Gale Warning 763, NWS Anchorage, AK

263 
FZAK51 PAFC 301253
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-010200-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT IN THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF BY
THIS AFTERNOON...THEN WEAKEN IN PLACE THROUGH TONIGHT. A NORTH
PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 290 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT 968 MB THU
AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES TO 140 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT 961 MB LATE
THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-010200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR
THE COAST...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR THE
COAST...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT EXCEPT 18 FT ALONG THE COAST.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-010200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11
FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-010200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ125-010200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE.  SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-010200-
PORT VALDEZ-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-010200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ128-010200-
VALDEZ ARM-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ129-010200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THIS MORNING. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ130-010200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-010200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ132-010200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
16 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-010200-
CHINIAK BAY-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-010200-
MARMOT BAY-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-010200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ139-010200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-010200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-010200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
353 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

750 
FZAK51 PAFC 010031
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-011345-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL WEAKEN IN PLACE THROUGH
TONIGHT. A BROAD NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL ENTER THE SOUTHERN GULF
LATE THU EVENING AND MOVE INLAND NEAR 75 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT 
FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-011345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. NEAR THE COAST...SE WIND 45 KT
DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-011345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-011345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT SUBSIDING. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT
BECOMING 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON...HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-011345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT BECOMING 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-011345-
PORT VALDEZ-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT BECOMING 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-011345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-011345-
VALDEZ ARM-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ129-011345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-011345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-011345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-011345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND 
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ136-011345-
CHINIAK BAY-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-011345-
MARMOT BAY-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-011345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-011345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-011345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-011345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
331 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

215 
FZAK51 PAFC 011220
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-020115-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF THROUGH
TODAY. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO 280 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT
969 MB THIS AFTERNOON...THEN MOVES INLAND 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF YAKUTAT
FRI AFTERNOON AT 979 MB. A 982 MB LOW DEVELOPS 60 NM SOUTHEAST OF
CORDOVA FRI AFTERNOON AND DRIFTS TO 90 NM SOUTHEAST OF OF CORDOVA
AT 989 MB LATE FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-020115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ120-020115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ121-020115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-020115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-020115-
PORT VALDEZ-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ127-020115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS
3 FT. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ128-020115-
VALDEZ ARM-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
6 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-020115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-020115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-020115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-020115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 55 KT EXCEPT NW 40 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
19 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-020115-
CHINIAK BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT.

$$

PKZ137-020115-
MARMOT BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-020115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-020115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-020115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-020115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
320 AM AKST THU DEC 1 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
441 AM AKST Tue Nov 29 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

Large low pressure system continues to lift northeast through the
southern Gulf toward the Yakutat region this morning. Only the far
northern and western periphery of this system is impacting the
North Gulf Coast and Kodiak Island with some light snow. Outflow
winds are the bigger impact, with the much denser, colder air
mass over the Interior squeezing through the terrain gaps of the
Chugach Range to the northern Gulf.

A trough extends from this low to the north coast of the Alaska
Peninsula, where the remnant circulation remains of the stronger
low that moved across the Aleutians and southern Bering the last
couple of days. Immediately on the heels of this system, a gale-
to storm-force front is currently moving across the Aleutians
ahead of another powerful low pressure system centered south of
the Western Aleutians.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...

Models are handling the synoptic scale features well over the next
few days. The largest synoptic differences continues to occur Thursday
into Friday in the Gulf of Alaska area, but are showing signs of
coming into agreement along a middle ground between this morning's
GFS and EC runs. There are still questions as to the strength of
this feature and the exact track, but confidence is increasing.
These differences will play a role in the forecast of winds and
precipitation along the north Gulf coast as well as possibly
farther inland in Southcentral Alaska. The GFS and NAM were
preferred for most features, except for the Gulf low Thursday and
Friday where the EC and GEM (Canadian) models were preferred.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions and light winds are expected to persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The forecast remains on track as the surface low over the
southern Gulf of Alaska is intensifying and heading northeast.
This low should move to near the northern panhandle late this
afternoon/early evening then into the Yukon Territory overnight.
The deformation zone aloft will spread snow into the Copper River
Basin and to the central Gulf Coast. Current model guidance
indicates that the snow will not spread as far west over the
Copper River Basin as previously forecast. So trended down POPS
and QPF values over the western portion of the basin and also
tapered off snow faster over the basin and North Gulf coast
tonight. The Copper River Basin snowfall accumulations will be
mostly light with more moderate accumulations in the extreme
eastern portion.

