Alert archive / Oklahoma / River Flood Warnings in 2015

River Flood Warning 69, NWS Tulsa, OK

July 7, 2015Ottawa County, Oklahoma

NWS Tulsa, OK issued this river flood warning at Jul 7, 2015, 7:55 PM CDT for Ottawa County, Oklahoma. It took effect at Jul 9, 2015, 5:28 AM CDT. It was in force for 30 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 7, 2015, 7:55 PM CDT (00:55 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 9, 2015, 5:28 AM CDT
Expired
Jul 10, 2015, 11:00 AM CDT
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS Tulsa, OK
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Ottawa County, OK

The radar

The Tulsa radar (KINX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Spring River near Quapaw (QUAO2).

Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
20 ft
Moderate stage
24 ft
Major stage
30 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07188000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

962 
WGUS44 KTSA 080055
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
755 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015


...The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a Flood Warning 
for the following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-080855-
/O.NEW.KTSA.FL.W.0069.150709T1800Z-150710T1600Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150709T1800Z.150710T0000Z.150710T1000Z.NO/
755 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

The National Weather Service in Tulsa has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Spring River near Quapaw
* from Thursday afternoon to Friday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  7:00 PM Tuesday, the stage was 13.17 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Thursday afternoon and continue to rise to near 
  20.6 feet by Thursday evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$
10 follow-up statements
042 
WGUS84 KTSA 080726
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
226 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-081526-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0068.150709T1552Z-150711T0015Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150709T1552Z.150710T0600Z.150710T1815Z.NO/
226 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from Thursday morning to Friday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 11.41 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage late Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 17.0
  feet by Friday before dawn . The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC115-081525-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.150709T1740Z-150710T1520Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150709T1740Z.150710T0000Z.150710T0920Z.NO/
226 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* from Thursday afternoon to Friday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:00 AM Wednesday, the stage was 12.23 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Thursday afternoon and continue to rise to near 
  20.6 feet by Thursday evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$
155 
WGUS84 KTSA 081343
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
843 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-082143-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0068.150709T1042Z-150711T0015Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150709T1042Z.150710T0600Z.150710T1815Z.NO/
843 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from late tonight to Friday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Wednesday, the stage was 11.25 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage early Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 
  17.1 feet by late Friday night. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC115-082143-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.150709T2320Z-150710T1200Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150709T2320Z.150710T0000Z.150710T0600Z.NO/
843 AM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* from Thursday evening to Friday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:00 AM Wednesday, the stage was 11.08 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage Thursday evening and continue to rise to near 20.1 feet
  by Thursday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late Thursday night.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$
050 
WGUS84 KTSA 081931
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
231 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-090331-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0068.150709T0500Z-150710T1933Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150709T0500Z.150710T0000Z.150710T1333Z.NO/
231 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from late tonight to Friday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 11.84 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage late tonight and continue to rise to near 17.2 feet by
  Thursday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC115-090330-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.150709T0909Z-150710T1248Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150709T0909Z.150709T1800Z.150710T0648Z.NO/
231 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* from late tonight to Friday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 12:00 PM Wednesday, the stage was 13.11 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 
  21.7 feet by early Thursday afternoon. The river is expected to 
  fall below flood stage Friday before dawn.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, park and recreational areas experience minor 
  flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$
508 
WGUS84 KTSA 090056
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
756 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-090856-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0068.150709T0200Z-150710T2322Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150709T0200Z.150710T0000Z.150710T1722Z.NO/
756 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Friday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 14.70 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 17.5 feet by 
  Thursday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC115-090856-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.150709T0843Z-150710T0430Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150709T0843Z.150709T1200Z.150709T2230Z.NO/
756 PM CDT WED JUL 8 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* from late tonight to Thursday evening, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM Wednesday, the stage was 18.41 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Thursday morning and continue to rise to near 
  20.6 feet by Thursday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$
634 
WGUS84 KTSA 090652
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
152 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-091452-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-150710T2336Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150709T0115Z.150710T0000Z.150710T1736Z.NO/
152 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Friday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 16.38 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 17.5 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC115-091451-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.150709T1028Z-150709T2159Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150709T1028Z.150709T1200Z.150709T1559Z.NO/
