River Flood Warning 13, NWS Norman, OK

163 
WGUS84 KOUN 090114
FLSOUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
814 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

OKC065-075-141-090914-
/O.EXT.KOUN.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150511T0417Z/
/HEAO2.1.ER.150509T2050Z.150510T0600Z.150510T2217Z.NO/
814 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fork Red River near Headrick. 
  
* until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
  
* At 8:00 PM Friday the stage was 13.5 feet. 
  
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
  
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
  
* Forecast...The North Fork Red River will rise above flood stage 
  late Saturday afternoon and crest near 15.6 feet early Sunday 
  morning.The North Fork Red River will fall below flood stage late 
  Sunday afternoon. 
  
* Impact...At 16 feet...Flooding or isolation of agricultural lands 
  and rural roads occurs in Kiowa...Jackson...and Tillman counties.
  Upstream points in Kiowa County may see flooding several hours 
  before the crest reaches the Headrick area. The flood crest reaches
  downstream points near Tipton much later. Flood depths approach 2 
  feet over some areas along the river.
  
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3458 9924 3454 9911 3468 9902 3486 9912
      3481 9917 3471 9921

$$

367 
WGUS84 KOUN 090721
FLSOUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
221 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

OKC065-075-141-091521-
/O.EXT.KOUN.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150510T2300Z/
/HEAO2.1.ER.150509T2031Z.150510T0600Z.150510T1700Z.NO/
221 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fork Red River near Headrick. 
  
* until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
  
* At  2:00 AM Saturday the stage was 12.4 feet. 
  
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
  
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
  
* Forecast...The North Fork Red River will rise above flood stage 
  late Saturday afternoon and crest near 15.8 feet early Sunday 
  morning.The North Fork Red River will fall below flood stage early 
  Sunday afternoon. 
  
* Impact...At 16 feet...Flooding or isolation of agricultural lands 
  and rural roads occurs in Kiowa...Jackson...and Tillman counties.
  Upstream points in Kiowa County may see flooding several hours 
  before the crest reaches the Headrick area. The flood crest reaches
  downstream points near Tipton much later. Flood depths approach 2 
  feet over some areas along the river.
  
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3458 9924 3454 9911 3468 9902 3486 9912
      3481 9917 3471 9921

$$

347 
WGUS84 KOUN 091153
FLSOUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
653 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

OKC065-075-141-091953-
/O.EXT.KOUN.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150510T1836Z/
/HEAO2.1.ER.150509T1106Z.150510T0000Z.150510T1236Z.NO/
653 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fork Red River near Headrick. 
  
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. 
  
* At  6:00 AM Saturday the stage was 13.9 feet. 
  
* Minor flooding is forecast. 
  
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
  
* Forecast...The North Fork Red River will rise above flood stage mid
  Saturday morning and crest near 15.8 feet Saturday evening.The 
  North Fork Red River will fall below flood stage mid Sunday 
  morning. 
  
* Impact...At 16 feet...Flooding or isolation of agricultural lands 
  and rural roads occurs in Kiowa...Jackson...and Tillman counties.
  Upstream points in Kiowa County may see flooding several hours 
  before the crest reaches the Headrick area. The flood crest reaches
  downstream points near Tipton much later. Flood depths approach 2 
  feet over some areas along the river.
  
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3458 9924 3454 9911 3468 9902 3486 9912
      3481 9917 3471 9921

$$

755 
WGUS44 KOUN 091525
FLWOUN
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1025 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

OKC065-075-141-100325-
/O.EXT.KOUN.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150510T2341Z/
/HEAO2.2.ER.150509T1105Z.150510T0600Z.150510T1741Z.NO/
1025 AM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
 
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The North Fork Red River near Headrick. 

* until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
  
* At  9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 15.1 feet. 
  
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
  
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
  
* Forecast...The North Fork Red River will continue rising to near 
  16.3 feet early Sunday morning. The North Fork Red River will fall 
  below flood stage early Sunday afternoon. 
  
