Small Craft Advisory 5, NWS Anchorage, AK

791 
FZAK52 PAFC 021634 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

UPDATED ZONES 150 160 171 180

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM 
OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-030430-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 962 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF CAPE NEWENHAM MOVES TO NEAR THE
EASTERN TIP OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND AT 977 MB LATE SAT
NIGHT...REFORMS 75 NM SOUTH OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND MIDDAY SUN AT
982 MB...THEN REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY AT 984 MB LATE SUN NIGHT.
A FRONT MOVES TO NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA EARLY SUN
MORNING...THEN MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING BY SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-030430-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-030430-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-030430-
BRISTOL BAY-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-030430-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ170-030430-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ171-030430-
UNALASKA BAY-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-030430-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-030430-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-030430-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-030430-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-030430-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-030430-
ADAK TO KISKA-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ178-030430-
KISKA TO ATTU-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY FROM SHEMYA W. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-030430-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-030430-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-030430-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-030430-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
734 AM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND IN THE MORNING. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

582 
FZAK52 PAFC 030009
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-031230-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 969 MB LOW OVER WESTERN MAINLAND MOVES NORTH AND DISSIPATES SUN.
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 360 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AT 971
MB AND MOVES TO 80 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT AND MAINTAINS
STRENGTH.

$$

PKZ150-031230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ155-031230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 13 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO
21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.

$$

PKZ160-031230-
BRISTOL BAY-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-031230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT MOLLER
E...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ170-031230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ171-031230-
UNALASKA BAY-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-031230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ173-031230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ174-031230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ175-031230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ176-031230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ177-031230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-031230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-031230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ180-031230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ181-031230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW WITH
RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ185-031230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
309 PM AKST SAT JAN 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

248 
FZAK52 PAFC 031208
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-040100-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 962 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW BECOMES A 972 MB ELONGATED LOW
CENTERED NEAR 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF COLD BAY SUN NIGHT...THEN
REMAINS ELONGATED AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN BERING
MON NIGHT WITH THE CENTER LOCATED 70 NM WEST OF MEKORYUK AT 973
MB.

$$

PKZ150-040100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ155-040100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 13 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO
21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.

$$

PKZ160-040100-
BRISTOL BAY-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-040100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 20 KT
INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ170-040100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ171-040100-
UNALASKA BAY-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT INCREASING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-040100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ173-040100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ174-040100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ175-040100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ176-040100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ177-040100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-040100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-040100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ180-040100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ181-040100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND IN THE EVENING.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ185-040100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
308 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

471 
FZAK52 PAFC 031750 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

UPDATED ZONES 150 160 165 180 181

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-040430-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 962 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW BECOMES A 972 MB ELONGATED LOW
CENTERED NEAR 230 NM SOUTHWEST OF COLD BAY SUN NIGHT...THEN
REMAINS ELONGATED AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN BERING
MON NIGHT WITH THE CENTER LOCATED 70 NM WEST OF MEKORYUK AT 973
MB.

$$

PKZ150-040430-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ155-040430-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 13 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...SEAS 15 FT BUILDING
TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT E 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 28 FT.

$$

PKZ160-040430-
BRISTOL BAY-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-040430-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...NE 
WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW 25 KT EXCEPT SE 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ170-040430-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ171-040430-
UNALASKA BAY-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT INCREASING TO 5 FT IN THE 
AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-040430-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ173-040430-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

PKZ174-040430-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ175-040430-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ176-040430-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ177-040430-
ADAK TO KISKA-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-040430-
KISKA TO ATTU-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-040430-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.

$$

PKZ180-040430-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ181-040430-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS BUILDING TO 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
FREEZING SPRAY N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND IN THE EVENING.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ185-040430-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
850 AM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.

$$

832 
FZAK52 PAFC 032355
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-041230-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 967 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 380 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT
AT 973 MB MON MORNING...THEN MOVES TO 160 NM NORTHWEST OF SAND
POINT AT 977 MB TUE MORNING AND DISSIPATES. A 971 MB LOW DEVELOPS
60 NM SOUTHWEST OF SAND POINT MON MORNING AND MOVES TO 50 NM
NORTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND MON NIGHT AND MAINTAINS
STRENGTH...THEN MOVES TO 200 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND
TUE AFTERNOON AT 973 MB.

$$

PKZ150-041230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ155-041230-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...E WIND 35
KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND
20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ160-041230-
BRISTOL BAY-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-041230-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...E WIND 35 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-041230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ171-041230-
UNALASKA BAY-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-041230-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ173-041230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-041230-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-041230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-041230-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ177-041230-
ADAK TO KISKA-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-041230-
KISKA TO ATTU-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ179-041230-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-041230-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-041230-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ185-041230-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
255 PM AKST SUN JAN 3 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
452 PM AKST FRI JAN 1 2016

