Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 6, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 2, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 2, 2016, 3:45 AM AKST. It was in force for 35 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 2, 2016, 3:45 AM AKST (12:45 UTC)
Expired
Jan 3, 2016, 3:02 PM AKST
In force
35 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

463 
FZAK51 PAFC 021245
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030115-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL MOVE INLAND SAT MORNING.
A FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE SAT NIGHT WILL BECOME STATIONARY
IN THE CENTRAL GULF SUN THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-030115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-030115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-030115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-030115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-030115-
PORT VALDEZ-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-030115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-030115-
VALDEZ ARM-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-030115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-030115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-030115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-030115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-030115-
CHINIAK BAY-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-030115-
MARMOT BAY-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-030115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-030115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-030115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-030115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
345 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
6 follow-up statements
583 
FZAK51 PAFC 021548 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

UPDATED ZONES 126 127 130 138 139 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP
TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030430-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL MOVE INLAND SAT MORNING.
A FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE SAT NIGHT WILL BECOME STATIONARY
IN THE CENTRAL GULF SUN THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-030430-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-030430-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-030430-
RESURRECTION BAY-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-030430-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-030430-
PORT VALDEZ-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-030430-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-030430-
VALDEZ ARM-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-030430-
PASSAGE CANAL-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-030430-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-030430-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-030430-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-030430-
CHINIAK BAY-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-030430-
MARMOT BAY-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-030430-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-030430-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-030430-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-030430-
KACHEMAK BAY-
648 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
638 
FZAK51 PAFC 022041 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030445-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL MOVE INLAND SAT MORNING.
A FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE SAT NIGHT WILL BECOME STATIONARY
IN THE CENTRAL GULF SUN THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-030445-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-030445-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ121-030445-
RESURRECTION BAY-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN.  
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-030445-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-030445-
PORT VALDEZ-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-030445-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-030445-
VALDEZ ARM-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-030445-
PASSAGE CANAL-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT AND SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-030445-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 50 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
16 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ131-030445-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ132-030445-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-030445-
CHINIAK BAY-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-030445-
MARMOT BAY-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ138-030445-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-030445-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-030445-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.  SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.  
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-030445-
KACHEMAK BAY-
1141 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$
653 
FZAK51 PAFC 030024
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031345-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 969 MB LOW OVER WESTERN MAINLAND ALASKA MOVES NORTH AND WEAKENS
SUN. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 40 NM SOUTHWEST OF CHIGNIK AT
972 MB MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-031345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-031345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-031345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-031345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT DURING THE EARLY
EVENING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-031345-
PORT VALDEZ-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-031345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-031345-
VALDEZ ARM-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-031345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-031345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-031345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-031345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ136-031345-
CHINIAK BAY-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ137-031345-
MARMOT BAY-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-031345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-031345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-031345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-031345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
324 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
913 
FZAK51 PAFC 031213
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040115-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE THIS MORNING MOVES TO
THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN GULF BY THIS EVENING. ANOTHER WEATHER
FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF MON EVENING AND MOVES TO THE
NORTHERN GULF MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-040115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-040115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-040115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-040115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-040115-
PORT VALDEZ-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-040115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-040115-
VALDEZ ARM-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-040115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-040115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-040115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-040115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ136-040115-
CHINIAK BAY-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-040115-
MARMOT BAY-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-040115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-040115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-040115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-040115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
313 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
284 
FZAK51 PAFC 031602 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

UPDATED ZONES 125 127 128 130 131 132 137 138 139 140 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040445-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEATHER FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF LATE THIS MORNING MOVES TO
THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN GULF BY THIS EVENING. ANOTHER WEATHER
FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF MON EVENING AND MOVES TO THE
NORTHERN GULF MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-040445-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ120-040445-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ121-040445-
RESURRECTION BAY-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-040445-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-040445-
PORT VALDEZ-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-040445-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-040445-
VALDEZ ARM-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-040445-
PASSAGE CANAL-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-040445-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO NE 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT DURING THE MORNING.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-040445-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO NE 50 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 50 KT BECOMING E 35 KT DURING THE MORNING. 
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-040445-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ136-040445-
CHINIAK BAY-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-040445-
MARMOT BAY-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ138-040445-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-040445-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E WIND 25 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT. 
SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-040445-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT AND MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-040445-
KACHEMAK BAY-
702 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$
060 
FZAK51 PAFC 040002
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041315-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT IN THE SOUTHERN GULF MOVES TO THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN
GULF OVERNIGHT AND REMAINS STATIONARY THROUGH MON NIGHT...THEN
DISSIPATES TUE. ANOTHER FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF MON
NIGHT AND MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE.

