Alert archive / Ohio / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Charleston, WV

July 12, 2015Jackson County, Ohio

NWS Charleston, WV issued this special weather statement at Jul 12, 2015, 11:31 PM EDT for Jackson County, Ohio. It was in force for 89 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 12, 2015, 11:31 PM EDT (03:31 UTC)
Expired: Jul 13, 2015, 1:00 AM EDT
In force: 89 min
Issued by: NWS Charleston, WV

County Jackson County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 107 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1743 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 710 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 71 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.9
Supercell composite: 6.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 12, 7:55 PM EDT, 3 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 12, 7:55 PM EDT, 3 hours 36 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
755 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL CROSS THE AREA IN NORTHWEST FLOW
THRU NEXT WEEK...KEEPING UNSETTLED CONDITIONS IN PLACE. AN UPPER
LEVEL RIDGE MAY DEVELOP BY THE END OF NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
800 PM UPDATE...

INCREASED POPS TONIGHT FROM THE C LOWLANDS AND ESPECIALLY INTO THE
N LOWLANDS/MTNS. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYS OVER OH WILL DRIFT SE
INTO THE AREA OVERNIGHT. THIS COMBINED WITH SOME MID LEVEL LIFT
OVER THE AREA SHOULD ALLOW SHRA INCREASE IN COVERAGE THIS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. AS THIS SYS SPIRALS INTO THE AREA...EXPECT LOW CIGS TO
DEVELOP ALONG WITH PATCHY FG.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION BELOW...

LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A RATHER CHAOTIC IMAGE OVER THE
MIDDLE ATLANTIC STATES THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SEVERAL FEATURES OF
NOTE. ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN OHIO THERE IS A FAIRLY WELL
DEFINED SHORTWAVE KICKING OFF SHOWER ACTIVITY ACROSS NORTHEASTERN
OHIO. SKIES HAVE STARTED TO CLEAR SOME ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
KY...IN THE WAKE OF MCS WHICH MOVED THROUGH THIS MORNING. SEVERAL
OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES CAN BE SEEN IN EASTERN TN AND SOUTHERN KY AS
WELL. THESE HELPING TO KICK OFF CONVECTION. ACROSS WEST VIRGINIA A
SOLID MID DECK OF BLOW CLOUDS HAVE IMPEDED DAYTIME HEATING. THUS
THERE IS A LACK OF CONVECTION INITIATION SO FAR. HOWEVER...BL
HEATING ACROSS THE ELEVATED TERRAIN ALLOWING SOME CU TO FORM.

LATEST SHORT TERM MODELS HAVE BEEN SLOW TO CATCH ON WITH ALL OF
THESE SMALLER SCALE FEATURES. HOWEVER...LATEST RUNS SEEM TO SHOW A
TREND THAT PRECIPITATION SHOULD REMAIN SUPPRESSED FOR THE VERY NEAR
TERM WITH THE RUC AND HRRR IN GENERAL AGREEMENT. AS SHORTWAVE TRACKS
ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER THIS EVENING...RAMPS POPS BACK UP.  FOR
MONDAY...BROAD BUSHED POPS WITH AN EYE ON FEATURES THAT MAY TRACK
ACROSS IN NORTHWEST FLOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH AN H500
SHORTWAVE UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW CROSSING THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT. THE
NAM LOOKS ABOUT 6-12 HOURS SLOWER BRINGING MOST OF THE ENERGY BY 12Z
TUESDAY. PREFER THE CONSENSUS FROM GFS/ECMWF. THEREFORE...EXPECT
THIS SHORTWAVE TO BRING GOOD CHANCES FOR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS...
SOME WITH PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN INTO EARLY TUESDAY.

MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT WITH A STRONGER TROUGH/LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
TO DROP FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION...SOUTHEAST ACROSS PA AND
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN WV TUESDAY NIGHT. ADDITIONAL ROUNDS FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE. HAVE CODED
LIKELY POPS FOR BOTH DAYS WITH EACH SYSTEM.

