Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 3, NWS Buffalo, NY

January 13, 2016

NWS Buffalo, NY issued this small craft advisory at Jan 13, 2016, 4:01 AM EST. It was in force for 39 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 13, 2016, 4:01 AM EST (09:01 UTC)
Expired
Jan 14, 2016, 6:52 PM EST
In force
39 hr
Issued by
NWS Buffalo, NY

The text

As transmitted.

288 
WHUS71 KBUF 130901
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
401 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

LEZ040-041-131715-
/O.EXP.KBUF.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.160113T0901Z-160114T2000Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
401 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EST THURSDAY.

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-LOZ030-131015-
/O.EXP.KBUF.SC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T0900Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
401 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

$$

LOZ042-062-131500-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
401 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...WEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...9 TO 12 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-063>065-131715-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
401 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST TO 35 KNOTS.

* WAVES...13 TO 17 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

TMA
9 follow-up statements
255 
WHUS71 KBUF 131439
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
939 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

LOZ042-132245-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
939 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-132245-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T1800Z/
/O.EXB.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
939 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THURSDAY. THE GALE
WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* WINDS...WEST TO 30 KNOTS.

* WAVES...10 TO 13 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ063>065-131545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T1800Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
939 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING.

$$

LOZ062-131545-
/O.CAN.KBUF.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
939 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE GALE
WARNING.

$$

LEZ040-041-132245-
/O.EXT.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
939 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS
569 
WHUS71 KBUF 132058
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
358 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

LEZ040-041-140500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
358 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-140500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
358 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-140500-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
358 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS... SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS
085 
WHUS71 KBUF 132352
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
652 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

LEZ040-041-140800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
652 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-140800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
652 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-140800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
652 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
483 
WHUS71 KBUF 140234
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
934 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

LEZ040-041-141045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
934 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-141045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
934 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 6 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-141045-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
934 PM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
097 
WHUS71 KBUF 140851
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
351 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

LEZ040-041-141700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
351 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-141700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
351 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-141700-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
351 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
020 
WHUS71 KBUF 141429
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
929 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

LEZ040-041-142100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
929 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-142100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
929 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-142230-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
929 AM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 KNOTS.

* WAVES...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
729 
WHUS71 KBUF 141745
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1245 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

LEZ040-041-142100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1245 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-142100-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
1245 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS...WEST 5 TO 10 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ043>045-150000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
1245 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 5 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS
015 
WHUS71 KBUF 142040
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
340 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

LEZ040-041-LOZ042-142145-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160114T2100Z/
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
340 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.


$$

LOZ043>045-150000-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
340 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 KNOTS.

* WAVES...3 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
AND/OR WAVES AVERAGING 4 FEET OR MORE ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE
HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT. INEXPERIENCED
MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER VESSELS...SHOULD
AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

THOMAS
544 
WHUS71 KBUF 142352
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
652 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

LOZ043>045-150100-
/O.CAN.KBUF.SC.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160115T0000Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
652 PM EST THU JAN 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

WINDS AND WAVES HAVE DROPPED BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA.

$$

RSH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Buffalo, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 13, 1:05 AM EST, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 13, 1:05 AM EST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
105 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD NORTHWEST FLOW WILL GENERATE SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS SOUTHEAST
OF BOTH LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO OVERNIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF WEDNESDAY.
THE LAKE SNOWS WILL DRIFT NORTH TOWARDS BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...LIKELY RESULTING IN ACCUMULATING
LAKE SNOWS FOR EACH OF THOSE METROPOLITAN AREAS. ADDITIONAL LAKE
SNOWS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
A SECONDARY COLD FRONT MADE ITS WAY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK WITH WINDS NOW VEERED TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE
WAKE OF THIS FRONT. NARROW BANDS OF SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS NOW
LIE ACROSS THE WESTERN SOUTHERN TIER AND SOUTHEAST OF LAKE
ONTARIO.

