Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 367
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 28, 2015, 3:03 PM CDT for 24 counties in Illinois; 5 counties in Iowa; 31 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 28, 2015, 3:03 PM CDT (20:03 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 28, 2015, 11:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 60 counties
Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Lee County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Adams County, IL, Bond County, IL, Brown County, IL, Calhoun County, IL, Cass County, IL, Clinton County, IL, Fayette County, IL, Greene County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Jersey County, IL, Macoupin County, IL, Madison County, IL, Marion County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Monroe County, IL, Montgomery County, IL, Morgan County, IL, Pike County, IL, Randolph County, IL, Saint Clair County, IL, Schuyler County, IL, Scott County, IL, Washington County, IL, Audrain County, MO, Boone County, MO, Callaway County, MO, City of Saint Louis, MO, Clark County, MO, Cole County, MO, Crawford County, MO, Franklin County, MO, Gasconade County, MO, Iron County, MO, Jefferson County, MO, Knox County, MO, Lewis County, MO, Lincoln County, MO, Madison County, MO, Marion County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Montgomery County, MO, Osage County, MO, Pike County, MO, Ralls County, MO, Reynolds County, MO, Saint Charles County, MO, Saint Francois County, MO, Saint Louis County, MO, Sainte Genevieve County, MO, Scotland County, MO, Shelby County, MO, Warren County, MO, Washington County, MO
The radar
The St Louis radar (KLSX), 116 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 4:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Pike | 26 min |
| Jun 28, 4:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Audrain, Boone, Callaway | 38 min |
| Jun 28, 4:37 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Pike | 23 min |
| Jun 28, 4:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Pike, Ralls | 47 min |
| Jun 28, 4:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Van Buren | 43 min |
| Jun 28, 4:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Monroe, Pike, Ralls | 24 min |
| Jun 28, 4:55 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Audrain, Callaway, Montgomery | 39 min |
| Jun 28, 4:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Marion, Shelby | 49 min |
| Jun 28, 5:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Cole, Moniteau | 20 min |
| Jun 28, 5:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Pike | 40 min |
| Jun 28, 5:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Callaway, Osage | 38 min |
| Jun 28, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | Clark, Scotland | 46 min |
| Jun 28, 5:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Callaway, Franklin, Gasconade, Montgomery, Warren | 45 min |
| Jun 28, 5:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Callaway, Gasconade, Montgomery, Osage | 43 min |
| Jun 28, 5:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Callaway, Gasconade, Osage | 31 min |
| Jun 28, 5:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Callaway | 27 min |
| Jun 28, 5:53 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Callaway, Gasconade, Montgomery | 37 min |
| Jun 28, 6:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Lincoln, Pike | 39 min |
| Jun 28, 6:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Callaway, Osage | 13 min |
| Jun 28, 6:11 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Gasconade, Montgomery | 20 min |
| Jun 28, 6:14 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Lincoln, Pike | 31 min |
| Jun 28, 6:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Calhoun | 31 min |
| Jun 28, 6:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Franklin | 40 min |
| Jun 28, 7:06 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Pike | 5 hr |
| Jun 28, 7:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Calhoun, Jersey | 47 min |
| Jun 28, 8:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Crawford | 45 min |
| Jun 28, 8:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Saint Charles, Saint Louis | 28 min |
| Jun 28, 8:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Madison | 10 min |
| Jun 28, 8:26 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LSX | Saint Charles, Saint Louis | 37 min |
| Jun 28, 8:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN | McDonough | 43 min |
| Jun 28, 8:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Madison, Monroe, Saint Clair | 42 min |
| Jun 28, 9:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LSX | Monroe, Saint Clair | 44 min |
| Jun 28, 9:32 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | ILX | Cass, Fulton, Logan, Mason, Menard, Tazewell | 4 hr |
| Jun 28, 9:50 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LSX | Saint Louis | 6 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 231 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1671 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 12 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 104 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
590
WWUS20 KWNS 282000
SEL7
SPC WW 282000
IAZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-290300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 367
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
305 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST IOWA
WESTERN ILLINOIS
EASTERN MISSOURI
* EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 305 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
WIDESPREAD LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL
EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER
SOUTHERN IA/NORTHERN MO AND TRACK SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
WIND FIELDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELL STORMS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL
AND A FEW TORNADOES OVER THIS REGION.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTHWEST OF
BURLINGTON IOWA TO 25 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF FARMINGTON
MISSOURI. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 33030.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 28, 1:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Brown, Calhoun, Greene, Hancock, Jersey and 7 more | 114 min |
| Jun 28, 3:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Calhoun, Pike | 115 min |
| Jun 28, 5:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Bond, Calhoun, Clinton, Fayette, Greene and 9 more | 94 min |
| Jun 28, 3:21 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Jasper | 54 min |
| Jun 28, 5:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barry, Barton, Benton, Camden, Cedar, Christian and 28 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2015Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2015Tornado Watches in Iowa, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.