Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016

Gale Warning 10, NWS Anchorage, AK

January 12, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 12, 2016, 3:19 PM AKST. It was in force for 5 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 12, 2016, 3:19 PM AKST (00:19 UTC)
Expired
Jan 17, 2016, 3:38 AM AKST
In force
5 days
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

029 
FZAK62 PAFC 130019
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
319 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-131430-
319 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 971 MB LOW NEAR 50N 177E MOVES TO 49N 177W EARLY THU AND
DISSIPATES. A 984 MB LOW NEAR 62N 167W MOVES TO 64N 167W WED
MORNING AT 990 MB. BROAD EASTERLY FLOW OCCURS ACROSS THE BERING
THU.

$$

PKZ411-131430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
319 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 57N.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 TO 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 57N.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 57N.
.THU...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ412-131430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
319 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

.TONIGHT...NE TO NW WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 58N.
.WED...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 58N.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 58N.
.THU...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ413-131430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
319 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ414-131430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
319 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE TO SW WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$
9 follow-up statements
396 
FZAK62 PAFC 131252
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
352 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-140200-
352 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 978 MB LOW NEAR 51N 169W MOVES INTO THE NORTH PACIFIC AND
DISSIPATES THU MORNING. A 988 MB LOW NEAR 63N 168W MOVES TO 66N
168W LATE WED NIGHT AND DISSIPATES. A 974 MB LOW NEAR 48N 159W
WED AFTERNOON MOVES TO 52N 168W THU MORNING AT 977 MB...THEN 
DISSIPATES OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-140200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
352 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 57N.
.THU...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ412-140200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
352 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 57N.
.THU...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ413-140200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
352 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ414-140200-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
352 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$
861 
FZAK62 PAFC 140004
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
304 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-141430-
304 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 972 MB LOW NEAR 52N 175W MOVES TO 49N 177W AT 980 MB THU
AFTERNOON...THEN DISSIPATES. A FRONT NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
MOVES OVER THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND WESTERN BERING BY FRI
AFTERNOON. ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES THE SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA
LATE THU NIGHT...THEN STALLS THROUGH FRI AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-141430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
304 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 58N.
.THU...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ412-141430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
304 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 57N.
.THU...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.

$$

PKZ413-141430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
304 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. AND SNOW.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.

$$

PKZ414-141430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
304 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 TO 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$
694 
FZAK62 PAFC 141248
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
348 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-150230-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A 975 MB COMPLEX LOW CENTERED NEAR 51N 177W WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND GRADUALLY WEAKEN BEFORE DISSIPATING FRI MORNING. A
995 MB LOW NEAR 54N 168E WILL WEAKEN IN PLACE AND THEN DISSIPATE
FRI AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW WILL FORM NEAR 54N 176E FRI AFTERNOON
AND THEN MOVE TO NEAR 54N 170E AT THE SAME INTENSITY BY EARLY SAT
MORNING. A STRONG NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR 52N 157W AT
954 MB EARLY SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-150230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY N OF 58N.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ412-150230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ413-150230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ414-150230-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
348 AM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.SAT THROUGH MON...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$
823 
FZAK62 PAFC 150000
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-151430-
300 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 979 MB LOW NEAR 49N 177W DISSIPATES AS IT MOVES AWAY FROM THE
ALEUTIANS TONIGHT. A FRONT STALLS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA
FRI AFTERNOON AND THEN SPREADS OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH
SAT AFTERNOON...GRADUALLY WEAKENING STARTING EARLY SAT MORNING.
ANOTHER FRONT OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FRI AFTERNOON STALLS
THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-151430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
300 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND
RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ412-151430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ413-151430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT.

$$

PKZ414-151430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
300 PM AKST THU JAN 14 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 15 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$
890 
FZAK62 PAFC 151253
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
353 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-160215-
353 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN
THROUGH SUN MORNING. A STRONG NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO NEAR
51N 160W AT 955 MB SAT MORNING...THEN REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY
WHILE SLOWLY WEAKENING TO 962 MB EARLY SUN MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-160215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
353 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ412-160215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
353 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ413-160215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
353 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 TO 20 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT.

