River Flood Warning 35, NWS Tallahassee, FL

953 
WGUS82 KTAE 241821
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
121 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties 



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-251459-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-151225T1459Z/
/ARTA1.2.ER.151224T0823Z.151224T2100Z.151225T0859Z.NO/
1221 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pea River near Ariton (US 231).
* Until Friday morning.
* At 12:14 PM Thursday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 18.6 feet by late 
  this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage after 
  midnight tomorrow.
* Impact: At 17.0 feet: The basement of a home on U.S. Highway 231 and
  the Pea River will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

569 
WGUS82 KTAE 241953
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
253 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-251953-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTA1.2.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
153 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Pea River near Ariton (US 231).
* Until further notice.
* At  1:44 PM Thursday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 22.0 feet by early
  tomorrow then begin falling.

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

059 
WGUS82 KTAE 250156
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
856 PM EST THU DEC 24 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
  
  Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-260156-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTA1.2.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T2000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
756 PM CST THU DEC 24 2015

The Flood Warning continues for the Pea River near Ariton (US 231).
* Until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Thursday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 23.4 feet by 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact: At 25.0 feet: U.S. Highway 231 at the Pea River will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

197 
WGUS82 KTAE 250927
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
427 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-260927-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTA1.2.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T1600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
327 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for the Pea River near Ariton (US 231).
* Until further notice.
* At  3:00 AM Friday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 24.95 feet by this
  afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact: At 25.0 feet: U.S. Highway 231 at the Pea River will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

576 
WGUS42 KTAE 251423
FLWTAE
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
923 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Moderate to Record Severity for the
following rivers in Alabama...
  Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-261423-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTA1.3.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T1600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
823 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Record severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 the Pea River near Ariton (US 231). Until further notice.
* At  8:00 AM Friday the stage was 24.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 25.4 feet by late 
  this morning then begin falling.
* Impact: At 25.0 feet: U.S. Highway 231 at the Pea River will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

765 
WGUS82 KTAE 251521
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1021 AM EST FRI DEC 25 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
  Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-261521-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTA1.3.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T2000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
921 AM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pea River near Ariton (US 231).
* Until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Friday the stage was 25.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 25.6 feet by this 
  afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact: At 25.0 feet: U.S. Highway 231 at the Pea River will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

929 
WGUS82 KTAE 260255
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
955 PM EST FRI DEC 25 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...

Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-270255-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTA1.3.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
855 PM CST FRI DEC 25 2015

The Flood Warning continues for the Pea River near Ariton (US 231).
* Until further notice.
* At  8:00 PM Friday the stage was 25.2 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river has crested and will slowly fall to near 21.6 
  Sunday morning. 
* Impact: At 25.0 feet: U.S. Highway 231 at the Pea River will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

827 
WGUS82 KTAE 261128
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
628 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
  
  Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-271128-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTA1.3.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
528 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for the Pea River near Ariton (US 231).
* Until further notice.
* At  5:00 AM Saturday the stage was 23.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to a stage of 18.8 feet 
  by Sunday morning.
* Impact: At 17.0 feet: The basement of a home on US Highway 231 
  along the Pea River is flooded in Dale County. 

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

947 
WGUS82 KTAE 261522
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1022 AM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Pea River at Elba (US 84) affecting Coffee County 
  Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-271522-
/O.CON.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/ARTA1.3.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T2100Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
922 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pea River near Ariton (US 231).
* Until further notice.
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to a stage of 16.0 feet 
  by tomorrow morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

ALC031-271522-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151229T0915Z/
/ELBA1.2.ER.151224T1640Z.151227T0000Z.151229T0315Z.NR/
922 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  the Pea River at Elba (US 84).
* Until late Monday night.
* At  8:00 AM Saturday the stage was 41.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue rising to near 43.3 feet by this 
  evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday before 
  midnight.
* Impact: At 44.0 feet: Flood waters are expected to reach the lowest 
  point of the levee protecting downtown elba at highway 84, with the
  threat of flooding affecting the downtown area of elba. Many homes 
  outside the levee will be subject to substantial flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3149 8593 3143 8610 3119 8618 3119 8608 3139 8604 3143 8590


$$

294 
WGUS82 KTAE 270226
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
926 PM EST SAT DEC 26 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties 
  Pea River at Elba (US 84) affecting Coffee County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-280226-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-151228T0903Z/
/ARTA1.3.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T2100Z.151228T0303Z.NR/
826 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pea River near Ariton (US 231).
* Until late Sunday night.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and will continue.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday late evening.
* Impact: At 17.0 feet: The basement of a home on U.S. Highway 231
  and Pea River will be flooded. 

