Small Craft Advisory 3, NWS Anchorage, AK

744 
FZAK52 PAFC 021226
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-030115-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 962 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF CAPE NEWENHAM MOVES TO NEAR THE
EASTERN TIP OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND AT 977 MB LATE SAT
NIGHT...REFORMS 75 NM SOUTH OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND MIDDAY SUN AT
982 MB...THEN REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY AT 984 MB LATE SUN NIGHT.
A FRONT MOVES TO NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA EARLY SUN
MORNING...THEN MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING BY SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-030115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-030115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-030115-
BRISTOL BAY-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-030115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-030115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-030115-
UNALASKA BAY-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-030115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-030115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-030115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-030115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-030115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-030115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-030115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY FROM SHEMYA W.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-030115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-030115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-030115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-030115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
326 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND IN THE MORNING.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

791 
FZAK52 PAFC 021634 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

UPDATED ZONES 150 160 171 180

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM 
OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-030430-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 962 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF CAPE NEWENHAM MOVES TO NEAR THE
EASTERN TIP OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND AT 977 MB LATE SAT
NIGHT...REFORMS 75 NM SOUTH OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND MIDDAY SUN AT
982 MB...THEN REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY AT 984 MB LATE SUN NIGHT.
A FRONT MOVES TO NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA EARLY SUN
MORNING...THEN MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING BY SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-030430-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-030430-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-030430-
BRISTOL BAY-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-030430-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-030430-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-030430-
UNALASKA BAY-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-030430-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-030430-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-030430-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-030430-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-030430-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-030430-
ADAK TO KISKA-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-030430-
KISKA TO ATTU-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY FROM SHEMYA W. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-030430-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-030430-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-030430-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-030430-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

582 
FZAK52 PAFC 030009
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-031230-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 969 MB LOW OVER WESTERN MAINLAND MOVES NORTH AND DISSIPATES SUN.
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 971
MB AND MOVES TO 80 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AND MAINTAINS
STRENGTH.

$$

PKZ150-031230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ155-031230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 13 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO
21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.

$$

PKZ160-031230-
BRISTOL BAY-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-031230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT MOLLER
E...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ170-031230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ171-031230-
UNALASKA BAY-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-031230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ173-031230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ174-031230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ175-031230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ176-031230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ177-031230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-031230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-031230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ180-031230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ181-031230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW WITH
RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ185-031230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
534 AM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE SOUTHWEST
MAINLAND AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. AT THE UPPER LEVELS...THE JET
WHICH HELPED SPREAD COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF SNOW ACROSS THE PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AREA YESTERDAY HAS NOW WEAKENED AND MOVED EASTWARD
OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA AND NORTHWESTERN CANADA. CURRENT SATELLITE
IMAGERY IS SHOWING A SIMILAR JET SETTING UP TO THE SOUTH OF THE
GULF AND TRACKING NORTHWARD...WHICH MEANS WE ARE LIKELY TO STAY
UNDER MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. A BROAD
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STRETCHING OVER MUCH OF THE BERING AND NORTH
PACIFIC CONTINUES TO BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED...AS A VERTICALLY
STACKED LOW ALONG THE BASE OF THE TROUGH BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHWARD
AND APPROACH THE ALASKA PENINSULA. SEVERAL EMBEDDED SHORTWAVES
CONTINUE TO BRING SHOWERY CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PARTS OF
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND...AS SEEN IN CURRENT OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR
IMAGERY.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS REMAIN IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT IN TERMS OF SYNOPTIC
FEATURES...AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE NORTH PACIFIC TRACKS
ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA TONIGHT...AND TOWARDS THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MODELS HAVE IMPROVED SLIGHTLY
WITH REGARDS TO THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THE ASSOCIATED FRONT
ALONG THE GULF COAST LATER TODAY. HOWEVER...THERE ARE STILL SOME
MINOR DIFFERENCES REGARDING HOW LONG THE FRONT STALLS ALONG THE
COAST...AND HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE.
CONDITIONS REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ANOTHER INTENSE PRECIPITATION
EVENT FOR THE AREAS SURROUNDING PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND...AS THIS
SYSTEM PUSHES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LATER TODAY. CURRENTLY
A BLEND OF GFS AND NAM WERE FAVORED FOR THE FORECAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE BEGINNING OF THIS YEAR IS LOOKING A LOT LIKE THE END OF LAST
YEAR AS YET ANOTHER FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE GULF OF ALASKA AND
WILL PUSH ONSHORE TONIGHT. THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES FROM
YESTERDAYS FRONT IN THAT THERE WILL BE MORE DOWNSLOPE OVER THE
CHUGACH MOUNTAINS AND THAT WILL DIMINISH PRECIPITATION IN THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN UNTIL THE FRONT PASSES THROUGH OVERNIGHT
TONIGHT. THOMPSON PASS IS EXPECTED TO GET BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THIS
AFTERNOON INTO LATE TONIGHT WITH THE STRONG WINDS AND SNOWFALL
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FRONT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW IS TRACKING TOWARDS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA THIS EVENING. THIS WILL BRING PRESSURE
GRADIENT DRIVEN NORTHEAST WINDS TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND SCATTERED
SHOWERS. THE LOW WILL ALSO BRING STRONG EASTERLY WINDS THROUGH THE
ALEUTIAN RANGE AND AROUND BRISTOL BAY. AS THE LOW MOVES NORTH
INTO THE BERING OVERNIGHT AND THEN FURTHER NORTH ALONG THE COAST
THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT PRECIPITATION WILL INCREASE WITH MUCH OF
THE AREA AROUND BRISTOL BAY BEING RAIN WITH THE WARM PUSH FROM THE
SOUTH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A BROAD AREA OF WEAK LOW PRESSURE OVER THE BERING WILL GIVE WAY TO
A LOW MOVING INTO THE EASTERN BERING TONIGHT. AS THIS HAPPENS
FLOW ACROSS THE BERING WILL BECOME MORE UNIFORMLY OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST. THIS FLOW WILL LAST THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL
BRING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE AREA WITH LOCATIONS FROM THE CENTRAL
BERING EAST SEEING THE SNOW MIX WITH RAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

