Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016
Gale Warning 222, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Mar 10, 2016, 3:45 AM AKST. It was in force for 23 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 10, 2016, 3:45 AM AKST (12:45 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 11, 2016, 3:14 AM AKST
- In force
- 23 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted.
290 FZAK62 PAFC 101245 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 345 AM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-110300- 345 AM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 959 MB LOW NEAR 54N 174W MOVES TO 52N 159W AT 961 MB LATE TONIGHT AND THEN MOVES INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. A 1007 MB LOW DEVELOPS NEAR 53N 163E THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVES TO 54N 172E AT 1004 MB LATE FRI NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-110300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 345 AM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING NW 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING N OF 57N. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING N OF 56N. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-110300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 345 AM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. $$ PKZ413-110300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 345 AM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE MORNING W OF 176W. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 54N AND W OF 176W. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING N OF 54N AND W OF 174W. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ414-110300- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 345 AM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT S OF 56N. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N. .FRI...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
826 FZAK62 PAFC 102115 AAA OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 1215 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 UPDATED ZONE 412 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-110415- 1215 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 959 MB LOW NEAR 54N 174W MOVES TO 52N 159W AT 961 MB LATE TONIGHT AND THEN MOVES INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC. A 1007 MB LOW DEVELOPS NEAR 53N 163E THIS AFTERNOON AND MOVES TO 54N 172E AT 1004 MB LATE FRI NIGHT. $$ PKZ411-110415- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 1215 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...N WIND 25 TO 40 KT BECOMING NW 20 TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING N OF 57N. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING N OF 56N. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. .SUN...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-110415- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 1215 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...N WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. $$ PKZ413-110415- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 1215 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...STORM WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 35 TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT IN THE MORNING W OF 176W. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 54N AND W OF 176W. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 TO 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING N OF 54N AND W OF 174W. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .SAT THROUGH SUN...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. .MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ414-110415- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 1215 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TODAY...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 15 KT S OF 56N. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N. .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N. .FRI...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .SAT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. $$
552 FZAK62 PAFC 102356 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 256 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-111415- 256 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 957 MB LOW AT 53N 164W MOVES INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC SOUTH OF KODIAK AT 972 MB FRI AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT PRESSES OVER THE CENTRAL ALASKA PENINSULA THROUGH FRI MORNING. A 1005 MB LOW FORMS AROUND 54N 165E FRI NIGHT AND MOVES TO 53N 178E SAT EVENING WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN PRESSURE. $$ PKZ411-111415- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 256 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...E WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN THROUGH MON...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-111415- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 256 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ413-111415- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 256 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 13 TO 21 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. $$ PKZ414-111415- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 256 PM AKST THU MAR 10 2016 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. $$
