Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 926, NWS Anchorage, AK

November 23, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 23, 2016, 3:33 PM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 23, 2016, 3:33 PM AKST (00:33 UTC)
Expired
Nov 24, 2016, 3:22 AM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

161 
FZAK52 PAFC 240033
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-241400-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 965 MB KAMCHATKA LOW WILL MOVE TO 260 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT
978 MB THU AFTERNOON...THEN TO 70 NM WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AT
990 MB FRI AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT MOVES WEST TO EAST ACROSS
THE BERING THROUGH THU EVENING BEFORE MOVING ONSHORE LATE THU NIGHT.
A 980 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK FRI
AFTERNOON AT 975 MB.

$$

PKZ150-241400-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 36 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 36 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ155-241400-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING
SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 42 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 39 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-241400-
BRISTOL BAY-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-241400-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ170-241400-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-241400-
UNALASKA BAY-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-241400-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 43 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-241400-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 33 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-241400-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 38 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 42 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-241400-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ176-241400-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 36 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 38 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-241400-
ADAK TO KISKA-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
25 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-241400-
KISKA TO ATTU-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...STORM WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 35 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
32 FT SUBSIDING TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ179-241400-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-241400-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-241400-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. WIDESPREAD SNOW
SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE
ICE EDGE.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-241400-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
333 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE
25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT.
SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N AND E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$
1 follow-up statement
045 
FZAK52 PAFC 241222
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-250100-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MOVES TO NEAR KODIAK
ISLAND THU NIGHT. THE PARENT 967 MB LOW NEAR KAMCHATKA WEAKENS TO
989 MB 220 NM WEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND FRI AFTERNOON BEFORE
DISSIPATING. A STRENGTHENING 982 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTH OF ATTU LATE
THU NIGHT STRENGTHENS TO 959 MB 115 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAINT GEORGE LATE
FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-250100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 37 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 37 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ155-250100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 39 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ160-250100-
BRISTOL BAY-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-250100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ170-250100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-250100-
UNALASKA BAY-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-250100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS
11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 41 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-250100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19
FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 32 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ174-250100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 38 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 40 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-250100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ176-250100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 35 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 35 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ177-250100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-250100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 33 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
31 FT SUBSIDING TO 23 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ179-250100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19
FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-250100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE
NEWENHAM. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-250100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9
FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-250100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
322 AM AKST THU NOV 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 23, 4:35 AM AKST, 10 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 23, 4:35 AM AKST, 10 hours 58 minutes before
Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
435 AM AKST Wed Nov 23 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A broad complex low in the southern Gulf is bringing showers to
areas around the Gulf including Kodiak Island. To the west of this
low, remnants of a front stretch across the eastern Bering
bringing rain and snow to the Alaska Peninsula. Moving in behind
the diminishing front is ridging that is tracking east and moving
over the Central Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in good agreement until Friday when there are
differences with the track of a low that is pushing across
southwest Alaska into the Gulf. The NAM brings the low into the
northern Gulf while the GEM is in the southern Gulf with the GFS
and EC in between. The further north solutions will offer the best
chance of snow for Southcentral Alaska but uncertainty with the
track of this low is high. The GFS solution was preferred.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The low in the Gulf of Alaska is weakening and will move
southward, leaving southcentral Alaska under mostly clear skies
through Thanksgiving Day. Kodiak Island will still see some gusty
winds and rain showers with this low today, but will also clear
out for Thanksgiving Day as the low moves away from the area and
the island comes under northwest flow. The next system moves in
from the southwest reaching Kodiak Thursday night and then into
the Cook Inlet region Friday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Offshore flow is expected to diminish today as an area of low
pressure near Kodiak Island drifts further east into the Gulf of
Alaska. As this happens, high pressure will build across the
region from the north, which should help continue this period of
below normal temperatures. On Thursday, a very potent frontal
system will move across the eastern Bering Sea and inland over
Southwest Alaska. While some warmer air aloft is expected to nudge
into Southwest Alaska ahead of the front, 850 mb temperatures are
still expected to be in the -5C to -6C range, which is a huge
indicator that most, if not all, precipitation will fall as snow.
Model soundings indicate the snow growth zone will be nearly
saturated and have nice upward vertical motion due to the synoptic
forcing of the front. This should help squeeze out a storm total 3
to 6 inches across Southwest Alaska Thursday evening through much
of Friday, with the highest accumulations expected along the
Bering Sea coast. Chances for blowing snow seem pretty small at
this time as winds are expected to only peak at around 15 to 20
mph, because the frontal boundary falls apart rapidly as it moves
inland. This concern will continue to be monitored in the coming
days.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