CONCERNS FOR FLOODING CONTINUES DURING THIS PERIOD...AND WILL
CONTINUE MENTION IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO BE MODERATE WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS...BUT ALSO REMAINING
QUITE HUMID. MINOR CHANGES MADE TO PREVIOUS TEMPERATURES.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FOR WEDNESDAY...THE AREA WILL STILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND NORTHWEST FLOW...KEEPING THE AREA UNDER
CHANCES FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LESS NUMEROUS THAN
THE PREVIOUS DAYS...AT LEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. EXPECT A LULL
IN RAINFALL ACTIVITY THURSDAY. UPPER LEVEL FLOW FLATTENS ON FRIDAY.
MODELS DEVELOP A DEEP UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT SHOULD BRING SUBSIDENCE
AND RELATED WIDESPREAD DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

WENT WITH WPC FOR TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ISOLD TO SCT SHRA AND A FEW TSRA ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVE. THESE
SHOULD INCREASE IN COVERAGE LATER TONIGHT AS A SFC LOW TRACKS INTO
THE AREA FROM OH. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE OVER N TERMINALS
WITH SOME MVFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. OTHERWISE...EXPECT LOW CIGS TO
DEVELOP OVER THE AREA BY 09Z...WITH IFR AND PERHAPS LIFT/VLIFR
STRATUS FOR MOST TERMINALS...WITH SOME IFR VSBY POSSIBLE AS WELL.

STRATUS WILL LIFT BY 13Z FOR A RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS...WITH
PERHAPS A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS IN THE TRANSITION. WILL BE
WATCHING FOR A FEW ROUNDS OF SHRA/TSRA TO CROSS THE AREA IN THE
AFTN AND ESPECIALLY THE EVE HRS. SOME OF THESE WILL BE STRONG TO
SVR BUT AT THIS DISTANCE...HAVE KEPT SOME VCTS IN.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE:MEDIUM.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: EXTENT OF LOW STRATUS AND FG IN QUESTION.

AFTER 18Z MONDAY...IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN THUNDERSTORMS EACH
DAY.

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KMC/ARJ
NEAR TERM...KMC/30
SHORT TERM...ARJ
LONG TERM...JB/ARJ
AVIATION...30

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 12, 11:07 AM EDT, 12 hours 24 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1107 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>086-VAZ003-004-WVZ007>011-014>020-026>029-
033>037-131515-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-
KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-
GILMER-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-
1107 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN FROM MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE NECESSARY AGAIN.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ087-WVZ005-006-013-024-025-131515-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-LINCOLN-
MINGO-LOGAN-
1107 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN FROM MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE NECESSARY AGAIN.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

WVZ030>032-038>040-046-047-131515-
LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
1107 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN FROM MONDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. FLASH FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE NECESSARY AGAIN.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 12, 10:10 PM EDT, 1 hour 21 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1010 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1008 PM     FLASH FLOOD      E MINERALWELLS          39.18N  81.51W
07/12/2015                   WOOD               WV   911 CALL CENTER

            CAR SUBMERGED IN FLOOD WATERS ALONG ELIZABETH PIKE NEAR
            BUTCHERER BEND IN MINERAL WELLS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1501581

COOPER

Local storm report, Jul 12, 10:15 PM EDT, 1 hour 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1015 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1011 PM     FLASH FLOOD      E MINERALWELLS          39.18N  81.51W
07/12/2015                   WOOD               WV   911 CALL CENTER

            HOUSES IN THE MOUNT PLEASANT SUBDIVISION IN MINERAL
            WELLS HAVE BEEN FLOODED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1501582

COOPER

Local storm report, Jul 12, 10:46 PM EDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1046 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1040 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PARKERSBURG             39.26N  81.54W
07/12/2015                   WOOD               WV   PUBLIC

            EAST STREET BRIDGE VIADUCT FLOODED. PUBLIC REPORTS
            AROUND THREE FEET OF WATER OVER THE ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1501583

COOPER

Local storm report, Jul 12, 10:49 PM EDT, 42 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1049 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1047 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SE MINERALWELLS       39.13N  81.45W
07/12/2015                   WOOD               WV   911 CALL CENTER

            STATE ROUTE 47 NEAR LEACHTOWN CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1501584

COOPER

Local storm report, Jul 12, 11:02 PM EDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1102 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 PM     HEAVY RAIN       9 NE SANDYVILLE         39.00N  81.54W
07/12/2015  M1.27 INCH       JACKSON            WV   CO-OP OBSERVER

            FELL IN 30 MINUTES. HIS CREEK IS RUNNING BANKFULL.