CORRECTION TO THE ANALYSIS MODEL DISCUSSION

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AS A BLOCKING RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
AND EASTERN ALASKA...THE WEATHER PATTERN OVER SOUTHCENTRAL AND
SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA REMAINS ACTIVE. A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW SITS
JUST SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA...EMBEDDED IN THE BASE OF A
NEGATIVELY TILTED LONGWAVE TROUGH EXTENDING FROM EASTERN RUSSIA
THROUGH THE NORTH PACIFIC. A CLASSIC OCCLUDED CYCLONE PATTERN IS
VISIBLE ON THE SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS MORNING WITH THE WARM
CONVEYOR BELT AND SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD OVER
THE GULF OF ALASKA AND WRAPPING AROUND THE LOW THROUGH
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN ALASKA AND DOWN INTO THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS. WEAK UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCES IN THE ONSHORE FLOW OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA HAS KEPT SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHERN AND
WESTERN GULF COAST THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
ASSOCIATED WITH THE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW EXTENDS FROM THE LOW
CENTER TO OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA...SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND...AND
THEN EXTENDS SOUTHEAST INTO THE NORTHERN PACIFIC. GUSTY SURFACE
WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE STATE ARE RAMPING UP IN
ADVANCE OF THE FRONT AS THE LOW PUSHES NORTHWARD...WITH WINDS IN
KAMISHAK GAP AND AROUND KODIAK ISLAND ALREADY GUSTING TO STORM
FORCE. UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE IN THE NORTHWESTERN QUADRANT OF THE
CYCLONE IS SUPPORTING SHOWERS OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND
EASTERN BERING AS WELL AS THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. THE SHOWERS ARE
HEAVIEST IN REGIONS OF ENHANCED UPLIFT IN UPSLOPE FLOW OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM MOUNTAINS.

THE DRY SLOT CAN BE SEEN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY WRAPPING AROUND THE
CYCLONE BEHIND THE FRONT JUST SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND AND OVER THE
SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA. GUSTY NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE
CYCLONE IS PULLING COLDER AIR ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE CYCLONE DOWN
THROUGH THE BERING SEA AND CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALEUTIANS.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODEL AGREEMENT IS FAIRLY GOOD IN THE SHORT TERM. AS THE LOW
MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY THE FRONT WILL PUSH NORTHWARD THROUGH THE
GULF...REACHING THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BY SATURDAY MORNING. THE
MODELS ARE IN CLOSE AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK OF THE LOW AND THE
TIMING OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT...HOWEVER
SLIGHT DIFFERENCES ARISE IN PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS THE FRONT PUSHES ONSHORE.
THE QPF DIFFERENCES ARE IN PART DUE TO A SLIGHT DIFFERING IN THE
DEGREE OF DOWNSLOPING THAT WILL OCCUR OVER ANCHORAGE AND THE
WESTERN KENAI IN THE SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW REGIME. THE EC IN
PARTICULAR MINIMIZES THE DOWNSLOPING AND BRINGS THE MOST QPF TO
ANCHORAGE AND THE WESTERN KENAI WHILE THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS
KEEP THE QPF IN THE LEE OF THE MOUNTAINS MUCH LIGHTER. THE NAM
SEEMS TO CAPTURES THE BETTER DYNAMICS AND WAS THE MODEL OF CHOICE
FOR THE SHORT TERM OVER SOUTHCENTRAL. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK OF THE LOW SATURDAY AS THE CYCLONE
PROGRESSES NORTHWESTWARD TO THE BERING SEA BY SATURDAY NIGHT. HIGH
RESOLUTION MODELS WERE FAVORED FOR THE SHORT TERM FORECAST AND
FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THE SHORT TERM IS HIGH.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE WEATHER FRONT HAS JUST CLEARED KODIAK ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON
AND WILL BE MARCHING NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT...REACHING THE NORTH GULF
COAST IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE ASSOCIATED LOW CENTER HAS
REACHED PEAK INTENSITY AND IS NOW WEAKENING AND MOVING NORTHWEST
INTO THE BERING SEA. STRONG WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED AS EXPECTED ALL
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...WITH A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT
ACROSS COOK INLET CURRENTLY BENDING THE ACCELERATED TURNAGAIN ARM
WIND SOUTHWARD AND AWAY FROM ANCHORAGE. THIS STORM IS TURNING OUT
TO BE A BIT MORE IMPRESSIVE THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED...AND AS A
RESULT EXPECT WINDS AROUND CORDOVA AND EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM TO BE
A BIT STRONGER THAN PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT SHOULD STILL GENERALLY
STAY JUST BELOW WARNING LEVELS. A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR THOMPSON PASS AND IS DEVELOPING AS EXPECTED. IN
FACT...MODELS HAVE INCREASED PRECIPITATION/SNOWFALL AMOUNTS EVEN
MORE AS A VERY ROBUST 150+ KT SOUTHERLY JET PROPELS DEEP
SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE INTO MAINLAND ALASKA.