As one area of low pressure exits the Bering Sea to the east this
morning, another one moves in from the west. A deepening area of
low pressure off the east coast of Kamchatka has begun to swing
another potent frontal boundary toward the Bering Sea. Gale force
winds will develop over the far western Bering Sea this morning as
the front approaches. However, winds will increase to storm force
(50-55 kt) near Shemya as the surface low moves into the Bering
Sea. A nice jet streak associated with the upper low stacked on
top of the surface low will help create another dynamic fetch
scenario, where seas are expected to increase to 35 to 40 ft on
Thursday. Much of the Bering Sea will see winds range from 30 to
45 knots Thursday and Friday as this low moves across the region.
In addition, periods of light to moderate rainfall and snowfall
will be expected across the Bering Sea with the potential for
minor accumulations over the western Aleutians.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The biggest change in the extended forecast deals with the storm
force low that develops in the base of the longwave trough south
of the Western Aleutians by Friday. The previous storm track had
this system tracking along the Chain before entering the Gulf. The
current solution brings the low to the central ALeutians, and
then across the Alaska Peninsula into the Gulf of AK on Sun. Look
for the associated weather front to approach the Southwest Alaska
coastline by Saturday morning. The temperatures for the Southwest
Alaska area remain below freezing. Therefore, the precipitation
will fall as all snow as this feature moves through the region
this weekend. This synoptic feature brings gale force
southeasterly to southerly winds accompanied by rain/stratus along
the Chain before spilling over into the eastern Bering heading
into the weekend. Storm force westerly to northwesterly winds
occur on the backside of this system as it skirts along the
Central/Eastern Chain before exiting the region. The ECMWF model
is faster than the GFS with this system, but both models bring
this storm into the northern Gulf by Sunday evening before moving
inland by Monday afternoon. Therefore, the Southcentral region
will be affected by the associated weather front by late Friday
evening going into Saturday morning. Due to the colder
temperatures already in place, any precipitation will fall as all
snow for the Southcentral region. Due to the model discrepancies
with the storm track, the forecast confidence remains average at
best through this upcoming weekend.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storms 178
         Gales 131 155 165 170 172 173 175-177 179 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...dk
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ez
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...mc
LONG TERM...pd/ds

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 23, 12:41 PM AKST, 2 hours 52 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1241 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

AKZ101-111-121-125-131-135-141-145-242100-
ANCHORAGE-MATANUSKA VALLEY-WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
SOUTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-COPPER RIVER BASIN-SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...
EKLUTNA...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON...KENAI...
SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...
GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS...CORDOVA...
GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA...TALKEETNA...
WILLOW...CANTWELL
1241 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SNOW COMING TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA THANKSGIVING DAY AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT...

SNOW WILL BEGIN IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON THANKSGIVING DAY. LIGHT
SNOW WILL RETURN TO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY.

THIS CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN COMES AFTER A PROLONGED PERIOD
OF DRY CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE REGION. FOLLOWING THIS STORM,
THE OVERALL STORM TRACK WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL
STORMS WITH WINTER WEATHER TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT WEEK.

FOLLOW YOUR FORECAST ON WEATHER.GOV/ANCHORAGE AND SHARE SNOW
MEASUREMENTS WITH US ON FACEBOOK.COM/NWSALASKA AND TWITTER
@NWSANCHORAGE.

TRAVEL WITH CARE AND HAPPY THANKSGIVING.
Special weather statement, Nov 23, 12:43 PM AKST, 2 hours 50 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1243 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

AKZ152-155-161-240945-
LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-KUSKOKWIM DELTA-BRISTOL BAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANIAK...SLEETMUTE...BETHEL...
HOOPER BAY...NUNIVAK ISLAND...KING SALMON...DILLINGHAM...NAKNEK...
PILOT POINT
1243 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SNOW COMING TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA THANKSGIVING DAY AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT...

SNOW WILL BEGIN IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON THANKSGIVING DAY. LIGHT
SNOW WILL RETURN TO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY.

THIS CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN COMES AFTER A PROLONGED PERIOD
OF DRY CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE REGION. FOLLOWING THIS STORM,
THE OVERALL STORM TRACK WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL
STORMS WITH WINTER WEATHER TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT WEEK.

FOLLOW YOUR FORECAST ON WEATHER.GOV/ANCHORAGE AND SHARE SNOW
MEASUREMENTS WITH US ON FACEBOOK.COM/NWSALASKA AND TWITTER
@NWSANCHORAGE.

TRAVEL WITH CARE AND HAPPY THANKSGIVING.
Special weather statement, Nov 23, 12:45 PM AKST, 2 hours 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1245 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

AKZ152-155-161-242100-
LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-KUSKOKWIM DELTA-BRISTOL BAY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ANIAK...SLEETMUTE...BETHEL...
HOOPER BAY...NUNIVAK ISLAND...KING SALMON...DILLINGHAM...NAKNEK...
PILOT POINT
1245 PM AKST WED NOV 23 2016

...SNOW COMING TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA THANKSGIVING DAY AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT...

SNOW WILL BEGIN IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON THANKSGIVING DAY. LIGHT
SNOW WILL RETURN TO SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH
FRIDAY.

THIS CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN COMES AFTER A PROLONGED PERIOD
OF DRY CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF THE REGION. FOLLOWING THIS STORM,
THE OVERALL STORM TRACK WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL
STORMS WITH WINTER WEATHER TO MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST AND
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT WEEK.

FOLLOW YOUR FORECAST ON WEATHER.GOV/ANCHORAGE AND SHARE SNOW
MEASUREMENTS WITH US ON FACEBOOK.COM/NWSALASKA AND TWITTER
@NWSANCHORAGE.

TRAVEL WITH CARE AND HAPPY THANKSGIVING.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 23, 3:21 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Nov 23, 3:21 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Nov 23, 3:46 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAFC28 hr
Nov 24, 3:22 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Nov 24, 3:26 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Nov 24, 3:28 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Nov 24, 6:48 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC9 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.