$$

PKZ414-160215-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
353 AM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 20 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 20 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 19 FT.
.SUN THROUGH TUE...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$
905 
FZAK62 PAFC 160000
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-161430-
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERN
BERING SEA AND WEAKEN LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. BROAD NORTHEASTERLY
FLOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING SEA AND
ALEUTIANS THROUGH SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ411-161430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 17 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 18 FT.

$$

PKZ412-161430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 TO 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 17 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ413-161430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 19 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ414-161430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
300 PM AKST FRI JAN 15 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 TO 19 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. SNOW. 
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$
123 
FZAK62 PAFC 161235
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
335 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-170245-
335 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 955 MB LOW NEAR 51N 157W WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY WHILE
WEAKENING TO 974 MB THROUGH MON MORNING. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL REMAIN OVER THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN THROUGH SUN NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-170245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
335 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N
OF 57N.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY
N OF 56N.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 19 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 TO 20 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 13 FT.

$$

PKZ412-170245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
335 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.

$$

PKZ413-170245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
335 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-170245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
335 AM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. SNOW. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT.
.MON THROUGH WED...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 TO 9 FT.

$$
069 
FZAK62 PAFC 170000
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-171430-
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...
BROAD NORTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS MUCH OF THE BERING SEA AND
ALEUTIANS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A 984 MB LOW DEVELOPS NEAR
54N 177W SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW MOVES TO NEAR 52N 179E AT 984 MB
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-171430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT.
.SUN...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY N OF
56N.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY N OF 56N.
.MON...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 TO 19 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.

$$

PKZ412-171430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 TO 18 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 9 TO 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-171430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.MON...NE WIND UP TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 7 TO 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-171430-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
300 PM AKST SAT JAN 16 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY N OF 57N.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 10 FT. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$
324 
FZAK62 PAFC 171238
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
338 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-180245-
338 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 965 MB LOW AT 48N 159W MOVES TO 52N 151W AS A 981 MB LOW TUE
MORNING. A WEAK FRONT EXTENDS ALONG THE ALEUTIANS TO KAMCHATKA. A
987 MB LOW FORMS NEAR 54N 180 MON MORNING AND MOVES TO 50N 179W
TUE MORNING.

$$

PKZ411-180245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE-
338 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 16 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 TO 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN
SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 57N.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 TO 18 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 15 FT.

$$

PKZ412-180245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N-
338 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 TO 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 10 TO 17 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N.
.MON...NE WIND 20 TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 TO 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. SNOW
AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 58N.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 TO 14 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ413-180245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N-
338 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 TO 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 TO 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 10 TO 25 KT. SEAS 6 TO 11 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 7 TO 12 FT.

$$

PKZ414-180245-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W-
338 AM AKST SUN JAN 17 2016

