Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 149
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 9, 2015, 11:55 AM MDT for 18 counties in Colorado; 31 counties in Kansas; Dundy County, Hitchcock County, Red Willow County, Nebraska. It was in force for 11 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 9, 2015, 11:55 AM MDT (17:55 UTC)
- Expired
- May 9, 2015, 11:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 11 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 52 counties
Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Crowley County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Elbert County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Lincoln County, CO, Logan County, CO, Morgan County, CO, Otero County, CO, Phillips County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Washington County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Clark County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Ness County, KS, Norton County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS, Dundy County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Red Willow County, NE
The radar
The Goodland radar (KGLD), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 5%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
56 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 12:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley | 25 min |
| May 9, 12:30 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | Crowley | 14 min |
| May 9, 1:08 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley | 26 min |
| May 9, 1:16 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | El Paso | 119 min |
| May 9, 1:30 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Huerfano, Pueblo | 30 min |
| May 9, 1:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 28 min |
| May 9, 1:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 37 min |
| May 9, 1:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 50 min |
| May 9, 1:57 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 3 hr |
| May 9, 2:10 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Fremont, Pueblo | 35 min |
| May 9, 2:22 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 53 min |
| May 9, 2:26 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | Pueblo | 34 min |
| May 9, 2:52 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | El Paso, Pueblo | 23 min |
| May 9, 2:56 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso, Pueblo | 49 min |
| May 9, 3:07 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | El Paso, Pueblo | 38 min |
| May 9, 3:20 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley, Kiowa | 25 min |
| May 9, 3:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | El Paso, Pueblo | 46 min |
| May 9, 3:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley, Otero | 43 min |
| May 9, 3:37 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | El Paso | 38 min |
| May 9, 4:04 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Crowley, Kiowa, Otero | 41 min |
| May 9, 4:10 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Elbert | 35 min |
| May 9, 4:17 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Lincoln | 17 min |
| May 9, 4:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PUB | Kiowa | 41 min |
| May 9, 4:24 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | PUB | Kiowa | 36 min |
| May 9, 4:37 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Elbert, Lincoln | 23 min |
| May 9, 4:38 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 37 min |
| May 9, 4:41 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | BOU | Elbert | 34 min |
| May 9, 5:08 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 52 min |
| May 9, 5:50 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 27 min |
| May 9, 6:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Clark, Ford, Gray, Meade, Seward | 51 min |
| May 9, 6:16 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Kit Carson | 59 min |
| May 9, 6:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Finney, Gray, Hodgeman | 28 min |
| May 9, 6:30 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | DDC | Trego | 30 min |
| May 9, 6:35 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Gove, Graham, Sheridan | 25 min |
| May 9, 6:45 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | DDC | Clark, Meade | 30 min |
| May 9, 6:45 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Gove, Logan | 45 min |
| May 9, 6:56 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Graham, Sheridan | 21 min |
| May 9, 7:15 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Gove, Logan, Sheridan, Thomas | 45 min |
| May 9, 7:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Clark, Ford | 43 min |
| May 9, 7:36 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GLD | Yuma | 6 hr |
| May 9, 7:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DDC | Edwards, Ford, Kiowa | 46 min |
| May 9, 7:51 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Gove, Sheridan, Thomas | 39 min |
| May 9, 8:05 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Rawlins, Sherman, Wallace | 55 min |
| May 9, 8:21 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Sheridan, Thomas | 24 min |
| May 9, 8:37 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GLD | Cheyenne, Sherman | 3 hr |
| May 9, 8:41 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Sheridan, Thomas | 34 min |
| May 9, 9:04 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Decatur, Sheridan | 41 min |
| May 9, 9:12 PM MDT | Flash Flood Warning | GLD | Cheyenne | 3 hr |
| May 9, 9:14 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | DDC | Ford, Gray, Hodgeman | 31 min |
| May 9, 9:28 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Decatur | 32 min |
| May 9, 9:53 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Decatur | 27 min |
| May 9, 9:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Thomas | 33 min |
| May 9, 10:12 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Red Willow | 33 min |
| May 9, 10:26 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GLD | Red Willow | 27 min |
| May 9, 10:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Rawlins | 20 min |
| May 9, 10:47 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GLD | Rawlins | 10 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 5.9 hours before the alert went out and 75 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 53 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -132 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 660 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 59 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 49 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 196 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
882
WWUS20 KWNS 091752
SEL9
SPC WW 091752
COZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-100300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 149
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EASTERN COLORADO
WESTERN KANSAS
FAR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1155 AM UNTIL
900 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SCATTERED SUPERCELLS AND BROKEN LINES OF SUSTAINED STORMS
WITH A THREAT FOR SEVERE HAIL AND TORNADOES EXPECTED TO MOVE /
DEVELOP GRADUALLY NNE ACROSS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS THROUGH
MID-EVENING.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
AKRON COLORADO TO 35 MILES WEST OF LIBERAL KANSAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 148...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20030.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 6:55 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bent, Crowley, Custer, El Paso, Huerfano, Las Animas and 3 more | 2 hr |
| May 9, 4:51 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baca, Prowers | 84 min |
| May 9, 11:40 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Prowers | 65 min |
| May 9, 2:34 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Lincoln and 7 more | 56 min |
| May 9, 5:16 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Baca, Bent, Cheyenne, Crowley, Elbert and 11 more | 119 min |
| May 9, 6:36 AM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Barber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Finney, Ford and 12 more | 6 hr |
| May 9, 10:36 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Edwards, Harper, Kingman, Kiowa, Pawnee and 3 more | 84 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Colorado, 2015Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.