Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Pueblo, CO

083 
WWUS55 KPUB 091939
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
139 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

COC055-101-092000-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0045.000000T0000Z-150509T2000Z/
HUERFANO CO-PUEBLO CO-
139 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM MDT
FOR NORTH CENTRAL HUERFANO AND SOUTHWESTERN PUEBLO COUNTIES...

AT 138 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES NORTHEAST
OF GREENHORN MOUNTAIN...OR 21 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PUEBLO...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COLORADO CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3783 10475 3800 10495 3822 10478 3805 10448
TIME...MOT...LOC 1938Z 204DEG 18KT 3799 10480 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

KT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1211 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1208 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

UPDATED FOR TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE FOR PORTIONS OF THE SE PLAINS.
ALSO BROUGHT IN LATEST OBS DATA.

UPDATE ISSUED AT 820 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

JUST MADE SOME MINOR POP CHANGES FOR TODAY. MENTIONED SEVERE
WEATHER IN THE ZONE FORECAST FOR KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS AND BACA
COUNTIES BASED ON THE NEW DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 556 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

SATELLITE IMAGES THIS MORNING ARE SHOWING THE UPR LOW CENTERED
JUST WEST OF THE FOUR CORNERS AREA. THE UPR LOW IS FORECAST TO
TRACK ACRS SOUTHERN CO TODAY...AND WL THEN LIFT NORTHEASTWARD INTO
THE FAR NW CORNER OF KS BY 12Z SUN. AS THIS SYSTEM MOVES ACRS THE
AREA...THERE WL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD PCPN ACRS THE
FORECAST AREA TODAY. OVR THE CENTRAL MTNS AND PIKES PEAK SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS CAN BE EXPECTED...WHICH WILL CONTINUE THRU TONIGHT
AND HAVE ISSUED WINTER STORM WARNINGS BEGINNING AT MIDDAY TODAY
FOR THESE LOCATIONS. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER
TODAY ACRS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...BUT THE BEST CHANCES
WILL GENERALLY BE OVR THE FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS...ESPECIALLY OVR
KIOWA AND PROWERS COUNTIES. HAIL UP TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND
WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREATS BUT A
COUPLE TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

AS THE LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST TONIGHT...N TO NW FLOW BEHIND THE LOW
WL BE FAIRLY STRONG OVR SOME AREAS. WRAP AROUND PCPN INTO TELLER
AND EL PASO COUNTIES TONIGHT SHOULD BE WIDESPREAD AND WITH TEMPS
ALOFT COOLING TO -4 TO -6C AT 700MB SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED. HAVE
ISSUED WINTER WX ADVISORY FOR TELLER COUNTY AND NRN EL PASO COUNTY
BECAUSE OF THIS LATE SEASON SNOW EVENT. THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE
SANGRES AND WET MTNS WL PROBABLY ALSO SEE SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 556 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

WRAP AROUND PCPN WILL CONTINUE TO BRING SNOW TO THE PALMER DVD AND
PIKES PEAK REGION EARLY SUN MORNING...BUT THE PCPN CHANCES SHOULD
BE DECREASING THRU THE MORNING AS THE UPR LOW MOVES FARTHER AWAY
FROM THE AREA. BY LATE AFTERNOON SUNDAY THE UPR LOW IS FORECAST TO
BE IN NORTH CENTRAL NE AND A SHORTWAVE TROF ON THE BACK SIDE OF
THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVR THE STATE. THIS DISTURBANCE WL
HELP KICK OFF MORE SHOWERS OVER THE MTNS AND HIGH VALLEYS IN THE
AFTERNOON...THEN SPREADING OVR THE PLAINS IN THE EVENING. SOME
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION CAN BE EXPECTED OVR THE MOUNTAIN
AREAS. HIGH TEMPS ON SUN WL BE MUCH BELOW NORMAL BY ABOUT 20
DEGREES OVR THE SERN PLAINS AND BY ABOUT 10 DEGREES IN THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY.

ON MONDAY AN UPR RIDGE BUILDS OVR UT AND DRIER WEATHER IS EXPECTED
OVR THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH TEMPS MON WL BE A LITTLE WARMER...BUT
STILL BELOW AVERAGE.

TUE THE UPR RIDGE WL MOVE ACRS THE AREA...BUT LATE IN THE DAY...A
NEW UPR TROF OVR THE WRN STATES WL CAUSE SOUTHERLY FLOW OVR NM AND
CO AND BRING MSTR UP INTO THE AREA AGAIN. THIS SHOULD LEAD TO
SHOWERS AND TSTMS FOR TUE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH POSSIBLY
SOME LINGERING THRU THE NIGHT. AN UPR DISTURBANCE MOVES ACRS THE
AREA ON WED BRINGING MORE PCPN CHANCES. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY
FOR THU AS AN UPR LOW IS EXPECTED TO CLOSE OFF OVR CENTRAL KS OR
OVR SERN CO DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL YOU BELIEVE. MODEL
DIFFERENCES CONTINUE INTO FRI WITH THE ECMWF SHOWING A CLOSED LOW
OVR THE NV AND UT BORDER AND THE GFS SHOWING THE LOW OFF THE NRN
CA COAST WITH A DISTURBANCE IN THE FLOW MOVING ACRS THE FORECAST
AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1119 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