$$

PKZ119-041315-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT...EXCEPT 12 FT
NEAR THE COAST. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ120-041315-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT
NEAR THE COAST. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-041315-
RESURRECTION BAY-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT...SEAS HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ125-041315-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-041315-
PORT VALDEZ-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. DENSE FOG.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-041315-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-041315-
VALDEZ ARM-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-041315-
PASSAGE CANAL-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-041315-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ131-041315-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21
FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ132-041315-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT...EXCEPT E 25 KT S OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ136-041315-
CHINIAK BAY-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ137-041315-
MARMOT BAY-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ138-041315-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ139-041315-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-041315-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-041315-
KACHEMAK BAY-
302 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 1, 4:52 PM AKST, 10 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 1, 4:52 PM AKST, 10 hours 53 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
452 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

CORRECTION TO THE ANALYSIS MODEL DISCUSSION

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AS A BLOCKING RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
AND EASTERN ALASKA...THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND
SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA REMAINS ACTIVE. A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW SITS
JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA...EMBEDDED IN THE BASE OF A
NEGATIVELY TILTED LONGWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM EASTERN RUSSIA
THROUGH THE NORTH PACIFIC. A CLASSIC OCCLUDED CYCLONE PATTERN IS
VISIBLE ON THE SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING WITH THE WARM
CONVEYOR BELT AND SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD OVER
THE GULF OF ALASKA AND WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW THROUGH
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA AND DOWN INTO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS. WEAK UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES IN THE ONSHORE FLOW OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA HAS KEPT SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN GULF COAST THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW EXTENDS FROM THE LOW
CENTER TO OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA...SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND...AND
THEN EXTENDS SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. GUSTY SURFACE
WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE STATE ARE RAMPING UP IN
ADVANCE OF THE FRONT AS THE LOW PUSHES NORTHWARD...WITH WINDS IN
KAMISHAK GAP AND AROUND KODIAK ISLAND ALREADY GUSTING TO STORM
FORCE. UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE
CYCLONE IS SUPPORTING SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
EASTERN BERING AS WELL AS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. THE SHOWERS ARE
HEAVIEST IN REGIONS OF ENHANCED UPLIFT IN UPSLOPE FLOW OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS.

THE DRY SLOT CAN BE SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY WRAPPING AROUND THE
CYCLONE BEHIND THE FRONT JUST SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND AND OVER THE
SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA. GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE
CYCLONE IS PULLING COLDER AIR ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE CYCLONE DOWN
THROUGH THE BERING SEA AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODEL AGREEMENT IS FAIRLY GOOD IN THE SHORT TERM. AS THE LOW
MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY THE FRONT WILL PUSH NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
GULF...REACHING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK OF THE LOW AND THE
TIMING OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT...HOWEVER
SLIGHT DIFFERENCES ARISE IN PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES ONSHORE.
THE QPF DIFFERENCES ARE IN PART DUE TO A SLIGHT DIFFERING IN THE
DEGREE OF DOWNSLOPING THAT WILL OCCUR OVER ANCHORAGE AND THE
WESTERN KENAI IN THE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW REGIME. THE EC IN
PARTICULAR MINIMIZES THE DOWNSLOPING AND BRINGS THE MOST QPF TO
ANCHORAGE AND THE WESTERN KENAI WHILE THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS
KEEP THE QPF IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS MUCH LIGHTER. THE NAM
SEEMS TO CAPTURES THE BETTER DYNAMICS AND WAS THE MODEL OF CHOICE
FOR THE SHORT TERM OVER SOUTHCENTRAL. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK OF THE LOW SATURDAY AS THE CYCLONE
PROGRESSES NORTHWESTWARD TO THE BERING SEA BY SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH
RESOLUTION MODELS WERE FAVORED FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECAST AND
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE SHORT TERM IS HIGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE WEATHER FRONT HAS JUST CLEARED KODIAK ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL BE MARCHING NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT...REACHING THE NORTH GULF
COAST IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE ASSOCIATED LOW CENTER HAS
REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND IS NOW WEAKENING AND MOVING NORTHWEST
INTO THE BERING SEA. STRONG WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED AS EXPECTED ALL
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...WITH A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS COOK INLET CURRENTLY BENDING THE ACCELERATED TURNAGAIN ARM
WIND SOUTHWARD AND AWAY FROM ANCHORAGE. THIS STORM IS TURNING OUT
TO BE A BIT MORE IMPRESSIVE THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED...AND AS A
RESULT EXPECT WINDS AROUND CORDOVA AND EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM TO BE
A BIT STRONGER THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT SHOULD STILL GENERALLY
STAY JUST BELOW WARNING LEVELS. A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THOMPSON PASS AND IS DEVELOPING AS EXPECTED. IN
FACT...MODELS HAVE INCREASED PRECIPITATION/SNOWFALL AMOUNTS EVEN
MORE AS A VERY ROBUST 150+ KT SOUTHERLY JET PROPELS DEEP
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO MAINLAND ALASKA.

