Severe Thunderstorm Warning 111, NWS Springfield, MO

075 
WWUS53 KSGF 212214
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
514 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

MOC225-212225-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0111.000000T0000Z-150421T2230Z/
WEBSTER MO-
514 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED 
AREA.

LAT...LON 3747 9269 3755 9268 3755 9240 3737 9242
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 280DEG 31KT 3750 9260

$$

MOC105-229-212230-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0111.000000T0000Z-150421T2230Z/
LACLEDE MO-WRIGHT MO-
514 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWESTERN
WRIGHT AND SOUTH CENTRAL LACLEDE COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 513 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER SOUTH CENTRAL
LACLEDE COUNTY...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO
         ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COMPETITION AND MORGAN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3747 9269 3755 9268 3755 9240 3737 9242
TIME...MOT...LOC 2215Z 280DEG 31KT 3750 9260

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

078 
WWUS53 KSGF 212230
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
530 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

MOC105-229-212240-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0111.000000T0000Z-150421T2230Z/
LACLEDE MO-WRIGHT MO-
530 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN WRIGHT AND SOUTH
CENTRAL LACLEDE COUNTIES HAS EXPIRED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.

LAT...LON 3747 9269 3755 9268 3755 9240 3737 9242
TIME...MOT...LOC 2214Z 280DEG 31KT 3750 9261

$$

GRIFFIN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
253 PM CDT Tue Apr 21 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 248 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

Gusty west to southwesterly winds will continue through the reminder
of the afternoon hours...but will gradually weaken into this
evening.

Scattered thunderstorms are starting to develop across portions of
west central MO into the eastern Ozarks. These storms are developing
as lift from an upper level low over the great lakes region
interacts will weak instability that is developing with day time
heating and low level moisture advection.  The upper level low is
spreading increased wind shear and colder temperatures in the mid
levels. So, it won't take much of an updraft to get a small hail out
of storms. Instability will remain on the weak side and wide spread
severe weather is not expected, but a few of the stronger storms
could produce hail up to the size of quarters and winds over 50 mph.
These storms will generally occur along and northeast of a Lamar to
Springfield to West Plains MO line and will push southeast of the
area this evening.

Later this evening into tonight additional isolated to scattered
storms will be possible as a cold front sags south through the area.
Instability will remain on the weak side with small hail and cloud to
ground lightning strikes being the main risk with these storms.

On Wednesday 500mb low lifts northeast of Lake Superior but
cyclonic flow continues over Missouri. At the surface high pressure
noses southward into northern Missouri while residual boundary slips
south into Arkansas. This will keep the area with below normal
temperatures with highs only in the 50s and 60s. Models consistent
in weak isentropic lift north of the boundary into southern Missouri
at least early on Wednesday with enough lift for some
showers/storms, especially over far southern Missouri. Best
instabilities remain south of the forecast area with only 300 j/kg
of most unstable cape early in the day along the Arkansas border.
Tapered probabilities from north to south. There could be some
showers across far southern Missouri Wednesday night, otherwise dry
conditions will be seen.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 248 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

Shortwave ridging builds across the area Thursday suppressing any
showers to the south near the Arkansas border during the morning
hours. The next shortwave will lift out of the desert southwest
into the central/southern plains Friday and across Missouri on
Saturday. Although there are some model differences with respect
to the track of the surface low, the Friday time frame looks to be
the best chances for showers and storms, with Saturday more
showery as system begins to pull east of the area. Weak high
pressure will move in Saturday night and into Sunday giving
everyone a break from the rainy weather. However, next shortwave
will drop across the plains around another deep 500mb low over the
Great Lakes. This will bring rain chances back into the forecast
for late Sunday into Sunday night and then pushes east Monday.
Some low probability rain chances on Monday and Tuesday with hard
time shortwave energy in fast flow aloft.

Temperatures look to remain on the cool side through much of the
period with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s. At this point it
looks like there is minimal frost potentials.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon)
Issued at 1245 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFS: Gusty southwesterly winds will
continue to occur this afternoon relaxing later this evening.
Scattered thunderstorms will develop across west central and
central Missouri early this afternoon and spread southeast. This
activity may clip the KSGF TAF site later this after but is expected
to remain east and north of the KJLN and KBBG TAF sites at times.

Low level wind shear will be possible this evening into the
overnight but should start to decrease after a cold frontal
passage later tonight.

Additional scattered thunderstorms will be possible along the front
as is slowly sags south through the area overnight. Winds will
swing around to the north behind the frontal passage.

VFR conditions will occur through much of the TAF period, with
flight conditions being reduce briefly in any thunderstorms that
are able to affect a TAF site.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Raberding/Wise
LONG TERM...Raberding
AVIATION...Wise

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
222 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-221930-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
222 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH WILL CONTINUE AT
  TIMES THIS AFTERNOON.

  SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
  EVENING GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTHEAST OF A LAMAR TO SPRINGFIELD
  TO WEST PLAINS MISSOURI LINE. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES
  AND SMALL HAIL WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD FROM THESE STORMS. MOST
  STORMS WILL REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS...BUT A FEW OF THE
  STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE HAIL AS LARGE AS QUARTERS AND
  LOCALIZED WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

  LATER THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
  THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG A COLD FRONT AS IT SAGS
  SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA. CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE
  MAIN RISK WITH THESE STORM...THOUGH SMALL HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
  WITH A FEW STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

  ADDITIONAL ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN BE
  POSSIBLE AT TIMES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MAINLY ACROSS
  SOUTHERN MISSOURI...HOWEVER MOST LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN DRY.

  ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL THEN BRING BETTER CHANCES FOR
  THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA FROM LATER THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
  SATURDAY. THERE WILL THEN BE A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
  THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

WFO SGF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
428 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

MOZ081-092-212200-
LACLEDE MO-WRIGHT MO-
428 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN WRIGHT AND
SOUTHEASTERN LACLEDE COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

AT 427 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR TWIN BRIDGES...OR 11 MILES SOUTH OF
LEBANON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND
50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE COMPETITION...LYNCHBURG...MORGAN AND TWIN
BRIDGES.

LAT...LON 3749 9269 3760 9267 3756 9225 3739 9225
      3739 9226
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 279DEG 35KT 3752 9258

GRIFFIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
433 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

MOZ070-071-083-212215-
DENT MO-PHELPS MO-PULASKI MO-
433 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PULASKI...NORTHWESTERN
DENT AND SOUTHERN PHELPS COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 430 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ST. ROBERT...OR NEAR WAYNESVILLE...MOVING
EAST AT 40 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ANUTT...DEVIL'S ELBOW...LAKE SPRING...
LECOMA...NORTHEASTERN FORT LEONARD WOOD...ST. ROBERT AND WAYNESVILLE.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 155 AND 183 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED
BY THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3789 9160 3768 9163 3779 9225 3789 9223
TIME...MOT...LOC 2133Z 280DEG 34KT 3783 9213

GRIFFIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
444 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

MOZ055-067-068-212215-
BENTON MO-HICKORY MO-ST. CLAIR MO-
444 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL ST. CLAIR...HICKORY
AND SOUTHWESTERN BENTON COUNTIES UNTIL 515 PM CDT...

AT 442 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR LOWRY CITY...OR 19 MILES SOUTH OF CLINTON...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE CROSS TIMBERS...HARPER...HERMITAGE...
ICONIUM...LOWRY CITY...NEMO...OSCEOLA...PRESTON...QUINCY AND
WHEATLAND.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY INCLUDE POMME DE
TERRE LAKE...POMME DE TERRE STATE PARK AND TRUMAN LAKE.

PEOPLE IN EASTERN ST. CLAIR...HICKORY AND SOUTHWESTERN BENTON
COUNTIES...INCLUDING LOWRY CITY...OSCEOLA AND WHEATLAND...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3804 9308 3781 9325 3809 9380 3818 9368
TIME...MOT...LOC 2144Z 292DEG 30KT 3810 9369

WISE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
450 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     HAIL             2 N FOOSE               37.59N 93.15W
04/21/2015  E0.88 INCH       DALLAS             MO   PUBLIC

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZED HAIL REPORTED NORTH OF FOOSE.

&&

RFRYE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
450 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

MOZ080-081-091-092-212230-
LACLEDE MO-WEBSTER MO-WRIGHT MO-DALLAS MO-
450 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER...NORTHERN
WRIGHT...SOUTHEASTERN DALLAS AND SOUTHERN LACLEDE COUNTIES UNTIL 530
PM CDT...

AT 447 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF LONG LANE...OR 12 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF BUFFALO...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. DIME TO NICKEL SIZE
HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE COMPETITION...CONWAY...GRAFF...
GROVESPRING...LONG LANE...LYNCHBURG...MANES...MORGAN...
PHILLIPSBURG...RADER AND TWIN BRIDGES.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 106 AND 120 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED
BY THIS STORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER...NORTHERN WRIGHT...SOUTHEASTERN
DALLAS AND SOUTHERN LACLEDE COUNTIES...INCLUDING CONWAY...SHOULD
MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS
AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER
THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3749 9301 3762 9295 3755 9225 3731 9225
TIME...MOT...LOC 2150Z 281DEG 35KT 3753 9289

WISE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
454 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

MOZ082-212230-
TEXAS MO-
454 PM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL TEXAS COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM
CDT...

AT 453 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR PLATO...OR 20 MILES NORTHWEST OF HOUSTON...
MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BUCYRUS...HAZELTON...PLATO...PRESCOTT...
ROBY AND SUCCESS.

LAT...LON 3732 9190 3739 9225 3754 9225 3756 9225
      3756 9224 3752 9187
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 280DEG 34KT 3748 9225

GRIFFIN