Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 149

May 9, 201518 counties in Colorado; 31 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Red Willow County, Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 9, 2015, 11:55 AM MDT for 18 counties in Colorado; 31 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Red Willow County, Nebraska. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2015, 11:55 AM MDT (17:55 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2015, 11:00 PM MDT
In force
11 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 52 counties

Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Otero County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Clark County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Dundy County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

56 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 12:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley25 min
May 9, 12:30 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedPUBCrowley14 min
May 9, 1:08 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley26 min
May 9, 1:16 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBEl Paso119 min
May 9, 1:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBHuerfano, Pueblo30 min
May 9, 1:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo28 min
May 9, 1:53 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo37 min
May 9, 1:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo50 min
May 9, 1:57 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningPUBPueblo3 hr
May 9, 2:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBFremont, Pueblo35 min
May 9, 2:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBPueblo53 min
May 9, 2:26 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBPueblo34 min
May 9, 2:52 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo23 min
May 9, 2:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo49 min
May 9, 3:07 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo38 min
May 9, 3:20 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Kiowa25 min
May 9, 3:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso, Pueblo46 min
May 9, 3:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Otero43 min
May 9, 3:37 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBEl Paso38 min
May 9, 4:04 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBCrowley, Kiowa, Otero41 min
May 9, 4:10 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert35 min
May 9, 4:17 PM MDTTornado WarningBOULincoln17 min
May 9, 4:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa41 min
May 9, 4:24 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBKiowa36 min
May 9, 4:37 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert, Lincoln23 min
May 9, 4:38 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGLDCheyenne37 min
May 9, 4:41 PM MDTTornado WarningBOUElbert34 min
May 9, 5:08 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatGLDCheyenne52 min
May 9, 5:50 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDCheyenne27 min
May 9, 6:09 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Ford, Gray, Meade, Seward51 min
May 9, 6:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Kit Carson59 min
May 9, 6:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Gray, Hodgeman28 min
May 9, 6:30 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDDCTrego30 min
May 9, 6:35 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGLDGove, Graham, Sheridan25 min
May 9, 6:45 PM MDTTornado WarningDDCClark, Meade30 min
May 9, 6:45 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDGove, Logan45 min
May 9, 6:56 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDGraham, Sheridan21 min
May 9, 7:15 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGLDGove, Logan, Sheridan, Thomas45 min
May 9, 7:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Ford43 min
May 9, 7:36 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDYuma6 hr
May 9, 7:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCEdwards, Ford, Kiowa46 min
May 9, 7:51 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGLDGove, Sheridan, Thomas39 min
May 9, 8:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne, Rawlins, Sherman, Wallace55 min
May 9, 8:21 PM MDTTornado Warning Considerable damage threatGLDSheridan, Thomas24 min
May 9, 8:37 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDCheyenne, Sherman3 hr
May 9, 8:41 PM MDTTornado Warning Considerable damage threatGLDSheridan, Thomas34 min
May 9, 9:04 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatGLDDecatur, Sheridan41 min
May 9, 9:12 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningGLDCheyenne3 hr
May 9, 9:14 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedDDCFord, Gray, Hodgeman31 min
May 9, 9:28 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGLDDecatur32 min
May 9, 9:53 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDDecatur27 min
May 9, 9:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDThomas33 min
May 9, 10:12 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGLDRed Willow33 min
May 9, 10:26 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDRed Willow27 min
May 9, 10:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDRawlins20 min
May 9, 10:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDRawlins10 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2015-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 53 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2015-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
53 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-132 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
660 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
59 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

882 
WWUS20 KWNS 091752
SEL9  
SPC WW 091752
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-100300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 149
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  EASTERN COLORADO
  WESTERN KANSAS
  FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1155 AM UNTIL
  900 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
    TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SCATTERED SUPERCELLS AND BROKEN LINES OF SUSTAINED STORMS
WITH A THREAT FOR SEVERE HAIL AND TORNADOES EXPECTED TO MOVE /
DEVELOP GRADUALLY NNE ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THROUGH
MID-EVENING.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
AKRON COLORADO TO 35 MILES WEST OF LIBERAL KANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 148...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20030.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 6:55 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBent, Crowley, Custer, El Paso, Huerfano, Las Animas and 3 more2 hr
May 9, 4:51 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Prowers84 min
May 9, 11:40 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Prowers65 min
May 9, 2:34 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Lincoln and 7 more56 min
May 9, 5:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert and 11 more119 min
May 9, 6:36 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford and 12 more6 hr
May 9, 10:36 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarber, Edwards, Harper, Kingman, Kiowa, Pawnee and 3 more84 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2015Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.