152 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* from early this morning to this afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 18.83 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early this morning and continue to rise to near 20.2 
  feet by this morning. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage late this morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$
152 
WGUS84 KTSA 091335
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
835 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-092135-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-150712T1330Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150709T0115Z.150710T0600Z.150712T0730Z.NO/
835 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday morning...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 17.13 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 17.8 feet late tonight. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Saturday night.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC115-092135-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-150711T0000Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150710T0300Z.150710T1200Z.150710T1800Z.NO/
835 AM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Friday evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until Friday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Wednesday, the stage was 18.83 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 20.2 feet by 
  Friday morning. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$
515 
WGUS84 KTSA 091927
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
227 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-100327-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-150712T2024Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150709T0115Z.150711T1800Z.150712T1424Z.NO/
227 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 17.43 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 17.7 feet this afternoon. The river will then fall to near 16.0
  feet Friday evening before rising again. The river is then expected
  to rise to near 17.8 feet early Saturday afternoon. The river will 
  fall below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC115-100326-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-150712T1800Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150711T0951Z.150712T0000Z.150712T1200Z.NO/
227 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 18.27 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 
  21.4 feet by Saturday evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, park and recreational areas experience minor 
  flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$
856 
WGUS84 KTSA 100207
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
907 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-101007-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-150711T1900Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150709T0115Z.150710T0130Z.150711T1300Z.NO/
907 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 17.47 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC115-101007-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-150711T1630Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150710T1017Z.150711T0000Z.150711T1030Z.NO/
907 PM CDT THU JUL 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 19.17 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage early Friday morning and continue to rise to near 21.0 
  feet by Friday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, park and recreational areas experience minor 
  flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$
950 
WGUS84 KTSA 100730
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
230 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-101530-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-150711T0000Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150710T0557Z.150710T1200Z.150710T1800Z.NO/
230 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until this evening.
* At  2:00 AM Friday, the stage was 20.04 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will continue rising to 
  near 20.3 feet this morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage this afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$
228 
WGUS84 KTSA 101326
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
826 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-102126-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-150711T0240Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150709T0115Z.150710T0430Z.150710T2040Z.NO/
826 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until this evening...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until this evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Friday, the stage was 16.98 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC115-101356-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0069.000000T0000Z-150711T0000Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150710T0557Z.150710T0800Z.150710T1054Z.NO/
826 AM CDT FRI JUL 10 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* At  8:00 AM Friday, the stage was 19.87 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage early this morning.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will continue falling and 
  remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Jul 7, 6:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 7, 6:43 PM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
643 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
WIDESPREAD PRECIP WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY
TOMORROW...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 40. WIDESPREAD MVFR TO
PERIODIC IFR CEILINGS WILL BE REALIZED ACROSS NE OK / FAR NW AR
WHICH WILL REMAIN NORTH OF A WEAK WARM FRONT. SOUTH OF THE
BOUNDARY WIDELY VARYING FLIGHT CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED RANGING
FROM VFR TO OCCASSIONAL IFR AS THE HEAVIER PRECIP CORES PASS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 247 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015/

DISCUSSION...
HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES IN THE VICINITY OF A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
THAT EXTENDS FROM EXTREME NORTHWEST ARKANSAS INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON. FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN PLACE
FOR MUCH OF THIS AREA NEAR THE BOUNDARY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
CONTINUES FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS EXPECTED TO
AFFECT THE AREA LATER TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING AS A MID-
LEVEL SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER NORTHWEST TEXAS MOVES ACROSS THE
AREA. THIS WILL CAUSE THE SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO DRIFT BACK
TO THE NORTH OVERNIGHT. THEREFORE...THE FOCUS OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN
WILL MOVE BACK TO THE NORTH. THE THREAT FOR THE HEAVY RAIN WILL
TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS THE MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVES
OFF THE NORTHEAST. WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT A GOOD AREA OF 3 TO 5
INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS WITH
LOCALLY UP TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE.

