Special Weather Statement, NWS Buffalo, NY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
435 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO GENERATE SIGNIFICANT LAKE
SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO THROUGH MUCH OF
TODAY. THE LAKE SNOWS WILL DRIFT NORTH TOWARDS BUFFALO AND
WATERTOWN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...LIKELY RESULTING IN
ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS FOR EACH OF THOSE METROPOLITAN AREAS.
ADDITIONAL LAKE SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO TAPER OFF THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

...SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT SNOWS CONTINUE TODAY AND TONIGHT...

A BROAD 500MB TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES THIS MORNING CONTINUES TO
KEEP A CYCLONIC FLOW OF ARCTIC SOURCED AIR MOVING ACROSS THE REGION.
THIS IS TRIGGERING LAKE EFFECT SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF THE EASTERN LAKES
WITH DETAILS FOR EACH LAKE BELOW. OUTSIDE OF THE LAKE EFFECT EXPECT
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BREEZY WINDS TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH
SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS COMING TONIGHT AS A WEAK AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH SHIFT OVER THE FORECAST AREA.

OFF LAKE ERIE...KBUF RADAR SHOWS MULTIPLE NARROW BANDS OF LAKE
EFFECT SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE EARLY THIS MORNING UNDER A MEAN 280
STEERING FLOW. RADAR ESTIMATED SNOWFALL RATES OF A HALF TO ONE INCH
PER HOUR ARE SHOWING UP IN THE CENTER OF TWO MORE DOMINATE BANDS.
ONE EXTENDING FROM ABOUT WESTFIELD EAST-SOUTHEAST TO ABOUT OLEAN AND
ANOTHER FROM JUST NORTH OF SLIVER CREEK TO SPRINGVILLE AND JUST
SOUTH OF DELEVAN. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS
THESE LOCATIONS. 00Z NAM SHOWS THESE BANDS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH ABOUT DAYBREAK BEFORE THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BEGINS BACKING TO
THE WEST THEN NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY IN RESPONSE TO A WEAK
SURFACE LOW SHIFTING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND SURFACE HIGH
EXPANDING BUILDING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST STATES. AS THIS OCCURS THE
LAKE BAND OR BANDS WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS SKI COUNTY TOWARD THE
BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS BY THE EVENING COMMUTE THEN OVER OR JUST NORTH OF
DOWNTOWN BUFFALO AND THE NORTHTOWNS AFTER 00Z/7PM. THE 00Z NAM
BUFKIT TIME-HEIGHT PROFILES SHOW AN OMEGA BULLSEYE WITHIN THE
PRIME SNOW GROWTH ZONE AND LAKE EQLS OF 8KFT ALL ADDING UP TO A
STRONG SIGNAL FOR AN INTENSE SNOWBAND AS WINDS ALIGN WITH THE
LONG AXIS OF LAKE ERIE. THE 00Z NCAR ENSEMBLES INDICATE SOME
VARIABILITY IN POTENTIAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS NORTHERN ERIE
COUNTY TONIGHT WITH 00Z-12Z 12-HR ENSEMBLE MEANS SHOWING 3-6 INCHES
AND MAXES OF 10-12 INCHES. NEIGHBOR PROBS OF >6IN OF SNOWFALL
DOWNWIND OF THE LAKE ACROSS BUFFALO RUN ABOVE 90 PERCENT. THE
COMBINATION OF THE OUTPUT FROM THE NCAR ENSEMBLES ALONG WITH 00Z
HIGH RES NESTED 1.33KM NAM AND 00Z SSEO 12-HR SNOWFALL OF 6-8IN
HAS INCREASED CONFIDENCE THIS MORNING TO UPGRADE THE LAKE EFFECT
SNOW WATCH TO A WARNING. THE BAND MAY DRIFT AS FAR NORTH AS
NIAGARA COUNTY TONIGHT BUT CONFIDENCE FOR HIGHER SNOW AMOUNTS HERE
IS A LOWER. MAY CONSIDER A LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN LATER
UPDATES. LATE TONIGHT WIND WILL VEER BACK TO NORTHWEST WITH THE
LAKE BAND SETTLING BACK TOWARD THE SOUTHERN TIER AROUND 12Z
THURSDAY.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...KTYX RADAR SHOWS A STRONG SINGLE BAND OF LAKE
EFFECT SNOW EXTENDING ACROSS FAR NORTHEAST WAYNE...NORTHERN CAYUGA
AND FAR WESTERN OSWEGO COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING. RADAR SNOW RATE
ESTIMATES SHOW AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF OF SNOW PER HOUR WITHIN
THE CENTER OF THE BAND. LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR
ALL COUNTIES EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKE TO COVER FOR THIS AND AN
EXPECTED NORTHERLY SHIFT LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. SIMILAR TO WHAT
WILL OCCUR ON LAKE ERIE ALTHOUGH A FEW HOURS LATER...EXPECT THE SNOW
BAND TO REMAIN IN THIS POSITION THROUGH THE MORNING HOUR THEN LIFT
NORTH ACROSS THE EASTERN END OF LAKE ONTARIO AS WINDS BACK TO
SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL SEND THE SNOWBAND NORTH TO WATERTOWN BY LATE
THIS EVENING. NAM BUFKIT PROFILES SHOW THE BEST PARAMETERS LINING UP
FOR KART WITHIN A FEW HOURS EITHER SIDE OF MIDNIGHT. DURING THIS
TIME LAKE EQLS WILL AVERAGE ABOUT 9KFT WHICH IS PLENTY TALL ENOUGH
TO SUPPORT AN INTENSE BAND OF LAKE SNOW. OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE
EFFECT SNOW BAND...SOME NORTHWESTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW INTO THE
ADIRONDACKS IS FORCING SOME LIGHTER SNOW SHOWERS OVER EASTERN LEWIS
COUNTY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
WARMER AIR WILL BE MOVING IN STARTING THURSDAY. THE FOCUS FOR
CONTINUED MODERATE LAKE EFFECT SNOWS THURSDAY MORNING WILL BE IN
FAVORED WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW AREAS. OFF LAKE ERIE...JUST SOUTH OF THE
BUFFALO AREA INTO SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES. OF LAKE
ONTARIO....FROM THE NORTHERN TUG HILL TO WATERTOWN. THE LAKE SNOW OF
LAKE ERIE WILL WEAKEN CONSIDERABLE DURING THE DAY THURSDAY AS WARM
AIR LOWER INVERSION HEIGHTS TO LESS THAN 5K FEET. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS LIKELY LIMITED TO 1 TO 3 INCHES DURING THE MORNING.
THE WEAKENING TREND WILL TAKE A BIT LONGER EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO BUT
THIS WILL EVENTUALLY TAKE PLACE BY THURSDAY EVENING. ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS ON THE ORDER OF 3 TO 6 INCHES POSSIBLE.

