Gale Warning 479, NWS Anchorage, AK

806 
FZAK52 PAFC 202327
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-211245-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1000 MB LOW 150 NM NORTH OF MEKORYUK INTENSIFIES TO 997 MB
TONIGHT AS IT MOVES INLAND NEAR CAPE ROMANZOFF. A WEATHER FRONT
ENTERS THE NORTHERN BERING SUN NIGHT AND REACHES THE ALEUTIANS MON
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-211245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ155-211245-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-211245-
BRISTOL BAY-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-211245-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-211245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-211245-
UNALASKA BAY-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-211245-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ173-211245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-211245-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ175-211245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-211245-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ177-211245-
ADAK TO KISKA-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-211245-
KISKA TO ATTU-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-211245-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-211245-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-211245-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-211245-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
327 PM AKDT SAT AUG 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... NE 20 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

581 
FZAK52 PAFC 211147
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-220115-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 995 MB LOW 50 NM NORTH OF EMMONAK MOVES INLAND TO 75 NM NORTH OF
TOGIAK AT 992 MB LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVES TO 50 NM SOUTH OF CAPE
NEWENHAM AT 999 MB LATE MON NIGHT. A FRONT ENTERS THE NORTHERN
AND WESTERN BERING SUN NIGHT...REACHES THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS MON
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING AND ALEUTIANS BY
LATE MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-220115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ155-220115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ160-220115-
BRISTOL BAY-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ165-220115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ170-220115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-220115-
UNALASKA BAY-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-220115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ173-220115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ174-220115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ175-220115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-220115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ177-220115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-220115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ179-220115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-220115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-220115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-220115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
347 AM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

180 
FZAK52 PAFC 212346
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-221300-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A TROUGH IN THE NORTHWESTERN BERING SEA MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
BERING SEA MON AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATES. A FRONT ENTERS THE
FAR WESTERN BERING SEA TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-221300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ155-221300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ160-221300-
BRISTOL BAY-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ165-221300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-221300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ171-221300-
UNALASKA BAY-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-221300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ173-221300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ174-221300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ175-221300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ176-221300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-221300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ178-221300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ179-221300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-221300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-221300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-221300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
346 PM AKDT SUN AUG 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
424 PM AKDT FRI AUG 19 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The upper level low responsible for active weather the past few
days is still draped over the area. It stretches from the north
gulf coast southwestward well into the northern Pacific Ocean. The
jet associated with it is pointed at the Panhandle, while the last
disturbance aloft is sliding eastward toward that area as well. A
stout closed upper high pressure system is sitting over the
northwest Pacific with a ridge axis stretching northeastward into
southwest Alaska. The more active jet stream is coming in from
the southwest over the Kamchatka Peninsula, complete with a
bountiful stream of moisture all the way into northern Alaska. A
frontal boundary draped from the Bering Strait southward through
the Central Aleutians. This front is the boundary between the
airmass left over from the previous trough, and the much warmer
airmass underneath the ridge.

Southcentral Alaska currently is between all these features with
the upper level low exiting and the ridge not quite here yet.
Plentiful moisture is left over in the low to mid levels to help
with shower activity today, but activity is in the isolated range
so far today.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Guidance remains in lockstep with the evolution of the upcoming
pattern both aloft and at the surface. The general setup is the
incoming east Asian jet will push the Bering Sea frontal boundary
across the eastern Bering onto the mainland. While the large scale
pattern is well agreed upon some of the small scale disturbances
and fronts moving into the gulf differ in timing/strength by the
weekend and beyond.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The weakening upper level trough stretching from the southwest to
northern Gulf will continue east tonight with flat ridging
building in over southcentral Alaska from the west. With the
building ridge, convection should die down pretty quickly later
this evening with partial clearing overnight. The question,
however will be what fills in the areas where the skies do
clear...patchy valley fog or a low stratus deck. Southerly flow up
Cook Inland and into the Susitna Valley with some very marginal
lift would tend to favor stratus...especially near the water, while
more protected inland valleys would be more susceptive to
radiative fog if they get enough clearing.

The next rather wet frontal system will approach from the west
Saturday with clouds and the leading edge of the precipitation
spreading into the northern Susitna Valley in the afternoon. Rain
will become widespread overnight Saturday night then heavy at
times Sunday. The heaviest rain will likely fall along Kodiak
Island, coastal areas of the eastern Kenai Peninsula, eastern
Prince William Sound and up the Susitna Valley where southerly
flow aloft will funnel moisture. Southeasterly gap winds will
increase through Turnagain Arm and other similarly oriented
valleys as will as into the Copper River Basin Saturday night and
Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA...
The low that has been near the Alaska Peninsula will slowly drift
off to the east as weak ridging builds in from the west. This
ridging will allow for fog formation around Bristol Bay tonight
that will be aided by weak onshore southwest flow. The ridging
will also help briefly clear out some of the rain but that will be
short lived as the next system will move in Saturday and bring
steady rain through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...
Ridging over the western Bering will swing south and east
throughout the day as the next system makes its way into the
Bering from the west. This system has a strong push of warm air
that has helped enhance the inversion over the western Aleutians
bringing dense fog to the area. As the warm air eventually moves
south conditions will improve, but patchy fog will remain through
Saturday. This system will also bring more rain to the Aleutians
Saturday that will last through the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
An active weather pattern continues to headline the extended
forecast for later this weekend through the later next week. A
broad upper level trough will dig southward and encompass the
Central and Eastern Bering/Aleutians, and eastward over Southwest
Mainland beginning Sunday. This trough will begin to elongate and
stall on Monday, with its trough axis persisting over the
Southwest Coast and Alaska Peninsula through mid week, and briefly
splitting the energy north and south on Tuesday night. Models are
now coming into better agreement with the GFS's initial solution
of bringing the southern portion of this energy back northward and
reinforcing the broad upper level trough over the Eastern half of
the Bering and Southern Mainland by Wednesday night. The GFS and
EC and now both showing a stronger system forming at the surface
and coinciding with the northward moving energy mentioned above,
but given the consistent shifting in the model solutions over the
past few runs, confidence still remains lower. The preferred GFS
solution shows this surface low and associated front tracking into
the Southern Mainland and Gulf Wednesday night, bringing more
rainy and windy conditions to the Southern Mainland through the
end of the week.

A second system will enter the Western Bering early Thursday
morning, flattening out the ridging over the area and bringing
another round of wet weather to the area as it crosses through
the Bering and into the eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula by
the end of the week.

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ML
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JR
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...PEPE