Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016

Gale Warning 204, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 27, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 27, 2016, 3:59 AM AKST. It was in force for 5 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 27, 2016, 3:59 AM AKST (12:59 UTC)
Expired
Feb 27, 2016, 8:34 AM AKST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

976 
FZAK51 PAFC 271259
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280145-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 962 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL BECOME A BROAD 965
MB LOW CENTERED 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK TONIGHT BEFORE
CROSSING THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA SUN.
A 974 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW TONIGHT WILL TRACK TO 255 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SAND POINT AT 966 MB SUN NIGHT.


$$

PKZ119-280145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-280145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-280145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N WIND 15 KT BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-280145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-280145-
PORT VALDEZ-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-280145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-280145-
VALDEZ ARM-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-280145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-280145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-280145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-280145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-280145-
CHINIAK BAY-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-280145-
MARMOT BAY-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-280145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-280145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-280145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-280145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
359 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
2 follow-up statements
429 
FZAK51 PAFC 271632 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

UPDATE TO ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280430-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 962 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL BECOME A BROAD 965
MB LOW CENTERED 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK TONIGHT BEFORE
CROSSING THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA SUN.
A 974 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW TONIGHT WILL TRACK TO 255 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SAND POINT AT 966 MB SUN NIGHT.


$$

PKZ119-280430-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-280430-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-280430-
RESURRECTION BAY-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
WITH SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-280430-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-280430-
PORT VALDEZ-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-280430-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-280430-
VALDEZ ARM-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-280430-
PASSAGE CANAL-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-280430-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-280430-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
21 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-280430-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. 
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-280430-
CHINIAK BAY-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-280430-
MARMOT BAY-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-280430-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-280430-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-280430-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-280430-
KACHEMAK BAY-
732 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
947 
FZAK51 PAFC 271734 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

UPDATED ZONES 119 120 130 AND 131

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280500-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...A 962 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL BECOME A BROAD 965
MB LOW CENTERED 75 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK TONIGHT BEFORE
CROSSING THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND MOVING INTO THE BERING SEA SUN.
A 974 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW TONIGHT WILL TRACK TO 255 NM SOUTHEAST
OF SAND POINT AT 966 MB SUN NIGHT.


