Alert archive / Georgia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 282, NWS Tallahassee, FL

July 15, 20154 counties in Georgia

NWS Tallahassee, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 15, 2015, 6:10 PM EDT for 4 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 15, 2015, 6:10 PM EDT (22:10 UTC)
Expired: Jul 15, 2015, 7:15 PM EDT
In force: 65 min
Issued by: NWS Tallahassee, FL
Area: Storm-based polygon

Counties Berrien County, GA, Colquitt County, GA, Cook County, GA, Lanier County, GA

The radar

The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Tallahassee Rgnl, FL (KTLH), launched 12:00Z, 10.2 hours before the alert went out and 132 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1983 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 817 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 48 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 48 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

216 
WUUS52 KTAE 152210
SVRTAE
GAC019-071-075-173-152315-
/O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0282.150715T2210Z-150715T2315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
610 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  COOK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
  COLQUITT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
  NORTHERN LANIER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
  BERRIEN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 715 PM EDT

* AT 610 PM EDT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS DETECTED A LINE OF
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOERUN TO NEAR AMBROSE...AND MOVING SOUTHEAST AT
  25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MOULTRIE...LAKELAND...ADEL...NASHVILLE...SPARKS...ENIGMA...OMEGA...
  RAY CITY...NORMAN PARK...LENOX...DOERUN...ALAPAHA...RIVERSIDE...
  SCHLEY...MEIGS...BERLIN...FUNSTON...CECIL...ELLENTON AND
  ALLENVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE IMMEDIATELY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

&&

LAT...LON 3102 8297 3103 8347 3108 8357 3103 8357
      3104 8400 3133 8399 3133 8346 3140 8337
      3146 8337 3148 8334 3147 8315 3140 8314
      3133 8306 3128 8304 3119 8305 3118 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 309DEG 23KT 3121 8399 3158 8307 

$$

42-DVD

2 follow-up statements

825 
WWUS52 KTAE 152237
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
637 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

GAC019-071-075-173-152315-
/O.CON.KTAE.SV.W.0282.000000T0000Z-150715T2315Z/
COOK GA-COLQUITT GA-LANIER GA-BERRIEN GA-
637 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM EDT
FOR COOK...COLQUITT...NORTHERN LANIER AND BERRIEN COUNTIES...

AT 637 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR
RIVERSIDE TO NEAR DOUGLAS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOULTRIE...LAKELAND...ADEL...NASHVILLE...SPARKS...ENIGMA...OMEGA...
RAY CITY...NORMAN PARK...LENOX...DOERUN...ALAPAHA...RIVERSIDE...
SCHLEY...MEIGS...BERLIN...FUNSTON...CECIL...ELLENTON AND ALLENVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN TALLAHASSEE.

&&

LAT...LON 3102 8297 3103 8347 3108 8357 3103 8357
      3104 8400 3133 8399 3133 8346 3137 8337
      3143 8328 3147 8315 3140 8314 3133 8306
      3128 8304 3119 8305 3118 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 2237Z 309DEG 23KT 3112 8385 3149 8293 

$$

42-DVD

629 
WWUS52 KTAE 152305
SVSTAE

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
705 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

GAC019-071-075-173-152315-
/O.EXP.KTAE.SV.W.0282.000000T0000Z-150715T2315Z/
COOK GA-COLQUITT GA-LANIER GA-BERRIEN GA-
705 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR COOK...COLQUITT...NORTHERN
LANIER AND BERRIEN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM EDT...
            
THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
TALLAHASSEE.

LAT...LON 3102 8297 3103 8347 3108 8357 3103 8357
      3104 8400 3133 8399 3133 8346 3137 8337
      3143 8328 3147 8315 3140 8314 3133 8306
      3128 8304 3119 8305 3118 8297
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 309DEG 23KT 3112 8385 3149 8293 

$$

42-DVD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tallahassee, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 15, 4:50 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 4:50 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
450 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...