.TODAY...N TO E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 13 FT. PATCHY FOG.
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY N OF 56N.
.TONIGHT...N TO E WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. FREEZING
SPRAY N OF 58N.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 10 TO 20 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 12, 4:41 AM AKST, 10 hours 38 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 12, 4:41 AM AKST, 10 hours 38 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
441 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW COMPLEX OVER THE BERING SEA CONTINUES TO
DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE STATE. TWO
DISTINCT UPPER LEVEL LOWS ARE ROTATING AROUND THIS COMPLEX...THE
FIRST OF WHICH IS SKIRTING THE SOUTHWEST COAST AND HAS BROUGHT
SNOW SHOWERS TO WESTERN BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
OVERNIGHT. THE OTHER IS A STORM FORCE LOW LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF
THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS...AND IS BRINGING RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS TO THE
CENTRAL/WESTERN ALEUTIANS. A DEFORMATION BAND EXTENDING
NORTHWESTWARD FROM THIS LOW BROUGHT THE HEAVIEST OF THE SNOWFALL
TO THE SHEMYA AREA OVERNIGHT...BUT IS BEGINNING TO DISSIPATE AS
IT MOVES OFF TO THE SOUTHWEST. OVER THE PANHANDLE/NW
CANADA...PERSISTENT RIDGING IS BEING USHERED AWAY BY THE NEXT LOW
THAT IS BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE GULF. THIS LOW WILL MOVE INTO
THE EASTERN GULF TODAY...AND HELP TO BRING MORE ACTIVE WEATHER TO
MUCH OF THE SOUTH MAINLAND OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE
NORTHWESTERN EDGE OF THIS LOW...A WEAKENING INVERTED TROUGH OVER
THE NORTH GULF IS BRINGING RAIN MAINLY TO THE GULF COAST.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT THROUGH MID
WEEK...WHICH IS SOMEWHAT SURPRISING CONSIDERING THE VERY COMPLEX
PATTERN CURRENTLY OVER MUCH OF THE STATE. THE MAIN DIFFERENCES IN
THE MODELS ARE INSTEAD SMALLER SCALE FEATURES THAT ARE HAVING A
SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON FORECAST CONFIDENCE...ESPECIALLY WITH
REGARDS TO A DEFORMATION BAND THAT LOOKS TO SWING THROUGH
SOUTHCENTRAL STARTING THIS AFTERNOON. THE MODELS CONTINUED TO
STRUGGLE OVERNIGHT WITH ITS TIMING...INTENSITY AND LONGEVITY. IN
PARTICULAR THE HIGHER RESOLUTION NAM AND GEM REGIONAL ARE THE
FASTEST IN BRINGING HEAVIER RAIN/SNOW INTO SOUTHCENTRAL BY THIS
AFTERNOON...WHILE THE GFS TRENDED MUCH WEAKER AND SLOWER OVERNIGHT
WITH THE 6Z RUN. THERE IS BETTER AGREEMENT HOWEVER THAT ANY
PRECIPITATION SHOULD SWITCH OVER TO SNOW IF NOT STARTING INITIALLY
WITH SNOW FROM THIS EVENT. WITH THIS LARGE AMOUNT OF DISCREPANCY
IN THE MODELS...CHANGES TO THE FORECAST WERE KEPT RELATIVELY SMALL
INTO WEDNESDAY. MODEL AGREEMENT THEN BEGINS TO IMPROVE AS A
SHORTWAVE RIDES UP COOK INLET ON TOP OF THE DEFORMATION
BAND...LEADING TO HIGHER CONFIDENCE THAT MOST AREAS OF
SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE GULF COAST WILL SEE SNOW AT SOME POINT ON
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY. LOTS
OF WEAK "RIPPLES" IN THE VORTICITY FIELDS ARE MAKING THE FORECAST
FAIRLY DIFFICULT...AS THE MODELS ARE STRUGGLING TO RESOLVE THESE
SUBTLE (BUT IMPORTANT FOR THE SENSIBLE WEATHER) FEATURES. A WEAK
SYSTEM WILL SLIDE EAST-TO-WEST OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA
TODAY...SLIDING WEST OF ANCHORAGE TONIGHT. BY LATE TONIGHT AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS WILL
PUSH THE SYSTEM BACK TOWARDS THE EAST...CROSSING ANCHORAGE AGAIN
ON WEDNESDAY. THIS TIME THE SYSTEM WILL THEN BE BETTER
ORGANIZED...WITH A NICE BAROCLINIC ZONE TO GO WITH THE TROUGH. THE
TROUGH WILL THEN PUSH NORTHEAST INTO THE COPPER RIVER BASIN LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND CONDITIONS WILL DRY OUT BEHIND IT.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A SURFACE LOW CENTERED ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA EARLY THIS
MORNING TRACKS SLOWLY NORTHWEST TODAY WITH STRONGER WESTERLY FLOW
INCREASING ACROSS THE DELTA LATER THIS MORNING. SNOW WILL CONTINUE
TO DEVELOP AROUND THE LOW CENTER BRINGING ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2
INCHES ACROSS THE DELTA. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST...FLOW
WILL BE WEAK AS RIDGING BUILDS INTO BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH ACROSS THESE AREAS LATE
TODAY WITH A SIGNIFICANTLY COLDER AIR MASS SETTLING TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. LIGHTER FLOW ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
TONIGHT COMBINED WITH TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS JUST OFF THE SURFACE
WILL BRING PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH AREAS OF FOG EXPECTED
OVER BRISTOL BAY. FOG IMPROVEMENT SHOULD OCCUR BY EARLY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...HOWEVER THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY MAY SEE PROLONGED
CONDITIONS AS TEMPERATURE AND DEW POINT TEMPERATURES FALL THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. FOG SHOULD NOT BE AS WIDESPREAD WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE MOVING FROM THE ALASKA PENINSULA KEEPS THE
ENVIRONMENT SLIGHTLY LESS STABLE.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS AND ALASKA PENINSULA (DAYS
1 AND 2)...
THE STORM SYSTEM JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER CONCERN THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. THIS
SYSTEM STALLS A FRONT ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CHAIN TODAY
BRINGING PERSISTENT MAX GALE WINDS ACROSS THE MARINES AND STRONG
WINDS ACROSS THE ISLANDS. SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW ALONG THE FRONT
SHOULD IMPROVE TONIGHT AS THE FRONT SLIGHTLY WEAKENS.
TONIGHT...ANOTHER PACIFIC SURFACE LOW RACES NORTH AND ENHANCES THE
FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BRINGING A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW
FURTHER EAST ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS. BY WEDNESDAY...THE FRONT
LOOKS TO STRETCH ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS THROUGH
THE ALASKA PENINSULA WITH NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS AND BERING AS THE LOW CENTERS SOUTH OF ADAK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL BE MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHCENTRAL
REGION BEFORE EXITING THE AOR BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE
SOUTHERLY JET HAS MOVED SLIGHTLY WESTWARD FROM YESTERDAY. IT WILL
BE LOCATED MORE OVER THE WESTERN VALLEY OF THE SUSITNA VALLEY AND
THE THE ALASKA RANGE. THE ENTRANCE REGION OF THIS JET STREAK WILL
ENHANCE THE POSSIBILITY FOR MORE SNOWFALL AS THIS FEATURE MOVES
NORTHWARD. THE ANCHORAGE BOWL WILL STILL SEE SOME SNOWFALL AS THIS
SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. BY THURSDAY A RIDGE WILL BUILD
INTO THE GULF EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION AND THE
SOUTHWEST INTERIOR. THIS WILL RESULT IN DRIER CONDITIONS WITH WARM
AIR ADVECTION ACCOMPANIED BY WARMER TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT OUR
AOR HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND.

