Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 237
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 28, 2015, 7:58 PM CDT for 22 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 28, 2015, 7:58 PM CDT (00:58 UTC)
- Expired
- May 29, 2015, 1:01 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 22 counties
Bandera County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Real County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX
The radar
The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 20%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 50%
Warnings issued inside it
19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 7:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, Menard, Schleicher, Tom Green | 47 min |
| May 28, 8:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Crockett, Schleicher, Sutton | 58 min |
| May 28, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Menard, Schleicher, Sutton | 47 min |
| May 28, 9:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Val Verde | 75 min |
| May 28, 9:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Brown, Coleman, Concho, McCulloch, San Saba | 49 min |
| May 28, 9:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, McCulloch, Mason, Menard | 59 min |
| May 28, 9:36 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Kimble, Mason, Menard | 24 min |
| May 28, 9:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kerr, Real, Val Verde | 68 min |
| May 28, 9:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde, Val Verde | 93 min |
| May 28, 9:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SJT | Mason | 31 min |
| May 28, 10:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Kimble, Mason, Menard | 3 hr |
| May 28, 10:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Kimble, Mason | 52 min |
| May 28, 10:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie, Kerr, Llano | 81 min |
| May 28, 10:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera | 65 min |
| May 28, 11:05 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Llano, Real | 4 hr |
| May 28, 11:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Blanco, Burnet, Kendall | 89 min |
| May 28, 11:31 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kendall, Kerr, Medina, Real, Uvalde | 4 hr |
| May 28, 11:48 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Blanco, Burnet, Comal, Gillespie, Hays, Kendall and 3 more | 4 hr |
| May 29, 12:13 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Bexar, Medina, Uvalde | 4 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 117 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2419 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -22 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1473 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 70 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 108 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.4
- Supercell composite
- 4.9
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 9:58 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bell, Bexar and 68 more | 2 hr |
| May 28, 10:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Atascosa, Bastrop, Bexar, Burnet, Caldwell, Comal and 20 more | 7 hr |
| May 29, 1:22 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atascosa, Bee, Brooks, Dimmit, Duval, Hidalgo and 12 more | 83 min |
| May 29, 12:33 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bowie, Cass, Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Morris and 5 more | 87 min |
| May 29, 2:27 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dallam, Deaf Smith, Hartley, Oldham, Parmer | 93 min |
| May 29, 3:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Bailey, Castro, Dallam, Deaf Smith, Hale, Hartley and 8 more | 7 hr |
| May 29, 4:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bowie, Red River | 87 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.