Gale Warning 31, NWS Juneau, AK

Issued

Jan 8, 2016, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)

Expired

Jan 8, 2016, 4:00 PM AKST

In force

12 hr

Issued by

NWS Juneau, AK

122 
FZAK52 PAJK 081228
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-090100-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHWEST CANADA WILL PERSIST WHILE A GALE
FORCE FRONT ENTERS THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE SOUTHWEST ON FRIDAY
NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ041-090100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING VARIABLE TO 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO
15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-090100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT BY AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT
IN THE MORNING. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-090100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT.
RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-090100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT
LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.SAT...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-090100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST FRI JAN 8 2016 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 7, 2:39 PM AKST, 13 hours 21 minutes earlier.

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
239 PM AKST THU JAN 7 2016

.SHORT TERM...BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ALASKA. MID AND HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH A COUPLE WEAK UPPER
LEVEL IMPULSES ARE ABOUT THE EXTENT OF THE EXCITING WEATHER OVER
THE PANHANDLE THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS
STILL PERSIST FOR AREAS ALONG THE COAST MOUNTAINS BUT HAVE
GRADUALLY BEEN DIMINISHING. SKAGWAY HAS FALLEN BELOW THE STRONG
WIND CRITERIA OF 40 MPH BUT STILL IS EXPERIENCING GUSTS OF 30-35
MPH. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT, WHILE WEAKENED, REMAINS PACKED ALONG
THE COAST MOUNTAINS SO WE WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE GUSTY WINDS NEAR
INTERIOR PASSES THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECT CLOUD COVER TO
DIMINISH TONIGHT WITH ANOTHER DRY DAY ON TAP FOR FRIDAY. GALE
FORCE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL GULF ON FRIDAY AND BE THE
NEXT WEATHER MAKER FOR THE WEEKEND. MORE ON THAT IN THE LONG
TERM...

USED THE 12Z NAM FOR UPDATES TO THE INHERITED FORECAST. VERY
LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE.

.LONG TERM...UPPER TROUGH OVER THE N PAC IS FORECAST TO EVOLVE
INTO A CLOSED LOW BY FRI NIGHT AS IT LIFTS TOWARD THE AK
PENINSULA. AS THIS TAKES PLACE...AN OCCLUDED GALE FORCE FRONT
WILL MOVE NE ACROSS THE GULF...AND REACH THE PANHANDLE BY ROUGHLY
MIDDAY SAT. HOWEVER...THE FRONTAL WAVE WILL ENCOUNTER AN UPPER
RIDGE POSITIONED OVER THE W COAST OF N AMERICA...WHICH WILL
SUBSEQUENTLY LIMIT ASCENT...IN ADDITION TO MAINTAINING A
RELATIVELY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER. THUS...PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE
NOT EXPECTED TO BE PARTICULARLY HIGH.

AFTER SAT...A SERIES OF FRONTAL WAVES ENTER THE REGION...EACH OF
WHICH GRADUALLY BREAKS DOWN THE UPPER RIDGE. THOUGH MODEL GUIDANCE
GENERALLY AGREES ON THE SYNOPTIC EVOLUTION...SHORTWAVE DETAILS ARE
VERY MUCH UNCERTAIN. NEVERTHELESS...THE PATTERN GOING INTO NEXT
WEEK APPEARS TO HERALD A TRANSITION BACK TO A WETTER AND MORE
MILD REGIME FOR THE PANHANDLE.

INHERITED LONG TERM GRIDS WERE GENERALLY MAINTAINED. NO CHANGE
WAS MADE TO PRESSURE THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON...TRANSITION TO WPC
OCCURRED BY 00Z TUE. REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST WAS UPDATED...WERE
NECESSARY...WITH AN ENSEMBLE BLEND OF COARSE RES MODEL GUIDANCE.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ022-041>043-051.

&&

TPS/GARNER

VISIT US AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JUNEAU

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.