507 FZAK62 PAFC 111214 OFFALU OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 314 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ499-120200- 314 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 .SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA... A 966 MB LOW AT 52N 157W MOVES INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC SOUTH OF KODIAK AT 972 MB THIS AFTERNOON. A 1005 MB LOW NEAR 54N 165E DRIFTS TO 56N 177E AT 1009 MB EARLY SUN MORNING. $$ PKZ411-120200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL DATELINE- 314 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 .TODAY...NW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. SNOW. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT. .SUN...NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. .MON...NW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. .TUE...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 3 TO 8 FT. $$ PKZ412-120200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N- 314 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 .TODAY...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. $$ PKZ413-120200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N- 314 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...NW WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. .SAT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...NW WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. $$ PKZ414-120200- BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W- 314 AM AKST FRI MAR 11 2016 .TODAY...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT. .SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Mar 9, 4:45 PM AKST, 11 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 4:45 PM AKST, 11 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 445 PM AKST WED MAR 9 2016 .ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS... A STRONG ZONAL UPPER LEVEL JET IS PROGRESSING EASTWARD JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A DEEPENING ELONGATED LOW (WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE DROPPING THROUGH THE 970S) IS TRACKING EASTWARD RIGHT ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN WITH AN OCCLUDING FRONT BEGINNING TO SPREAD NORTH AND WEST FROM THE LOW CENTER. EXPECT RAPIDLY DETERIORATING CONDITIONS AS THIS FRONT CONTINUES EASTWARD. THE AIR MASS OUT AHEAD OF THIS IS COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT SNOW (AS IS BEING OBSERVED IN ADAK THIS MORNING). SINCE THE FRONT IS ALREADY OCCLUDING DON'T EXPECT A WHOLE LOT OF WARM ADVECTION...BUT ENOUGH TO CHANGE PRECIP TO RAIN (OR VERY WET SNOW) ALONG THE ALEUTIANS TODAY. LOOKING DOWNSTREAM A HIGH AMPLITUDE TROUGH REMAINS POSITIONED OVER THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC AND GULF OF ALASKA WITH AN ELONGATED RIDGE EXTENDING FROM SOUTHCENTRAL TO BRISTOL BAY. A MATURE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW IS SLOWLY LIFTING NORTHWARD INTO THE GULF...WITH THE VAST MAJORITY OF IMPACTS REMAINING OVER THE GULF. HOWEVER...A WEAK FRONT WHICH CROSSED THE GULF YESTERDAY/LAST NIGHT HAS EVOLVED INTO A DEFORMATION BAND OVER BRISTOL BAY...WITH AREAS OF VERY LIGHT PRECIP. THIS HAS CONTRIBUTED TO EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER FOR MUCH OF SOUTHWEST/SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...WITH MOISTURE NOW STUCK BENEATH THE UPPER RIDGE. && .MODEL DISCUSSION... MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH HANDLING OF LARGE SCALE FEATURES AND OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS HIGH. THERE ARE STILL A COUPLE FORECAST CHALLENGES. THE MAIN ONE IS DETERMINING DETAILS OF PRECIP TYPE AND TRANSITIONS AS WARM OCCLUSION SPREADS NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS. IN PARTICULAR...IT APPEARS THE WARM OCCLUSION WILL REMAIN SOUTH OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND AND ONLY REACH SOMEWHERE NEAR SAINT GEORGE ISLAND. THUS A COLDER AND SNOWIER SOLUTION IS BECOMING MORE LIKELY. ANOTHER FORECAST CHALLENGE IS THE PRECIP FORECAST OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AS MORE SUBTLE FEATURES INTERACT WITH EACH OTHER TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. FORTUNATELY...ANY PRECIP THAT DOES FALL WILL BE LIGHT AND SHORT- LIVED SO THE PRIMARY IMPACTS WILL BE TO AVIATION (LOW CEILINGS AND BRIEFLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES). && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)... LINGERING MIDDLE AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL HANG AROUND PORTIONS OF THE COOK INLET REGION AND SUSITNA VALLEY THIS EVENING...OTHERWISE EXPECT A PLEASANT EVENING WITH LITTLE CLOUD COVER AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. EARLY TOMORROW MORNING A DECAYING FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAKENING SYSTEM IN THE GULF WILL APPROACH THE KENAI PENINSULA. THE FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS TO MAINLY THE SEWARD AREA. MOST OTHER AREAS...ESPECIALLY INLAND WILL SEE ANOTHER BLUEBIRD DAY WITH CONTINUED ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS. CONDITIONS CHANGE A BIT OVERNIGHT THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY WHEN THE REMNANTS OF THE GULF SYSTEM PUSH UP INTO THE NORTH GULF COAST. THE FRONT WILL BRING RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY ALONG THE COAST BUT SOME SPRINKLES COULD MAKE IT OVER THE MOUNTAINS WITH THESE SHOWERS. