE MOISTURE DEPTH FIELD
LATER TUESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY WEAKEN THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW...THOUGH STILL FAVORABLE LAKE EFFECT PARAMETERS WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE THE GENERATION OF SOME LAKE SNOWS.

TEMPERATURES SUNDAY IN THE MID 20S WILL GIVE WAY TO COOLER HIGHS
MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT 18Z A BAND OF LES SNOW
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO CONTINUES TO BRING POOR FLIGHT
CONDITIONS...WITH THE BAND GENERAL REMAINING SOUTH OF WATERTOWN. AS
WINDS BACK...WE SHOULD SEE THE BAND OF SNOW...BROADENING ACROSS THE
WATERTOWN AIRFIELD LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

ELSEWHERE OFF OF LAKE ERIE A BAND OF LES SNOW IS TRANSITIONING TO
LIGHT WIDESPREAD SNOW AS WARMING ALOFT CONTINUES. THIS LIGHT SNOW
COULD BRING SOME IFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS BETWEEN 21 AND 00Z TO THE
KBUF/KIAG AND 23Z AND 04Z TO KROC.

OTHERWISE EXPECT LOW CIGS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON (IFR
SOUTHERN TIER AND MVFR/LOW VFR LOWER LAKE PLAINS)

AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND TOMORROW A
PERIOD OF NON-PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH LIFTING OF
THE CIG BASE TO A RETURN TO VFR FLIGHT CONDITIONS.

BACKING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY
TOMORROW...WHILE REMAINING EASTERLY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

OUTLOOK...

FRIDAY NIGHT...DETERIORATION TO MVFR/IFR WITH RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
BECOMING MORE LIKELY.
SATURDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS.
SUNDAY...IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW NORTHEAST OF THE LAKES...OTHERWISE
MVFR IN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MONDAY AND TUESDAY...IFR IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKES...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ELSEWHERE.

&&

.MARINE...
A CLIPPER SYSTEM IS SLIDING ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO THIS
MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL MAINTAIN A BRISK WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY TO
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES...WHICH WILL THEN
TURN MORE WESTERLY AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS
THIS EVENING.

FOLLOWING THIS...QUIETER CONDITIONS SHOULD BE THE GENERAL RULE
THURSDAY  NIGHT AND FRIDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
BRINGS ANOTHER ROUND OF POTENTIALLY ADVISORY-WORTHY WINDS AND
WAVES FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ007.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LEZ040-
         041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
         LOZ043>045.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
         LOZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...THOMAS
NEAR TERM...SMITH/THOMAS
SHORT TERM...APFFEL
LONG TERM...THOMAS
AVIATION...THOMAS
MARINE...JJR/SMITH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1221 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

NYZ010>012-019-020-085-151730-
NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-SOUTHERN ERIE-
1221 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY DEVELOP NORTHEAST OF
LAKE ERIE NEAR BUFFALO AND BATAVIA SUNDAY AND SUNDAY EVENING.
LATER SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY WINDS WILL CHANGE TO WEST OR
NORTHWEST...DIRECTING MOST OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW INTO THE
WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ007-151730-
JEFFERSON-
1221 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY DEVELOP SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY EVENING NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO NEAR WATERTOWN. LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY AND FOCUS
THE SNOW ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME NORTHWEST...WHICH WOULD
DIRECT THE SNOW INTO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ008-151730-
LEWIS-
1221 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY DEVELOP SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY EVENING NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO NEAR WATERTOWN. LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY AND FOCUS
THE SNOW ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME NORTHWEST...WHICH WOULD
DIRECT THE SNOW INTO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004>006-151730-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-OSWEGO-
1221 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ANOTHER ROUND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW IS EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. LAKE EFFECT SNOW MAY DEVELOP SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY EVENING NORTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO NEAR WATERTOWN. LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY AND FOCUS
THE SNOW ACROSS THE TUG HILL PLATEAU. MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BECOME NORTHWEST...WHICH WOULD
DIRECT THE SNOW INTO AREAS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-LOZ030-042>045-062>065-151730-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
1221 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE AND LAKE
ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-013-014-021-151730-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
1221 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1014 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             WILLIAMSVILLE           42.97N  78.74W
01/14/2016  M7.5 INCH        ERIE               NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600301

JAM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1015 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             6 SW WARSAW             42.68N  78.22W
01/14/2016  M8.2 INCH        WYOMING            NY   COOP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600302

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1016 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             2 S WALES               42.74N  78.51W
01/14/2016  M12.5 INCH       ERIE               NY   COOP OBSERVER

            COOP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600303

DK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1040 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             ALFRED                  42.25N  77.79W
01/14/2016  M4.0 INCH        ALLEGANY           NY   COOP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600304

DK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1156 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

NYZ006>008-141830-
LEWIS-JEFFERSON-OSWEGO-
1156 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL IMPACT CENTRAL LEWIS...SOUTHERN
JEFFERSON AND EXTREME NORTHERN OSWEGO COUNTIES...

AT 1153 AM EST...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW PRODUCING SNOW FALL
RATES OF AROUND 2 INCHES PER HOUR WAS LOCATED NEAR ADAMS AND
MANNSVILLE TO BARNES CORNERS. SNOWFALL OF AROUND 1 INCH PER HOUR
ALSO EXTENDED INLAND ACROSS COPENHAGEN TO NEAR CROGHAN. THIS BAND OF
SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS ON THIS AREA THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON
WHILE MEANDERING NORTH AND SOUTH BY A FEW MILES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

CARTHAGE...ADAMS...BARNES CORNERS...SOUTHWICK BEACH STATE PARK AND
COPENHAGEN.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 BETWEEN EXITS 38 AND 44.

BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND VERY POOR VISIBILITY. SLOW
DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN TRAVELING.

LAT...LON 4397 7520 4369 7547 4365 7615 4368 7618
      4367 7620 4366 7620 4382 7623 4382 7625
      4384 7627 4384 7630 4388 7628 4389 7622
      4386 7624 4385 7620 4387 7620 4390 7613
      4391 7612 4404 7558

HITCHCOCK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1244 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     SNOW             PERRYSBURG              42.46N  79.00W
01/14/2016  M25.5 INCH       CATTARAUGUS        NY   COOP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600305

JAM