Gale Warning 460, NWS Anchorage, AK

560 
FZAK62 PAFC 232317
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
317 PM AKDT TUE AUG 23 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-241315-
317 PM AKDT TUE AUG 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 1001 MB LOW AT 50N 161W WILL DISSIPATE NEAR 59N 163W WED NIGHT.
A 982 MB LOW AT 57N 148E WILL WEAKEN TO 1001 MB LOW AT 60N 173E
WED NIGHT THEN WEAKEN TO 1012 MB AT 61N 180 THU EVENING.

$$

PKZ411-241315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
317 PM AKDT TUE AUG 23 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND UP TO 20 KT BECOMING S 15 TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ412-241315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
317 PM AKDT TUE AUG 23 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT.
.FRI...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ413-241315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
317 PM AKDT TUE AUG 23 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.WED...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ414-241315-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
317 PM AKDT TUE AUG 23 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

961 
FZAK62 PAFC 241140
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
340 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-250115-
340 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 56N 160W MOVES INLAND NEAR KUSKOKWIM BAY
TONIGHT. A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN BERING MOVES TO THE CENTRAL
BERING LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVES TO THE EASTERN BERING BY LATE
THU NIGHT. A 1015 MB LOW MOVES TO 60N 177W LATE THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-250115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
340 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ412-250115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
340 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ413-250115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
340 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ414-250115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
340 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

216 
FZAK62 PAFC 241159
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
359 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-250130-
359 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 1009 MB LOW NEAR 56N 160W MOVES INLAND NEAR KUSKOKWIM BAY
TONIGHT. A FRONT OVER THE WESTERN BERING MOVES TO THE CENTRAL
BERING LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVES TO THE EASTERN BERING BY LATE
THU NIGHT. A 1015 MB LOW MOVES TO 60N 177W LATE THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-250130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
359 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...W WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ412-250130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
359 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 TO 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.FRI...S WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ413-250130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
359 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...S WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 3 TO 7 FT.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ414-250130-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
359 AM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

807 
FZAK62 PAFC 242334
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
334 PM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-251300-
334 PM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A FRONT ALONG THE EASTERN BERING WEAKENS THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. AT
THE SAME TIME...A 995 MB LOW DEVELOPS NEAR 61N 174E THEN RAPIDLY
WEAKENS TO 1015 MB AS IT MOVES TO 59N 180W LATE THU NIGHT. THIS
LOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN TO 1019 MB AS IT NEARS 58N 178W SAT NIGHT.
AN ASSOCIATED FRONT IN THE WESTERN BERING MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL
BERING TONIGHT AND STALLS THROUGH FRI.

$$

PKZ411-251300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
334 PM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...NW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ412-251300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
334 PM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ413-251300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
334 PM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...E WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ414-251300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
334 PM AKDT WED AUG 24 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND UP TO 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 TO 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

237 
FZAK62 PAFC 251143
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
343 AM AKDT THU AUG 25 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-260115-
343 AM AKDT THU AUG 25 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 998 MB LOW NEAR 59N 173E WILL MOVE TO 57N 178W AS IT WEAKENS TO
1016 MB FRI MORNING...THEN DISSIPATES LATE FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-260115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
343 AM AKDT THU AUG 25 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SE WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ412-260115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
343 AM AKDT THU AUG 25 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND UP TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ413-260115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
343 AM AKDT THU AUG 25 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ414-260115-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
343 AM AKDT THU AUG 25 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI...SE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
429 PM AKDT MON AUG 22 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
There is an upper level trough over western Alaska that extends
out through the central Bering Sea. There is an upper level ridge
over western Canada. Southerly flow exists between these features
over much of southern Alaska. Northerly flow is over the western
Bering and western Aleutians on the back side of the trough. A
fairly strong and moist front associated with the trough is slowly
pushing through southern Alaska, bringing plenty of rain to the
area. The moisture plume associated with this front stretches from
about 40 degrees north latitude northward to the Gulf coast.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in good agreement through 30 hours (late Tuesday
morning) then begin to diverge. The Canadian GEM and the ECMWF
then take a surface low northward across the Alaska Peninsula
Wednesday morning, while the GFS and NAM are slower in taking it
across the peninsula in the afternoon. The ECMWF and GEM also
bring considerably more precipitation further westward into
southwest Alaska on Wednesday than the American models, which only
bring significant rain into the south central portion of the
state. The ECMWF and GEM solution was preferred. Forecast
confidence is a little below normal today due to these
differences.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Rain, moderate at times, will continue to impact the region
through Wednesday, with a series of upper level jet streaks and
deep moisture flow into Southcentral. Heaviest rainfall amounts
will continue to fall along south- and east-facing slopes of the
Alaska and Chugach Ranges. The rainfall will continue to result in
rises on area streams, with the potential for minor flooding
especially along the North Gulf Coast/Prince William Sound and the
Susitna Valley.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
With the surface low and associated upper level trough currently
centered over Southwest Alaska, rain will continue overnight across
the greater Bristol Bay area and Kuskokwim River Valley with
scattered showers west of the trough axis over the Kuskokwim Delta
and Alaska Peninsula. The upper level trough will elongate and
shear somewhat on Tuesday as an upper level low digs south of the
Eastern Aleutians and Alaska Peninsula allowing precipitation to
take on a more showery characteristic across southwest Alaska.
With an unstable air mass in place and some sun breaks possible
on Tuesday, isolated thunderstorms are possible in inland areas in
the afternoon and early evening. A developing frontal will lift
north across the Alaska Peninsula Tuesday night stabilizing
conditions and pushing additional widespread rain across Southwest
Alaska Wednesday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...
Upper level ridging will continue to sharpen over the western
Bering and spread the northerly flow aloft further east tonight
and Tuesday. A frontal system coming in from the west will push
into the western Aleutians Tuesday night and Wednesday pushing
the ridge east and flattening it somewhat.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

A pattern shift will begin to unfold Thursday evening as the
southwesterly flow aloft that has continued to usher in a very
moist air mass begins to shut off. A more zonal upper level flow
pattern will develop Friday into Saturday which should cut off
much of the rainfall except for the immediate northern gulf coast
and parts of Southwest Alaska. By Saturday, surface high pressure
will begin to build across the Alaska mainland which should be
more than enough to inhibit widespread rainfall. If ensemble
guidances are right (and they have all been trending in this
direction the past 24 hours), then this upcoming Friday, Saturday
and Sunday time frame should be quite dry with breaks in the
clouds observed and temperatures in the mid to upper 60s across
much of the state. Model guidance begins to struggle quite
significantly on Monday and Tuesday as models diverge on whether
the high pressure gets cut off across the state or whether a
series of shortwave ridges and troughs are observed as wave
propagate eastward along the zonal upper level flow. One thing
that looks likely for Monday and Tuesday is that rainfall chances
look to increase but to what extent is unknown at this time.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Flood Advisory for Zone 125.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...BL
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...CC
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
LONG TERM...MC