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

ALC031-280226-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151228T1737Z/
/ELBA1.2.ER.151224T1640Z.151226T1900Z.151228T1137Z.NO/
826 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pea River at Elba (US 84).
* Until Monday morning.
* At  7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 41.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday morning.
* Impact: At 41.0 feet: Water is expected to cover a large portion of 
  state highway 87 north of Elba. The Seaboard Coast Railroad bridge 
  in Elba will become submerged.

&&

LAT...LON 3149 8593 3143 8610 3119 8618 3119 8608 3139 8604 3143 8590


$$

519 
WGUS82 KTAE 271545
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1045 AM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties 
  Pea River at Elba (US 84) affecting Coffee County 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-281250-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-151228T1250Z/
/ARTA1.3.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T2100Z.151228T0650Z.NR/
945 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Pea River near Ariton (US 231).
* Until Monday morning.
* At  9:00 AM Sunday the stage was 17.4 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  after midnight tomorrow.
* Impact: At 17.0 feet: The basement of a home on U.S. Highway 231 and
  the Pea River will be flooded.

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

ALC031-281128-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151228T1128Z/
/ELBA1.2.ER.151224T1640Z.151226T1900Z.151228T0528Z.NO/
945 AM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pea River at Elba (US 84).
* Until late tonight.
* At  9:00 AM Sunday the stage was 38.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.


&&

LAT...LON 3149 8593 3143 8610 3119 8618 3119 8608 3139 8604 3143 8590


$$

394 
WGUS82 KTAE 280252
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
952 PM EST SUN DEC 27 2015

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Alabama...
 
  Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties 
  Pea River at Elba (US 84) affecting Coffee County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-281050-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-151228T1050Z/
/ARTA1.3.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T2100Z.151228T0450Z.NR/
852 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Pea River near Ariton (US 231).
* Until late tonight.
* At  8:00 PM Sunday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late tonight.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: The backyard of a home near U.S. Highway 231 
  and Pea River will start to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

ALC031-290252-
/O.EXT.KTAE.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-151229T0300Z/
/ELBA1.2.ER.151224T1640Z.151226T1900Z.151228T2100Z.NO/
852 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  the Pea River at Elba (US 84).
* Until Monday evening.
* At  8:00 PM Sunday the stage was 34.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and forecast to continue.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday evening.
* Impact: At 32.0 feet: Moderate flooding on the Pea River will affect
  homes outside the levee near Elba and will extend to Smith Avenue, 
  otherwise known as State Highway 125.

&&

LAT...LON 3149 8593 3143 8610 3119 8618 3119 8608 3139 8604 3143 8590


$$

780 
WGUS82 KTAE 280514
FLSTAE
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1214 AM EST MON DEC 28 2015

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Alabama...
 
  Pea River near Ariton (US 231) affecting Coffee and Dale Counties

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interest along the river should monitor the latest 
forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary precautions to protect 
life and property. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. If you 
see flood waters: Turn around. Don't drown.

For graphical hydrologic information, please go to weather.gov and 
click on your state. Select Rivers and Lakes AHPS under current 
conditions and click on your river point.

&&

ALC031-045-280544-
/O.CAN.KTAE.FL.W.0035.000000T0000Z-151228T1050Z/
/ARTA1.3.ER.151224T0823Z.151225T2100Z.151228T0420Z.NR/
1114 PM CST SUN DEC 27 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for the Pea River near
Ariton (US 231).
* At 11:00 PM Sunday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 10:20 PM Sunday.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast: The river will continue to fall to 7.7 feet by Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact: At 14.0 feet: The backyard of a home near U.S. Highway 231 
  and the Pea River will start to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3162 8579 3149 8593 3143 8590 3162 8571


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
816 PM EST WED DEC 23 2015

.Near Term [Through Tonight]...

For the remainder of tonight, the main focus will be on southeast
Alabama and adjacent sections of the Florida panhandle and
southwest Georgia as bands of showers and a few thunderstorms
continue to stream off to the northeast. The airmass is very moist
for this time of year with 70 degree dewpoints as far north as
Troy, AL. Rainfall rates with the embedded convection are
impressive with EOX dual-pol estimating instantaneous rates of up
to 2-4"/hr, but so far the bands have not been concentrated
enough over any one location to produce any flash flooding. Having
said that, there has been some minor flooding reported across
Houston county with a few rural roads being closed.