Pressure gradients will continue to intensify across Southcentral
today with the approach of the Gulf low. Accompanied with strong
cold air advection, all coastal wind gaps will rapidly increase
today, especially the Eastern Kenai and the Thompson pass/Valdez
zone. This will result in snow and blowing snow conditions with
near whiteout conditions through Thompson Pass. Cold air dropping
south through Broad Pass in the Susitna Valley will support very
cold wind chills -30 to -45 F.

As the Gulf low moves into the Yukon Territory Wednesday morning another
fast moving low tracks into the Gulf Wednesday afternoon. This
feature will spread rain and snow showers to the coast and increase
chances of snow inland Wednesday evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
A ridge across Northern AK strongly influences weather conditions
to trend colder and and drier across the Southwest through
midweek. Low pressure across the Bering keeps a tighter pressure
gradient along the Kuskokwim Delta which increases northeast
winds. A wind chill advisory remains in effect this morning and
Wed and Thu morning as colder temperatures combine with gusty
winds. A surface low moving across the Aleutians tonight forces a
stronger gradient across the Kuskokwim Delta bringing the coldest
wind chills Wed morning and again on Thu morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
The next system moves a front across the central Aleutians
today and then across the Alaska Peninsula by Tuesday night. The
front should make northern progress to the central Bering this
afternoon with a mix of rain and snow developing along the
boundary. The Pribilof Islands should see light snow, with areas
of blowing snow tonight as the low center passes to the eastern
Aleutians. Strong northeasterly flow increases behind the front
across much of the Bering along with increased chances for snow as
a shortwave dives across the northern Bering late Wed through Thu.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...
The run to run evolution of both the ensemble and deterministic
models continues through much of the long-term forecast, and have
yet to settle on a common solution with regard to some key
synoptic features. The low entering the Gulf Thursday, and the
system tracking through the Bering Friday and into early next week
remain the primary focus in this time-frame. An area of low
pressure will skirt the Aleutian Islands Thursday and move into
the Gulf of Alaska on Friday. That is where the models continue to
struggle with the track and strength of the low. Yesterday, models
progged this area of low pressure to move across the northern Gulf
over Kodiak Island and near Prince William Sound which would have
brought a very decent shot of snowfall across much of Southcentral
Alaska. However, models now prog this low further south and east
in the Gulf of Alaska which could potentially keep a good bit of
the moisture further south instead of pushing it inland. At the
same time, a brief warm up was expected with the track of the low
pressure system but now it appears that this will not be the case
as the more southern track will likely keep a tap of colder and
drier arctic air over Southwest and Southcentral Alaska.

The take-away message is that snow chances for interior portions
of Southcentral and Southwest Alaska continue to look quite
disappointing as the synoptic features are tracking just a little
too far north or a little too far south. However, precipitation
chances along the Northern Gulf coast and Prince William Sound
still look promising with these incoming systems. Some of the
coldest temperatures are expected by the weekend with the
potential for single digit high temperatures over west Anchorage Sunday.
There is still the potential for snow across Southwest and
Southcentral Alaska as models fluctuate, so it's something worth
watching.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Blizzard warning 131
         Wind Chill advisories 145 155

MARINE...

Gales 119 120 121 127 129 130-132 138 160 165 170 172-180 185
Heavy Freezing Spray Warning 121 127 129 140 160 180 181

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...cc
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...bc
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ds
LONG TERM...tp