A BLOCKING RIDGE ALONG THE WEST COAST OF NORTH AMERICA WILL
PERSIST ON SUNDAY. A SURFACE LOW WELL SOUTH OF THE AKPEN WILL
DEFORM ALONG THE RIDGE INTO AN ELONGATED LOW STRETCHING FROM
BEYOND NUNIVAK ISLAND...ACROSS THE AKPEN AND INTO THE NORTH
PACIFIC BY LATE SUN NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CONTINENT AND
THIS LOW WILL COMBINE TO KEEP A STRONG GRADIENT ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF...WITH CORRESPONDINGLY STRONG SOUTHEAST FLOW. THIS
SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL BE WARM AND MOIST...SPREADING RAIN TO THE COAST
AND BEYOND ON SUN.

FROM DAY 4 ONWARD...MODEL AGREEMENT ALOFT IS IN GROSS AGREEMENT
WITH A BROAD ELONGATED TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA AND THE LARGE
RIDGE FROM BRITISH COLUMBIA TO THE BEAUFORT SEA REMAINING IN
PLACE. THE POLAR JET DURING THIS TIME WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF
ALASKA AT AROUND 40N. WITHIN THE BROAD TROUGH...MODELS ARE
INDICATING MULTIPLE WEAKER SYSTEMS ROTATING AROUND A BROAD CLOSED
LOW ANCHORED OVER THE SEA OF OKHOTSK. HOWEVER AS IS USUALLY THE
CASE IN THIS PATTERN...MODEL AGREEMENT ON THE CHARACTER AND
LOCATION OF THESE SYSTEMS IS POOR. TOWARDS DAY 6 AND 7 /WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY/...BOTH THE GFS AND THE ECMWF ARE BRINGING A MORE
CONSOLIDATED STACKED LOW IN THE 960-965 MB RANGE SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIAN CHAIN THAT WILL MOVE EASTWARD WITH THE JET ALONG 45N.

ON DAY 3...THE NAM AND EC SOLUTIONS WERE USED TO CAPTURE HIGH
RESOLUTION FEATURES AND BEGIN A TREND TO THE DAY 4-7 FORECAST.
WITH THE LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS IN THE EXTENDED...
DAYS 4 THROUGH 7 LEANED HEAVY TO WPC WITH A BLEND OF THE EC EARLY
ON DAY 4.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING ZONE 131 THOMPSON PASS.
MARINE...STORMS 119 138 150
  GALES 120 125 130-132 136 137 139 155 160 165 172 180 181 185
  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY 185

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...TP
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DK
LONG TERM...RF/DS