Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 367

June 28, 201524 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Iowa; 31 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 28, 2015, 3:03 PM CDT for 24 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Iowa; 31 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 28, 2015, 3:03 PM CDT (20:03 UTC)
Expired
Jun 28, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 60 counties

Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Lee County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 4:04 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXPike26 min
Jun 28, 4:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXAudrain, Boone, Callaway38 min
Jun 28, 4:37 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXPike23 min
Jun 28, 4:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Pike, Ralls47 min
Jun 28, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNVan Buren43 min
Jun 28, 4:51 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMonroe, Pike, Ralls24 min
Jun 28, 4:55 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXAudrain, Callaway, Montgomery39 min
Jun 28, 4:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMarion, Shelby49 min
Jun 28, 5:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCole, Moniteau20 min
Jun 28, 5:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXPike40 min
Jun 28, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Osage38 min
Jun 28, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNClark, Scotland46 min
Jun 28, 5:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Franklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Warren45 min
Jun 28, 5:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage43 min
Jun 28, 5:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCallaway, Gasconade, Osage31 min
Jun 28, 5:48 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCallaway27 min
Jun 28, 5:53 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCallaway, Gasconade, Montgomery37 min
Jun 28, 6:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXLincoln, Pike39 min
Jun 28, 6:08 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXCallaway, Osage13 min
Jun 28, 6:11 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXGasconade, Montgomery20 min
Jun 28, 6:14 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXLincoln, Pike31 min
Jun 28, 6:29 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedLSXCalhoun31 min
Jun 28, 6:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXFranklin40 min
Jun 28, 7:06 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXPike5 hr
Jun 28, 7:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCalhoun, Jersey47 min
Jun 28, 8:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXCrawford45 min
Jun 28, 8:02 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis28 min
Jun 28, 8:26 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXMadison10 min
Jun 28, 8:26 PM CDTTornado WarningLSXSaint Charles, Saint Louis37 min
Jun 28, 8:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDVNMcDonough43 min
Jun 28, 8:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMadison, Monroe, Saint Clair42 min
Jun 28, 9:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLSXMonroe, Saint Clair44 min
Jun 28, 9:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningILXCass, Fulton, Logan, Mason, Menard, Tazewell4 hr
Jun 28, 9:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLSXSaint Louis6 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-06-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2015-06-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 12 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1671 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

590 
WWUS20 KWNS 282000
SEL7  
SPC WW 282000
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-290300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 367
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHEAST IOWA
  WESTERN ILLINOIS
  EASTERN MISSOURI

* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
    EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER
SOUTHERN IA/NORTHERN MO AND TRACK SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. 
WIND FIELDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL
AND A FEW TORNADOES OVER THIS REGION.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF
BURLINGTON IOWA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FARMINGTON
MISSOURI.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 28, 1:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Brown, Calhoun, Greene, Hancock, Jersey and 7 more114 min
Jun 28, 3:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Calhoun, Pike115 min
Jun 28, 5:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene and 9 more94 min
Jun 28, 3:21 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Jasper54 min
Jun 28, 5:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 28 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2015Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2015Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.