Small Craft Advisory 76, NWS Anchorage, AK

932 
FZAK52 PAFC 231236
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-240115-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 972 MB LOW 200 NM S OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 210 NM S OF NIKOLSKI AT
977 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT. A 968 MB LOW 240 NM S OF
SAND POINT WILL MOVE TO NEAR CHIGNIK AT 975 MB LATE TONIGHT AND
THEN MOVE INLAND OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA SUN MORNING. ANOTHER
NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 310 NM S OF SITKINAK AT 954 MB BY
EARLY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-240115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ155-240115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ160-240115-
BRISTOL BAY-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-240115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-240115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ171-240115-
UNALASKA BAY-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ172-240115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ173-240115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-240115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-240115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ176-240115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-240115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-240115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-240115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-240115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-240115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-240115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
336 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

240 
FZAK52 PAFC 240010
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-241245-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 975 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF ATKA WILL MOVE TO 210 NM SOUTHEAST OF
ATKA AT 977 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE LATE TONIGHT. A 968 MB LOW 120
NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY AT 978 MB
SUN MORNING AND DISSIPATES. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 370
NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 951 MB BY SUN AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES
TO 85 NM EAST OF SAND POINT AT 957 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-241245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ155-241245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ160-241245-
BRISTOL BAY-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-241245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ170-241245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ171-241245-
UNALASKA BAY-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-241245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-241245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-241245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-241245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-241245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-241245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ178-241245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ179-241245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-241245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-241245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-241245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
310 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
437 AM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF IS BRINGING A MIX OF
RAIN AND SNOW TO AREAS OF THE NORTH GULF COAST AS WELL AS KODIAK
ISLAND THIS MORNING...WITH MODEST OUTFLOW WINDS BEING DRIVEN BY A
FAVORABLE PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE GULF LOW AND HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE INTERIOR. CONDITIONS REMAIN MORE BENIGN OVER INLAND
PORTIONS OF SOUTHCENTRAL AK AS MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS SPREAD
NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE LOW. QUIET CONDITIONS ALSO PREVAIL ACROSS
THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND UNDER PERSISTENT DRY OFFSHORE FLOW. OVER
THE BERING...A FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FROM A
DEEP NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROXIMATELY 500 MILES SOUTH OF ATTU IS
BRINGING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTY NORTHEAST
WINDS TO THE WESTERN PART OF THE CHAIN. THE FRONT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BERING EXTENDS SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS...WITH THE FRONT WEAKENING SUBSTANTIALLY AS IT TRACKS TO
THE EAST AND RESULTING MAINLY IN SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER THE
EASTERN BERING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT WELL INTO NEXT WEEK AS
THE GULF LOW DISSIPATES TONIGHT AND GIVES WAY TO A SERIES OF
NORTH PACIFIC LOWS SPINNING UP SOUTH OF THE AKPEN AND TRACKING
TOWARDS KODIAK ISLAND...WITH RELATIVELY WARM AND MOIST SOUTHERLY
FLOW BEING ESTABLISHED OVER THE GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL AK. THE
HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT IN THEIR HANDLING
OF THE NEXT LOW APPROACHING THE WESTERN GULF LATE SATURDAY...AND
THEREFORE A BLEND OF GFS AND EC GUIDANCE WAS PREFERRED FOR THE
MORNING PACKAGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THERE ARE MULTIPLE UPPER LEVEL WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE COMPLEX
LOW IN THE GULF. THESE UPPER LEVEL WAVES ARE BRINGING AREAS OF
MOSTLY RAIN TO THE IMMEDIATE GULF COAST WHICH TURNS TO SNOW AS ONE
HEADS INLAND. AS IS TYPICAL WITH THESE SYSTEMS VERY LITTLE IN THE
WAY OF PRECIPITATION WILL MAKE IT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS TO THE LEE
SIDE. THIS WILL BE THE OVERALL PATTERN FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
THERE WILL BE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND AS WELL. THERE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE SOME GUSTY WINDS THROUGH THOMPSON PASS DUE TO COLD
AIR ADVECTION FROM THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. THIS WILL LEAD TO AREAS
OF BLOWING SNOW NEAR THOMPSON PASS TODAY INTO SATURDAY...BUT WITH
LITTLE TRANSPORTABLE SNOW CURRENTLY IN THE PASS SIGNIFICANT
REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY ARE NOT EXPECTED.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

