Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1894

October 29, 201516 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Oct 29, 2015, 11:55 PM CDT for 16 counties in Texas. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Oct 29, 2015, 11:55 PM CDT (04:55 UTC)
Expired: Oct 30, 2015, 2:30 AM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch: 20%

Counties Bandera County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Mason County, TX, Maverick County, TX, Medina County, TX, Menard County, TX, Real County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 65 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 99 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -269 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 989 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 168 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Oct 30, 3:48 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Atascosa, Bexar, Caldwell, Comal, DeWitt, Frio and 6 more	117 min
Oct 30, 6:07 AM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	Atascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Blanco and 21 more	6 hr
Oct 30, 7:02 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Kenedy, Kleberg, Nueces, San Patricio	118 min
Oct 30, 7:49 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Atascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Burleson and 16 more	86 min
Oct 30, 10:32 AM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Atascosa, Austin, Bandera, Bastrop, Bexar, Burleson and 18 more	58 min
Oct 30, 12:02 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	Austin, Bastrop, Bell, Brazos, Burleson, Caldwell and 16 more	7 hr
Oct 30, 2:14 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Austin, Bastrop, Bell, Brazos, Burleson, Caldwell and 13 more	61 min
Oct 30, 4:45 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Brown, Burnet, Concho and 25 more	3 hr
Oct 30, 5:40 PM CDT	Mesoscale Discussion	SPC	Bell, Brazos, Burleson, Falls, Freestone, Lee and 7 more	2 hr
Oct 30, 6:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	Bandera, Blanco, Burnet, Dimmit, Edwards, Frio and 11 more	8 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2015 Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.