WILL CONTINUE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
INTO THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE SURFACE BOUNDARY SLOWLY LIFTS NORTH
OUT OF THE AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEARLY AS
GREAT DURING THIS TIME-FRAME.

AFTER THE RAIN ENDS...THE WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN AS A UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHEAST UNITED STATES EXPANDS ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS. SUNDAY AND MONDAY ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE HOTTEST
DAYS WITH TEMPERATURES TAPERING SLIGHTLY AS WE MOVE INTO NEXT
TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   67  78  69  88 / 100  90  50  50
FSM   73  84  70  90 /  80  80  50  30
MLC   71  81  72  87 /  90  90  40  20
BVO   64  77  65  85 / 100  90  50  50
FYV   68  78  68  84 /  90 100  60  40
BYV   67  78  67  84 / 100  90  50  40
MKO   69  78  68  86 / 100 100  60  30
MIO   64  76  65  83 /  90 100  50  50
F10   68  77  70  87 / 100 100  60  20
HHW   74  85  72  89 /  70  60  20  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR OKZ049-053>076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR ARZ001-002-010-
     011-019-020-029.

&&

AVIATION...07
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 7, 4:47 PM CDT, 3 hours 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
447 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-081045-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
447 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD AND HEAVY RAIN.
	RISK...SIGNIFICANT.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.

THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY FROM SOUTHWEST
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  TROPICAL
MOISTURE  LIFTING OVER THAT BOUNDARY  WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
HEAVY RAINFALL AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.  RAINFALL RATES OF
ONE INCH PER HOUR WILL BE COMMON...LOCAL AMOUNTS OF TWO INCHES
PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED. A SURFACE WAVE MOVING ALONG THE FRONT
TONIGHT WILL EXPAND THE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN AND ENHANCE RAINFALL
RATES.  THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO WIDESPREAD FLOODING AND FLASH
FLOODING FOR MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA  AND  NORTHWEST AND WEST
CENTRAL ARKANSAS TONIGHT.

TOTAL RAINFALL FROM THIS SYSTEM  WILL  LIKELY BE IN THE 3 TO 5
INCH RANGE FOR MOST LOCATIONS IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS.  LOCAL RAIN AMOUNTS MAY REACH 10 INCHES IN PERSISTENT
HEAVY RAIN BANDS OR REPEAT THUNDERSTORMS.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WEST CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING FROM INTERSTATE 40 SOUTH WILL
PRODUCE SOME WIND GUST TO AROUND 40 MILES AN HOUR.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION NOT EXPECTED. SOME WATER RESCUES CAN BE
ANTICIPATED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SATURDAY...NO HAZARDS.
SUNDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HEAVY RAINFALL POTENTIAL CONTINUES WEDNESDAY IN ASSOCIATION
WITH THE FRONTAL WAVE.   THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM  POTENTIAL
BECOMES CONFINED TO AREAS  NEAR THE KANSAS BORDER... BEFORE
EXITING THE REGION FRIDAY.

A MID LEVEL RIDGE WILL SET UP OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS
WEEKEND...LEADING TO SEVERAL DAYS OF HOT AND HUMID WEATHER.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 7, 3:33 PM CDT, 4 hours 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
333 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

ARZ019-029-OKZ072-076-072100-
CRAWFORD AR-SEBASTIAN AR-LE FLORE OK-SEQUOYAH OK-
333 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CRAWFORD...
NORTHWESTERN SEBASTIAN...NORTHEASTERN LE FLORE AND EAST CENTRAL
SEQUOYAH COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

AT 333 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
FORT SMITH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AND BRIEF
HEAVY RAINFALL.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FORT SMITH...VAN BUREN...BARLING...ARKOMA...MOFFETT...KIBLER...
CONCORD...SHIBLEY...MILL CREEK AND FURRY.