LOW LEVEL OFFSHORE FLOW CONTINUES TO PERSIST OVER SOUTHWEST
ALASKA BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE OVER NORTHERN ALASKA AND BROAD LOW
PRESSURE CENTERS BOTH OVER THE GULF AND SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS. A
TROUGH ROTATING IN FROM THE EAST WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS ON
SATURDAY WHILE A LOW LIFTING UP FROM THE SOUTH WILL BRING
INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES TO THE ALASKA PENINSULA SATURDAY
AND TO PORTIONS OF MAINLAND SOUTHWEST ALASKA SATURDAY NIGHT.
ADDITIONALLY AS THE LOW APPROACHES...EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
WILL INCREASE AROUND THE GREATER BRISTOL BAY AREA IN RESPONSE TO
THE TIGHTENING PRESSURE GRADIENTS...ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE GAPS
AND PASSES IN THE ALEUTIAN RANGE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE LARGE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST NORTHEAST AND GRADUALLY FILL FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM STRETCHED ACROSS THE
WESTERN BERING WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY TODAY THEN
DISSIPATE TONIGHT WHILE ADDITIONAL FRONTAL BANDS ROTATE UP TO THE
ALEUTIANS. THE NEXT DEVELOPING FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL RAPIDLY SPIN UP
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...LIFTING
NORTHEAST TO CROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA JUST TO THE EAST OF THE
SHUMAGIN ISLAND SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

A PARADE OF LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL MOVE RAPIDLY NORTH FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC INTO SOUTHERN ALASKA BEFORE QUICKLY FALLING APART.
THIS WILL USHER NORTHWARD A MUCH WARMER AIR MASS THAT WILL RESULT
IN A STRETCH OF SEVERAL DAYS FROM SUNDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WHERE PERIODIC HEAVIER RAIN AND SNOW CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG SOUTH AND EAST-FACING SLOPES OF SOUTHERN
ALASKA...WITH ONLY OCCASIONAL...BUT PERHAPS NOT
INCONSEQUENTIAL...PERIODS OF LIGHT PRECIPITATION ON THE LEE SIDES
WHERE THE POPULATION CENTERS ARE LOCATED.

WITH SUCH A WARM AIR MASS ALOFT MOVING OVER THE VALLEY INVERSIONS
TRAPPING COLDER AIR NEAR THE SURFACE...AT LEAST INITIALLY THERE
MAY BE PRECIPITATION-TYPE CONCERNS AS SOON AS SUNDAY...WITH LIGHT
RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN A POSSIBILITY...THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN
ANY SPECIFIC EVENT AT THIS TIME. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO BE A
CONCERN...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGHER ELEVATIONS...THOUGH AT THIS TIME
THERE APPEAR TO BE NO SURE-FIRE HIGH WIND EVENTS...BUT THIS COULD
CHANGE AS MODELS GET A BETTER GRASP ON THE PARADE OF SYSTEMS
MOVING TOWARD THE REGION FROM THE PACIFIC.

TO THE WEST...MOST OF THIS REGION WILL BE ON THE NORTH AND WEST
SIDE OF THE PARADE OF LOWS MOVING NORTH INTO THE SOUTHERN ALASKA
MAINLAND. THIS WILL MEAN MAINLY NORTHERLY COLD ADVECTION FLOW WITH
WIDESPREAD SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS FOR MUCH OF THE
BERING.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING 127.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 180 181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...CB
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
LONG TERM...CC