Gale Warning 720, NWS Anchorage, AK

251 
FZAK52 PAFC 170038
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-171330-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE WESTERN BERING AND ALEUTIANS MOVES
SLOWLY INTO THE CENTRAL BERING BY THU AFTERNOON...THEN TO THE
EASTERN WATERS ON FRIDAY. A 1009 MB LOW DEVELOPS 90 NM NORTHEAST
OF SAINT PAUL EARLY FRI AND DRIFTS TO 170 NM NORTHEAST OF SAINT
PAUL AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH.

$$

PKZ150-171330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-171330-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-171330-
BRISTOL BAY-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-171330-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SE 20 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS
7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-171330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-171330-
UNALASKA BAY-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 20
KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-171330-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10
FT.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-171330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-171330-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-171330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-171330-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ177-171330-
ADAK TO KISKA-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ178-171330-
KISKA TO ATTU-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 34 FT.

$$

PKZ179-171330-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-171330-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-171330-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-171330-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
338 PM AKST WED NOV 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 40 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18
FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

984 
FZAK52 PAFC 171246
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-180145-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN
BERING BY FRIDAY. A 1009 MB LOW DEVELOPS 170 NM NORTH OF CAPE
SARICHEF EARLY FRI AND DRIFTS TO 260 NM SOUTHEAST OF SAND POINT WHILE
SLOWLY WEAKENING. A 1000 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW APPROACHES 115 NM
SOUTH OF AMCHITKA PASS LATE FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-180145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ155-180145-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLAND E...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT
BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S
WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING
TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ160-180145-
BRISTOL BAY-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-180145-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. FROM COLD BAY W...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING S
25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FROM COLD BAY W...S WIND 25
FT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...SE WIND 15
KT BECOMING NW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ170-180145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-180145-
UNALASKA BAY-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-180145-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-180145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ174-180145-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-180145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-180145-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ177-180145-
ADAK TO KISKA-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC
SIDE.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PACIFIC
SIDE.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ178-180145-
KISKA TO ATTU-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 21 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 34 FT.

$$

PKZ179-180145-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ180-180145-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. S OF CAPE NEWENHAM...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT S OF CAPE
NEWENHAM.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-180145-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-180145-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
346 AM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING
S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 25
KT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

774 
FZAK52 PAFC 180032
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-181345-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A FRONT EXTENDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL BERING WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN
BERING BY FRIDAY. A 1007 MB NORTH PACIFIC MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL BERING
SAT MORNING AT 993 MB. A 993 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW QUICKLY MOVES IN BEHIND
THIS LOW 120 NM NORTHWEST OF ATKA AT 989 MB SAT AFTERNOON. A 1000 MB
NORTH PACIFIC LOW LATE FRI MOVES TO 110 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY AT
988 MB SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-181345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-181345-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT
W OF SAND POINT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 6 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 15 KT
BECOMING SW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-181345-
BRISTOL BAY-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ165-181345-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
PERIODS OF RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N
30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-181345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
PERIODS OF RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ171-181345-
UNALASKA BAY-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-181345-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-181345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ174-181345-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-181345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ176-181345-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.

$$

PKZ177-181345-
ADAK TO KISKA-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT
BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT.

$$

PKZ178-181345-
KISKA TO ATTU-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 30 FT.