STRONG CONVECTION ACROSS THE GULF IS DIMINISHING WHILE ADDITIONAL
CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED NORTH OF THE CWA. SHOULD SEE THIS
DEVELOPMENT TREND CONTINUE INTO THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CWA LATER
THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT WITH THE FOCUS OVER THE NORTHERN HALF
THIS EVENING BUT THEN A SWITCH WITH THE FOCUS OVER THE GULF AREA BY
SUNRISE. FOR THE MOST PART...THE HI RES MODELS WANT TO QUIET IT DOWN
OVER THE NORTHERN PART OF THE CWA AFTER MIDNIGHT.

UPPER RIDGE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS TX WHILE THE THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH AXIS THAT IS STRETCHED ACROSS THE EAST COAST AND INTO THE CWA
TODAY WILL SHIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT. A VORT MAX SQUEEZED BETWEEN THESE
TWO SYSTEMS WILL DIVE INTO THE CWA TONIGHT AND THIS MAY ALLOW FOR A
MCS TO MOVE ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA. THUS SEVERE
WEATHER STILL REMAINS A CONCERN TONIGHT AND SPC HAS KEPT PART OF THE
CWA IN A SLIGHT RISK. THE MAIN CONCERN REMAINS DAMAGING WIND AND
HAVE CONTINUED TO ADVERTISE THIS IN THE GRIDS.

IN ADDITION WILL NEED TO CONTINUE TO MONITOR HEAVY RAIN. RADAR
ESTIMATES INDICATE AREAS OF DIXIE COUNTY ALREADY RECEIVED AROUND 5
INCHES OF RAIN TODAY WITH OVER 3 INCHES ESTIMATED IN GULF COUNTY.
WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS EXPECTED TONIGHT...COULD ONCE AGAIN SEE
TRAINING ACROSS PARTS OF THE CWA. IF ANY FLOODING DOES OCCUR IT
SHOULD BE LOCALIZED.

.Short Term [Thursday Through Friday Night]...

A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL MAKE ITS WAY DOWN AND REMAIN JUST NORTH OF
OUR CWA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. IN ADDITION TO STORMS FORMING SOUTH
OF THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY, WE ALSO EXPECT STORMS TO FORM ALONG THE
SEABREEZE BOUNDARY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO LINGER ON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AS THE MAIN THREAT.

BY FRIDAY, THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO DECAY, BUT THE
REMNANTS OF THE BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH TOWARDS THE
GULF COAST AND BECOME SOMEWHAT STATIONARY. THEREFORE, CONVECTION
FRIDAY WILL BE FOCUSED MORE ALONG NORTH FLORIDA, WITH MORE ISOLATED
CONVECTION POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA
AS THE AFTERNOON SEABREEZE FRONT MAKES ITS WAY INLAND.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE A BIT ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID 90S AND LOWS IN THE MID 70S, PEAKING IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S
FRIDAY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA, WHERE RAIN
CHANCES WILL BE LOWER.

.Long Term [Saturday Through Wednesday]...

A SURFACE TROUGH WILL LAY ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COASTLINE AND
ACROSS NORTHEAST FLORIDA THROUGH THE WEEKEND WHILE HIGH PRESSURE
ALOFT OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL BUILD EASTWARD. BY MONDAY,
STACKED HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE SOUTHEAST, WITH
ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS, SWINGING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. POPS
WILL BE NEAR CLIMO FOR THE SUMMER, AROUND 40 PERCENT, WITH
TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL, PEAKING IN THE LOW TO MID 90S
DURING THE DAY AND DIPPING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S AT NIGHT.

&&

.Aviation...

[Through 18Z Thursday] SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING. STORMS ARE MOVING TOWARDS ABY AND VLD
NOW, WITH AN INCREASE IN COVERAGE EXPECTED IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
INCLUDED TEMPO GROUPS AT ALL SITES EXCEPT ECP TO ACCOUNT FOR GUSTY
WINDS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES. OUTSIDE THUNDERSTORMS CONDITIONS
WILL BE VFR.

