Severe Thunderstorm Warning 199, NWS Tulsa, OK

238 
WWUS54 KTSA 291938
SVSTSA

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
238 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

OKC021-097-145-291948-
/O.CAN.KTSA.SV.W.0199.000000T0000Z-150529T2015Z/
CHEROKEE OK-MAYES OK-WAGONER OK-
238 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL WAGONER...
SOUTHEASTERN MAYES AND NORTHWESTERN CHEROKEE COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.  HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY REDEVELOP...AND A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN 
EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM!

LAT...LON 3617 9501 3616 9501 3600 9500 3593 9530
      3612 9532 3632 9501
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 236DEG 24KT 3616 9518 3599 9517

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1229 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
WHILE BRIEF VFR CONDITIONS MAY OCCUR...MVFR TO IFR CIGS AND VSBYS WILL
PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF THE TAF PERIOD AS RA/TSRA CHANCES CONTINUE
AHEAD OF A SFC COLD FRONT THAT WILL CLEAR THE AREA OVERNIGHT. LATE
IN THE PERIOD...POST FRONTAL RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH FROM WEST TO
EAST...BUT MVFR CIGS AND PERIODS OF MVFR VSBYS IS LIGHT FOG ARE
EXPECTED AFTER 12Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1046 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AREAS OF RAIN AND ISOLATED/ SCATTERED THUNDER CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA THIS MORNING. RAIN CHANCES WILL REMAIN HIGH THROUGH TONIGHT
AS THE AREA REMAINS AHEAD OF THE MAIN SURFACE BOUNDARY. AS THAT FEATURE
MOVES THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW...RAIN CHANCES WILL
LESSEN SIGNIFICANTLY FROM WEST TO EAST. MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO
POPS...AND WILL KEEP THE HIGHEST CHANCES ACROSS THE WESTERN ZONES WERE
RAIN REMAINS ONGOING AND HAS STARTED TO SHOW A SLIGHT INCREASE IN
AREAL COVERAGE. DESPITE RELAXED RAINFALL RATES WITH MOST OF THE
ONGOING ACTIVITY IN THE SHORT TERM...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL/FLASH FLOOD
POTENTIAL REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY TONIGHT
AS FORCING ALONG THE FRONT INCREASES. THEREFORE...THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH CONFIGURATION AND EXPIRATION TIME WILL BE LEFT AS IS. HAVE
LOWERED TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES BASED ON RADAR AND SATELLITE
TRENDS. REMAINING ELEMENTS LEFT AS THEY ARE.

UPDATED ZFP/PFM/AFM/FRESHENED FFA OUT SHORTLY.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM SATURDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM SATURDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

AVIATION...23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
158 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-301030-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
158 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

TORNADO.
        RISK...LIMITED.
 	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
 	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
        ONSET...ONGOING.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA..AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON...THREAT EXPANDS
        EAST THIS AFTERNOON..AND INTO WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
        ARKANSAS BY THIS EVENING.

	ONSET...ONGOING.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON...THREAT EXPANDS
        EAST THIS AFTERNOON...AND INTO WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST
        ARKANSAS BY THIS EVENING.

        ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...

INCREASED WIND SHEAR IN THE LOWEST LEVELS WILL RESULT IN A LIMITED
TORNADO AND SEVERE WIND RISK THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS
OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA...WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. AREAS
ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 69 WILL RISK FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES AND
SEVERE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS TO 60 MILES AN HOUR THIS AFTERNOON. THE
SEVERE RISKS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL...AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

INCREASING AREAL COVERAGE OF RAIN OCCURRING THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND HAS RESULTED IN ADDITIONAL FLOODING
ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THIS ACTIVITY WILL IMPACT WEST
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY THIS EVENING...AND CONTINUE INTO
TONIGHT. THEREFORE...THE RISK FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THOSE AREAS OVERNIGHT AS THE RAIN AXIS
MOVES EAST. AREAL FLOODING NEAR THE MAIN STEM RIVERS AND LAKES WILL
BE MAINTAINED AS WELL.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT... LOCAL SPOTTER
ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...NO HAZARDS.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
A QUIETER UPPER LEVEL PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO TAKE SHAPE OVER THE
WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK...RESULTING IN MUCH DRIER CONDITIONS
COMPARED TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED DURING THE MONTH OF MAY. ONLY LOW
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ARE IN THE FORECAST FOR PARTS OF THE AREA
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLANNING STATEMENT...
PLEASE NOTE THAT AREAL FLOODING WILL LIKELY CONTINUE INTO NEXT
WEEK...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WHERE AREA LAKES AND ARE NEAR OR OVER FULL
CAPACITY...AND RIVERS THAT HAVE BEEN IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF AT
LEAST MODERATE FLOODING.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1058 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       5 W EUFAULA             35.29N 95.67W
05/29/2015  M3.27 INCH       MCINTOSH           OK   MESONET

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       FAYETTEVILLE            36.06N 94.16W
05/29/2015  M2.23 INCH       WASHINGTON         AR   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       10 NNW VINITA           36.77N 95.22W
05/29/2015  M2.16 INCH       CRAIG              OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR TOTAL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE HARTSHORNE        34.90N 95.53W
05/29/2015  M4.02 INCH       PITTSBURG          OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR TOTAL. COCORAHS.

&&

AEJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1234 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 S BIXBY               35.90N 95.88W
05/29/2015                   TULSA              OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WATER CROSSING MINGO ROAD BETWEEN 171ST AND 191ST.

&&

KAH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
125 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 W CLAREMORE           36.31N 95.63W
05/29/2015                   ROGERS             OK   PUBLIC

            STREET FLOODING WEST OF LYNN RIGGS BLVD AND SOUTH OF
            HIGHWAY 88. PHOTO RECEIVED ON SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

KAH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
127 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

OKZ070-072-074-291900-
HASKELL OK-MUSKOGEE OK-SEQUOYAH OK-
127 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 200 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHERN HASKELL

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHEASTERN MUSKOGEE AND WESTERN SEQUOYAH

AT 127 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 2 MILES NORTHEAST
OF WHITEFIELD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL
BE AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...STIGLER...WHITEFIELD...VIAN...
GORE...BRIARTOWN AND WEBBERS FALLS.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3563 9522 3552 9489 3519 9517 3520 9527
TIME...MOT...LOC 1827Z 207DEG 25KT 3529 9519

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
224 PM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PRYOR                   36.31N 95.32W
05/29/2015                   MAYES              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING IN AND NEAR PRYOR. WATER
            RESCUES ONGOING IN TOWN.

0223 PM     FLASH FLOOD      SALINA                  36.29N 95.15W
05/29/2015                   MAYES              OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIGNIFICANT STREET FLOODING IN SALINA.

&&

KAH