Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 231
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 27, 2015, 2:46 PM CDT for 12 counties in Oklahoma; 13 counties in Texas. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 27, 2015, 2:46 PM CDT (19:46 UTC)
- Expired
- May 28, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 25 counties
Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Harper County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Texas County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Wheeler County, TX
The radar
The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 27, 2:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts | 62 min |
| May 27, 3:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts | 52 min |
| May 27, 3:46 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts | 3 hr |
| May 27, 4:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong, Donley | 54 min |
| May 27, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts | 60 min |
| May 27, 4:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Beaver | 63 min |
| May 27, 4:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb | 91 min |
| May 27, 4:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong, Carson, Donley, Gray | 58 min |
| May 27, 4:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Hemphill | 39 min |
| May 27, 4:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Beaver | 63 min |
| May 27, 5:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb, Roberts | 54 min |
| May 27, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson, Gray, Roberts | 53 min |
| May 27, 5:31 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb | 44 min |
| May 27, 5:35 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | AMA | Armstrong | 3 hr |
| May 27, 5:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Carson, Hutchinson | 49 min |
| May 27, 5:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong | 63 min |
| May 27, 5:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Beaver | 69 min |
| May 27, 5:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong, Randall | 61 min |
| May 27, 6:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb | 48 min |
| May 27, 6:50 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts | 3 hr |
| May 27, 6:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb | 48 min |
| May 27, 7:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Ochiltree, Roberts | 30 min |
| May 27, 7:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong, Randall | 66 min |
| May 27, 8:18 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Armstrong | 57 min |
| May 27, 8:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | AMA | Armstrong | 3 hr |
| May 27, 8:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Dewey, Ellis, Roger Mills | 44 min |
| May 27, 8:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Ellis, Roger Mills | 33 min |
| May 27, 9:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong | 61 min |
| May 27, 9:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Roger Mills | 45 min |
| May 27, 9:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Randall | 24 min |
| May 27, 9:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | AMA | Hemphill, Lipscomb | 6 hr |
| May 27, 10:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Collingsworth, Donley | 67 min |
| May 27, 10:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Randall | 64 min |
| May 27, 10:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Custer, Dewey, Roger Mills | 25 min |
| May 27, 10:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | AMA | Armstrong, Randall | 6 hr |
| May 27, 11:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Randall | 43 min |
| May 27, 11:08 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | AMA | Collingsworth | 3 hr |
| May 27, 11:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Donley | 61 min |
| May 27, 11:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Randall | 33 min |
| May 28, 12:03 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | AMA | Donley | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 529 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -131 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1642 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 99 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 187 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
598
WWUS20 KWNS 271941
SEL1
SPC WW 271941
OKZ000-TXZ000-280300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 231
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN OKLAHOMA INCLUDING A PART OF THE PANHANDLE
EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM
UNTIL 1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP OVER THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING WITH A RISK FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND A
FEW TORNADOES.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
GUYMON OKLAHOMA TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLINTON OKLAHOMA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 227...WW 228...WW
229...WW 230...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.
...MEADSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 26, 7:55 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 9 more | 95 min |
| May 26, 10:56 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cherokee, Cleveland, Creek and 21 more | 94 min |
| May 27, 2:13 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaver, Beckham, Ellis, Harmon, Harper, Roger Mills | 92 min |
| May 27, 6:16 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Beaver, Beckham, Ellis, Greer, Harper, Kiowa and 3 more | 119 min |
| May 26, 8:25 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Coke, Coleman, Concho, Irion, Kimble, McCulloch and 6 more | 95 min |
| May 26, 8:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Callahan, Comanche, Eastland, Erath, Hood, Jack and 8 more | 84 min |
| May 26, 9:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Collin, Comanche and 37 more | 6 hr |
| May 26, 11:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Bell, Bosque, Comanche, Coryell, Erath and 16 more | 88 min |
| May 27, 4:48 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Chambers, Fort Bend, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 13 more | 117 min |
| May 27, 11:39 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell, Comal and 16 more | 66 min |
| May 27, 3:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 18 more | 2 hr |
| May 27, 5:05 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Bailey, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran and 23 more | 115 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.