Alert archive / Colorado / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 490
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Aug 17, 2015, 2:32 PM MDT for 26 counties in Colorado. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Aug 17, 2015, 2:32 PM MDT (20:32 UTC)
- Expired
- Aug 17, 2015, 9:51 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 26 counties
Adams County, CO, Arapahoe County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Boulder County, CO, Broomfield County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Denver County, CO, Douglas County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Jefferson County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Larimer County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Otero County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Washington County, CO, Weld County, CO, Yuma County, CO
The radar
The Denver radar (KFTG), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Clear Creek, Jefferson | 16 min |
| Aug 17, 2:48 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 27 min |
| Aug 17, 3:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Douglas, Jefferson | 38 min |
| Aug 17, 3:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 36 min |
| Aug 17, 3:17 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Douglas, Elbert | 28 min |
| Aug 17, 3:18 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Douglas, Jefferson | 27 min |
| Aug 17, 3:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Douglas, Elbert | 26 min |
| Aug 17, 3:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Morgan, Weld | 47 min |
| Aug 17, 3:43 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Douglas | 32 min |
| Aug 17, 3:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Arapahoe, Elbert, Lincoln, Washington | 43 min |
| Aug 17, 3:49 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | El Paso, Teller | 26 min |
| Aug 17, 3:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Elbert | 39 min |
| Aug 17, 3:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 50 min |
| Aug 17, 3:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Arapahoe, Elbert | 49 min |
| Aug 17, 4:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Elbert | 40 min |
| Aug 17, 4:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso, Teller | 15 min |
| Aug 17, 4:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso | 25 min |
| Aug 17, 4:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Washington | 24 min |
| Aug 17, 4:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Adams, Arapahoe, Elbert, Lincoln, Logan, Morgan and 1 more | 47 min |
| Aug 17, 4:33 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BOU | Elbert, Lincoln | 3 hr |
| Aug 17, 4:38 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Lincoln | 37 min |
| Aug 17, 5:07 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Elbert, Lincoln, Morgan, Washington | 38 min |
| Aug 17, 5:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Kit Carson | 63 min |
| Aug 17, 5:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Lincoln | 48 min |
| Aug 17, 5:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Bent, Crowley, Otero | 48 min |
| Aug 17, 6:03 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 57 min |
| Aug 17, 6:15 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | Crowley, Otero | 23 min |
| Aug 17, 6:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Bent | 42 min |
| Aug 17, 6:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick | 46 min |
| Aug 17, 6:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Bent | 23 min |
| Aug 17, 7:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BOU | Logan, Phillips, Sedgwick | 14 min |
| Aug 17, 7:27 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Bent, Prowers | 4 hr |
| Aug 17, 7:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca, Bent, Prowers | 68 min |
| Aug 17, 8:59 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Baca | 28 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 318 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -267 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1605 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -36 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 5 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
558
WWUS20 KWNS 172029
SEL0
SPC WW 172029
COZ000-180500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 490
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM MDT MON AUG 17 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN COLORADO
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1100 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO MOVE / DEVELOP EAST FROM THE CO
FRONT RANGE THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING...WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS
POSSIBLY FORMING FARTHER EAST ACROSS THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS. A FEW
SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND...AND A FEW
TORNADOES APPEAR LIKELY. THE STORMS SHOULD EVOLVE INTO ONE OR TWO
CLUSTERS LATER TONIGHT.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTHEAST OF FORT
COLLINS COLORADO TO 10 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF LA JUNTA COLORADO.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30025.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 9:04 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Prowers | 86 min |
| Aug 17, 1:06 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Costilla, Crowley, Huerfano, Las Animas, Otero, Pueblo | 2 hr |
| Aug 17, 1:59 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Arapahoe, Broomfield, Cheyenne, Denver, Douglas and 8 more | 2 hr |
| Aug 17, 4:41 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Arapahoe, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert and 11 more | 94 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.