ANOTHER WET AND ACTIVE PLAN ON TAP FOR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE
AGAIN ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTN AND LAST WELL INTO THE EVENING
HRS...AS THE UPPER LOW TRACKS TO THE E-NE DIRECTLY OVER THE STATE.
VFR TO MVFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR KALS...WHILE KCOS AND KPUB
WILL EXPERIENCE MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS THIS EVE AND OVERNIGHT DUE
TO THE EXCESS WATER ON THE GROUND AND IN THE LOWER LEVELS. TONIGHT
AFTER 03Z SFC WINDS WILL SWING AROUND TO A N-NW DIRECTION ACROSS
THE PALMER DVD ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER LOW...AND RAPIDLY
DROPPING TEMPS WILL CONVERT THE RAIN TO SNOW FOR NORTHERN EL PASO
COUNTY AND THE RAMPART RANGE. MOORE

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM MDT
SUNDAY FOR COZ081-084.

FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT FOR COZ084-085.

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM MDT SUNDAY FOR COZ073-075-080.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM MDT SUNDAY FOR COZ058-060-061.

WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 9 AM MDT SUNDAY FOR COZ082.

&&

UPDATE...MOORE
SHORT TERM...28
LONG TERM...28/MW
AVIATION...MOORE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1213 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-101300-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1213 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE AFFECTING THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS IT TRACKS ACROSS SOUTHERN
COLORADO THROUGH THE DAY...AND THEN MOVES NORTHEASTWARD INTO FAR
NORTHWEST KANSAS OVERNIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...WITH MAYBE SOME ISOLATED STORMS LATE TONIGHT. SEVERE
WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS AND
PORTIONS OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR. THE AREA WITH THE MOST ELEVATED
RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER TODAY WILL BE OVER
CROWLEY...OTERO...KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS AND BACA COUNTIES. THE
MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREATS WILL BE HAIL UP TO 2 INCHES IN
DIAMETER...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ALONG WITH THE THREAT OF
A COUPLE OF TORNADOES.

IN EL PASO COUNTY...SOILS ARE SATURATED AND ANY ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL WILL RUN OFF...CREATING A FLASH FLOODING RISK THROUGH
THIS EVENING IF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINS MOVE OVER THE AREA.

OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN AREAS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS...PIKES PEAK AND THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET
MOUNTAINS...SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TONIGHT AND SEVERAL
INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED OVER TELLER COUNTY AND THE RAMPART
RANGE...WITH A FEW INCHES OVER NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

SOME LIGHT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
TELLER COUNTY AND POSSIBLY NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY EARLY SUNDAY.
OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN AREAS SOME ADDITIONAL...GENERALLY LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE LATE
NIGHT HOURS.

ON MONDAY...ONLY SOME ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
THE MOUNTAINS. FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...THERE WILL BE DAILY
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS...WITH THE BEST CHANCES BEING IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING
AND WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

27/10

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
925 AM MDT SAT MAY 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0924 AM     RAIN             3 ENE COLORADO SPRINGS  38.85N 104.78W
05/09/2015                   EL PASO            CO   STORM CHASER

            1.78

&&

PP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
936 AM MDT SAT MAY 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0935 AM     RAIN             3 ENE MANITOU SPRINGS   38.88N 104.86W
05/09/2015                   EL PASO            CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            0.11 INCHES FROM 8 TO 9AM

&&

PP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1109 AM MDT SAT MAY 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1107 AM     RAIN             1 SE FOWLER             38.12N 104.01W
05/09/2015                   OTERO              CO   PUBLIC

            0.83 INCHES SO FAR TODAY

&&

PP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1144 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

COZ089-091815-
CROWLEY COUNTY CO-
1144 AM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 1143 AM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER CROWLEY...OR 23 MILES NORTHWEST OF LA
JUNTA...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS AND CROWLEY.

LAT...LON 3813 10375 3815 10398 3846 10399 3843 10365
TIME...MOT...LOC 1743Z 187DEG 16KT 3822 10386

KT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1214 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

COZ089-091845-
CROWLEY COUNTY CO-
1214 PM MDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL CROWLEY COUNTY UNTIL 1245
PM MDT...

AT 1213 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ORDWAY...OR 26 MILES NORTHWEST OF LA
JUNTA...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
OPEN COUNTRY NORTH OF ORDWAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3846 10357 3819 10372 3824 10394 3852 10390
      3852 10383
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 195DEG 15KT 3829 10381

KT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
129 PM MDT SAT MAY 09 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0128 PM     HAIL             4 SE COLORADO CITY      37.91N 104.79W
05/09/2015  M0.88 INCH       PUEBLO             CO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MN