SOME DETAILS...OFF LAKE ERIE THE BANDS WILL PRIMARILY REMAIN ACROSS
FAR SOUTHERN ERIE...CATTARAUGUS...AND CHAUTAUQUA COUNTIES...WHILE
OFF LAKE ONTARIO THE BAND WILL REMAIN SETTLED ACROSS FAR
NORTHEASTERN MONROE...WAYNE... NORTHERN CAYUGA...AND SOUTHERN
OSWEGO COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS STATED...ADDITIONAL
WEAKER LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS ALONG THE
REST OF THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORE AS WELL. THE MOST INTENSE ACTIVITY
IS FOUND FROM EXTREME NORTHEAST WAYNE COUNTY EASTWARD INTO FAR
SOUTHWEST OSWEGO COUNTY...WHERE A LONGER FETCH... LAKE EQLS AOA
15 KFT AND PLENTIFUL MOISTURE HAVE ALLOWED FOR AN INTENSE MAIN
SNOW BAND PRODUCING ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF ONE FOOT WITHIN
THE MOST PERSISTENT SNOWS OVERNIGHT...WITH SOMEWHAT LOWER BUT
STILL NOTEWORTHY ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES EXTENDING BACK
INTO NORTHEASTERN MONROE COUNTY AS WELL...WHERE A LAKE EFFECT SNOW
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT. OFF LAKE ERIE THE SHORTER FETCH ACROSS THE
LAKE AND POTENTIALLY MORE MULTIBANDED NATURE OF THE LAKE SNOWS
SHOULD HOLD ACCUMULATIONS A BIT LOWER SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKE...THOUGH EVEN THERE AMOUNTS SHOULD STILL AVERAGE BETWEEN 5
AND 8 INCHES.

A GRADUAL BACKING OF THE LOW LEVEL FLOW LATER THIS MORNING WILL
SEND THE LAKE SNOWS BACK NORTH TOWARD THE BUFFALO AND WATERTOWN
AREAS BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH THESE POTENTIALLY REACHING
METRO BUFFALO BY LATE IN THE DAY...DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE.
WHILE THE BANDS SHOULD BE IN A SOMEWHAT WEAKER STATE BY THIS TIME
WITH LAKE EQLS FALLING TO BETWEEN 8 AND 10 KFT AND SOME SHEAR
COMING INTO PLAY...THESE SHOULD STILL BE PLENTY ORGANIZED ENOUGH
TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2-4"/3-5" WITHIN THE MOST
PERSISTENT SNOWS. WHEN TAKING BOTH THESE AND THE ADDITIONAL
SNOWFALL EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO ACCUMULATION... A LAKE
EFFECT SNOW WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN ERIE COUNTY
BEGINNING LATER WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT AREAS...EXPECT JUST SOME
ADDITIONAL LAKE-DRIVEN SNOW SHOWERS AND ACCUMS OF A FEW INCHES
ALONG THE WESTERN HALF OF THE LAKE ONTARIO SHORELINE THROUGH THIS
MORNING. OTHERWISE...THERE WILL JUST BE SOME SCATTERED LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF THE MAIN LAKE EFFECT SNOW BANDS.

TEMPERATURE-WISE IT WILL TURN COLDER AGAIN...WITH LOWS FALLING
INTO THE TEENS TONIGHT...THEN STRUGGLING TO GET ABOVE THE UPPER
TEENS AND LOWER 20S WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN CONCERN WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL PASS THROUGH THE
LOWER LAKES LATER WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY ALONG WITH A BROAD
AREA OF MID LEVEL WARM ADVECTION. THIS MAY PRODUCE A FEW LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT AREAS. THE APPROACH OF THE MID
LEVEL TROUGH AND ITS INFLUENCE ON THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL ALSO
ALLOW BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS TO BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST BY EARLY
WEDNESDAY EVENING...WHICH WILL FORCE LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO MIGRATE
NORTHWARD.

OFF LAKE ERIE...

BY EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING THE BAND OF SNOW SHOULD ALREADY BE
INTO THE BUFFALO METRO AREA. THE BAND MAY MAKE IT AS FAR NORTH AS
SOME OF THE NORTHTOWNS SUCH AS GRAND ISLAND AND THE TONAWANDAS
WEDNESDAY EVENING...AND ALSO BRUSH SOUTHERN NIAGARA COUNTY.
OVERNIGHT LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THE BAND WILL SETTLE BACK TO
NEAR BUFFALO AND THE AIRPORT WHERE IT WILL REMAIN THROUGH EARLY
THURSDAY MORNING.

LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS WILL DROP TO 7-8K FEET FOR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THERE WILL BE SOME MODEST SHEAR IN THE COLUMN.
THESE TWO NEGATIVES MAY BE OUTWEIGHED BY THE POSITIVES HOWEVER
WITH A LONG FETCH UP THE LENGTH OF LAKE ERIE AND FAVORABLE TERRAIN
DRIVEN CONVERGENCE AT THE NORTHEAST END OF THE LAKE. A DEEP LAYER
OF MOISTURE AND FAVORABLE DENDRITIC CRYSTAL GROWTH BENEATH THE
INVERSION SHOULD ALSO PRODUCE FAVORABLE CLOUD MICROPHYSICS. WITH
THIS IN MIND SNOWFALL RATES MAY STILL REACH 2 INCHES PER HOUR
INITIALLY WEDNESDAY EVENING WITHIN THE STRONGEST PORTION OF THE
BAND BEFORE WEAKENING TOWARDS THURSDAY MORNING AS INVERSION
HEIGHTS LOWER FURTHER. FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING
EXPECT THE GREATEST ACCUMULATIONS TO FOCUS ON THE BUFFALO METRO
AREA... ESPECIALLY THE THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE METRO AREA WHERE
ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 6-10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. WITH THIS IN
MIND...WE WILL ADD A NEW LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FOR NORTHERN ERIE
COUNTY FOR LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

DURING THE DAY THURSDAY WHAT REMAINS OF THE LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL
DRIFT BACK SOUTH TOWARDS SOUTHERN ERIE AND WYOMING COUNTIES AND
WEAKEN RAPIDLY AS INVERSION HEIGHTS LOWER TO LESS THAN 5K FEET.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...

BY EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING THE BAND OF SNOW WILL BE QUICKLY
MOVING NORTH ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION AND TOWARDS WATERTOWN. THE
WIND SHIFT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO EVENING MAY BE TOO ABRUPT
FOR THE BAND TO MAINTAIN INTENSITY...WITH LIGHTER SNOWFALL RATES
INITIALLY WEDNESDAY EVENING AS THE BAND ADJUSTS TO THE NEW WIND
DIRECTION.

LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS REMAIN AROUND 9-10K FEET
OVERNIGHT...SO EXPECT THE BAND TO INTENSIFY ONCE AGAIN NEAR
WATERTOWN WITH SNOWFALL RATES OF 2-3 INCHES PER HOUR POSSIBLE. THE
BAND SHOULD REMAIN IN PLACE OVERNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL JEFFERSON AND
NORTHERN LEWIS COUNTY. BY MIDDAY THURSDAY INVERSION HEIGHTS WILL
BEGIN TO LOWER AND THE SNOW WILL EXPAND INTO A MORE DIFFUSE AREA
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TUG HILL AS THE INVERSION LOWERS FURTHER AND
SHEAR INCREASES.

EXPECT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND OR JUST OVER A FOOT
FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS
FOCUSED ON CENTRAL JEFFERSON COUNTY.

THURSDAY NIGHT THE AIRMASS SHOULD GROW TOO MILD TO SUPPORT LAKE
EFFECT SNOW. A WARM FRONT WILL PUSH NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA
OVERNIGHT WITH A FEW POCKETS OF LIGHT SNOW AND A DUSTING OF
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. ON FRIDAY THIS WARM FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY AND SOUTHEAST CANADA...WITH ANY LIGHT
SNOW SHOWERS ENDING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST.

TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN A MODERATING TREND THROUGH THE LATE
WEEK...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S IN MOST AREAS BY FRIDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY A COMPLEX SYSTEM WILL MOVE INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY AND NORTHEAST. AN INITIAL PARENT LOW AND MID LEVEL
WAVE WILL CROSS THE OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
SATURDAY...WITH THIS SYSTEM GIVING WAY TO SECONDARY COASTAL
CYCLOGENESIS ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THE RESULTING COASTAL
LOW WILL MOVE QUICKLY NORTHEAST AND OFFSHORE OF NEW ENGLAND
SATURDAY. THE HAND OFF TO THE COASTAL LOW WILL MAKE THE PRECIP
TYPE A VERY DIFFICULT CALL. INITIALLY TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO
+2C ALOFT FRIDAY NIGHT WHICH MAY ALLOW PRECIP TO BE RAIN OR A MIX
INITIALLY. ON SATURDAY TEMPERATURES MAY COOL ENOUGH ALOFT AS THE
COASTAL LOW TAKES OVER TO ALLOW FOR A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW OR
POSSIBLY WET SNOW. IN EITHER CASE...PRECIP AMOUNTS WILL BE
RELATIVELY MINOR AS THE COASTAL LOW WILL ALLOW FORCING TO RAPIDLY
DIMINISH ACROSS OUR AREA AHEAD OF THE INITIAL PARENT LOW.

SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY COLD AIR COMES ROARING BACK INTO THE
GREAT LAKES AS ANOTHER DEEP TROUGH DIGS INTO THE NORTHEAST QUARTER
OF THE NATION. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR MORE LAKE EFFECT SNOW
FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. INITIALLY
THE FLOW WILL BE WEST OR WEST-SOUTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY...THEN TRANSITION TO THE NORTHWEST FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
OUTSIDE OF LAKE EFFECT AREAS EXPECT JUST A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
FROM TIME TO TIME. AFTER THE BRIEF WARM-UP FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL FOR SUNDAY
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
WHILE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS ALL OF WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEW YORK OVERNIGHT...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL
PREVAIL. THE NOTABLE EXCEPTIONS WILL BE FOUND SOUTHEAST OF BOTH
LAKES WHERE SIGNIFICANT LAKE SNOWS WILL BE IN PLACE. IFR TO LIFR
CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED AT KJHW AND KELZ IN MODERATE TO
OCCASIONALLY HEAVY SNOW. KIAG IS EVEN SHOWING SOME LIFR AS A
NARROW BAND OF SNOW EXTENDS RIGHT ACROSS THE TERMINAL. THIS MAY
DRIFTS SOUTH SOME DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS APPROACHING KBUF.

THE ACCUMULATING LAKE SNOWS SOUTHEAST OF BOTH LAKES WILL
GRADUALLY PUSH NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING
BRINGING IFR OR LOWER IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW TO KBUF/KIAG AND KART.

OUTLOOK...
THURSDAY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW/ATTENDANT IFR EAST AND NORTHEAST OF
THE LAKES...OTHERWISE MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
FRIDAY...MVFR/VFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. FRIDAY
NIGHT...DETERIORATION TO MVFR/IFR WITH SNOW SHOWERS BECOMING MORE
LIKELY. SATURDAY...MVFR/IFR WITH RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY.
SUNDAY...VFR/MVFR WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...EXCEPT IFR/MVFR
IN LAKE EFFECT SNOW SHOWERS EAST OF THE LAKES.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE FORCE WINDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE LOWER LAKES OVERNIGHT...BEFORE
GRADUALLY SLACKENING FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH THE DAY TODAY.
THIS STATED...CONDITIONS SHOULD STILL REMAIN AT OR ABOVE ADVISORY
LEVELS INTO THURSDAY.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NYZ012-
     085.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
     NYZ006>008.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ004-005.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ003.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ019-020.
     LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
     MORNING FOR NYZ010.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
         LEZ020.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR LEZ040-
         041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST EARLY THIS
         MORNING FOR LOZ030.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR LOZ043>045-
         063>065.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR LOZ042-062.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RSH
NEAR TERM...JJR/RSH/SMITH
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...RSH/SMITH
MARINE...JJR/RSH/SMITH
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 12, 7:53 PM EST, 8 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

NYZ006>008-140100-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001-002-011-013-014-021-140100-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-GENESEE-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-ALLEGANY-
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ003-140100-
MONROE-
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-140100-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK
AND WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ019-020-140100-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-140100-
NORTHERN ERIE-
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ012-085-140100-
WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   LAKE EFFECT SNOW WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ040-041-140100-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-LOZ030-SLZ022-140100-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-LOWER NIAGARA RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE...LAKE
ONTARIO AND SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ043>045-063>065-140100-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-062-140100-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
753 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 12, 10:49 PM EST, 5 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1049 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1030 PM     SNOW             PERRYSBURG              42.46N  79.00W
01/12/2016  M6.3 INCH        CATTARAUGUS        NY   COOP OBSERVER

&&

EVENT NUMBER BUF1600219

CHURCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Buffalo, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 13, 4:36 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego54 min
Jan 13, 5:38 AM ESTLake Effect Snow AdvisoryBUFGenesee, Niagara24 hr
Jan 13, 5:40 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCayuga65 min
Jan 13, 8:07 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFNiagara, Orleans83 min
Jan 13, 8:24 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCayuga81 min
Jan 13, 9:38 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOrleans67 min
Jan 13, 9:41 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCattaraugus79 min
Jan 13, 9:46 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFCayuga89 min
Jan 13, 12:13 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie107 min
Jan 13, 12:21 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego114 min
Jan 13, 2:08 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie112 min
Jan 13, 2:23 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego112 min
Jan 13, 4:00 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie2 hr
Jan 13, 4:16 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFOswego119 min
Jan 13, 5:16 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie89 min
Jan 13, 6:44 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementBUFErie91 min

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.