Gale Warning 452, NWS Anchorage, AK

507 
FZAK51 PAFC 221158
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230045-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1008 MB LOW OVER COOK INLET MOVES TO 100 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA AT
995 MB LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT AT
1000 MB SAT NIGHT AND DISSIPATES. A WEAK AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
DEVELOPS OVER COOK INLET BY LATE SAT.

$$

PKZ119-230045-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-230045-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ121-230045-
RESURRECTION BAY-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-230045-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT INCREASING TO SE WIND 15
KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-230045-
PORT VALDEZ-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-230045-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-230045-
VALDEZ ARM-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-230045-
PASSAGE CANAL-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-230045-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-230045-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-230045-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ136-230045-
CHINIAK BAY-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-230045-
MARMOT BAY-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-230045-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ139-230045-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ140-230045-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-230045-
KACHEMAK BAY-
358 AM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

177 
FZAK51 PAFC 222316
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231245-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA AND SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA THROUGH SAT MORNING. A 998 MB LOW DEVELOPS 90 NM SOUTHWEST
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND FRI NIGHT AND MOVES TO 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF
YAKUTAT BY SUN MORNING AT 1006 MB AND THEN DISSIPATES. A 1000 MB
LOW FORMS 45 NM EAST OF SEWARD SAT NIGHT AND DISSIPATES BY SUN
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-231245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231245-
PORT VALDEZ-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT DURING THE EVENING.
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231245-
VALDEZ ARM-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT..NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231245-
CHINIAK BAY-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231245-
MARMOT BAY-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
316 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

376 
FZAK51 PAFC 222336 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

UPDATED ZONE 119

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP
TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-231300-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A WEATHER FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA AND SOUTHCENTRAL
ALASKA THROUGH SAT MORNING. A 998 MB LOW DEVELOPS 90 NM SOUTHWEST
OF MIDDLETON ISLAND FRI NIGHT AND MOVES TO 110 NM SOUTHEAST OF
YAKUTAT BY SUN MORNING AT 1006 MB AND THEN DISSIPATES. A 1000 MB
LOW FORMS 45 NM EAST OF SEWARD SAT NIGHT AND DISSIPATES BY SUN
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-231300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

UPDATED

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-231300-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-231300-
RESURRECTION BAY-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT DURING THE EVENING. SEAS
3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-231300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-231300-
PORT VALDEZ-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT DURING THE
EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-231300-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-231300-
VALDEZ ARM-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT..NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .SAT...N
WIND 10 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-231300-
PASSAGE CANAL-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-231300-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-231300-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-231300-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-231300-
CHINIAK BAY-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-231300-
MARMOT BAY-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-231300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-231300-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-231300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-231300-
KACHEMAK BAY-
336 PM AKDT FRI JUL 22 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

592 
FZAK51 PAFC 231151
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-240100-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 993 MB LOW 90 NM SOUTH OF CORDOVA MOVES TO 70 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT AT 1002 MB TONIGHT AND DISSIPATES. A BROAD AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA LATE TONIGHT...THEN
MOVES OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA LATE SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-240100-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NW
15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ120-240100-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-240100-
RESURRECTION BAY-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-240100-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-240100-
PORT VALDEZ-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-240100-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HERE TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW WIND 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-240100-
VALDEZ ARM-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-240100-
PASSAGE CANAL-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-240100-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ131-240100-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-240100-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ136-240100-
CHINIAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-240100-
MARMOT BAY-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-240100-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ139-240100-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-240100-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ141-240100-
KACHEMAK BAY-
351 AM AKDT SAT JUL 23 2016

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
531 AM AKDT THU JUL 21 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

The main feature is the front that continues to weaken as it
moves northeast across western and Southcentral Alaska this
morning. The front has become tattered as it moves further away
from the parent surface low that is stacked underneath the upper
level feature over the far western Bering Sea. Some showers remain
across the Kenai Peninsula, Copper River Basin and Susitna Valley.
Winds shifted overnight to the southeast along Turnagain Arm which
has funneled the smoke from the nearby McHugh Creek fire into the
Anchorage Bowl area. High pressure that was over the eastern
Bering Sea continues to slowly shift south and east over the
southwestern gulf and north Pacific.

A second upper level wave is moving from the North Pacific over
the central and western Aleutians as evident from IR satellite
and this is bringing another round of showers. A weak surface
ridge just ahead of this feature is helping to tighten the
gradient and allow for gusty winds.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
All models are in fair agreement and continue to handle the
placement and movement of the front as it moves through
Southcentral this morning. Blend of models were used in
precipitation placement and amounts for this morning as the front
continues to take on a shredded appearance. Going into Friday,
models are handling well the development of a secondary low over
Cook Inlet that will eventually move into Prince William Sound and
bring a better chance of rain for Southcentral.

