Brisk Wind Advisory 28, NWS Fairbanks, AK

742 
FZAK52 PAFG 141222
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
322 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-150300-
322 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WELL N OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA
WILL PERSIST THROUGH SAT. A 1004 MB LOW 100 NM W OF KIVALINA WILL
DISSIPATE OVER KIVALINA BY THU AFTERNOON. GENERALLY N TO NE FLOW
WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

$$

PKZ200-150300-
NORTON SOUND-
322 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

.TODAY...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-150300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
322 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 25 KT OVERNIGHT
S OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 40 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-150300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
322 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-150300-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
322 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

.TODAY...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

SDB/DA JAN 16

737 
FZAK52 PAFG 142302
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
202 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-151415-
202 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WELL N OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA
WILL PERSIST THROUGH SAT. A 1012 MB LOW OVER THE EASTERN BROOKS
RANGE WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND SLOWLY WEAKEN TO 1014 MB
BY SAT AFTERNOON. A 996 MB LOW OFF THE COAST OF THE KAMCHATKA
PENINSULA WILL WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE IN PLACE BY FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ200-151415-
NORTON SOUND-
202 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-151415-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
202 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...
...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND.
.FRI...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY SOUTH OF
SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...N WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...N WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-151415-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
202 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-151415-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
202 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...N WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...N WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

CF/CCC JAN 16

774 
FZAK52 PAFG 151207
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
307 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-160315-
307 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS WELL N OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF
ALASKA AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE
WEST COAST WILL MOVE W. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AROUND A 958
MB LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS OVER MAINLAND ALASKA THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

$$

PKZ200-160315-
NORTON SOUND-
307 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

.TODAY...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.SAT...N WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-160315-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
307 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 30 KT...STRONGEST WINDS SOUTH OF ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 35 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-160315-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
307 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-160315-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
307 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS INCREASING TO 25 KT. FOG.
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

SDB/DA JAN 16

756 
FZAK52 PAFG 160034
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
334 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-161545-
334 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS WELL N OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF
ALASKA AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A WEAK RIDGE OVER THE
WEST COAST WILL MOVE W. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AROUND A 950MB
LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC REMAINS OVER MAINLAND ALASKA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.

$$

PKZ200-161545-
NORTON SOUND-
334 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-161545-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
334 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY LATE EVENING.
FOG AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT...N WINDS 35 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 40 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 40 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE...N WINDS 35 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-161545-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
334 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-161545-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
334 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 40 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

CF/DJH JAN 16

964 
FZAK52 PAFG 161200
CWFWCZ

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
300 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ299-170300-
300 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM A 1045 MB CENTER OVER
SIBERIA WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE ARCTIC N OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF
ALASKA THROUGH MON. STRONG LOW PRESSURE WITH A 957 MB CENTER NEAR
50N 160W WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN
THROUGH SUN...THEN DRIFT N AS IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN MON.

$$

PKZ200-170300-
NORTON SOUND-
300 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT.
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ210-170300-
DALL POINT TO WALES-
300 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 35 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW.
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ215-170300-
KOTZEBUE SOUND-
300 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

.TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ220-170300-
WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON-
300 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

SDB/DA JAN 16

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1250 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH ABOUT 36 HOURS. MAIN UPPER
LEVEL LOW OVER FAR EASTERN RUSSIA WITH WEAKER UPPER LEVEL LOW IN
THE BERING STRAIT. BERING STRAIT LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
NORTHWARD AND WEAKEN BY LATE TONIGHT AND BE ABSORBED THE MAIN LOW
IN FAR EAST RUSSIA. COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW AT THE POLE WILL CONNECT
WITH COLD LOW IN THE ARCTIC NORTH OF PRUDHOE BAY AS IT MOVES
EASTWARD TO NORTH OF BARTER ISLAND BY LATE THIS EVENING.

UPPER LEVEL LOW IN FAR EAST RUSSIA WITH SHORT WAVE TROF THROUGH
Y-K DELTA WILL MOVE THE SHORT WAVE NORTH TO NEAR THE NORTHWEST
ARCTIC COAST THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS THE REMNANTS OF THE BERING
STRAIT LOW REDEVELOPS INLAND OF POINT HOPE ON THU AFTERNOON AND
MOVES TO ABOUT POINT LAY BY FRI AFTERNOON. ALTHOUGH NONE OF THE
MODELS INDICATE A SURFACE LOW ON THE ARCTIC SLOPE AFTER THU BUT
FEEL THAT WITH THE MODERATE LOW ALOFT THAT THERE WILL LIKELY BE A
SOME SURFACE REFLECTION OF THAT UPPER LOW.

EXPECT SNOW SHOWERS TO HANG AROUND ON THE ARCTIC SLOPE WITH THE
SURFACE LOW AND THE TROF THROUGH PROBABLY AT LEAST SATURDAY. THE
TROF ALOFT FALLS APART ON THE ARCTIC SLOPE AROUND SUNDAY.

THE ARCTIC BOUNDARY RUNNING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH FROM ABOUT THE
WESTERN THIRD OF THE STATE. THIS IS CREATING SNOW SHOWERS OVER THE
WESTERN AND WEST CENTRAL INTERIOR TODAY AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
FRI MORNING.

AS THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL LOW DROPS SOUTH INTO THE BERING STRAIT ON
SAT. THIS WILL CREATE DECENT SURFACE WINDS THROUGH THE BERING
STRAIT AND THE NORTHERN BERING SEA. DO NOT EXPECT ANY COASTAL
ISSUES WITH THESE WINDS GIVEN THE ICE COVERAGE AND THE WINDS BEING
PARALLEL TO SHORE OR OFF SHORE. ONSHORE FLOW ON THE NORTH SIDE OF
SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND BUT THE ICE SHOULD PREVENT ANY COASTAL
ISSUES FROM DEVELOPING THERE EXCEPT FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AN
ONSHORE ICE SHOVE.

FOR THE MOST PART...NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION OVER THE STATE
THROUGH AT LEAST FRI NIGHT...A FEW AREAS OF SNOW PRODUCING A
COUPLE OF INCHES OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR WILL BE THE EXTENT OF
THE SNOWFALL THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ201-AKZ207.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225.
&&

CF JAN 16