$$

PKZ179-181345-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ180-181345-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE COAST.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-181345-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-181345-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
332 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 40 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT. PERIODS OF RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
456 PM AKST Tue Nov 15 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Upper level flow is weak today over the mainland part of the state
as the upper level low in eastern Russia has retrograded westward
and the jet stream is far to the south of the mainland part of the state
where it is strengthening a low in the North Pacific.
An upper level trough digging southward in the Sea of Okhotsk is
bringing some jet support to the western Bering Sea where a front
is moving into the western Aleutians.
The old occluded low in the Gulf of Alaska continues to produce
bands of rain showers in the Gulf but is weakening and moving
southeastward and out of the area.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
Models are in very good agreement on a synoptic scale with very
little to talk about. The issue that is worth watching on the
models is the upper level low that will be in the interior of the
state tonight and drops southward and over the Kenai Peninsula
Thursday. The GFS and ECMWF are moving this feature over Cook
Inlet and west of Anchorage on its way southward and, while
increasing cloud cover some, keeping it dry under this upper level
low. There is some question if there really will be no snowfall
associated with it. If the low does move a little farther
eastward as the NAM depicts there is a chance for some light
snowfall over the Anchorage and Matanuska valley Wednesday night
into Thursday morning. The next few model runs may give a better
idea as to where this upper low will track and whether it may
produce some snowfall.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
As the low over the southeast Gulf continues to push further
southeastward this evening, showers and gusty winds over the
northern gulf will taper off by tonight. An upper level trough
that will move quickly over Cook Inlet region from west to east
overnight tonight, will bring widespread cloudy conditions and the
chance at a few showers along the mountains for Wednesday. As the
parent upper low over the interior moves southward over the Cook
Inlet region by Thursday morning, bringing the potential for some
light snow to fall over the area. However, models are struggling
with the exact placement of this low and QPF amounts, which
ultimately effects if the light snow will fall over the Anchorage
Bowl or across Cook Inlet.

Widespread cold air advection is expected to occur and support
gusty outflow gap winds around the Prince William Sound region and
over parts of interior Southcentral through Thursday. As a result,
temperatures are expected to cool over the next few days across
the region.

&&

.AVIATION...
PANC...VFR conditions and light winds will persist.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Gusty north winds inland taper down late evening as surface
ridging builds into the southwest. Subsidence along the ridge
brings a colder and drier air mass to the region overnight.
Meanwhile, a warm moist air mass advects along the eastern Bering
which will warm temperature profiles aloft along the Kuskokwim,
aiding in patchy fog development after midnight. A low level jet
increasing tonight along the western side of the Alaska and
Aleutian Ranges should keep fog away from coastal Bristol Bay.
Rather benign conditions are expected into Thursday morning as the
ridge slowly shifts across central Alaska.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
A surface low moves the weak front across the central Bering into
the northeastern waters tonight and dissipates on Wednesday. The
next storm force front begins to push into the West Aleutians
tonight. Winds increase out of the southeast around midnight and
persist through early Wednesday afternoon then become southwest
behind the front. The front makes slow progression east as the
parent low remains anchored over Kamchatka. The boundary weakens
as it moves along the central to eastern waters late Thursday.
Precipitation will mainly be rain with this warm core system with
a mix of rain and snow along the boundary as it becomes diffuse
along the eastern waters.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

It is clear that the Bering ridge,responsible for separating the
two domains into separate weather scenarios, is breaking down.
This will usher in a period of rapidly progressive systems at
least through the middle of next week.

There remains good model agreement Thu night through Fri as the
mainland AK ridge begins to retreat and the Bering front
dissipates over southwest AK and the Akpen. A weak low will also
remain over the extreme northern Gulf. By Fri night the latter low
dissipates, and a succession of lows and waves make their way
across the North Pacific to the Aleutians. This is where the
models have difficulty resolving and moving the lows. Some models
have a series of lows moving east while others consolidate the
features into one large central Aleutian low.

The forecast through Fri night utilized the Nam, but then the
ensemble approach of WPC was used to describe the next low as it
moves, from near Attu on Fri to the central Aleutians on Sat, and
then to the central Gulf on Mon. This low leaves the area on Tue,
while the next low leaves Kamchatka on Mon, reaches the central
Bering Tue, and then continues to the Gulf.

As the lows move east they will spread some rain and snow showers
across the Aleutians and southwest AK. Scattered rain and snow
showers are also expected mainly along the north Gulf coast
through Sat. There should be a break in precipitation beginning Sat
night until it returns with the second low early next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Storm 178 411. Gales 130 131 132 175 176 177 185 352 412
413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...EZ
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...TP
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...DS