Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 31, NWS Shreveport, LA

April 9, 2015Panola County, Rusk County, Texas

NWS Shreveport, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 9, 2015, 8:41 PM CDT for Panola County, Rusk County, Texas. It was in force for 34 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Apr 9, 2015, 8:41 PM CDT (01:41 UTC)
Expired: Apr 9, 2015, 9:15 PM CDT
In force: 34 min
Issued by: NWS Shreveport, LA
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Possible
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Panola County, TX, Rusk County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:44 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 9, 3:06 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), launched 00:00Z, 1.7 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1023 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -21 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1138 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 144 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 249 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.8
Supercell composite: 8.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 9, 7:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 9, 7:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
731 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

.AVIATION...
A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COVERED MUCH OF EAST AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND
NORTHERN PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND MOVING
TO THE EAST AND NORTHEAST. VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE TRANSITIONING TO
MVFR AND IFR IN THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN AND LOWERING CEILINGS. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY IN AND NEAR THE
STORMS. WINDS AHEAD OF THE AREA OF SHOWERS WILL BE SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST 5-10 KNOTS AND VARIABLE WITHIN AND NEAR THE PASSAGE OF
THE SHOWERS. A COLD FRONT WILL BE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA DURING
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST.
/06/

&&

DISCUSSION...
UPDATED THE ZONES TO REMOVE THE LAKE WIND ADVISORY AND WORDING IN
THE PRODUCTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 424 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015/

DISCUSSION...
AS EXPECTED FOLLOWING OUR 18Z SOUNDING THE ATMOSPHERE REMAINS RICH
AND WARM TROPICAL MOISTURE. THE PRE FRONTAL TROUGH THAT DEVELOPED
ON A GRAVITY WAVE THIS MORNING IS CURRENTLY DRAPED RIGHT OVER THE
ARKLATEX WITH SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
PROGRESS. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED BY THE SPC THIS MID
AFTERNOON FOR THIS AREA AND IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM. ALSO...AN
SPC SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH LIES NORTH OF I-30 BACK INTO TEXAS
AND OKLAHOMA AND A HANDFUL OF OUR COUNTIES UNTIL 10 PM AS WELL FOR
ANY DEVELOPMENT EXPECTED ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING COLD
FRONT OVER OKLAHOMA. OTHERWISE...WE HAVE ALLOWED THE LAKE WIND
ADVISORY TO CONTINUE UNTIL 7 PM AS SOME CANCELLATIONS OF THE
TORNADO WATCH MAY BE POSSIBLE BY THAT TIME WITH ANOTHER UPDATE TO
THE FORECAST EARLY THIS EVENING.

THE OVERALL MODEL CONSENSUS PUSHES THE COLD FRONT DOWN INTO OUR
SOUTHERN TIER OF CO/PA BY DAYBREAK ON FRIDAY AND MUCH IF NOT ALL OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH IT BY THAT TIME. THE WPC QPF HAS AN
INCH OR ISOLATED TWO INCH AMOUNTS WITH THIS FIRST PUSH IN WITH
THE ARRIVING COLD FRONT. AFTER STALLING TO OUR SOUTH FOR TOMORROW
AND EARLY SATURDAY THE QPF BUILDS BACK NORTH AS UPPER DISTURBANCES
IN THE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT TRIGGER NEW DEVELOPMENT IN WAVES
ACROSS OUR AREA ALONG THAT SLOWLY LIFTING FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
LITTLE HAS CHANGED WITH STILL AN ADDITIONAL TWO TO FOUR INCHES
POSSIBLE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS THE NEXT MAIN UPPER LOW
IN THE WEST COAST LONG WAVE PATTERN SLOWLY FILLS AND LIFTS INTO
THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY DURING MIDWEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  62  74  54  75 /  80  20  10  30
MLU  63  73  53  76 /  60  40  10  30
DEQ  49  71  47  73 /  80  10  10  20
TXK  54  72  51  73 /  80  10  10  20
ELD  57  71  50  74 /  80  20  10  20
TYR  56  72  56  75 /  80  10  10  40
GGG  58  73  55  75 /  80  20  10  40
LFK  65  75  60  78 /  60  40  20  40

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

06

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 9, 12:01 PM CDT, 8 hours 40 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1201 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-101715-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-DE SOTO-
RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE-NATCHITOCHES-WINN-
GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-
MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-
PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-SAN AUGUSTINE-
1201 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH ARKANSAS...FOR NORTH
LOUISIANA...FOR ALL OF EAST TEXAS AND FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS PARTS OF
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...AS A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH MAY END UP
AFFECTING MUCH OF THE FOUR STATE AREA. THEN AFTER SUNSET...THE
COLD FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVE INTO THE REGION.
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP...SOME
STILL STRONG TO SEVERE. THE PRIMARY THREATS WITH ANY OF THESE
STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...ALTHOUGH AN
ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND ON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. IT IS LIKELY THAT A SQUALL LINE
WILL DEVELOP AND WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES SHOULD NOT CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING.
HOWEVER...SOME DAMAGING WIND...STRAIGHT LINE OR TORNADO MAY REMAIN
POSSIBLE UNTIL DAYBREAK SOUTH OF I-20.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