LAT...LON 3526 9443 3540 9448 3553 9430 3535 9417
TIME...MOT...LOC 2033Z 227DEG 24KT 3537 9440
Special weather statement, Jul 7, 4:08 PM CDT, 3 hours 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
408 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

ARZ029-OKZ076-072200-
SEBASTIAN AR-LE FLORE OK-
408 PM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN SEBASTIAN AND
EASTERN LE FLORE COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

AT 408 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 2 MILES SOUTH OF PANAMA TO
3 MILES SOUTH OF BIG CEDAR...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
POTEAU...POCOLA...HEAVENER...HACKETT...HOWE...HARTFORD...BONANZA...
CAMERON...HEAVENER RUNESTONE STATE PARK...SHADY POINT...ROCK
ISLAND...PATTERSON...HODGEN AND JENSON.

LAT...LON 3517 9467 3527 9437 3495 9435 3496 9436
      3493 9445 3458 9446 3454 9462
TIME...MOT...LOC 2108Z 224DEG 25KT 3514 9466 3460 9463
Local storm report, Jul 7, 5:35 PM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
535 PM CDT TUE JUL 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0531 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 S TAHLEQUAH           35.87N 94.97W
07/07/2015                   CHEROKEE           OK   STORM CHASER

            SIGNIFICANT ROAD FLOODING JUST SOUTH OF TAHLEQUAH.
            RAODWAY IMPASSABLE. RELAYED BY BROADCAST MEDIA.

&&

JDS
Local storm report, Jul 7, 5:43 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
543 PM CDT TUE JUL 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SE HENRYETTA          35.41N 95.94W
07/07/2015                   OKMULGEE           OK   STORM CHASER

            ROADWAY FLOODED AROUND LAKE HENRYETTA. RELAYED BY
            BROADCAST MEDIA.

&&

JDS
Local storm report, Jul 7, 6:03 PM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
603 PM CDT TUE JUL 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     FLASH FLOOD      CHECOTAH                35.47N 95.52W
07/07/2015                   MCINTOSH           OK   PUBLIC

            SECONDARY ROADS AROUND CHECOTAH FLOODED WITH SOME ROADS
            IMPASSABLE. RELAYED BY BROADCAST MEDIA.

&&

JDS
Local storm report, Jul 7, 7:07 PM CDT, 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
707 PM CDT TUE JUL 07 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0704 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S CHRISTIE            35.94N 94.69W
07/07/2015                   ADAIR              OK   PUBLIC

            ROADWAY FLOODED JUST SOUTH OF CHRISTIE. SOCIAL MEDIA
            REPORT RELAYED BY MEDIA.

&&

JDS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tulsa, OK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 7, 8:56 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSACreek37 hr
Jul 7, 8:57 PM CDTRiver Flood AdvisoryTSAMuskogee36 hr
Jul 7, 9:01 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningTSACherokee30 hr
Jul 7, 9:17 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee and 2 more12 hr
Jul 8, 12:32 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACreek, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage and 6 more3 hr
Jul 8, 1:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAMcIntosh, Okfuskee, Okmulgee8 hr
Jul 8, 1:17 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, Mayes3 hr
Jul 8, 3:18 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACraig, Creek, Nowata, Osage, Ottawa, Pawnee and 4 more3 hr
Jul 8, 6:37 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner7 hr
Jul 8, 6:46 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Ottawa, Rogers3 hr
Jul 8, 6:49 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAPittsburg3 hr
Jul 8, 7:28 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAPittsburg6 hr
Jul 8, 9:29 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAMcIntosh, Okmulgee4 hr
Jul 8, 9:39 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSACraig, Delaware, Mayes, Ottawa3 hr
Jul 8, 12:48 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore42 min
Jul 8, 12:51 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore, Pushmataha39 min
Jul 8, 1:33 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningTSACherokee, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee, Wagoner18 hr
Jul 8, 1:33 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore42 min
Jul 8, 1:57 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAChoctaw, Pushmataha48 min
Jul 8, 2:11 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSAChoctaw, Pushmataha49 min
Jul 8, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Latimer, LeFlore, Pushmataha65 min
Jul 8, 3:28 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementTSALeFlore47 min
Jul 8, 4:23 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryTSAAdair, Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah112 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2015Every river flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.