Some of our local hi-res guidance later tonight into Thursday
morning is a bit concerning showing these bands persisting and
intensifying through the night. Some of the recent HRRR runs also
hint at this possibility. Should that occur, the threat for
flooding would increase as this would occur over already saturated
soils, but confidence in the evolution of this convection is not
overly high. We'll be watching for that possibility through the
night.

&&

.Prev Discussion [638 PM EST]...

.Short Term [Thursday Through Friday Night]...

The messy deep layer south/southwesterly flow will continue
through the short term. We'll likely remain cloudy with a chance
for showers and an isolated storm each day. Though with little to
no surface focus, at this time the threat for any meaningful
rainfall totals will remain west of the Tri-State region. Severe
weather is also not expected during the period. The most notable
item through Friday will be the near record breaking high
temperatures. The local area has a good chance of breaking daily
record max temps on Christmas, and possibly breaking the all time
December high temperature record. Overnight lows will also remain
unseasonably warm, in the middle 60s.

.Long Term [Saturday Through Wednesday]...

The aforementioned warm pattern, with scattered rain chances will
continue through the weekend. Early next week, models indicate
that a large low pressure system will roll through the Mississippi
Valley and force a cold front into the region. It remains unclear
whether the front will make a clean passage, or get held up and
bring an increased chance of rain through mid week.

.Aviation...
[Through 00Z Thursday]...

Rain showers will continue this evening into tonight for all
terminals except for VLD. LIFR CIGs are likely tonight. IFR vis is
expected at most terminals with fog developing late tonight. By
mid-morning, conditions will improve to MVFR and rain will come to
an end. Winds will be southerly with gusts around 20 knots
possible on Thursday.

.Marine...

Southeast winds around 20 knots over the western waters this
evening will lower to cautionary levels after midnight. Winds and
seas over the western waters will approach 20 knots again this
weekend.

.Fire Weather...

Rainy conditions today and again this weekend will prevent
relative humidity values from dropping to critical levels. No red
flag conditions will occur for the next week.

.Hydrology...

This is the last round of heavy rain and scattered thunderstorms
for the region through the holiday weekend. Precipitation this
afternoon and overnight will diminish tomorrow morning and end by
midday. Areas of heaviest rain for the remainder of the afternoon
and overnight will continue to train across southeast AL...far
southwest GA... and the FL panhandle west of the Apalachicola
River. The Flash Flood Watch for those areas will continue
overnight. In general rainfall amounts of 1.5 to 4 inches have
fallen in this area through midday today with an additional 1 to 3
inches possible through daybreak tomorrow. Locally higher amounts
may occur overnight as we could see rainfall rates of 3 to 4
inches per hour in some thunderstorms.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...

Tallahassee   70  79  65  81  64 /  30  20  20  10  10
Panama City   72  77  67  77  65 /  30  30  20  10  10
Dothan        70  78  66  80  64 /  80  40  30  10  10
Albany        67  79  66  82  63 /  60  20  20  10  10
Valdosta      71  81  65  83  65 /  20  10  10  10  10
Cross City    70  83  64  84  64 /  20  10  10  10  10
Apalachicola  71  75  67  76  66 /  30  10  10  10  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Thursday FOR Coastal waters
     from Apalachicola to Destin FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Apalachicola to Destin FL from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...HARRIGAN
LONG TERM...HARRIGAN
AVIATION...MCDERMOTT
MARINE...MOORE
FIRE WEATHER...MOORE
HYDROLOGY...HOLLINGSWORTH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
128 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0115 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 S NEW HOPE            31.54N 85.87W
12/24/2015                   COFFEE             AL   911 CALL CENTER

            COUNTY ROAD 114 NEAR THE CHICKEN PLANT WAS REPORTED TO BE
            WASHED OUT.

&&

DVD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
132 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SSW ELBA              31.37N 86.10W
12/24/2015                   COFFEE             AL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN ACROSS THE ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW DAMASCUS           31.34N 86.03W
12/24/2015                   COFFEE             AL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

0110 AM     TSTM WND DMG     ELBA                    31.52N 85.86W
12/24/2015                   COFFEE             AL   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN IN ELBA. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

CAMP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
224 AM EST THU DEC 24 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0223 AM     FLASH FLOOD      NE MIXONS CROSSROADS    31.49N 85.91W
12/24/2015                   COFFEE             AL   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS REPORTS OF FLOODING AND ROAD CLOSURES NEAR
            MIXONS CROSSROADS AT INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 167 AND
            HIGHWAY 114.

&&

CAMP