Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016
Gale Warning 45, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 16, 2016, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 16, 2016, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 17, 2016, 4:00 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
771 FZAK51 PAJK 170034 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-171400- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHERN GULF SATURDAY EVENING. A FAST MOVING STORM FORCE LOW WILL THEN MOVE NORTH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THEN PROGRESS NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-171400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ012-171400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ013-171400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ021-171400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-171400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ031-171400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF DOUGLAS ISLAND. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-171400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-171400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 9 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING S LATE. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-171400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-171400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT...HIGHEST NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT...HIGHEST NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCE. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-171400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
395 FZAK51 PAJK 170823 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-171530- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE FRONT WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHERN GULF SATURDAY EVENING. A FAST MOVING STORM FORCE LOW WILL THEN MOVE NORTH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THEN PROGRESS NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-171530- GLACIER BAY- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...N WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ012-171530- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ013-171530- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ021-171530- ICY STRAIT- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-171530- CROSS SOUND- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE GALE TO 45 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ031-171530- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. STRONGEST WINDS ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF DOUGLAS ISLAND. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...NE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-171530- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-171530- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING S LATE. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 14 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-171530- FREDERICK SOUND- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-171530- SUMNER STRAIT- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT...HIGHEST NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT...HIGHEST NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-171530- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1123 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016 ...GALE WARNING SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
579 FZAK51 PAJK 171228 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-180100- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A FAST MOVING STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THEN PROGRESS NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-180100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ012-180100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ013-180100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ021-180100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 25 KT LATE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-180100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-180100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-180100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-180100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SE SWELL. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-180100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-180100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-180100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
714 FZAK51 PAJK 171924 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-180100- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A FAST MOVING STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AND THEN PROGRESS NORTHWEST ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-180100- GLACIER BAY- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ012-180100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...N WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW LATE. .MON...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ013-180100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ021-180100- ICY STRAIT- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ022-180100- CROSS SOUND- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-180100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. .TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ032-180100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ033-180100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SE SWELL. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-180100- FREDERICK SOUND- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN LATE. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-180100- SUMNER STRAIT- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 8 SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ036-180100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1024 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO GALE TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 16, 5:59 AM AKST, 10 hours 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 16, 5:59 AM AKST, 10 hours 1 minute before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
559 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016
.SHORT TERM...SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A FRONT APPROACHING SE AK
FROM THE S WITH GALES OVER THE OUTER COAST EARLY THIS MORNING.
FURTHER N...SOME FOG/STRATUS DEVELOPED LAST NIGHT AND IS SLOWLY
DISSIPATING THIS MORNING AS MIXING INCREASES IN RESPONSE TO THE
TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENT. THIS FRONT WILL SPREAD INCREASED
WINDS AND PRECIP NORTH ACROSS SE AK TODAY WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. MARGINAL
CROSS BARRIER FLOW THIS MORNING...SO MAINTAINED THE LOCALLY WINDY
WORDING NEAR JUNEAU WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH DURING THIS EVENT. PRECIP
OVER THE SRN PANHANDLE WILL PUSH N INTO THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE LATE
THIS MORNING AND INTO THE NRN PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON. EARLY
MORNING TEMPS OVER THE NRN INNER CHANNELS CONTINUE TO CLIMB SO
EXPECT PRECIP TO BE LIQUID EXCEPT FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW POSSIBLE IN
WIND SHELTERED AREAS AND IN AKZ018-019 WHERE MIXED PRECIP AT THE
COAST WILL TRANSITION TO SN ALONG THE HIGHWAYS. HOWEVER...NO
SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS EXPECTED. PRECIP CHANCES WILL DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT BEFORE ANOTHER WAVE OVER THE E PACIFIC MOVES N INTO THE
E GULF AND STRENGTHENS.
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE FRONT TODAY BUT
BEGIN TO DIVERGE SOME OVERNIGHT AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES.
.LONG TERM...IN A REPETITIVE WEATHER PATTERN SUCH AS THE ONE WE
ARE EXPERIENCING WITH A BIG UPPER LOW ANCHORED OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA AND WAVES AND TRIPLE POINT FEATURES FOLLOWING THE FLOW
AROUND THE BROAD UPPER LOW TO THE NORTH THEN NORTHWEST ALONG OUR
COASTLINE, WE OFTEN HAVE TO WATCH AND LEARN AND CALIBRATE THE
FORECAST ACCORDINGLY.
GIVEN A STRONGER SYSTEM PROJECTED BY THE MODELS THAN THE STORM
CURRENTLY IMPACTING THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE, IT STILL SEEMS
POSSIBLE THAT HIGH WINDS COULD DEVELOP FOR PRINCE OF WALES ISLAND
AND THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO SUNDAY
EVENING. THERE ARE SOME SUBTLE DIFFERENCES WITH THEIR MOVEMENT.
