Alert archive / Oklahoma / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Tulsa, OK

March 31, 2015McIntosh County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this special weather statement at Mar 31, 2015, 10:13 PM CDT for McIntosh County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 47 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Mar 31, 2015, 10:13 PM CDT (03:13 UTC)
Expired: Mar 31, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County McIntosh County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 90 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Mar 31, 10:40 PM CDT	HAIL 0.88	4 E Pierce, OK	REPORTED AT INTERSTATE 40 AND STATE HIGHWAY 150. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.
Mar 31, 10:40 PM CDT	HAIL 1	Pierce, OK	HAIL FELL JUST EAST OF PIERCE. TIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR. RELAYED VIA BROADCAST MEDIA SOCIAL MEDIA ACCOUNT.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 171 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1642 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -15 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1964 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 32 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 5 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 79 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

281 
WWUS84 KTSA 010313
SPSTSA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1013 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

OKZ070-071-074-010400-
HASKELL OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-
1013 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN HASKELL AND EASTERN MCINTOSH

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN MUSKOGEE

AT 1014 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF PIERCE...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CHECOTAH...STIDHAM...ONAPA...
PIERCE...RENTIESVILLE...WARNER AND LAKE EUFAULA STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3551 9574 3556 9530 3524 9530 3527 9545
      3529 9545 3530 9550 3528 9552 3533 9574
TIME...MOT...LOC 0314Z 262DEG 9KT 3542 9567

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Mar 31, 8:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 31, 8:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
833 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS EVENING
NEAR A SURFACE BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR OKEMAH TO WEBBERS FALLS
AND INTO WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS NEAR INTERSTATE 40. THE MAIN THREAT FROM
THESE STORMS IS VERY LARGE HAIL. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO FADE OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AS WE LOSE DAYTIME HEATING. OUR FOCUS WILL THEN TURN
OUT TO OUR WEST WHERE SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED
ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS. THIS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
CONGEAL TOGETHER AND SPREAD TO THE EAST OVERNIGHT AND MOVE INTO EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAVE ADJUSTED POPS AFTER 6Z TO ACCOUNT FOR
THIS TREND. OTHERWISE...CURRENT FORECAST FOR TONIGHT IS ON TRACK.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...10

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 31, 4:50 PM CDT, 5 hours 23 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
450 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-011030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
450 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT.
TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
        AREA...LOCATIONS MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
        ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...LOCATIONS MAINLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40.
	ONSET...LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

FIRE WEATHER DANGER.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...LOCATIONS NORTHWEST OF INTERSTATE 44.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST-
CENTRAL ARKANSAS IN THE VICINITY OF A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY. THE AIR MASS
ACROSS THE REGION IN VERY UNSTABLE WITH ADEQUATE SHEAR TO PRODUCE SUPERCELLS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH.
ADDITIONALLY...A LIMITED TORNADO RISK WILL ACCOMPANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP
THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING AS SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE
MAXIMIZED DURING THIS TIME FRAME.

THERE IS ALSO THE INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TO
DEVELOPS ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING AND MOVE INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AS WE MOVE INTO THE LATE NIGHT HOURS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
STRONG INSTABILITY WILL AGAIN DEVELOP WEDNESDAY AND SUPPORT
A LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE STORMS...HOWEVER LESS WIND SHEAR WILL
LOWER THE MAGNITUDE OF SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.

A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE PLAINS LATE
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY...WITH AN ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT PASSING
THROUGH THE REGION. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF
THE FRONT ALONG WITH WITH CONDITIONS SUPPORTIVE OF SEVERE
WEATHER. A BRIEF PERIOD OF DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS RETURN FOR
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. HOWEVER...THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN BY
LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 8:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
842 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

OKZ070-071-073-074-010230-
HASKELL OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
842 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN HASKELL...EASTERN MCINTOSH AND NORTHEASTERN PITTSBURG

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN MUSKOGEE

AT 842 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF EUFAULA...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...ENTERPRISE...WHITEFIELD...EUFAULA...
BRIARTOWN AND PORUM.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3546 9520 3512 9521 3520 9560 3534 9560
TIME...MOT...LOC 0142Z 270DEG 16KT 3527 9553

Local storm report, Mar 31, 9:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
901 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0855 PM     HAIL             EUFAULA                 35.29N 95.58W
03/31/2015  E1.00 INCH       MCINTOSH           OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RJS

Local storm report, Mar 31, 9:38 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
938 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0926 PM     HAIL             10 E EUFAULA            35.29N 95.40W
03/31/2015  E1.75 INCH       HASKELL            OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

RJS

Local storm report, Mar 31, 9:39 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
939 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0930 PM     HAIL             6 SW WARNER             35.43N 95.38W
03/31/2015  E1.75 INCH       MCINTOSH           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

RJS

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 10:11 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1011 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

OKZ066-010400-
OKMULGEE OK-
1011 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL OKMULGEE

AT 1012 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF
OKMULGEE STATE PARK...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...OKMULGEE...MORRIS...PRESTON...
BEGGS AND OKMULGEE STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3583 9590 3557 9583 3555 9619 3571 9619
TIME...MOT...LOC 0312Z 252DEG 11KT 3564 9614

Special weather statement, Mar 31, 10:13 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1013 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

OKZ070-071-074-010400-
HASKELL OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-
1013 PM CDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     WESTERN HASKELL AND EASTERN MCINTOSH

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN MUSKOGEE

AT 1014 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF PIERCE...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...CHECOTAH...STIDHAM...ONAPA...
PIERCE...RENTIESVILLE...WARNER AND LAKE EUFAULA STATE PARK.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND
GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3551 9574 3556 9530 3524 9530 3527 9545
      3529 9545 3530 9550 3528 9552 3533 9574
TIME...MOT...LOC 0314Z 262DEG 9KT 3542 9567

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 31, 7:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	49 min
Mar 31, 8:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okfuskee	38 min
Mar 31, 8:42 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh	48 min
Mar 31, 8:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Pittsburg	38 min
Mar 31, 8:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okfuskee	51 min
Mar 31, 9:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg	51 min
Mar 31, 9:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee	50 min
Mar 31, 10:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okmulgee	49 min
Mar 31, 10:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh	49 min
Mar 31, 10:52 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	McIntosh	113 min
Mar 31, 11:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee	49 min
Mar 31, 11:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	McIntosh	28 min
Mar 31, 11:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Okmulgee	39 min
Mar 31, 11:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Okmulgee	27 min
Apr 1, 1:08 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee	37 min
Apr 1, 1:58 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pittsburg	32 min
Apr 1, 2:07 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Okfuskee	38 min
Apr 1, 2:15 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pittsburg	45 min
Apr 1, 2:21 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	24 min
Apr 1, 2:34 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Osage	21 min
Apr 1, 2:43 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pushmataha	47 min
Apr 1, 2:54 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Creek, Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee	51 min
Apr 1, 3:21 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Osage	24 min
Apr 1, 3:23 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Washington	37 min
Apr 1, 3:24 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Pushmataha	51 min
Apr 1, 3:31 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Washington	29 min
Apr 1, 4:12 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell, Muskogee, Wagoner	48 min
Apr 1, 4:21 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Wagoner	39 min
Apr 1, 12:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Ottawa	35 min
Apr 1, 5:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw	34 min
Apr 1, 12:25 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Carroll	50 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oklahoma, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.