Small Craft Advisory 498, NWS Anchorage, AK

021 
FZAK52 PAFC 182303
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-191215-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 993 MB LOW 100 NM EAST OF SAINT GEORGE MOVES TO 25 NM EAST OF
KIPNUK AT 996 MB SUN MORNING...THEN MOVES INTO MAINLAND SOUTHWEST
ALASKA. A 995 MB LOW 100 NM SOUTHWEST OF GAMBELL DISSIPATES AS IT
MOVES ALONG THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA BY SUN EVENING. A FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH ANOTHER NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROACHES THE CENTRAL
ALEUTIANS MON AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-191215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-191215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-191215-
BRISTOL BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-191215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-191215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-191215-
UNALASKA BAY-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-191215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-191215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. DRIZZLE.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-191215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. DRIZZLE.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-191215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. DRIZZLE.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-191215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. DRIZZLE.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-191215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-191215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-191215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-191215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-191215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-191215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
303 PM AKDT SAT JUN 18 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

278 
FZAK52 PAFC 191124
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-200045-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 998 MB LOW 200 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL MOVES TO 100 NM
NORTHEAST OF SAINT PAUL AT 1006 MB THIS AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKENS
INTO A TROUGH AS IT MOVES TO THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA BY LATE
TONIGHT. A FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROACHES
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-200045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-200045-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-200045-
BRISTOL BAY-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-200045-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-200045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-200045-
UNALASKA BAY-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT AND MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-200045-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ173-200045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-200045-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-200045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-200045-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-200045-
ADAK TO KISKA-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-200045-
KISKA TO ATTU-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-200045-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-200045-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-200045-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-200045-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
324 AM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

024 
FZAK52 PAFC 192310
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-201145-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN ALASKA DISSIPATES TONIGHT. A
1000 MB LOW 475 NM SOUTH OF SHEMYA MON AFTERNOON MOVES TO 175 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA AT 1005 MB TUE AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-201145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ155-201145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-201145-
BRISTOL BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-201145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-201145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-201145-
UNALASKA BAY-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-201145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ173-201145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-201145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-201145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ176-201145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-201145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-201145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-201145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-201145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ181-201145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-201145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
310 PM AKDT SUN JUN 19 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
431 PM AKDT FRI JUN 17 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is a fairly large upper level low centered over northern
Bering Sea near Saint Lawrence Island. There is a weakening front
associated with this low stretching from Norton sound through
Kodiak Island. Upper level high pressure over eastern Alaska is
being shunted eastward ahead of this front. Cooler, moister and
breezier conditions are being pushed eastward as this front opens
up southwesterly flow aloft across southern Alaska. There is a
frontal system spinning up south of the central Aleutians that is
moving rapidly toward the northeast.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The numerical models are in fair agreement through the short term
(Sunday afternoon). By late tonight the models begin to diverge
on the speed of the low that is currently south of the central
Aleutians. The ECMWF is the fastest bringing this low into
southwest Alaska, and the NAM appears to be the slowest. For now
the forecast goes with more of a consensus forecast in the middle,
more like the GFS and Canadian models. These differences are not
huge, therefore the forecast confidence is near normal.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The first of two fronts is moving across Kodiak Island and will
continue to migrate northeast. This will advect increased sky
cover resulting in cooler conditions this weekend. The coastal
ridge will build in advance of the approaching frontal trough
resulting in brisk gap flows across Turnagain Arm, Knik Arm, and
the Copper River Basin into Sunday. Rain associated with the
front will push across Southcentral overnight into Saturday. The
exception being Copper River Basin, where downslope winds will
keep the area cloudy but dry. Cross-barrier flow across the
western Chugach slopes will keep Anchorage and vicinity largely,
but likely not completely, dry through Saturday.