MUCH OF THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE PUSHING OUT OF THE AREA BY
DAYBREAK. FRIDAY AND PERHAPS MUCH OF SATURDAY LOOK MUCH BETTER.
THEN THUNDERSTORMS MAKE A SLOW RETURN BY LATE ON SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...GENERALLY SOUTH OF I-20...MOVING FROM THE
SOUTH BACK TO NORTH...AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRIFTS BACK ACROSS
THE AREA. FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY...THE FRONT WILL STILL BE ALONG
I-20...HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE THE GREATER CONCERN AS THIS BOUNDARY
VERY SLOWLY LIFTS BACK TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA UNDER A SLOW
MOVING UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF
RAINFALL MAY BE POSSIBLE AS THE FRONT RETURNS. THIS TYPE OF HEAVY
RAINFALL WOULD LIKELY POSE A FLOODING RISK TO OUR ALREADY SWOLLEN
RIVERS AND LAKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...AMATEUR RADIO
OPERATORS AND STORM SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT.

24

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 9, 7:44 PM CDT, 57 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
744 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

ARZ073-100145-
UNION AR-
744 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL UNION COUNTY UNTIL 845 PM
CDT...

AT 744 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM LOUANN TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST
OF WESSON...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. SHOULD THESE
STORMS INTENSIFY...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING WILL BE NEEDED.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EL DORADO...SMACKOVER...NORPHLET...STRONG...CALION...WESSON...
LAWSON...LISBON...URBANA...NEW LONDON...CAIRO...KENOVA...HILLSBORO...
PIGEON HILL...NEWELL AND CATESVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3309 9235 3311 9294 3337 9284 3339 9276
      3336 9266 3336 9260 3337 9259 3336 9254
      3332 9252 3333 9250 3332 9246 3329 9247
      3327 9244 3328 9238 3330 9236 3330 9235
      3329 9236 3328 9233 3326 9232 3327 9229
TIME...MOT...LOC 0043Z 256DEG 29KT 3338 9278 3317 9286

15

Local storm report, Apr 9, 7:49 PM CDT, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
749 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0726 PM     FLOOD            7 SSW NOONDAY           32.15N 95.43W
04/09/2015                   SMITH              TX   PUBLIC

            LOW WATER CROSSINGS FLOODED AT EMERALD BAY.
            OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN MEASURED IN THE LAST 3
            HOURS.

&&

09

Local storm report, Apr 9, 8:22 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
822 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0806 PM     HAIL             2 NW HENDERSON          32.18N 94.83W
04/09/2015  E0.75 INCH       RUSK               TX   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

09

Local storm report, Apr 9, 8:24 PM CDT, 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
824 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0806 PM     FLOOD            9 W HENDERSON           32.13N 94.94W
04/09/2015                   RUSK               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SIGNIFICANT FLOODING REPORTED AT THE 42/13
            JUNCTION IN PRICE

&&

09

Local storm report, Apr 9, 8:29 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
829 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...TIME...  ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
...DATE...  ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 W HENDERSON           32.15N 94.84W
04/09/2015                   RUSK               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE TREE DOWN NEAR THE WEST LOOP IN
            HENDERSON

&&

09

Special weather statement, Apr 9, 8:35 PM CDT, 6 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
835 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

ARZ050-059-OKZ077-TXZ096-097-100215-
LITTLE RIVER AR-SEVIER AR-MCCURTAIN OK-RED RIVER TX-BOWIE TX-
835 PM CDT THU APR 9 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LITTLE RIVER...
SOUTHWESTERN SEVIER...SOUTHEASTERN MCCURTAIN...NORTHWESTERN BOWIE AND
NORTHEASTERN RED RIVER COUNTIES UNTIL 915 PM CDT...

AT 835 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
IDABEL...OR 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF CLARKSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FOREMAN...IDABEL...BROKEN BOW...WINTHROP...ARKINDA...HAWORTH...
CERROGORDO...BOKHOMA...MOON...TOM...HARRIS...SHINEWELL...GOODWATER...
BRYARLY...ENGLISH...AMERICA...ALMONT...GOODLAKE AND BEAVERDAMS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR SOUTHWESTERN
ARKANSAS AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS...SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3401 9477 3387 9425 3353 9448 3369 9511
TIME...MOT...LOC 0135Z 285DEG 31KT 3383 9481

19

The office that day

Everything else NWS Shreveport, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 9, 7:05 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Rusk	40 min
Apr 9, 7:08 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Upshur	67 min
Apr 9, 7:16 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SHV	Cherokee, Gregg, Rusk, Smith, Upshur	119 min
Apr 9, 7:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Rusk	49 min
Apr 9, 8:01 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SHV	Rusk	44 min
Apr 9, 8:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Harrison, Panola, Rusk	67 min
Apr 9, 8:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Harrison, Marion	33 min
Apr 9, 8:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Harrison, Marion, Panola	56 min
Apr 9, 8:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Red River	40 min
Apr 9, 10:58 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Gregg, Harrison, Marion	47 min
Apr 9, 7:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Bossier	38 min
Apr 9, 9:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Claiborne, Webster	45 min
Apr 9, 10:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Claiborne	52 min
Apr 9, 7:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Polk	26 min
Apr 9, 7:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SHV	Union	61 min
Apr 9, 7:53 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SHV	Union	37 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.