Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2015

Flash Flood Warning 11, NWS Amarillo, TX

May 27, 2015Armstrong County, Texas

NWS Amarillo, TX issued this flash flood warning at May 27, 2015, 8:29 PM CDT for Armstrong County, Texas. It was in force for 3 hr. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: May 27, 2015, 8:29 PM CDT (01:29 UTC)
Expired: May 27, 2015, 11:30 PM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Amarillo, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

County Armstrong County, TX

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
May 27, 8:45 PM CDT	FLASH FLOOD	Wayside, TX	WATER COVERING FARM TO MARKET 285 AND CURVES IN THE ROAD JUST WEST OF WAYSIDE ARE UNDER WATER.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this flash flood warning; the first came 16 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 1.5 hours before the alert went out and 326 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1562 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -36 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2097 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 83 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

545 
WGUS54 KAMA 280129
FFWAMA
TXC011-280430-
/O.NEW.KAMA.FF.W.0011.150528T0129Z-150528T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
829 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AMARILLO HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL ARMSTRONG COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1130 PM CDT

* AT 827 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 
WAYSIDE TO 15 MILES EAST OF WAYSIDE. SPOTTERS HAVE REPORTED 
MUDSLIDES ON HIGHWAY 207 IN THE CANYON SOUTH OF CLAUDE AND DOPPLER 
RADAR INDICATES OVER 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN OVER PARTS OF THE 
WARNED AREA IN THE PAST 3 HOURS. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED 
TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AND FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY 
TO CONTINUE. WHILE PRECIPITATION MAY TAPER OFF IN SOME AREAS DURING 
THE WARNING PERIOD...IT WILL TAKE SOME TIME FOR ANY HIGH WATER TO 
RUNOFF.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  WAYSIDE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN
AROUND... DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3475 10160 3485 10157 3493 10151 3495 10140
      3484 10122 3474 10127 3474 10159

$$

SIMPSON

1 follow-up statement

796 
WGUS74 KAMA 280230
FFSAMA

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
930 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

TXC011-280430-
/O.CON.KAMA.FF.W.0011.000000T0000Z-150528T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ARMSTRONG TX-
930 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL ARMSTRONG
COUNTY UNTIL 1130 PM CDT...

* AT 922 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLASH FLOODING       
  ONGOING IN SOUTHERN ARMSTRONG COUNTY. PORTIONS OF FARM TO MARKET   
  285 ARE FLOODED. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN     
  HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER PARTS OF THE WARNED AREA IN THE PAST 6    
  HOURS WITH ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED. FLOODING IS LIKELY TO   
  OCCUR. WHILE PRECIPITATION MAY TAPER OFF IN SOME AREAS...IT WILL   
  TAKE SOME TIME FOR ANY HIGH WATER TO RUNOFF.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  WAYSIDE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM THIS STORM WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL CREEKS
AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...NORMALLY DRY WASHES... AS WELL AS
FARMLAND ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3475 10160 3485 10157 3493 10151 3495 10140
      3484 10122 3474 10127 3474 10159

$$

BRB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 27, 6:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 6:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 52 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
637 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

.AVIATION...
00 TAFS...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION. SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN OVER THE PANHANDLES THIS EVENING. INITIAL
CONVECTION WILL START WINDING DOWN WITH SUNSET...BUT SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVERNIGHT ACROSS
THE PANHANDLES...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.
SAVED PREVAILING THUNDER FOR KAMA UNTIL CLOSER TO AFTERNOON...BUT
WILL LIKELY BE SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS NEAR ALL THE TERMINALS
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH CONFIDENCE ON MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS
DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT...SLOWLY LIFTING TO VFR BY LATE MORNING. WINDS
WILL REMAIN SOUTHERLY AT 8 TO 15KTS WITH PERIODS OF GUSTS NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS AND OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES.

