Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 151, NWS Fairbanks, AK

September 13, 2016

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 13, 2016, 3:20 AM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Sep 13, 2016, 3:20 AM AKDT (11:20 UTC)
Expired: Sep 14, 2016, 3:33 AM AKDT
In force: 24 hr
Issued by: NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted.

503 
FZAK51 PAFG 131120
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
320 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-140230-
320 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF SIBERIA WILL BUILD SOUTH OVER SIBERIA
TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THEN PERSIST THROUGH THURSDAY. A RIDGE
EXTENDING EAST FROM THE HIGH TO ALONG THE NORTH SLOPE WILL
GRADUALLY WEAKEN THROUGH THURSDAY. A 988 MB LOW NEAR THE NORTH
POLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL MOVE SOUTH AND STRENGTHEN. BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON THE LOW WILL BE 300 NM NORTH OF BARROW. A COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE CHUCKCHI SEA
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

$$

PKZ225-140230-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
320 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-140230-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
320 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-140230-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
320 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-140230-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
320 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-140230-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
320 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.WED...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

SEP 16

2 follow-up statements

342 
FZAK51 PAFG 132151
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
151 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-141400-
151 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE ARCTIC IS MOVING S OVER THE
NEAR SHORE WATERS AND WILL BE OVER THE ARCTIC COAST BY WED
MORNING. A LOW OVER THE NORTH POLE WED MORNING WILL MOVE S TO BE
300 NM N OF BARROW AT 980 MB BY FRI MORNING WITH A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING SW NEARING THE NORTHWEST ARCTIC COAST.

$$

PKZ225-141400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
151 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. FOG.
.WED...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-141400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
151 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-141400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
151 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT BECOMING NW. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. FOG.
.WED...NW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SW. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-141400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
151 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. FOG.
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG.
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-141400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
151 PM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. FOG.
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SDB SEP 16

024 
FZAK51 PAFG 141133
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
333 AM AKDT WED SEP 14 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-150245-
333 AM AKDT WED SEP 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS OVER THE ARCTIC COAST WILL WEAKEN
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. A LOW NEAR THE NORTH POLE WILL MOVE
SOUTH TO BE 550 NM NORTH OF BARROW AT 976 MB BY FRIDAY MORNING
WITH A COLD FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWEST NEARING THE NORTHWEST
ARCTIC COAST. THE FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST ARCTIC
COASTLINE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

$$

PKZ225-150245-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
333 AM AKDT WED SEP 14 2016

.TODAY...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-150245-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
333 AM AKDT WED SEP 14 2016

.TODAY...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-150245-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
333 AM AKDT WED SEP 14 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-150245-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
333 AM AKDT WED SEP 14 2016

.TODAY...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-150245-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
333 AM AKDT WED SEP 14 2016

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT BECOMING W. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

SEP 16

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 13, 1:54 AM AKDT, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 13, 1:54 AM AKDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
154 AM AKDT TUE SEP 13 2016

.DISCUSSION...
The 00z models initialized well against the 00z analysis and
verified well against the 06z analysis. Model spread is minimal in
the short range and reasonable in the mid range however
considerable spread both between model runs and between model
families exists in the long range.

Aloft at 500 hpa, an 535 DAM low centered over Galena continues
to slowly weaken and drift to the northeast as an upper level
ridge currently along a cold bay to to St Paul Island line builds
north and east to be along a Bristol Bay to St Lawrence line
Tuesday afternoon and along a Kodiak to Nome line Wednesday
morning. The 586 DAM low weakens to 540 DAM over the central
Brooks Range Tuesday afternoon and opens to a trough over
northeast Alaska.

Strong chinook flow over the Alaska Range has subsided and has
turned to the west southwest and has brought a return to widespread
rain showers over the over the central and eastern interior.
Winter Storm Warnings along the north slopes of the Brooks Range
continue through Wednesday morning as favorable upper level
conditions persist as the upper level low passes over the northern
interior. Mid levels favorable for upslope today through tonight
over the central and eastern portions of the south facing slopes of
the Brooks Range especially near Atigun Pass where 4 to 8 inches
of snow is expected through wednesday morning. Winter Weather
Advisories have been issued for these areas.

Gusty winds continue along the north slope especially along the
coast to the east of Barrow and will continue today before
diminishing this evening.

Coastal Hazard Potential Days 3 and 4...None.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...None.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Winter Storm Warning for AKZ205-AKZ206.

Winter Weather Advisory for AKZ217-AKZ218.

Small Craft Advisory for PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CCC SEP 16

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Sep 13, 2:22 AM AKDT	Winter Weather Advisory	AFG	33 hr
Sep 13, 2:28 AM AKDT	Winter Weather Advisory	AFG	33 hr
Sep 13, 3:20 AM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFG	3 days
Sep 13, 2:02 PM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFG	50 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016 Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.