Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 43

April 9, 201519 counties in Arkansas; 9 parishes in Louisiana; 17 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Apr 9, 2015, 3:06 PM CDT for 19 counties in Arkansas; 9 parishes in Louisiana; 17 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 9, 2015, 3:06 PM CDT (20:06 UTC)
Expired
Apr 9, 2015, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 45 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Union County, AR, Bienville Parish, LA, Bossier Parish, LA, Caddo Parish, LA, Claiborne Parish, LA, De Soto Parish, LA, Lincoln Parish, LA, Red River Parish, LA, Union Parish, LA, Webster Parish, LA, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Nacogdoches County, TX, Panola County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Shelby County, TX, Smith County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 145 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 3:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada50 min
Apr 9, 3:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCalhoun, Clark, Dallas, Ouachita43 min
Apr 9, 3:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Lafayette, Miller37 min
Apr 9, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCass34 min
Apr 9, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVLafayette, Miller40 min
Apr 9, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCass25 min
Apr 9, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Nevada34 min
Apr 9, 4:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier28 min
Apr 9, 4:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Little River26 min
Apr 9, 4:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Smith, Upshur and 1 more54 min
Apr 9, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHempstead, Howard18 min
Apr 9, 5:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike33 min
Apr 9, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMiller49 min
Apr 9, 5:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Cass, Harrison, Marion, Morris, Titus and 1 more59 min
Apr 9, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery48 min
Apr 9, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCherokee, Smith65 min
Apr 9, 6:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Cleveland, Ouachita47 min
Apr 9, 6:30 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVCherokee, Smith60 min
Apr 9, 7:05 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVRusk40 min
Apr 9, 7:08 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Marion, Upshur67 min
Apr 9, 7:39 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBradley, Calhoun, Drew, Ouachita3 hr
Apr 9, 7:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVUnion37 min
Apr 9, 7:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVRusk49 min
Apr 9, 8:01 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVRusk44 min
Apr 9, 8:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHarrison, Panola, Rusk67 min
Apr 9, 8:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHarrison, Marion33 min
Apr 9, 8:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBossier, Caddo56 min
Apr 9, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVPanola, Rusk34 min
Apr 9, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, Webster45 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 151 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 641 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2015-04-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 207 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
641 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-116 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
674 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
207 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
244 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
4.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

743 
WWUS20 KWNS 092005
SEL3  
SPC WW 092005
ARZ000-LAZ000-TXZ000-100300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 43
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHERN ARKANSAS
  NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
  NORTHEAST TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
    INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
LITTLE ROCK ARKANSAS TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF LONGVIEW
TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 39...WW 40...WW 41...WW
42...

DISCUSSION...STORM CLUSTERS WITHIN A PRE-FRONTAL CONFLUENCE AXIS
WILL HAVE A RISK FOR A COUPLE TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL WITH INITIAL
DEVELOPMENT. THE DAMAGING WIND RISK SHOULD BECOME PRIMARY DURING THE
EVENING AS ORGANIZED CLUSTERS MAY GROW UPSCALE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.


...GRAMS/CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 9, 2:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland and 32 more2 hr
Apr 9, 2:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Sebastian and 1 more7 hr
Apr 9, 3:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBaxter, Boone, Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Fulton and 29 more7 hr
Apr 9, 6:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Baxter, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Clay and 57 more64 min
Apr 9, 6:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross and 8 more5 hr
Apr 8, 7:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBorden, Childress, Coke, Cottle, Crosby, Dawson and 27 more3 hr
Apr 8, 9:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Haskell, Throckmorton, Wichita, Wilbarger and 1 more56 min
Apr 9, 4:53 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Collin, Comanche, Dallas, Denton, Erath and 8 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.