Across the west, models are in agreement with the next wave
moving in from the North Pacific and the central and western
Aleutians. A blend of models was used here as well as this feature
traverses eastward to the western Mainland shores by late
Thursday. Yet another weak low moves across the Bering on the
heels of this first wave early Friday and models for the most part
are in agreement with the general movement, though the exact timing
remains in question.

..SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

Radar this morning is indicating showers across much of
southcentral due to the decaying front. However, due to low level
dry air, and relatively weak upper level forcing, little of this
precipitation is making it to the ground. While relatively weak,
this front is strong enough to support pressure gradients across gaps
and gusty winds in particular through turnagain arm. However,
winds will briefly weaken by this afternoon as the front
progresses eastward and the pressure gradient temporarily
relaxes before increasing again late this evening as the next
system approaches.

By late Thursday into early Friday morning, a much more potent
upper level system approaches the Gulf of Alaska. As a result,
much more widespread and steady rain is anticipated across much of
Southcentral. As the associated low pressure system will remain
cetnered mainly over the Kenai Peninsula and slowly drift to the
west, relatively light winds are anticipated for Turnagain Arm. In
contrast, coastal ridging will be sufficient for gaps winds
through the Copper River basin Friday.&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Gusty winds along Turnagain Arm will present a challenge today as
a fire continues to burn near McHugh Creek. Recent webcam imagery
shows the gusty southeasterly winds beginning to fan the flames
not too far from the highway and this should continue throughout
the day today. Luckily relative humidity values will be higher
today across Southcentral Alaska and high temperatures will be a
good bit cooler thanks to increasing moisture and cloud cover. It
was originally thought that decent rainfall would fall across much
of the area today but it looks like the best chances for wetting
rains have been postponed until Friday. However, the Copper River
Basin has the best shot of seeing wetting rains today associated
with a front pushing through the area. Confidence is growing that
widespread wetting rains will be possible Friday with parts of
Anchorage potentially seeing upwards to a half of an inch of
rainfall. In the meantime, smoke has moved into the Anchorage Bowl
as the increasing southeasterly winds usher in smoke from the fire
along Turnagain Arm.

Across Southwest Alaska, widespread wetting rains were seen with a
front that pushed through the area on Wednesday. This helps a bit
with the ongoing fire concerns but gusty winds following the front
today will have the potential to create some fire growth. These
gusty winds are expected to continue through the remainder of the
week but another shot of rain is expected on Friday which is
expected to bring yet another round of wetting rains to the region

..SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 through 3)...
The frontal system which pushed through Southwest Alaska last
night is now crossing the Alaska Range and will continue to the
east today. Light rain behind the front will continue off and on
through the day as westerly flow continues to stream moisture
onshore. The next frontal wave will reach the Alaska Peninsula and
Southwest Alaska coast this evening then spread more rain onshore
tonight. The supporting upper level trough will swing inland on
Friday changing rain over to showers which will stay abundant
through the day then taper off from northwest to southeast Friday
night. The next frontal system will dive out of the northwest on
Saturday and Saturday night bringing additional rain to Southwest
Alaska.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 through 3)...
The low out in the western Bering will gradually fill as it tracks
east today and tonight before swinging inland as a trough on
Friday. A surface low associated with a developing frontal wave
will cross the central Aleutians this morning then track east
towards Bristol Bay this afternoon through tonight. Once both
these systems swing onshore on Friday, flat ridging will build
over the Bering putting the area into west-northwesterly flow
which will persist into the weekend.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Beginning Friday evening, a rather dynamic low moving from the
Eastern Bering across the Alaska Peninsula will quickly move to
the Northern Gulf coast during the overnight. Rain will have
already overspread much of Southcentral with showers over
southwest Alaska. This low will deepen Saturday morning then move
eastward, bringing rain to an end from west to east across
Southcentral, although showers will likely form in the afternoon
across the mountains. Another shortwave trough will dig into
southwest Alaska during the afternoon and evening, quickly
spreading more rain into southern Alaska Sunday and Monday.
Thereafter, all the global models are in good agreement that a
large trough sets up over the Eastern Bering Sea and southwest
Alaska by Tuesday, keeping cooler and wetter weather in place
through the end of next week.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...LIW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ELN
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...JR
LONG TERM...JA