SUNDAY'S SYSTEM WILL APPEAR TO TRACK LESS OFFSHORE THAN THE
CURRENT SYSTEM, WHICH SUGGESTS MORE WIND. WHILE THE ECMWF DISPLAYS
SIMILAR STRENGTHS, THE GFS ON THE OTHER HAND CLEARLY SUGGESTS A
STRONGER SYSTEM FOR SUNDAY THAN THE ONE TODAY. WITH THESE
FACTORS, WE STILL LIKE THE HIGH WIND WATCH FOR 27/28 BUT ARE NOT
YET CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO REPLACE WITH A WARNING. IN ADDITION, STORM
FORCE WINDS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS LOOK GOOD AS WELL.
FARTHER NORTH, WE ARE LEARNING THAT A SIMILAR NORTHERLY GRADIENT
THIS MORNING THAT WE BELIEVE WILL RE-OCCUR ON SUNDAY IS YIELDING A
MERE 15 TO 25 MPH NEAR SEA LEVEL BUT 20 TO 30 MPH UP AT WHITE
PASS. THUS OUR WIND SPEEDS FOR SKAGWAY AND WHITE PASS
SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT ARE NOT HAS HIGH WITH THIS PACKAGE, AND WE
HAVE SLIGHTLY REDUCED THEM.
WORKING OUR WAY INTO JUNEAU, WE FIND THAT INDEED OUTFLOW WINDS
HAVE TRANSFERRED THEMSELVES TO THE SURFACE NEAR DOWNTOWN JUNEAU
OVERNIGHT, AND HAVE EVEN EXPANDED PAST LEMON CREEK NEAR THE
AIRPORT NEIGHBORHOOD. GIVEN A POTENTIALLY STRONGER SYSTEM, THIS
RAISES CONFIDENCE THAT IT WILL BE A WINDY PERIOD NEAR DOWNTOWN
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE, THE TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN
IN ACCORD WITH WINDSPEEDS DOWNTOWN. THE BANANA BELT THAT CURVES
FROM THANE INTO DOWNTOWN AND AROUND THE BRIDGE INTO WEST JUNEAU
AND DOUGLAS IS ROASTING. IT WOULD SEEM TO APPEAR THAT SNOW CHANCES
FOR SUNDAY NIGHT ARE SHARPLY FALLING JUST AS OUR FORECAST
TEMPERATURES MAY ALREADY BE TOO CHILLY. HOWEVER, SNOW REMAINS A
SAFER BET NORTH OF THE AIRPORT. LOOK FOR DOWNTOWN AREA
TEMPERATURES TO BE WARMED IN LATER ISSUANCES.
FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT WE REDUCED QPF...ESPECIALLY OVER THE
NORTH GIVEN THE ORIENTATION OF THE SYSTEM. IN ADDITION, WE HAVE
NUDGED THE RAIN-SNOW LINE TO THE NORTH A LITTLE AND MOVED LOW
TEMPERATURES FOR SUNDAY NIGHT GENERALLY TO LATE EVENING TO ALLOW
A SLOW WARMING TREND OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. ANY SNOW THAT
DOES FALL ACROSS THE CENTRAL INNER CHANNELS WILL BE LIGHT AND
SHOULD QUICKLY CHANGE TO RAIN BY MONDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME ADVISORY SNOWFALL ACROSS THE HAINES ROAD
LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
A THIRD SYSTEM LOOKS TO AFFECT THE PANHANDLE ON MONDAY...BUT THIS
LOOKS WEAKER THAN SUNDAY'S STORM. WE EDITED WINDS AS 00Z GFS AND
00Z ECMWF CAME INTO MUCH BETTER ALIGNMENT INTO MONDAY. GALES WILL
PERSIST ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN OUTSIDE WATERS WELL INTO
MONDAY.
LOOKING INTO MID-WEEK AND BEYOND ANOTHER A SYSTEM OF DEEPER
PACIFIC ORIGINS LOOKS TO PLANT ITSELF INTO THE GULF MID-WEEK AND
RAISE WIND SPEEDS ONCE AGAIN. AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES, THERE MAY
BE A BRIEF BREAK IN PRECIP FOR MUCH OF THE PANHANDLE GIVEN
RIDGING AHEAD OF IT; HOWEVER, TIMING OF ANY BREAKS ARE NOT VERY
CLEAR AS OF YET, THUS YOU WILL STILL FIND A WET FORECAST. WITH
THE NEW SYSTEM'S TRAJECTORY, THOUGH, TEMPERATURES MAY NEED TO BE
TRENDED UPWARD AND THE SNOW IN THE EXTENDED FORECAST MAY NEED TO
BE SHIFTED NORTHWARD AWAY FROM OUR TINY PORTION OF THE GREAT LAND.
WE USED ECMWF AND GFS FOR UPDATES MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT AND MADE
MINOR TWEAKS FOR SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT AS GREAT AGREEMENT WITH
CURRENT FORECAST CONTINUES. CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL 9 AM AKST THIS MORNING FOR AKZ027-028.
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR
AKZ027.
HIGH WIND WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR
AKZ028.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-041>043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-021-031-033>036.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ053.
&&
BC/JWA
VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAUThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 3:25 PM AKST | High Wind Warning | AJK | 30 hr | |
| Jan 16, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 16, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 16, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 16, 4:00 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Jan 17, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 17, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 17, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Jan 17, 4:00 AM AKST | Storm Warning | AJK | 12 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.