1008 PM     FLASH FLOOD      E MINERALWELLS          39.18N  81.51W
07/12/2015                   WOOD               WV   911 CALL CENTER

            CAR SUBMERGED IN FLOOD WATERS ALONG ELIZABETH PIKE NEAR
            BUTCHERER BEND IN MINERAL WELLS.

1011 PM     FLASH FLOOD      E MINERALWELLS          39.18N  81.51W
07/12/2015                   WOOD               WV   911 CALL CENTER

            HOUSES IN THE MOUNT PLEASANT SUBDIVISION IN MINERAL
            WELLS HAVE BEEN FLOODED.

1040 PM     FLASH FLOOD      PARKERSBURG             39.26N  81.54W
07/12/2015                   WOOD               WV   PUBLIC

            EAST STREET BRIDGE VIADUCT FLOODED. PUBLIC REPORTS
            AROUND THREE FEET OF WATER OVER THE ROAD.

1047 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SE MINERALWELLS       39.13N  81.45W
07/12/2015                   WOOD               WV   911 CALL CENTER

            STATE ROUTE 47 NEAR LEACHTOWN CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1501580 RLX1501581 RLX1501582 RLX1501583 RLX1501584

COOPER

Special weather statement, Jul 12, 11:31 PM EDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1131 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

OHZ083-084-130500-
VINTON-JACKSON-
1131 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2015

...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL AFFECT JACKSON COUNTY...

AT 1128 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS WAS
NEAR JACKSON...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. A QUICK INCH TO 1.5
INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED. THIS WILL FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR
VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...HAMDEN...COALTON AND BYER.

LAT...LON 3917 8279 3917 8277 3920 8276 3922 8252
      3903 8235 3904 8243 3894 8245 3885 8268
      3911 8279
TIME...MOT...LOC 0328Z 327DEG 9KT 3903 8255

30

The office that day

Everything else NWS Charleston, WV issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 12, 8:11 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Jackson	79 min
Jul 12, 9:13 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning Emergency	RLX	Wirt, Wood	7 hr
Jul 12, 10:02 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Wood	3 hr
Jul 12, 10:08 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Calhoun, Wirt	3 hr
Jul 13, 2:56 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Webster	64 min
Jul 13, 3:28 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Nicholas	47 min
Jul 13, 3:47 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Nicholas, Webster	3 hr
Jul 13, 5:11 AM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Braxton, Webster	64 min
Jul 13, 5:43 AM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Braxton, Webster	6 hr
Jul 13, 2:33 PM EDT	Flash Flood Watch	RLX	Barbour, Boone, Braxton, Cabell, Calhoun, Clay and 22 more	32 hr
Jul 13, 3:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Cabell, Mason	31 min
Jul 13, 3:44 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Wayne	46 min
Jul 13, 3:49 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Cabell, Lincoln, Mason, Putnam	26 min
Jul 13, 4:18 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Cabell	3 hr
Jul 13, 4:22 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boone, Lincoln, Logan, Mingo, Wayne	53 min
Jul 13, 4:26 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boone, Kanawha, Lincoln, Putnam	64 min
Jul 13, 4:55 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Putnam	80 min
Jul 13, 5:05 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boone, Fayette, Kanawha, Logan, McDowell, Mingo and 2 more	55 min
Jul 13, 5:23 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Clay, Fayette, Kanawha, Nicholas	67 min
Jul 13, 5:34 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Calhoun, Roane, Wirt	3 hr
Jul 13, 5:44 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Clay, Kanawha	3 hr
Jul 13, 5:55 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Fayette, Raleigh	50 min
Jul 13, 6:15 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Nicholas, Pocahontas, Webster	45 min
Jul 13, 6:31 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Braxton, Clay, Nicholas, Webster	4 hr
Jul 13, 7:00 PM EDT	Special Weather Statement	RLX	Pocahontas	60 min
Jul 12, 11:35 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Gallia, Jackson, Vinton	3 hr
Jul 13, 2:46 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Gallia, Jackson, Lawrence	44 min
Jul 13, 2:39 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Boyd, Carter, Greenup, Lawrence	81 min
Jul 13, 4:05 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Carter	3 hr
Jul 13, 4:30 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	RLX	Lawrence	3 hr
Jul 13, 5:27 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	RLX	Buchanan, Dickenson	44 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Ohio, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.