Small Craft Advisory 662, NWS Anchorage, AK

317 
FZAK51 PAFC 202359
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211300-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE GULF THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. A
FRONT MOVES EAST INTO THE WESTERN GULF SUN AND PERSISTS THROUGH
MON. A SECOND FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF BY SUN EVENING AND
MOVES NORTH TO THE NORTH GULF COAST BY LATE MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-211300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-211300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-211300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-211300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-211300-
PORT VALDEZ-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-211300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-211300-
VALDEZ ARM-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-211300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-211300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 5
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-211300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-211300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-211300-
CHINIAK BAY-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-211300-
MARMOT BAY-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-211300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-211300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-211300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
359 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

022 
FZAK51 PAFC 210400 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211615-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

WEAK HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE GULF THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. A
FRONT MOVES EAST INTO THE WESTERN GULF SUN AND PERSISTS THROUGH
MON. A SECOND FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF BY SUN EVENING AND
MOVES NORTH TO THE NORTH GULF COAST BY LATE MON MORNING.

$$

PKZ119-211615-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-211615-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-211615-
RESURRECTION BAY-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-211615-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-211615-
PORT VALDEZ-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-211615-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-211615-
VALDEZ ARM-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-211615-
PASSAGE CANAL-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-211615-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-211615-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-211615-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-211615-
CHINIAK BAY-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-211615-
MARMOT BAY-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-211615-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-211615-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-211615-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211615-
KACHEMAK BAY-
800 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

348 
FZAK51 PAFC 211152
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220100-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF SUN THEN MOVES TO THE CENTRAL
GULF BY MON NIGHT. A SECOND FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF BY SUN
EVENING AND MOVES NORTH TO THE NORTH GULF COAST MON MORNING...THEN
STALLS THERE THROUGH LATE MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-220100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 40 KT NEAR THE COAST. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ120-220100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-220100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT OR LESS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-220100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-220100-
PORT VALDEZ-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.

$$

PKZ127-220100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-220100-
VALDEZ ARM-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. 
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ129-220100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-220100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-220100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-220100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 
10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-220100-
CHINIAK BAY-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-220100-
MARMOT BAY-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-220100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-220100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-220100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT EARLY THIS MORNING. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-220100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
352 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...STRONGEST
ALONG THE OUTER BAY. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

993 
FZAK51 PAFC 212356
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221245-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT IN THE WESTERN GULF MOVES TO THE CENTRAL GULF BY MON
MORNING. A SECOND FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE TONIGHT AND
MOVES NORTH TO THE NORTH GULF COAST MON AFTERNOON...THEN STALLS
THROUGH TUE.

$$

PKZ119-221245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 40 KT NEAR THE COAST. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT BECOMING 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE WIND 30 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221245-
PORT VALDEZ-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221245-
VALDEZ ARM-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 20 KT. 
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT EARLY INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT DURING THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NE 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SE. SEAS 5 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT EARLY DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221245-
CHINIAK BAY-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ137-221245-
MARMOT BAY-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
356 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

719 
FZAK51 PAFC 221141
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230015-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF BY
MIDDAY...THEN STALLS AND DISSIPATES BY EARLY TUE MORNING. WEAK
TROUGHS OF LOW PRESSURE CONTINUE MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH THE 
GULF THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-230015-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE INCREASING TO 40 KT NEAR 
THE COAST. GUSTS TO 50 KT THROUGH CHANNELED AREAS ALONG THE 
COAST IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-230015-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-230015-
RESURRECTION BAY-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT EARLY. SEAS 3 FT. 
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-230015-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-230015-
PORT VALDEZ-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. 
SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-230015-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-230015-
VALDEZ ARM-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-230015-
PASSAGE CANAL-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-230015-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-230015-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-230015-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-230015-
CHINIAK BAY-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.

$$

PKZ137-230015-
MARMOT BAY-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-230015-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S TO 15 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-230015-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT BY LATE EVENING. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-230015-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-230015-
KACHEMAK BAY-
341 AM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
424 PM AKDT FRI AUG 19 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The upper level low responsible for active weather the past few
days is still draped over the area. It stretches from the north
gulf coast southwestward well into the northern Pacific Ocean. The
jet associated with it is pointed at the Panhandle, while the last
disturbance aloft is sliding eastward toward that area as well. A
stout closed upper high pressure system is sitting over the
northwest Pacific with a ridge axis stretching northeastward into
southwest Alaska. The more active jet stream is coming in from
the southwest over the Kamchatka Peninsula, complete with a
bountiful stream of moisture all the way into northern Alaska. A
frontal boundary draped from the Bering Strait southward through
the Central Aleutians. This front is the boundary between the
airmass left over from the previous trough, and the much warmer
airmass underneath the ridge.

