Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 314

April 16, 2015Jackson County, Oklahoma; 52 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 16, 2015, 4:06 PM CDT for Jackson County, Oklahoma; 52 counties in Texas. It was in force for 2 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 16, 2015, 4:06 PM CDT (21:06 UTC)
Expired
Apr 16, 2015, 6:30 PM CDT
In force
2 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 53 counties

Jackson County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Borden County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Childress County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Foard County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, Kimble County, TX, King County, TX, Knox County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Motley County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 150 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-04-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 97 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-04-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 165 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
97 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-316 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2063 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
22 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
200 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 16, 12:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Harper118 min
Apr 16, 1:48 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeaver, Texas8 hr
Apr 16, 2:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLove63 min
Apr 16, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCComanche, Cotton, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa and 1 more7 hr
Apr 16, 4:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer and 7 more3 hr
Apr 16, 4:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Custer, Dewey and 9 more7 hr
Apr 16, 5:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Texas84 min
Apr 16, 5:29 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron91 min
Apr 16, 5:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Roger Mills94 min
Apr 16, 6:09 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBeckham, Ellis, Greer, Harmon, Roger Mills6 hr
Apr 16, 12:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArmstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Crosby, Donley and 15 more116 min
Apr 16, 1:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar, Blanco, Bosque and 48 more116 min
Apr 16, 2:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Aransas, Austin, Bastrop, Bee, Bell and 81 more8 hr
Apr 16, 4:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Cherokee, Gregg, Hardin, Houston, Jasper and 12 more91 min
Apr 16, 6:19 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Aransas, Austin, Bastrop, Bell, Bexar and 84 more86 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.