Alert archive / South Dakota / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 314
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 19, 2015, 2:51 PM MDT for 11 counties in Montana; 11 counties in South Dakota; 5 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 19, 2015, 2:51 PM MDT (20:51 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 19, 2015, 10:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 27 counties
Big Horn County, MT, Carbon County, MT, Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT, Bennett County, SD, Butte County, SD, Custer County, SD, Haakon County, SD, Harding County, SD, Jackson County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Perkins County, SD, Ziebach County, SD, Campbell County, WY, Crook County, WY, Johnson County, WY, Sheridan County, WY, Weston County, WY
The radar
The Billings radar (KBLX), 222 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
42 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer, Powder River, Rosebud | 54 min |
| Jun 19, 3:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer, Rosebud | 62 min |
| Jun 19, 3:40 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer, Powder River | 65 min |
| Jun 19, 3:49 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Custer, Powder River | 26 min |
| Jun 19, 3:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer | 62 min |
| Jun 19, 4:12 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Custer, Powder River | 33 min |
| Jun 19, 4:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Fallon | 55 min |
| Jun 19, 4:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn, Yellowstone | 60 min |
| Jun 19, 4:33 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Yellowstone | 6 hr |
| Jun 19, 4:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter, Powder River | 64 min |
| Jun 19, 5:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Fallon | 55 min |
| Jun 19, 5:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn | 56 min |
| Jun 19, 5:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Campbell, Crook | 61 min |
| Jun 19, 5:39 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter | 66 min |
| Jun 19, 5:48 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Campbell, Crook | 30 min |
| Jun 19, 6:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Big Horn, Rosebud | 44 min |
| Jun 19, 6:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Lawrence | 60 min |
| Jun 19, 6:23 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BYZ | Carter | 37 min |
| Jun 19, 6:26 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Crook | 32 min |
| Jun 19, 6:33 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Powder River | 57 min |
| Jun 19, 6:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Rosebud | 21 min |
| Jun 19, 6:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter, Fallon | 56 min |
| Jun 19, 7:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter, Powder River | 29 min |
| Jun 19, 7:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Lawrence | 63 min |
| Jun 19, 7:16 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | BYZ | Carter, Powder River | 5 hr |
| Jun 19, 7:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Campbell, Crook | 74 min |
| Jun 19, 7:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter, Powder River | 55 min |
| Jun 19, 7:34 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | UNR | Butte | 3 hr |
| Jun 19, 7:41 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Butte, Lawrence | 29 min |
| Jun 19, 7:49 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Crook | 26 min |
| Jun 19, 7:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Campbell, Crook | 65 min |
| Jun 19, 8:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Meade | 66 min |
| Jun 19, 8:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Carter | 24 min |
| Jun 19, 8:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Lawrence, Meade | 60 min |
| Jun 19, 8:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Lawrence | 60 min |
| Jun 19, 8:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Lawrence, Meade | 61 min |
| Jun 19, 8:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Meade, Pennington | 56 min |
| Jun 19, 8:53 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Meade | 37 min |
| Jun 19, 9:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Butte, Lawrence, Meade | 44 min |
| Jun 19, 9:26 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | UNR | Meade, Pennington | 49 min |
| Jun 19, 9:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Lawrence, Pennington | 59 min |
| Jun 19, 9:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | UNR | Haakon, Jackson, Meade, Pennington | 64 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Rapid City, SD (KRAP), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 277 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 935 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 36 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 20 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 379 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
766
WWUS20 KWNS 192052
SEL4
SPC WW 192052
MTZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-200400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 314
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
250 PM MDT FRI JUN 19 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST MONTANA
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTHEAST WYOMING
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 250 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND SUPERCELLS WILL POSE A
VERY LARGE HAIL AND SOME TORNADO RISK THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
HOURS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST MONTANA AND NORTHEAST
WYOMING INTO FAR WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. A SQUALL LINE SHOULD BEGIN TO
EVOLVE BY EARLY/MID-EVENING INTO SOUTH DAKOTA WITH A CONCENTRATED
CORRIDOR OF WIND DAMAGE BECOMING MORE OF A CONCERN.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
BILLINGS MONTANA TO 30 MILES NORTH OF PHILIP SOUTH DAKOTA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 313...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
...GUYERSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 18, 8:10 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Horn, Carbon, Powder River, Rosebud, Stillwater, Treasure and 1 more | 65 min |
| Jun 18, 11:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Carter, Powder River | 3 hr |
| Jun 19, 12:53 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Daniels, Dawson, Fergus, Garfield, McCone and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 19, 2:01 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Daniels, Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie, Richland and 4 more | 9 hr |
| Jun 19, 2:04 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Big Horn, Carbon, Carter, Custer, Fallon, Golden Valley and 8 more | 116 min |
| Jun 19, 4:48 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dawson, Fallon, McCone, Prairie, Richland, Roosevelt and 2 more | 57 min |
| Jun 19, 2:28 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butte, Haakon, Harding, Lawrence, Meade, Perkins and 1 more | 92 min |
| Jun 19, 9:01 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Aurora, Brule, Buffalo, Charles Mix, Davison, Douglas and 9 more | 89 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in South Dakota, 2015Tornado Watches in Montana, 2015Tornado Watches in Wyoming, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.