ON THE BERING SIDE...A WEAK LOW LOCATED IN THE BERING STRAIT WILL
CONTINUE TO FILL AND DISSIPATE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. WHILE A LOW
WILL DEVELOP JUST SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THIS SYSTEM
WILL MOVE EASTWARD AND MERGE WITH ANOTHER NORTH PACIFIC LOW
LOCATED SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL/EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY THURSDAY
MORNING. THIS SYNOPTIC FEATURE WILL THEN MERGE AND BECOME A BROAD
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE SOUTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY FRIDAY
HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. THIS PATTERN WILL PRODUCE A SHOWERY
WEATHER REGIME FOR THE BERING SEA AND THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN FOR THE
REST OF THE WEEK AND THE WEEKEND. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE
WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE BROAD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPING
JUST SOUTH OF THE BERING SEA AND THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN. THIS IS
RESULTING IN THE FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEING BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH
THIS UPCOMING WEEKEND.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES...155 170 171 172 175 176 177 178.
		 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DEK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...BL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...KH
LONG TERM...PD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 12, 3:19 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC60 hr
Jan 12, 3:19 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Jan 12, 3:19 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC60 hr
Jan 12, 3:21 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jan 12, 10:25 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC17 hr
Jan 13, 3:15 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Jan 13, 3:52 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC5 days
Jan 13, 3:53 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Jan 13, 6:32 AM AKSTDense Fog AdvisoryAFC4 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.