$$

PKZ119-280500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
.SUN...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
20 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ120-280500-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ121-280500-
RESURRECTION BAY-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
WITH SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-280500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.  
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ126-280500-
PORT VALDEZ-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-280500-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-280500-
VALDEZ ARM-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ129-280500-
PASSAGE CANAL-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-280500-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.  
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-280500-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.  
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-280500-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.  
.SUN...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ136-280500-
CHINIAK BAY-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ137-280500-
MARMOT BAY-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.  
.SUN...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-280500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...E WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
RAIN.  
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ139-280500-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.  
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-280500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.  
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-280500-
KACHEMAK BAY-
834 AM AKST SAT FEB 27 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT.  
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.  
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 26, 4:14 PM AKST, 11 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 26, 4:14 PM AKST, 11 hours 45 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
414 PM AKST FRI FEB 26 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS SPINNING IN THE SOUTHERN GULF AND SLOWLY
MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHERN KENAI. THE RIDGE ACROSS THE ALCAN
BORDER HAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY DEAMPLIFIED AND ITS CENTRAL AXIS HAS
SHIFTED SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST. ACROSS THE WEST...A BROAD TROUGH
STRETCHES ACROSS THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS WITH TWO VISIBLE
EMBEDDED LOW CENTERS. ONE CENTER IS DRIFTING WEST ALONG THE
SOUTHERN BERING AND THE OTHER IS TRACKING EAST ON THE SOUTH SIDE
OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. AT THE SURFACE...AN OCCLUDED FRONT IS
NUDGING INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN KENAI EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. A BAND
OF RAIN HAS DEVELOPED ALONG THE FRONT ALONG A LINE FROM THE
EASTERN KENAI TO MIDDLETON ISLAND. GUST WINDS ARE INCREASING ALONG
THIS FRONT WITH EAST TO NORTH FLOW ALONG THE GULF AND COOK INLET.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH
THE GENERAL SYNOPTIC PATTERN. ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE NEED TO
UPDATE THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE WITH MIXED USE OF THE OPERATIONAL
MODELS. THE OVERALL PATTERN FOR THE WEEKEND PROJECTS THE GULF LOW
TO TRACK OVER THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND DIMINISH AS IT MOVES INTO
THE BERING. THE NEXT FRONT ENTERS THE SOUTHERN GULF SATURDAY
MORNING WITH THE BOUNDARY PUSHING QUICKLY TO THE NORTH AND WESTERN
COAST BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM MOVES SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND SATURDAY NIGHT AND CROSSES
INTO THE EASTERN BERING ON SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
ANOTHER DAY...AND A FAMILIAR STORY ARISES. LOWS IN THE GULF
MOVING TOWARD THE GULF COAST BEFORE WEAKENING AS THEY MOVE INLAND.
ANOTHER SUCH NEAR STORM FORCE LOW IS CURRENTLY TRACKING OVER
KODIAK ISLAND...BRINGING PREDOMINANTLY RAIN TO COASTAL LOCATIONS
WITH SOME MIXED PRECIP INLAND ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS. FREEZING
LEVELS WILL DROP SLIGHTLY TONIGHT...ALLOWING FOR LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS ACROSS PASSES ALONG THE KENAI PENINSULA. OTHERWISE
DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL BE VERY DOMINANT KEEPING MOST INLAND LOCATIONS
DRY. THIS SYSTEM WEAKENS AND EXITS OVERNIGHT...WITH ANOTHER STORM
FORCE FRONT MOVING INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA SATURDAY AND SATURDAY
NIGHT. MORE HEAVY PRECIPITATION WILL IMPACT THE COAST WITH STRONG
EASTERLY TO SOUTHEAST WINDS FROM PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND THROUGH
TURNAGAIN ARM INTO SUNDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
NO MEANINGFUL CHANGES TO THE OVERALL WEATHER PATTERN ARE EXPECTED
OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MULTIPLE LOW PRESSURE CENTERS WILL MOVE IN
FROM THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND...BUT AS HAS BEEN THE CASE
FOR THE LAST WEEK OR TWO MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION WILL FALL ON
THE EAST SIDE OF THE ALASKA/ALEUTIAN RANGE. THE MAIN IMPACT TO THE
SOUTHWEST MAINLAND WILL BE ANOTHER SURGE OF WARM AIR AND WIND
MOVING IN DURING THE DAY SATURDAY. THE STRONGEST GUSTS AND BEST
CHANCE OF SOME RAIN WILL BE ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY ZONE...BUT
SHOULD BE FAIRLY SHORT-LIVED AND NOT A MAJOR IMPACT TO ANY OF THE
POPULATION CENTERS AROUND THE AREA.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A BROAD BUT RELATIVELY WEAK LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL REMAIN IN
THE SOUTHERN BERING IN THE VICINITY OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A GENERALLY SHOWERY PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE...WITH THE COLDEST AIR AND BEST CHANCES FOR SNOW SHOWERS
OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE BERING. AS ANOTHER LOW MOVES OUT OF
THE GULF AND WEAKENS AS IT MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WILL SEE SOME GUSTY WINDS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING WITH A BETTER CHANCE OF STEADY RAIN. BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THE LOW WILL HAVE WEAKENED SUBSTANTIALLY AND BECOME
ABSORBED BY THE AFOREMENTIONED BROAD CIRCULATION CENTER REMAINING
IN THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE GENERAL PATTERN OF AN UPPER LEVEL LOW COMPLEX CENTERED OVER
AND TO THE SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WHILE MODELS STRUGGLE WITH
THE TIMING AND POSITION OF INDIVIDUAL SURFACE LOWS ROTATING AROUND
THE MEAN CENTER...THEY ARE IN SOMEWHAT BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE
GENERAL PATTERN AND BRING A SERIES OF TROUGHS AND FRONTAL SYSTEMS
NORTH INTO THE GULF AND ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND INTO
BRISTOL BAY. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LIFTING NORTH ACROSS SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA SUNDAY NIGHT WILL BRING SOME COOLER AIR
ALOFT WITH IT TURNING PRECIPITATION OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS IN MOST
LOCATIONS THROUGH THE NIGHT. THE NEXT SURFACE LOW AND FRONTAL
SYSTEM WILL ROTATE INTO THE SOUTHWEST GULF MONDAY MORNING THEN
CONTINUE TO THE NORTHWEST AND ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA MONDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL TROUGHS FOLLOWING.
RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER MAINLAND ALASKA MIDWEEK FOR A DRIER BREAK
BEFORE FRONTAL SYSTEMS START LIFTING NORTH THROUGH THE GULF AND
OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AROUND THURSDAY OR FRIDAY.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 119 120 130 131.
 GALE WARNING 125 132 136 137 138 139 150 155 178 185.
 HEAVY FRZ SPRAY 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...KH
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...JA
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AD
LONG TERM...JR

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 26, 3:09 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days
Feb 26, 3:16 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC13 hr
Feb 26, 3:16 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFC37 hr
Feb 27, 3:10 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Feb 27, 3:10 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC3 days
Feb 27, 3:59 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC11 hr
Feb 27, 3:59 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC24 hr
Feb 27, 4:00 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC11 hr
Feb 27, 8:34 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC19 hr
Feb 27, 9:38 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC5 hr
Feb 27, 2:53 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Feb 27, 2:53 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.