ONCE THE FRONT PASSES THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THE COOK
INLET PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BECOME MUCH MORE FAVORABLE TO GUSTY
WINDS TO PUSH BACK INTO ANCHORAGE AND THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...AT
WHICH POINT TEMPERATURES SHOULD JUMP UP INTO THE UPPER 30S AGAIN.
SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT IN THE AIRMASS MOVING INTO
SOUTHERN ALASKA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WOULD NOT BE AT
ALL SURPRISED TO SEE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE GULF OF
ALASKA AND COASTAL AREAS ACCOMPANYING VERY HEAVY PRECIPITATION. IN
AREAS THAT STAY COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW...ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATING SNOW IS LIKELY...MAINLY THROUGH THOMPSON PASS AND
PERHAPS TURNAGAIN PASS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A VERY IMPRESSIVE STORM FORCE LOW IS IMPACTING THE REGION THIS
EVENING...SPREADING RAIN ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY REGION...WITH SNOW
FARTHER NORTH TOWARD THE DELTA. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL MAINLY
IMPACT THE BRISTOL BAY AND KUSKOKWIM DELTA...WITH SOME MINOR AREAS
OF BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE COAST OF THE DELTA. THIS LOW WILL LIFT
NORTH THROUGH SATURDAY...INITIALLY BRINGING IN WARMER SOUTHEAST
WINDS BEFORE THE FLOW TURNS AROUND AND BECOMES ONSHORE AND
SOUTHWESTERLY ON SATURDAY NIGHT. RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW WILL BE
RATHER WIDESPREAD AS THE FLOW BECOMES ONSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT.
ANOTHER PACIFIC FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE MAIN STORY IN THE BERING SEA WILL BE A NORTH PACIFIC LOW
CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA TRACKING NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING SEA. THIS WILL SPREAD GALE FORCE
WINDS AND RAIN...MIXED WITH SOME SNOW ACROSS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS.
ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING SEA...WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP SNOW
SHOWERS OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THERE HAS NOT BEEN A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE EXPECTED PATTERN
OR METEOROLOGICAL REASONING IN THE MID TO LONG TERM FORECAST.
THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST...THE POLAR JET IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION ALONG 35-40N. AT THE START OF DAY
3...THE 970 MB LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL BEGIN TO ELONGATE
AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA COAST WHILE
THE RIDGE SPANNING FROM THE BEAUFORT SEA SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
WESTERN NORTH AMERICAN COAST HOLDS STEADY IN PLACE. THIS PATTERN
WILL BRING A LONG FETCH OF SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER MOST OF SOUTHERN
ALASKA...KEEPING THE REGION IN A RELATIVELY WARM AND MOIST PATTERN
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...GLOBAL MODELS ARE COMING INTO SLIGHTLY BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH DEVELOPING A LOW SOUTH OF SHEMYA. AS EXPECTED WITH
THIS PATTERN AND AT THE EXTENDED TIME FRAME...DIFFERENCES REMAIN
BETWEEN MODELS WITH THE STRENGTH AND LOCATION WITH THIS LOW. THE
GFS BRINGING A LOW CLOSER TO THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN WHILE THE ECMWF
BRINGS ONE LOW WESTWARD ALONG THE POLAR JET AT ABOUT 45N WHILE
BRINGING A SECOND WEAKER LOW OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA....WHICH
THE GFS NEGLECTS.

WITH THIS IN MIND...THE EXTENDED FORECAST ONCE AGAIN RELIED HEAVY
ON WPC GUIDANCE WITH A MIX OF THE ECMWF ON DAY 4 TO ACCOUNT MORE
FOR THE IMPACTS OF THE ELONGATED LOW ALONG THE WESTERN COAST. ON
DAY 3...A BLEND OF THE NAM AND ECMWF ALONG WITH THE EXISTING
FORECAST WAS USED AS MODELS WERE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT AT THIS
TIME FRAME.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING THOMPSON PASS (131). FLOOD ADVISORY
ANCHOR POINT (121)
MARINE...STORMS 119 125. GALES 120 129 130 131 132 136 137 138
139 150 155 160 170 171 172 180 185 351 352. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...RF

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 1, 3:19 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Jan 1, 3:19 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 1, 3:36 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Jan 1, 3:36 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Jan 1, 3:36 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Jan 2, 3:26 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC35 hr
Jan 2, 6:48 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC9 hr
Jan 2, 6:48 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC9 hr
Jan 2, 7:34 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC44 hr
Jan 2, 11:41 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.