Alert archive / Mississippi / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 160

March 31, 201511 counties in Arkansas; 23 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 31, 2015, 12:41 PM CDT for 11 counties in Arkansas; 23 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 94 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2015, 12:41 PM CDT (17:41 UTC)
Expired
Mar 31, 2015, 2:15 PM CDT
In force
94 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
40%
All 34 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Grant County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Webster County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 125 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2015-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 836 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2015-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 179 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
836 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-130 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
924 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
179 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
192 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 1:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Desha, Jefferson, Lincoln, Phillips5 hr
Mar 31, 2:25 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crittenden and 21 more2 hr
Mar 31, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCrawford, Franklin, Sebastian6 hr
Mar 31, 4:32 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPhillips58 min
Mar 31, 5:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Cleburne, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Faulkner and 13 more7 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Mississippi, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Arkansas, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.