Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Advisories in 2015

River Flood Advisory 13, NWS Tulsa, OK

May 28, 2015Pushmataha County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood advisory at May 28, 2015, 9:04 PM CDT for Pushmataha County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 28, 2015, 9:04 PM CDT (02:04 UTC)
Expired: May 29, 2015, 8:43 AM CDT
In force: 12 hr
Issued by: NWS Tulsa, OK

County Pushmataha County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Kiamichi River near Antlers (ANTO2).

Action stage: 24 ft
Minor stage: 25 ft
Moderate stage: 29 ft
Major stage: 35 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07336200, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

611 
WGUS84 KTSA 290204
FLSTSA
FLOOD ADVISORY 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 
904 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Advisory 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County

OKC127-291004-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.Y.0013.150529T0204Z-150530T1403Z/
/ANTO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
904 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Advisory for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Action stage is 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 24.2 feet by Friday before 
  dawn, which is below flood stage.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, faster flows along the river are expected but
  no flooding occurs. Interests near the river should continue to 
  monitor later forecasts.

$$

2 follow-up statements

211 
WGUS84 KTSA 290818
FLSTSA
FLOOD ADVISORY 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 
318 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...The Flood Advisory continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County

OKC127-291618-
/O.CON.KTSA.FL.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-150529T1800Z/
/ANTO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
318 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

The Flood Advisory continues for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers
* until this afternoon, or until the advisory is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Friday, the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Action stage is 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is below flood stage and will continue to fall
  but will remain above action stage.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, faster flows along the river are expected but
  no flooding occurs. Interests near the river should continue to 
  monitor later forecasts.

$$

545 
WGUS84 KTSA 291343
FLSTSA
FLOOD ADVISORY 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK 
843 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Kiamichi River near Antlers affecting Pushmataha County

OKC127-291413-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-150529T1800Z/
/ANTO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
843 AM CDT FRI MAY 29 2015

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
  The Kiamichi River near Antlers
  and has been replaced by a Flood Warning.
* At  8:30 AM Friday, the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Action stage is 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 25.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is forecast to rise above flood stage by late 
  this morning. Therefore the Flood Advisory is cancelled for this 
  location and has been replaced by a Flood Warning. Please refer to 
  the Flood Warning and any follow up statements for further 
  information.
* Forecast...The Kiamichi River near Antlers is expected to rise 
  above flood stage late this morning and continue to rise to near 
  27.0 feet by Saturday before dawn. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, minor flooding occurs along the west bank of 
  the Kiamichi River near Moyers. Campers should move to higher 
  ground.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3441 9569 3424 9569 3419 9558 3417 9543 3442 9550

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at May 28, 6:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 28, 6:00 PM CDT, 3 hours 4 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
600 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
FOR THE 0Z TAFS... VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL AT ALL
SITES THROUGHOUT THE 24 HOUR FORECAST PERIOD... WITH MID AND HIGH
OVERCAST. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS MAY PERIODICALLY AFFECT ANY SITE
BEGINNING AFTER ABOUT 9Z... THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.

NOTE: ONGOING PROBLEM WITH VIZ SENSOR AT KRVS CONTINUES TO
PRODUCE FALSE LOW VIS READINGS. WE EXPECT P6SM CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL. HOWEVER... IF REPORTED WX BECOMES ANYTHING OTHER THAN
HZ... VIZ MAY THEN POSSIBLY BE LOWER.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
ONE AREA OF RAIN/THUNDER LINGERS ACROSS NW AR THIS AFTERNOON...WITH
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UPSTREAM. THIS CONVECTION
LOOKS TO IMPACT EASTERN OK FROM THE WEST LATER TONIGHT. THIS
ACTIVITY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY
TOMORROW..SO HAVE ESSENTIALLY FLIP FLOPPED POPS FROM MORNING TO
AFTERNOON. FOCUS WILL THEN TURN TO STORMS THAT DEVELOP ALONG THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. ONCE THIS
BOUNDARY PASSES THROUGH THE REGION...RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO
FINALLY DIMINISH AS THE LONG AWAITED AIRMASS CHANGE BEGINS TO TAKE
HOLD. THROUGH THIS PERIOD HOWEVER...LOCALLY HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN AS IS
INTO SUNDAY MORNING FOR EASTERN OKLAHOMA. BEYOND SUNDAY...THE EARLY
PART OF THE NEXT WEEK WILL BE KEPT DRY FOR NOW. UPPER SYSTEM THAT
HAD CLEARED THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND BECOMES TRAPPED UNDER MODEST
RIDGING THAT TAKES PLACE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS. IT LOOKS AT THIS
TIME THAT THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE WEAKNESS...SO HAVE KEPT LOW POPS CONFINED TO
FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. HAVE OPTED TO KEEP
MAX TEMPERATURES FOR THE EARLY PERIODS ON THE COOLER SIDE OF
GUIDANCE. ONCE THE FRONT PASSES...SOME COOLER OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE
EXPECTED AS THE DRIER AIR SETTLES OVER REGION FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO MODERATE SOME DURING THE WEEK AS A
SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO THE SURFACE WIND RETURNS...AND THE
AFOREMENTIONED CHANCES FOR RAIN ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN ZONES
REMAIN LOW.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM SUNDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...06

Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 5:13 PM CDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
513 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-291000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
513 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

...FLOOD POTENTIAL CONTINUES INTO THE WEEKEND...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...AFTER MIDNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TO OUR WEST
TONIGHT...MOVING INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND POSSIBLY NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS AFTER MIDNIGHT. THIS ACTIVITY COULD PRODUCE SOME SEVERE
WEATHER AS IT MOVES INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA...BUT ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING REMAINS THE PRIMARY CONCERN.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...NO HAZARDS.
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE ONGOING EARLY FRIDAY...WITH ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT POSSIBLE INTO THE AFTERNOON. HIGH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES
WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST INTO SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE AREA. THE CONTINUED RISK OF MODERATE TO HEAVY
RAINFALL FROM STORMS HAS PROMPTED A FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. OVERALL..FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM
THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL AND WIND SECONDARY THREATS.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL LESSEN HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK...BUT AT
LEAST ISOLATED STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN FAR EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 28, 3:20 PM CDT, 5 hours 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
320 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     N HIGHFILL              36.26N 94.36W
05/28/2015                   BENTON             AR   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE TREES UPROOTED NORTH OF HIGHFILL. EMERGENCY MANAGER
            ALSO REPORTS OTHER DAMAGE IN THE COUNTY.

&&

KAH

Local storm report, May 28, 3:25 PM CDT, 5 hours 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
325 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0322 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E MIAMI               36.87N 94.84W
05/28/2015                   OTTAWA             OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HIGHWAY 69A NEAR BUFFALO RUN CASINO IS CLOSED TO TRAFFIC
            DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

KAH

Local storm report, May 28, 3:39 PM CDT, 5 hours 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
339 PM CDT THU MAY 28 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     FLASH FLOOD      STILWELL                35.81N 94.63W
05/28/2015                   ADAIR              OK   PUBLIC

            E0820 ROAD FLOODED. PHOTO RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

0325 PM     FLASH FLOOD      BERNICE                 36.62N 94.92W
05/28/2015                   DELAWARE           OK   PUBLIC

            FLOODED ROADS. PHOTO RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

KAH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 29, 12:16 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Choctaw, Haskell, Latimer, Pittsburg, Pushmataha	3 hr
May 29, 3:55 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	95 min
May 29, 8:20 AM CDT	River Flood Advisory	TSA	Cherokee	4 days
May 29, 8:41 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	TSA	Pushmataha	54 hr
May 29, 11:31 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Creek, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage, Tulsa, Washington	6 hr
May 29, 12:08 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	McIntosh, Muskogee, Nowata, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa and 1 more	6 hr
May 29, 1:25 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Adair, Cherokee, Craig, Delaware, Mayes, Muskogee and 3 more	3 hr
May 29, 1:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Haskell	33 min
May 29, 1:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Muskogee, Sequoyah	43 min
May 29, 1:39 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Mayes	6 hr
May 29, 1:40 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah	35 min
May 29, 1:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Mayes	46 min
May 29, 1:47 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Wagoner	43 min
May 29, 2:13 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Sequoyah	47 min
May 29, 2:18 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Haskell, Muskogee, Sequoyah, Wagoner	4 hr
May 29, 2:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Delaware, Mayes	42 min
May 29, 2:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Cherokee, Mayes, Wagoner	13 min
May 29, 2:31 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Delaware, Mayes	29 min
May 29, 2:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	39 min
May 29, 2:53 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Craig, Delaware, Ottawa	4 hr
May 29, 2:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Delaware, Ottawa	36 min
May 29, 3:05 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	25 min
May 29, 3:20 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Delaware, Ottawa	55 min
May 29, 3:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TSA	Adair, Cherokee	37 min
May 29, 3:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Adair	35 min
May 29, 4:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	42 min
May 29, 5:22 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	TSA	Choctaw, Pushmataha	53 min
May 29, 5:46 PM CDT	Areal Flood Warning	TSA	Nowata, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Rogers, Tulsa, Wagoner	4 hr
May 29, 6:32 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	TSA	Choctaw, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha	6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Advisories in Oklahoma, 2015 Every river flood advisory in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.