By Saturday night a second front will move into the western gulf
and reinforce the gradient across the area. As a result stronger
southeast flow develops along with even stronger winds through
channeled terrain. Gap winds especially through areas such as
Turnagain Arm, the Copper River Valley and similarly oriented
Valleys will continue to strengthen through the weekend peaking in
the afternoons and evenings with Sunday afternoon especially
windy. Additionally winds east to southeast winds in the Gulf and
Prince William Sounds associated with the front and resulting
coast jet will increase to gale force by Sunday with biggest
change to increase winds over Prince William Sound to advisory
levels Saturday night into Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions for the majority of the eastern TAF
sites tonight into Saturday. Exceptions are for Kodiak and Cordova
with marginal ceilings late this afternoon and evening hours.
Under the onshore flow pattern for those sites will keep the
ceilings below 3000 feet for Cordova and potentially below a 1000
ft and some patchy fog for Kodiak. Lower ceilings should be
lowering for locations along Cook inlet overnight, though not
quite reaching the Anchorage area. Valdez should remain VFR
overnight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Red Flag conditions are expected across the Copper River basin
through Friday evening. As the front slowly moves in from the
southwest, the surface ridge over the northeast Gulf of Alaska
strengthens. At the same time, inland heating in east central
Alaska will combine with the ridge beginning to break down. This
will lead to fairly gusty winds. Temperatures will continue to be
very warm, and humidities very dry. On Saturday increased sky
cover will aid in diminished winds, lower temperatures and
slightly higher humidities, so Red Flag conditions are not
expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
Currently we have a low in the northern Bering Sea with a front
extending south to another low to the southwest of Kodiak Island.
The low near the Bering Strait will pull north and the associated
front moves northeast tonight. Behind this is a weak ridge that
is immediately followed by a weak trough over the central Bering
Sea. The weak ridge flattens as it moves over southwest Alaska
ushering in a zonal stable flow off the Bering Sea. An intensifying
low south of the central Aleutians will be the next system to
impact the southwest mainland this weekend. This low will be
moving inland near Dillingham Saturday night then track north to
the Norton Sound area through Sunday morning. We are still
anticipating a good shot of wind in advance of the front with this
low with the typical accelerated wind through the mountain gaps.
This storm will also bring a good shot of rain to the southwest
mainland this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

An intensifying and fast moving low south of the aleutians will
move across the eastern Aleutians Saturday morning and move along
north of the Alaska Peninsula into the Bristol Bay coast Saturday
night. This storm will be accompanied with rain and moderate wind
for the Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula standards. Following this
low a broad zonal flow will be in place across the Bering Sea and
Aleutian Islands, with extensive stratus and some areas of fog.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Models are in sufficient agreement to continue with the NAM for
Sun night into Mon. For the ALU domain this means the low will
slowly weaken over southwest Alaska with plenty of rain, while a
weak trough moves across the Pribilofs and reaches the Akpen with
more rain. A North Pacific low and associated fronts approach the
western Aleutians with small craft winds, with continued northward
motion temporarily impeded by weak high pressure over the western
Bering.

Beyond Mon the EC and Canadian have similar solutions. High
pressure over the Bering moves across the mainland and weakens by
Thu. The Aleutian low and associated fronts move across the rest
of the islands into southwest Alaska by late Wed. The complex then
drops southeast into the Gulf by next weekend. High pressure then
rebuilds across the Bering for the weekend.

This means rain and showers over southwest Alaska will slowly
diminish by Tue beneath high pressure. Rain and showers with the
Aleutian low and fronts will spread across the Aleutians and
Bering, reaching southwest Alaska Thu through Fri. Drying
conditions will develop across the Bering as the high rebuilds.

For Southcentral, the frontal system moving through Sunday will
continue to push north and inland Monday allowing the stratiform
rain rain to change over to showers. A shortwave ridge will move
across southcentral in the wake of this system with another day of
warmer and drier weather. Model solutions and ensembles remain in
good agreement through early next week with improving agreement in
another system mid to late next week. Inherited forecast
represented this well so maintained forecast through the extended.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...Red Flag Warning...141.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...SA
LONG TERM...DS