&&

.Marine...

WESTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH
ONSHORE SURGES WITH THE SEABREEZE FRONT EACH AFTERNOON. WINDS
TONIGHT WILL BE AROUND 15 TO 20 KNOTS WITH THE PRESENCE OF A
COASTAL BOUNDARY...BUT WILL DECREASE HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND.
SEAS WILL BE AROUND 2-4 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY...LOWERING TO 1-2 FEET
BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.Fire Weather...

GUSTY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL RESULT IN HIGHER DISPERSIONS IN THE
AFTERNOONS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THERE ARE NO OTHER FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS.

&&

.Hydrology...

RAINFALL TOTALS THIS MORNING ALONG COASTAL BIG BEND AREAS WERE
AROUND 2-4", WITH PARTS OF COASTAL DIXIE COUNTY ACCUMULATING UP TO
AROUND 4-6". ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TOMORROW IN THIS
AREA, WHICH MAY CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. ADDITIONALLY, SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA MAY SEE A FEW STORMS PRODUCING HEAVY
RAINFALL TODAY AND TOMORROW, WHICH MAY ALSO CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING. OTHERWISE, OUT AREA RIVERS REMAIN WELL BELOW ACTION
STAGE AND WE DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY MAIN STEM CONCERNS.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   77  94  76  95  76 /  40  40  30  40  30
Panama City   80  90  80  90  80 /  30  40  30  40  30
Dothan        76  95  76  97  76 /  50  30  20  30  20
Albany        75  95  75  96  75 /  60  30  20  30  20
Valdosta      76  94  74  95  74 /  50  40  30  40  30
Cross City    76  90  76  92  75 /  40  50  40  50  40
Apalachicola  80  91  81  92  79 /  30  40  30  40  40

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

NEAR TERM...JLF
SHORT TERM...MOORE/CHANEY
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...WESTON
MARINE...MOORE
FIRE WEATHER...WESTON
HYDROLOGY...MOORE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 15, 1:44 PM EDT, 4 hours 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
144 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 AM     MARINE TSTM WIND 4 E BALD POINT          29.95N 84.27W
07/15/2015  M39 MPH          GMZ730             FL   MESONET

            34 KNOT WIND GUST MEASURED AT WXFLOW SITE XAPB EAST OF
            BALD POINT

&&

DVD

Local storm report, Jul 15, 3:27 PM EDT, 2 hours 43 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
327 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NNW SAINT MARKS       30.19N 84.23W
07/15/2015                   WAKULLA            FL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON TOP OF A POWER LINE AT RIVER PLANTATION ROAD
            AND COASTAL HIGHWAY

&&

DVD

Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:50 PM EDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
450 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0445 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E LEESBURG            31.73N 84.14W
07/15/2015                   LEE                GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON LOVERS LANE ROAD

&&

DVD

Local storm report, Jul 15, 6:04 PM EDT, 6 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
604 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0509 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 ESE BOWENS MILL       31.80N 83.13W
07/15/2015                   BEN HILL           GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 182.

&&

EWESTON

Local storm report, Jul 15, 6:05 PM EDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
605 PM EDT WED JUL 15 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0513 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 NNE ABBA              31.83N 83.35W
07/15/2015                   BEN HILL           GA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 90 SALEM CHURCH RD.

&&

EWESTON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tallahassee, FL issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 15, 4:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Lee, Randolph, Terrell, Worth	55 min
Jul 15, 4:58 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Calhoun, Dougherty, Lee, Tift, Turner, Worth	62 min
Jul 15, 5:09 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Ben Hill, Irwin	66 min
Jul 15, 5:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Berrien, Tift, Worth	55 min
Jul 15, 5:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Baker, Miller, Mitchell	60 min
Jul 15, 6:50 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Grady, Thomas	55 min
Jul 15, 7:40 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	TAE	Decatur, Grady, Thomas	50 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Georgia, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.