THURSDAY NIGHT...WARMING WILL CONTINUE AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS
THROUGH THE REGION. THE ASSOCIATED WARM AIR ADVECTION/ISENTROPIC
LIFT MAY GENERATE A BIT OF LIGHT SNOW BUT ANY ACCUMULATIONS WILL
BE VERY MINOR. THERE MAY BE SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT/EARLY FRIDAY MORNING AS MID LEVEL MOISTURE GETS STRIPED AWAY.

FRIDAY WILL BE A WARM DRY WITH OS TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. ANY LINGERING SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE CONFINED TO AREA
EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY A COMPLEX SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY AND NORTHEAST. AN INITIAL PARENT LOW AND MID LEVEL
WAVE WILL CROSS THE OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY...WITH THIS SYSTEM GIVING WAY TO SECONDARY COASTAL
CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THE RESULTING COASTAL
LOW WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST AND OFFSHORE OF NEW ENGLAND
SATURDAY. THE HAND OFF TO THE COASTAL LOW WILL MAKE THE PRECIP
TYPE A VERY DIFFICULT CALL. INITIALLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO
+2C ALOFT FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH MAY ALLOW PRECIP TO BE RAIN OR A MIX
INITIALLY. ON SATURDAY TEMPERATURES MAY COOL ENOUGH ALOFT AS THE
COASTAL LOW TAKES OVER TO ALLOW FOR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW OR
POSSIBLY WET SNOW. IN EITHER CASE...PRECIP AMOUNTS WILL BE
RELATIVELY MINOR AS THE COASTAL LOW WILL ALLOW FORCING TO RAPIDLY
DIMINISH ACROSS OUR AREA AHEAD OF THE INITIAL PARENT LOW.

SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY COLD AIR COMES ROARING BACK INTO THE
GREAT LAKES AS ANOTHER DEEP TROUGH DIGS INTO THE NORTHEAST QUARTER
OF THE NATION. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. INITIALLY
THE FLOW WILL BE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY...THEN TRANSITION TO THE NORTHWEST FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT AREAS EXPECT JUST A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
FROM TIME TO TIME. AFTER THE BRIEF WARM-UP FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL FOR SUNDAY
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LAKE EFFECT SNOWS CONTINUE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO AND ERIE THIS
MORNING.  MAINLY VFR OR MVFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL OUTSIDE OF THE
LAKE EFFECT WITH IFR OR LOWER VIS MAINLY IMPACTING KJHW THIS
MORNING.

THE ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES WILL
GRADUALLY PUSH NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING
BRINGING IFR OR LOWER IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO KBUF/KIAG AND KART.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW/ATTENDANT IFR EAST AND NORTHEAST OF
THE LAKES...OTHERWISE MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
FRIDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. FRIDAY
NIGHT...DETERIORATION TO MVFR/IFR WITH SNOW SHOWERS BECOMING MORE
LIKELY. SATURDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY.
SUNDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...EXCEPT IFR/MVFR
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS LAKE ONTARIO THIS MORNING BUT HAVE
RELAXED ON LAKE ERIE. GALE WARNINGS ON ERIE HAVE BEEN SWITCHED TO
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES. GALES ON LAKE ONTARIO WILL GRADUALLY SLACKEN
FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. EVEN AFTER GALES
SUBSIDE...CONDITIONS SHOULD STILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE ADVISORY LEVELS
INTO THURSDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
     NYZ006>008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ004-005.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ003.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST
     THURSDAY FOR NYZ010.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ019-020.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ012-
     085.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM EST THURSDAY FOR LEZ040-041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
         LOZ043>045-063>065.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR LOZ042-062.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSH/SMITH
NEAR TERM...SMITH
SHORT TERM...TMA
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...SMITH
MARINE...SMITH/TMA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

NYZ006>008-141045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-141045-
NIAGARA-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ002-011-013-014-021-141045-
ORLEANS-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-141045-
MONROE-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-141045-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-141045-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-141045-
NORTHERN ERIE-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
7 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-085-141045-
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-141045-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-141045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ043>045-063>065-141045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-062-141045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
436 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

NYZ004>006-131030-
WAYNE-OSWEGO-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
436 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL IMPACT NORTHERN CAYUGA...SOUTHERN
OSWEGO AND NORTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 432 AM EST...A BAND OF HEAVY LAKE EFFECT SNOW PRODUCING SNOW FALL
RATES OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WAS LOCATED BETWEEN SODUS AND
FULTON AND WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH 6 AM.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WITH THIS BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OSWEGO...FULTON...FAIR HAVEN BEACH STATE PARK...CENTRAL SQUARE...
CATO...BATTLE ISLAND STATE PARK...BREWERTON...CHIMNEY BLUFFS STATE
PARK...SCRIBA AND VOLNEY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 NEAR EXIT 32.

LAT...LON 4315 7588 4320 7608 4327 7620 4322 7619
      4320 7621 4324 7627 4322 7626 4320 7627
      4323 7631 4323 7648 4311 7647 4328 7717
      4329 7715 4327 7695 4334 7671 4331 7671
      4341 7664 4349 7648 4327 7587

TMA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

NYZ004>006-131145-
WAYNE-OSWEGO-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
540 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL IMPACT NORTHERN CAYUGA...SOUTHERN
OSWEGO AND NORTHEASTERN WAYNE COUNTIES...

AT 537 AM EST...A BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW PRODUCING SNOW FALL RATES
OF 1 TO 3 INCHES PER HOUR WAS LOCATED FROM SODUS TO FULTON AND WILL
REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH 7 AM.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WITH THIS BAND OF LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW WITH NEAR WHITEOUT CONDITIONS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FULTON...FAIR HAVEN BEACH STATE PARK...CENTRAL SQUARE...SODUS...
BATTLE ISLAND STATE PARK...BREWERTON...CHIMNEY BLUFFS STATE PARK...
VOLNEY...CONSTANTIA AND WEST MONROE.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 81 NEAR EXIT 32.

CONDITIONS CAN DETERIORATE RAPIDLY IN WINTER WEATHER SITUATIONS. BE
PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND ALLOW EXTRA TIME WHEN
TRAVELING.

LAT...LON 4315 7588 4320 7608 4327 7620 4322 7619
      4320 7622 4324 7627 4320 7628 4323 7631
      4323 7648 4318 7648 4322 7703 4328 7713
      4327 7695 4334 7671 4331 7671 4340 7664
      4335 7588 4333 7589 4332 7586

TMA