Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 231

May 27, 201512 counties in Oklahoma; 13 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 27, 2015, 2:46 PM CDT for 12 counties in Oklahoma; 13 counties in Texas. It was in force for 10 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2015, 2:46 PM CDT (19:46 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2015, 1:00 AM CDT
In force
10 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 25 counties

Beaver County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Harper County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Texas County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Armstrong County, TX, Carson County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Donley County, TX, Gray County, TX, Hansford County, TX, Hemphill County, TX, Lipscomb County, TX, Ochiltree County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Roberts County, TX, Wheeler County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 147 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

40 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 2:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts62 min
May 27, 3:23 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts52 min
May 27, 3:46 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts3 hr
May 27, 4:06 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong, Donley54 min
May 27, 4:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts60 min
May 27, 4:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMABeaver63 min
May 27, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb91 min
May 27, 4:47 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong, Carson, Donley, Gray58 min
May 27, 4:51 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAHemphill39 min
May 27, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMABeaver63 min
May 27, 5:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb, Roberts54 min
May 27, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson, Gray, Roberts53 min
May 27, 5:31 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb44 min
May 27, 5:35 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningAMAArmstrong3 hr
May 27, 5:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACarson, Hutchinson49 min
May 27, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong63 min
May 27, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMABeaver69 min
May 27, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong, Randall61 min
May 27, 6:12 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb48 min
May 27, 6:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb, Ochiltree, Roberts3 hr
May 27, 6:57 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb48 min
May 27, 7:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAHemphill, Ochiltree, Roberts30 min
May 27, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong, Randall66 min
May 27, 8:18 PM CDTTornado WarningAMAArmstrong57 min
May 27, 8:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningAMAArmstrong3 hr
May 27, 8:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNDewey, Ellis, Roger Mills44 min
May 27, 8:57 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNEllis, Roger Mills33 min
May 27, 9:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMAArmstrong61 min
May 27, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCuster, Dewey, Ellis, Roger Mills45 min
May 27, 9:51 PM CDTTornado WarningAMARandall24 min
May 27, 9:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningAMAHemphill, Lipscomb6 hr
May 27, 10:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMACollingsworth, Donley67 min
May 27, 10:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMARandall64 min
May 27, 10:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCuster, Dewey, Roger Mills25 min
May 27, 10:29 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningAMAArmstrong, Randall6 hr
May 27, 11:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMARandall43 min
May 27, 11:08 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningAMACollingsworth3 hr
May 27, 11:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMADonley61 min
May 27, 11:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAMARandall33 min
May 28, 12:03 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningAMADonley4 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 147 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 529 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 99 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
529 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-131 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1642 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
99 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
187 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

598 
WWUS20 KWNS 271941
SEL1  
SPC WW 271941
OKZ000-TXZ000-280300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 231
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  WESTERN OKLAHOMA INCLUDING A PART OF THE PANHANDLE
  EASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM
  UNTIL 1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP OVER THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING WITH A RISK FOR VERY LARGE HAIL AND A
FEW TORNADOES.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF
GUYMON OKLAHOMA TO 50 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CLINTON OKLAHOMA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 227...WW 228...WW
229...WW 230...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27020.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 7:55 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche and 9 more95 min
May 26, 10:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cherokee, Cleveland, Creek and 21 more94 min
May 27, 2:13 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Ellis, Harmon, Harper, Roger Mills92 min
May 27, 6:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Beckham, Ellis, Greer, Harper, Kiowa and 3 more119 min
May 26, 8:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCoke, Coleman, Concho, Irion, Kimble, McCulloch and 6 more95 min
May 26, 8:51 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCallahan, Comanche, Eastland, Erath, Hood, Jack and 8 more84 min
May 26, 9:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Collin, Comanche and 37 more6 hr
May 26, 11:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bell, Bosque, Comanche, Coryell, Erath and 16 more88 min
May 27, 4:48 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Chambers, Fort Bend, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 13 more117 min
May 27, 11:39 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Caldwell, Comal and 16 more66 min
May 27, 3:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 18 more2 hr
May 27, 5:05 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Bailey, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran and 23 more115 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.