Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016

Gale Warning 17, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 23, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 23, 2016, 3:26 AM AKST. It was in force for 3 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 23, 2016, 3:26 AM AKST (12:26 UTC)
Expired
Jan 26, 2016, 3:42 AM AKST
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

270 
FZAK61 PAFC 231226
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-240230-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A WEATHER FRONT WILL ENTER THE SOUTHWEST GULF THIS MORNING AND
MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF COAST LATE TONIGHT. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW
WILL MOVE TO NEAR 52N 156W AT 954 MB EARLY MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ351-240230-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 TO 35 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING S 15 TO 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT.

$$

PKZ352-240230-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 25 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT.

$$
6 follow-up statements
072 
FZAK61 PAFC 240008
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
308 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-241415-
308 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
LATE OVERNIGHT AND WEAKENS THROUGH SUN. A NEW FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN
GULF LATE SUN NIGHT AND MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF EARLY MON. THE
ASSOCIATED 954 MB LOW NEAR 53N 156W MON MORNING MOVES TO 55N 158W
AT 957 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ351-241415-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
308 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 13 TO 18
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 16 TO 23 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 19 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT.

$$

PKZ352-241415-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
308 PM AKST SAT JAN 23 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 TO 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 29 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 15 TO 27 FT.

$$
546 
FZAK61 PAFC 241256
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
356 AM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-250215-
356 AM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A 953 MB LOW NEAR 49N 157W THIS AFTERNOON WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR
CHIGNIK AT 959 MB MON AFTERNOON. A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE NORTH
GULF COAST WILL WEAKEN THROUGH THIS EVENING. ANOTHER FRONT WILL
ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF THIS EVENING AND MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ351-250215-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
356 AM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT BECOMING SE 30 TO 40 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 TO 25 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 TO 21 FT.

$$

PKZ352-250215-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
356 AM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 28 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 26 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 17 TO 22 FT.

$$
897 
FZAK61 PAFC 250004
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-251415-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHWEST GULF WILL MOVE TO THE NORTH GULF
COAST EARLY MON MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED 953 MB LOW NEAR 50N 156W
WILL MOVE TO 56N 158W AT 959 MB MON AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE INTO 
BRISTOL BAY MON NIGHT AT 962 MB.

$$

PKZ351-251415-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 TO 25 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 TO 24 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ352-251415-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
304 PM AKST SUN JAN 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 29 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 TO 25 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 TO 24 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.

$$
387 
FZAK61 PAFC 251228
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-260245-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST DISSIPATES MON MORNING. A 953
MB LOW NEAR 54N 156W WILL MOVE INTO THE BERING MON NIGHT AT 959
MB. A STRONG FRONT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-260245-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 23 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 TO 50 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 TO 24 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ352-260245-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
328 AM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 29 FT BUILDING TO 21 TO
28 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 30 TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 TO 23 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 TO 24 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 16 TO 23 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.

$$
786 
FZAK61 PAFC 260001
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
301 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-261400-
301 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...
A 956 MB LOW NEAR 56N 158W WILL CROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
MOVE INTO THE EASTERN BERING TONIGHT AT 957 MB. A STRONG FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF TUE AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO THE
NORTHERN GULF TUE NIGHT. THE FRONT WILL THEN WEAKEN THROUGH WED
ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST.

$$

PKZ351-261400-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
301 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 TO 22 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 TO 22 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ352-261400-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
301 PM AKST MON JAN 25 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 TO 45 KT BECOMING SE 20 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 TO 21 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 TO 20 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 17 TO 23 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 21 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$
981 
FZAK61 PAFC 261242
OFFAER

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
342 AM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF ALASKA WEST OF 144W

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ399-270230-
342 AM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA...

A STRONG FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF TUE
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVE TO THE NORTHERN GULF TUE NIGHT. THE FRONT
WILL THEN WEAKEN AND DISSIPATE THROUGH WED ALONG THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST. A 960 MB LOW NEAR 54N 149W WED AFTERNOON MOVES TO 58N
150W AT 967 MB LATE WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ351-270230-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE NORTH OF 57N AND WEST OF 144W-
342 AM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 TO 21 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 22 TO 32 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 18 TO 25 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 TO 22 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.

$$

PKZ352-270230-
GULF OF ALASKA OFFSHORE SOUTH OF 57N NORTH OF 55N AND WEST OF
144W-
342 AM AKST TUE JAN 26 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S TO E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 25 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 TO 50 KT BECOMING SE 20 TO 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 TO 32 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 TO 22 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 16 TO 22 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 TO 22 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 22, 4:29 PM AKST, 10 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 22, 4:29 PM AKST, 10 hours 57 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
429 PM AKST FRI JAN 22 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

A RATHER WEAK PATTERN IS CURRENTLY IN PLACE ACROSS THE STATE OF
ALASKA...WITH A BROAD LOW THAT STRETCHES ACROSS THE BERING...AND A
WEAK UPPER LOW CENTERED IN THE GULF OF ALASKA. A FEW UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES ARE ROTATING THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA...AND
SUPPORTING LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND TODAY. THE
UPPER LEVEL JET IS LOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTH IN THE PACIFIC...AND
PROVIDING LITTLE SUPPORT FOR THE INTENSIFICATION OF EITHER LOW
AND ALSO IS NOT TAPPING INTO A RICH MOISTURE SUPPLY. AT THE
SURFACE...A DISSIPATING LOW IS CENTERED IN THE GULF OF
ALASKA...WHILE A MORE ORGANIZED LOW IS CENTERED SOUTHEAST OF THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT IS CURRENTLY APPROACHING
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BUT IS DISSIPATING AND STALLING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

