Severe Thunderstorm Warning 55, NWS Brownsville, TX

137 
WWUS54 KBRO 182101
SVSBRO

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
401 PM CDT WED MAY 18 2016

TXC047-215-182110-
/O.CAN.KBRO.SV.W.0055.000000T0000Z-160518T2115Z/
BROOKS TX-HIDALGO TX-
401 PM CDT WED MAY 18 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN BROOKS AND
NORTHEASTERN HIDALGO COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA...THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 2715 9767 2660 9760 2660 9786 2662 9799
      2712 9798
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 264DEG 25KT 2712 9781 2682 9772 2656 9782 

$$

TXC261-182115-
/O.CON.KBRO.SV.W.0055.000000T0000Z-160518T2115Z/
KENEDY TX-
401 PM CDT WED MAY 18 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR WESTERN KENEDY COUNTY...

AT 400 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTH OF SARITA TO NEAR NORIAS TO NEAR
YTURRIA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES...INCLUDING CRACKED WINDSHIELDS AND 
         MINOR EXTERIOR DENTS CAN EXPECTED. SOME DAMAGE TO CROPS AND 
         TREES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT MINOR WIND DAMAGE TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...SOME ROOFS...SIDING AND SOME FENCES. TREE LIMBS 
         WILL BLOW DOWN AND SMALL TREES WILL BE UPROOTED. DAMAGE TO 
         POWER LINES AND SOME POWER POLES IS EXPECTED. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ARMSTRONG...RUDOLPH...U S 77 BORDER PATROL STATION...NORIAS AND
ARMSTRONG RANCH AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2715 9767 2660 9760 2660 9786 2662 9799
      2712 9798
TIME...MOT...LOC 2100Z 264DEG 25KT 2712 9781 2682 9772 2656 9782 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

BIRCHFIELD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service BROWNSVILLE TX
321 PM CDT WED MAY 18 2016

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Thursday Night):A late season cold
front is located over the northern Ranchlands with a bow echo
anchored along the boundary moving steadily east over Jim Hogg
and Northern Starr counties. GFS as well as the HRRR shows a
strong vort max moving across South Central Texas approaching the
Lower TX coast through this evening. This disturbance should
maintain the integrity of this cell as well allow for additional
cell development the rest of the afternoon. GFS and again the HRRR
show another strong disturbance moving out of Mexico into the Mid
and Lower Valley this evening with possibility of another round of
thunderstorms. The ECMWF shows yet another disturbance moving
across the RGV Thursday. The combination of the front abundant
deepening moisture, PWATs 1.8 to 2+ inches, and the disturbances
will keep a small threat of severe weather with a more substantial
transition to a heavy rain event with training of heavy showers
and thunderstorms anticipated along and south of the cold front.
WPC has the western half of the CWA under an slight risk of
excessive rainfall outlook which matches up well with our thinking
locally. QPF values on the latest GFS and ECMWF have increased as
well with each of its distinct disturbances. Have decided to issue
a Flash Flood Watch for our entire CWA from 7pm this evening until
7 pm Thursday. Temperatures will be subject to the rainfall and
will maintain current lows in the 70s and but lower Thursday highs
in the 80's which might have to be lowered another category.

.LONG TERM (Friday through Wednesday): The upper trough finally
moves east of Texas Friday but trails a cold front into the
region. residual moisture will combine with the low level
convergence along the front to generate another round of showers
and thunderstorms Friday. High pressure ridge builds over Texas
between deep troughs along both the West and East U.S coasts.
Subsidence under the ridge should work on slowly drying out our
atmosphere. This will result in lower rain chances and raised
temperatures this weekend into early next week.

&&

.MARINE: tonight through Monday...A weak stationary front to
remain north or lie across the northern coastal waters through
Friday before dissipating this weekend. light to occasional
moderate easterly winds and a low sea to persist. a slightly
stronger gradient this weekend and early next week will allow for
moderate southeast winds and slightly higher seas. No advisories
are anticipated at this time. showers and thunderstorms to
impact the coastal waters at times through Friday with isolated
activity on Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL  75  83  76  84 /  60  60  50  40
BROWNSVILLE          75  85  76  86 /  60  60  50  40
HARLINGEN            74  85  75  88 /  60  60  50  40
MCALLEN              75  87  75  89 /  60  60  50  40
RIO GRANDE CITY      73  88  73  91 /  60  60  50  40
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND   76  81  77  80 /  50  40  50  40

&&

.BRO Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Flash Flood Watch from 7 PM CDT this evening through Thursday
     evening for TXZ248>257.

GM...None.
&&

This product is also available on the web at:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/RGV

59...short/long term
65/68 Radar/PSU

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
440 AM CDT WED MAY 18 2016

TXZ248>257-190945-
ZAPATA-JIM HOGG-BROOKS-KENEDY-STARR-HIDALGO-INLAND WILLACY-
INLAND CAMERON-COASTAL WILLACY-COASTAL CAMERON-
440 AM CDT WED MAY 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...PRODUCING STRONG DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

GMZ130-132-135-150-155-170-175-190945-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE PORT OF BROWNSVILLE TO THE ARROYO COLORADO-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM THE ARROYO COLORADO TO 5 NM NORTH OF PORT
MANSFIELD TX-
LAGUNA MADRE FROM 5 NM NORTH OF PORT MANSFIELD TO BAFFIN BAY TX-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO THE RIO GRANDE EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
WATERS FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD EXTENDING FROM 20 TO
60 NM-
440 AM CDT WED MAY 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE GULF OF
MEXICO AND THE LAGUNA MADRE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE WILL BE A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE WILL BE A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY...
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND FLASH
FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1005 AM CDT WED MAY 18 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1105 PM     HAIL             FALCON DAM              26.55N  99.13W
05/17/2016  E0.88 INCH       STARR              TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

            FRONT AND BACK WINDOWS OF A FRONT END LOADER SHATTERED
            AT FALCON DAM.

&&

EVENT NUMBER BRO1600047

BIRCHFIELD