ONCE THE FRONT PASSES THE AREA EARLY SATURDAY MORNING THE COOK
INLET PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BECOME MUCH MORE FAVORABLE TO GUSTY
WINDS TO PUSH BACK INTO ANCHORAGE AND THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...AT
WHICH POINT TEMPERATURES SHOULD JUMP UP INTO THE UPPER 30S AGAIN.
SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY WILL BE PRESENT IN THE AIRMASS MOVING INTO
SOUTHERN ALASKA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...AND WOULD NOT BE AT
ALL SURPRISED TO SEE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE GULF OF
ALASKA AND COASTAL AREAS ACCOMPANYING VERY HEAVY PRECIPITATION. IN
AREAS THAT STAY COLD ENOUGH FOR SNOW...ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATING SNOW IS LIKELY...MAINLY THROUGH THOMPSON PASS AND
PERHAPS TURNAGAIN PASS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

A VERY IMPRESSIVE STORM FORCE LOW IS IMPACTING THE REGION THIS
EVENING...SPREADING RAIN ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY REGION...WITH SNOW
FARTHER NORTH TOWARD THE DELTA. STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL MAINLY
IMPACT THE BRISTOL BAY AND KUSKOKWIM DELTA...WITH SOME MINOR AREAS
OF BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE COAST OF THE DELTA. THIS LOW WILL LIFT
NORTH THROUGH SATURDAY...INITIALLY BRINGING IN WARMER SOUTHEAST
WINDS BEFORE THE FLOW TURNS AROUND AND BECOMES ONSHORE AND
SOUTHWESTERLY ON SATURDAY NIGHT. RAIN MIXED WITH SNOW WILL BE
RATHER WIDESPREAD AS THE FLOW BECOMES ONSHORE SATURDAY NIGHT.
ANOTHER PACIFIC FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTHWEST ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...

THE MAIN STORY IN THE BERING SEA WILL BE A NORTH PACIFIC LOW
CURRENTLY SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA TRACKING NORTHWARD ACROSS
THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN BERING SEA. THIS WILL SPREAD GALE FORCE
WINDS AND RAIN...MIXED WITH SOME SNOW ACROSS THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS.
ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING SEA...WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP SNOW
SHOWERS OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THERE HAS NOT BEEN A SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THE EXPECTED PATTERN
OR METEOROLOGICAL REASONING IN THE MID TO LONG TERM FORECAST.
THROUGH THE EXTENDED FORECAST...THE POLAR JET IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE REGION ALONG 35-40N. AT THE START OF DAY
3...THE 970 MB LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND WILL BEGIN TO ELONGATE
AND MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA COAST WHILE
THE RIDGE SPANNING FROM THE BEAUFORT SEA SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE
WESTERN NORTH AMERICAN COAST HOLDS STEADY IN PLACE. THIS PATTERN
WILL BRING A LONG FETCH OF SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER MOST OF SOUTHERN
ALASKA...KEEPING THE REGION IN A RELATIVELY WARM AND MOIST PATTERN
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...GLOBAL MODELS ARE COMING INTO SLIGHTLY BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH DEVELOPING A LOW SOUTH OF SHEMYA. AS EXPECTED WITH
THIS PATTERN AND AT THE EXTENDED TIME FRAME...DIFFERENCES REMAIN
BETWEEN MODELS WITH THE STRENGTH AND LOCATION WITH THIS LOW. THE
GFS BRINGING A LOW CLOSER TO THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN WHILE THE ECMWF
BRINGS ONE LOW WESTWARD ALONG THE POLAR JET AT ABOUT 45N WHILE
BRINGING A SECOND WEAKER LOW OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA....WHICH
THE GFS NEGLECTS.

WITH THIS IN MIND...THE EXTENDED FORECAST ONCE AGAIN RELIED HEAVY
ON WPC GUIDANCE WITH A MIX OF THE ECMWF ON DAY 4 TO ACCOUNT MORE
FOR THE IMPACTS OF THE ELONGATED LOW ALONG THE WESTERN COAST. ON
DAY 3...A BLEND OF THE NAM AND ECMWF ALONG WITH THE EXISTING
FORECAST WAS USED AS MODELS WERE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT AT THIS
TIME FRAME.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING THOMPSON PASS (131). FLOOD ADVISORY
ANCHOR POINT (121)
MARINE...STORMS 119 125. GALES 120 129 130 131 132 136 137 138
139 150 155 160 170 171 172 180 185 351 352. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY
185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EN
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...AD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JA
LONG TERM...RF