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)... RELATIVELY BENIGN CLOUDY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING IN A REGION OF WEAK SURFACE AND UPPER LEVEL FLOW BETWEEN THE RESPECTIVE LOWS OVER THE GULF AND BERING. AN ELONGATED UPPER LEVEL WAVE STRETCHED OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA TODAY WILL PUSH FURTHER INLAND TONIGHT...CAUSING WEAK LIFT OVER AN ALREADY MOIST ENVIRONMENT. THIS WILL BRING INCREASED CHANCES OF LIGHT SNOW THIS EVENING TO PORTIONS OF BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL THEN BEGIN TO INCREASE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS IN RESPONSE TO THE ADVANCING BERING LOW. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFFSHORE AS IT MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST BERING THURSDAY AFTERNOON...KEEPING ANY PRECIPITATION CHANCES MAINLY LIMITED TO AREAS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST AND OVER THE ALEUTIAN RANGE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. && .SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)... THE STRONG LOW ENTERING THE WESTERN BERING WILL BE THE DOMINANT FEATURE IMPACTING THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS IT SKIRTS THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN...WITH THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES FOCUSING ON PRECIPITATION (AMOUNTS AND TYPES) ALONG THE FRONT...AND THE STRONG WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW CENTER. THE FRONT WILL PUSH QUICKLY EASTWARD THROUGH THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS EARLY THIS EVENING AND INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS/BERING BY LATER TONIGHT...THEN INTO THE AKPEN AND SOUTHWEST COAST DURING THE DAY THURSDAY. PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN AS SNOW BUT SHOULD QUICKLY BEGIN TO MIX WITH OR CHANGE TO RAIN AS WARM NORTH PACIFIC AIR PUSHES IN BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH SHOULD HELP TO PRECLUDE ANY BLOWING SNOW CONCERNS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. HOWEVER...SOME AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PRIBILOF ISLANDS...AS CURRENT MODEL GUIDANCE KEEPS MOST OF THE WARMER AIR SOUTH OF SAINT PAUL ISLAND AND STRONG FRONTAL WINDS OVER THE AREA TONIGHT. ATTENTION THEN SHIFTS TO THE STRONG WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE LOW BY LATE TONIGHT AS COLD ADVECTION AND FAVORABLE JET SUPPORT COME TOGETHER OVER THE WEST CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. WARNING LEVEL WINDS WILL IMPACT ADAK EARLY THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE SPREADING EAST TOWARDS ATKA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. A WIDE SWATH OF STORM FORCE WINDS WILL ALSO IMPACT THE COASTAL WATERS OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL PARTS OF THE CHAIN THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD SHOWERY CONDITIONS... PERIODICALLY HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL ALSO FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS/BERING WHERE COLD AIR ADVECTION IS MORE PROMINENT. THESE CONDITIONS WILL SLOWLY SHIFT EASTWARD OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY FRIDAY MORNING... BRINGING THE SHOWERY AND GUSTY CONDITIONS TO THE AREA. && .LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)... BEGINNING FRIDAY EVENING THERE WILL BE A BROAD GULF LOW AND A LEFTOVER FRONT ALONG THE GULF COAST. THE NORTH PACIFIC JET WILL BE DIVING TOWARD THE WESTERN UNITED STATES COASTLINE...WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR WEAK HIGH PRESSURE TO DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. A WEAK LOW OVER THE EASTERN BERING WILL CLIP THE SOUTHWEST COAST AND MAY BRING SOME RAIN AND SNOW BY MONDAY...BUT SOUTHCENTRAL WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH AT LEAST MONDAY. THEREAFTER THERE IS MUCH UNCERTAINTY WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED BERING LOW PHASING WITH A CUTOFF LOW ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC...WHICH WILL BRING INCREASING CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION BY MIDWEEK...ALTHOUGH THERE IS MUCH HIGHER CONFIDENCE BY THIS POINT OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST. OTHERWISE...IN THE MEAN TIME...TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CLIMATE NORMS. && .AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 187. MARINE...STORMS 173 174 175 175 177 178 412 413. GALES 130 155 160 165 170 171 172 179 180 411. && SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SB SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...ML SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP LONG TERM...JA
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 3:15 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Mar 9, 3:15 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 60 hr | |
| Mar 9, 3:15 PM AKST | Storm Warning | AFC | 13 hr | |
| Mar 9, 3:15 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Mar 9, 3:27 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Mar 10, 3:45 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Mar 10, 3:45 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 59 hr | |
| Mar 10, 3:46 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 11 hr | |
| Mar 10, 3:49 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 35 hr | |
| Mar 10, 3:49 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr | |
| Mar 10, 2:56 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 24 hr | |
| Mar 10, 2:56 PM AKST | Heavy Freezing Spray Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Mar 10, 2:57 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Mar 10, 2:57 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 5 days |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.