ELSENHEIMER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
CONVECTION HAS INITIATED OVER THE NORTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.
STORMS WILL DEVELOP QUICKLY AND LIKELY BECOME SEVERE OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PANHANDLES THIS EVENING. VERY IMPRESSIVE SURFACE BASED CAPE VALUES
OF 3000-4500 J/KG ARE PRESENT...AND A MODERATE AMOUNT OF WIND SHEAR...THOUGH
MAINLY OF THE DIRECTIONAL VARIETY. THIS SHOULD BE ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
SEVERE STORMS WITH MAINLY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THE PRIMARY
THREATS...THOUGH A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL. STORMS WILL BE
SLOW TO MOVE AND HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS ON TODAY'S SEVERE POTENTIAL...SEE MESOSCALE UPDATE
IN PREVIOUS AFD.

THE NEXT ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COMES TONIGHT AS THE
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER BAJA WILL CONTINUE MOVING INLAND...AND
SHORTWAVE IMPULSES WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AHEAD OF IT IN GENERALLY
WESTERLY FLOW. THIS WILL KEEP CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE PANHANDLES THROUGH SATURDAY. A BIT DIFFICULT
TO PICK OUT THE BETTER CHANCES DURING THIS PERIOD AS THE MAIN FORCING
WILL BE LIKELY TIED TO SHORTWAVE ENERGY THAT HAS YET TO BE RESOLVED
CLEARLY...AND AS SUCH...DID NOT DEVIATE MUCH FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST.
ONE POSSIBILITY ARE THE AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS OVER THE EASTERN
PANHANDLES AGAIN AS SURFACE CONVERGENCE REMAINS IN PLACE...THOUGH
SOME QUESTION AS TO WHETHER THAT AREA WILL BE IN THE PANHANDLES OR
FURTHER EAST OVER OKLAHOMA. DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-60S ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN SIMILAR TO TODAY'S PLACEMENT...AS WELL AS FORECASTED SURFACE
BASED CAPE VALUES UPWARDS OF 2000 J/KG. THIS COULD BE LIMITED THOUGH
BY LEFTOVER CLOUDS FROM ANY CONVECTION THAT FORMS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
MOST CLEAR SIGNAL APPEARS TO BE FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EARLY SATURDAY
MORNING AS WHAT IS LEFT OF THE TROUGH MOVES EASTWARD OVER THE
PANHANDLES. ALSO APPEARS A SURFACE FRONT COULD PROVIDE SOME
ADDITIONAL FORCING DURING THIS PERIOD. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS WE SEE DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

BY SUNDAY....UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION WITH DRY NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE PANHANDLES TO START
THE WEEK. THIS SHOULD KEEP OUR AREA FAIRLY DRY...THOUGH ANY
CONVECTION THAT FORMS UPSTREAM COULD MOVE INTO THE NORTHWESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE PANHANDLES UNDER THIS FLOW REGIME.  THE CENTER OF
THE RIDGE STARTS PUSHING EAST AND BREAKING DOWN SOMEWHAT ON TUESDAY
AS A DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE WEST COAST.

ELSENHEIMER

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

18/08

Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 3:04 PM CDT, 5 hours 25 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
304 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-280815-
CIMARRON-TEXAS-BEAVER-DALLAM-SHERMAN-HANSFORD-OCHILTREE-LIPSCOMB-
HARTLEY-MOORE-HUTCHINSON-ROBERTS-HEMPHILL-OLDHAM-POTTER-CARSON-
GRAY-WHEELER-DEAF SMITH-RANDALL-ARMSTRONG-DONLEY-COLLINGSWORTH-
304 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA
PANHANDLES.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS
THE EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND TEXAS PANHANDLES. SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND DAMAGING WINDS THE
MAIN THREATS...AND A LOW THREAT FOR TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY ON THURSDAY...WITH A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY
AND INTO SATURDAY BEFORE A DRIER PATTERN DEVELOPS THIS WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND AGAIN ON THURSDAY.