Southcentral Alaska currently is between all these features with
the upper level low exiting and the ridge not quite here yet.
Plentiful moisture is left over in the low to mid levels to help
with shower activity today, but activity is in the isolated range
so far today.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Guidance remains in lockstep with the evolution of the upcoming
pattern both aloft and at the surface. The general setup is the
incoming east Asian jet will push the Bering Sea frontal boundary
across the eastern Bering onto the mainland. While the large scale
pattern is well agreed upon some of the small scale disturbances
and fronts moving into the gulf differ in timing/strength by the
weekend and beyond.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The weakening upper level trough stretching from the southwest to
northern Gulf will continue east tonight with flat ridging
building in over southcentral Alaska from the west. With the
building ridge, convection should die down pretty quickly later
this evening with partial clearing overnight. The question,
however will be what fills in the areas where the skies do
clear...patchy valley fog or a low stratus deck. Southerly flow up
Cook Inland and into the Susitna Valley with some very marginal
lift would tend to favor stratus...especially near the water, while
more protected inland valleys would be more susceptive to
radiative fog if they get enough clearing.

The next rather wet frontal system will approach from the west
Saturday with clouds and the leading edge of the precipitation
spreading into the northern Susitna Valley in the afternoon. Rain
will become widespread overnight Saturday night then heavy at
times Sunday. The heaviest rain will likely fall along Kodiak
Island, coastal areas of the eastern Kenai Peninsula, eastern
Prince William Sound and up the Susitna Valley where southerly
flow aloft will funnel moisture. Southeasterly gap winds will
increase through Turnagain Arm and other similarly oriented
valleys as will as into the Copper River Basin Saturday night and
Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
The low that has been near the Alaska Peninsula will slowly drift
off to the east as weak ridging builds in from the west. This
ridging will allow for fog formation around Bristol Bay tonight
that will be aided by weak onshore southwest flow. The ridging
will also help briefly clear out some of the rain but that will be
short lived as the next system will move in Saturday and bring
steady rain through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
Ridging over the western Bering will swing south and east
throughout the day as the next system makes its way into the
Bering from the west. This system has a strong push of warm air
that has helped enhance the inversion over the western Aleutians
bringing dense fog to the area. As the warm air eventually moves
south conditions will improve, but patchy fog will remain through
Saturday. This system will also bring more rain to the Aleutians
Saturday that will last through the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
An active weather pattern continues to headline the extended
forecast for later this weekend through the later next week. A
broad upper level trough will dig southward and encompass the
Central and Eastern Bering/Aleutians, and eastward over Southwest
Mainland beginning Sunday. This trough will begin to elongate and
stall on Monday, with its trough axis persisting over the
Southwest Coast and Alaska Peninsula through mid week, and briefly
splitting the energy north and south on Tuesday night. Models are
now coming into better agreement with the GFS's initial solution
of bringing the southern portion of this energy back northward and
reinforcing the broad upper level trough over the Eastern half of
the Bering and Southern Mainland by Wednesday night. The GFS and
EC and now both showing a stronger system forming at the surface
and coinciding with the northward moving energy mentioned above,
but given the consistent shifting in the model solutions over the
past few runs, confidence still remains lower. The preferred GFS
solution shows this surface low and associated front tracking into
the Southern Mainland and Gulf Wednesday night, bringing more
rainy and windy conditions to the Southern Mainland through the
end of the week.

A second system will enter the Western Bering early Thursday
morning, flattening out the ridging over the area and bringing
another round of wet weather to the area as it crosses through
the Bering and into the eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula by
the end of the week.

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ML
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...PEPE