IN THE SHORT TERM MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT ON THE NORTHWEST
TRAJECTORY OF A NORTH PACIFIC LOW TRACKING SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND AND
ACROSS THE AKPEN. THE CANADIAN MODEL CONTINUES TO TRACK THE LOW
NORTH OF KODIAK...AND IS AN OUTLIER. AS A RESULT...A BLEND OF THE
GFS AND ECMWF WAS FAVORED FOR THE SHORT TERM. IN THE MEDIUM TO
LONG TERM...MODELS REMAIN IN ABOVE AVERAGE AGREEMENT AS A NORTH
PACIFIC LOW RAPIDLY DEVELOPS AND PROGRESSES TOWARDS THE ALASKA
PENINSULA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

MULTIPLE WEAK LOW PRESSURE CENTERS IN THE GULF OF ALASKA ARE
ROTATING AROUND THE SUPPORTING UPPER LEVEL LOW WITH AN OVERALL
TRAJECTORY TOWARD THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY. THE JET REMAINS SOUTH OF THE GULF THEN TURNS NORTH INTO
THE EASTERN GULF AND THIS WILL SERVE TO HOLD THE WARM MOIST FLOW
OVER THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN RAIN ALONG
THE COAST WITH A TRANSITION TO SNOW INLAND AND AT HIGHER
ELEVATION ON THE GULF SIDE MOUNTAINS. THE CROSS BARRIER FLOW OVER
THE MOUNTAINS WILL RESULT IN THE TYPICAL DOWN SLOPE DRYING SERVING
TO MINIMIZE PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE
MOUNTAINS. COLD ADVECTION OUT OF THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL HELP
MAINTAIN STRONGER WINDS THROUGH THOMPSON PASS. THE LACK OF
TRANSPORTABLE SNOW ELIMINATES THE CONCERN FOR ANY SIGNIFICANT
REDUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY DUE TO BLOWING SNOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A SERIES OF NORTH PACIFIC LOWS WILL LIFT NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHWEST
ALASKA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...BRINGING AN END TO THE DRY
OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN. THE FIRST SYSTEM WILL MOVE IN
TONIGHT...SPREADING SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY REGION
BEFORE IT LIFTS NORTHWARD...BECOMING MORE SCATTERED AS IT TRACKS
INTO THE DELTA AND LOWER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL
GENERALLY BE LIGHT...BUT LOCALIZED BANDING ALONG THE ALASKA
PENINSULA THIS EVENING MAY RESULT IN LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. A
STRONGER LOW WITH WARMER AIR WILL MOVE IN SATURDAY EVENING AND
SUNDAY...BRINGING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW. SOUTHEAST FLOW IN THE
LOWER LEVELS WILL TEND TO RESULT IN A DOWNSLOPE PATTERN SO
PRECIPITATION WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY HEAVY OR CONCENTRATED AND
WILL FAVOR LOCATIONS AWAY FROM THE MOUNTAINS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

WITH A BROAD LOW OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND A GENERAL EAST TO
NORTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SUNDAY ACROSS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. WEAK LOWS FORMING
ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WILL SUPPORT INCREASING SHOWER
THREATS OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...WHILE A STRONGER AND MORE
ORGANIZED GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS ON
SATURDAY...WITH ANOTHER GALE FORCE LOW MOVING IN SUNDAY EVENING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST LOOKS LIKE A RINSE AND REPEAT OF THE PATTERN
WE HAVE BEEN IN OVER THE PAST COUPLE MONTHS NOW. THE JET STREAM
REMAINS WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS WITH THE PREDOMINANT
STORM TRACK CONTINUING TO BE SOUTH OF THE CHAIN...BENDING INTO THE
GULF. A DISTURBANCE IN THE FLOW WILL AMPLIFY AND MOVE INTO THE
GULF AS A STRONG/COMPACT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM TOWARD THE ALASKA
PENINSULA/KODIAK ISLAND AREA. THE ATTENDANT FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE NORTHERN GULF ON MONDAY BRINGING RAIN TO COASTAL AREAS WITH
SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS...BUT THE SYSTEM AS A WHOLE WILL BE
WEAKENING AT THIS POINT.

A STRONGER EXTENSION OF THE EAST ASIAN JET WILL PUSH ACROSS THE
PACIFIC LATE SUNDAY NIGHT. A BROAD UPPER LOW CENTER WILL COME
ALONG FOR THE RIDE AND SHIFT INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA. THE SYSTEM
WILL DO MOST OF ITS STRENGTHENING WELL SOUTH OF THE GULF...SENDING
A FRONT TOWARD THE SOUTHCENTRAL TOWARD THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN RIGHT AROUND NORMAL WITH BELOW NORMAL
PRECIPITATION FOR INLAND AREAS AND OCCASIONAL PRECIPITATION ALONG
THE COAST. WINDS WILL REMAIN GENERALLY LIGHT INLAND WITH A COUPLE
GALE FORCE FRONTS THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES 119 120 130 131 132.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...ML

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 22, 3:17 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Jan 22, 3:17 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Jan 22, 3:19 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Jan 23, 3:26 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Jan 23, 3:36 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 23, 3:36 AM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC12 hr
Jan 23, 9:06 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC67 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.