ELSENHEIMER

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 27, 6:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
648 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0602 PM     TORNADO          2 SSW CANADIAN          35.88N 100.40W
05/27/2015                   HEMPHILL           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE REPORTS FROM STORM CHASERS

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1500490

CLK

Special weather statement, May 27, 6:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
648 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

TXZ013-014-018-019-280045-
ARMSTRONG TX-CARSON TX-DONLEY TX-GRAY TX-
648 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR ARMSTRONG...SOUTHEASTERN
CARSON...EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN GRAY AND NORTHWESTERN DONLEY COUNTIES
UNTIL 745 PM CDT...

AT 646 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
WASHBURN TO 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GOODNIGHT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CLARENDON...          CLAUDE...             HOWARDWICK...
  GREENBELT LAKE...     WAYSIDE...            WASHBURN...
  GOODNIGHT...          GROOM...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 40 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 89 AND 114.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAIN...WHICH MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES...IS ALSO LIKELY. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE ON A FLOODED
ROADWAY...TURN AROUND DONT DROWN.

LAT...LON 3516 10162 3540 10131 3499 10081 3474 10120
      3474 10163
TIME...MOT...LOC 2348Z 230DEG 23KT 3509 10150 3489 10127

NF

Local storm report, May 27, 6:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
650 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TORNADO          2 NW CANADIAN           35.93N 100.41W
05/27/2015                   HEMPHILL           TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MULTIPLE VORTEX TORNADO. MULTIPLE REPORTS FROM STORM
            CHASERS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1500491

CLK

Local storm report, May 27, 7:01 PM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
701 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0410 PM     HAIL             5 NNE DARROUZETT        36.51N 100.29W
05/27/2015  M1.75 INCH       BEAVER             OK   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1500492

KB

Local storm report, May 27, 7:04 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
704 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0641 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NNW CANADIAN          35.94N 100.40W
05/27/2015                   HEMPHILL           TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            CLOSED HIGHWAY 83 NORTH OF HIGHWAY 60 DUE TO TREES ON
            THE ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1500493

CLK

Local storm report, May 27, 7:08 PM CDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
708 PM CDT WED MAY 27 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     FLASH FLOOD      6 E WAYSIDE             34.79N 101.44W
05/27/2015                   ARMSTRONG          TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MUDSLIDES COVERING HIGHWAY 207 NEAR THE SCENIC OVERLOOK
            IN THE CANYON

&&

EVENT NUMBER AMA1500494

CLK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Amarillo, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 27, 7:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Hemphill, Ochiltree, Roberts	30 min
May 27, 7:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Armstrong, Randall	66 min
May 27, 8:18 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	AMA	Armstrong	57 min
May 27, 9:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Armstrong	61 min
May 27, 9:51 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	AMA	Randall	24 min
May 27, 9:58 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	AMA	Hemphill, Lipscomb	6 hr
May 27, 10:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Collingsworth, Donley	67 min
May 27, 10:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Randall	64 min
May 27, 10:29 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	AMA	Armstrong, Randall	6 hr
May 27, 10:41 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	AMA	Armstrong	18 hr
May 27, 11:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Randall	43 min
May 27, 11:08 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	AMA	Collingsworth	3 hr
May 27, 11:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Donley	61 min
May 27, 11:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Randall	33 min
May 28, 12:03 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	AMA	Donley	4 hr
May 28, 12:07 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Randall	23 min
May 28, 1:12 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Randall	33 min
May 28, 1:13 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	AMA	Hemphill	19 hr
May 28, 1:45 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	AMA	Collingsworth	4 hr
May 28, 1:52 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Randall	38 min
May 28, 2:02 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Randall	43 min
May 28, 4:04 AM CDT	Flash Flood Watch	AMA	Armstrong, Carson, Collingsworth, Deaf Smith, Donley, Gray and 8 more	17 hr
May 28, 9:27 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Ochiltree	33 min
May 28, 4:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Dallam	50 min
May 28, 4:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Dallam	64 min
May 28, 5:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Oldham	45 min
May 28, 5:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Dallam, Hartley	64 min
May 28, 6:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	AMA	Dallam, Hartley	58 min
May 28, 6:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	AMA	Sherman	39 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2015 Every flash flood warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.