* Impact...At 16 feet...Flooding or isolation of agricultural lands 
  and rural roads occurs in Kiowa...Jackson...and Tillman counties.
  Upstream points in Kiowa County may see flooding several hours 
  before the crest reaches the Headrick area. The flood crest reaches
  downstream points near Tipton much later. Flood depths approach 2 
  feet over some areas along the river.
  
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3458 9924 3454 9911 3468 9902 3486 9912
      3481 9917 3471 9921

$$

015 
WGUS84 KOUN 091959
FLSOUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
259 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

OKC065-075-141-100359-
/O.EXT.KOUN.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150510T1930Z/
/HEAO2.2.ER.150509T1105Z.150510T0000Z.150510T1330Z.NO/
259 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fork Red River near Headrick. 
  
* until Sunday afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled. 
  
* At  2:00 PM Saturday the stage was 15.8 feet. 
  
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
  
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
  
* Forecast...The North Fork Red River will continue rising and crest 
  near 16.2 feet Saturday evening. The North Fork Red River will fall
  below flood stage mid Sunday morning. 
  
* Impact...At 16 feet...Flooding or isolation of agricultural lands 
  and rural roads occurs in Kiowa...Jackson...and Tillman counties.
  Upstream points in Kiowa County may see flooding several hours 
  before the crest reaches the Headrick area. The flood crest reaches
  downstream points near Tipton much later. Flood depths approach 2 
  feet over some areas along the river.
  
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3458 9924 3454 9911 3468 9902 3486 9912
      3481 9917 3471 9921

$$

379 
WGUS84 KOUN 100122
FLSOUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
822 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

OKC065-075-141-100922-
/O.EXT.KOUN.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150511T0152Z/
/HEAO2.2.ER.150509T1105Z.150510T0600Z.150510T1952Z.NO/
822 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday evening...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fork Red River near Headrick. 
  
* until Sunday evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
  
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 16.2 feet. 
  
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
  
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
  
* Forecast...The North Fork Red River will continue rising and crest 
  near 16.3 feet early Sunday morning. The North Fork Red River will 
  fall below flood stage early Sunday afternoon. 
  
* Impact...At 16 feet...Flooding or isolation of agricultural lands 
  and rural roads occurs in Kiowa...Jackson...and Tillman counties.
  Upstream points in Kiowa County may see flooding several hours 
  before the crest reaches the Headrick area. The flood crest reaches
  downstream points near Tipton much later. Flood depths approach 2 
  feet over some areas along the river.
  
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3458 9924 3454 9911 3468 9902 3486 9912
      3481 9917 3471 9921

$$

OKC031-033-100921-
/O.EXT.KOUN.FL.W.0014.000000T0000Z-150511T1541Z/
/WLTO2.2.ER.150508T1850Z.150510T0600Z.150511T0941Z.NO/
822 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The East Cache Creek near Walters. 
  
* until Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. 
  
* At  7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 25.0 feet. 
  
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
  
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet. 
  
* Forecast...The East Cache Creek will continue rising and crest near
  25.4 feet early Sunday morning. The East Cache Creek will fall 
  below flood stage early Monday morning. 
  
* Impact...At 25 feet...Valley-wide flooding of croplands...
  pastures...and local roads occurs in southern Comanche County and 
  Cotton County and is accompanied by flood depths up to 4 feet with 
  swift currents.
  
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3422 9837 3421 9823 3440 9823 3451 9831
      3451 9846 3439 9836

$$

OKC033-100921-
/O.EXT.KOUN.FL.W.0009.000000T0000Z-150511T1523Z/
/RNDO2.2.ER.150507T1030Z.150508T0845Z.150511T0923Z.NO/
822 PM CDT SAT MAY 9 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Deep Red Creek near Randlett. 
  
* until Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled. 
  
* At 7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 22.8 feet. 
  
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
  
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet. 
  
* Forecast...The Deep Red Creek has crested and will continue to 
  fall slowly. The Deep Red Creek will fall below flood stage early 
  Monday morning. 
  

&&
 
LAT...LON 3429 9840 3418 9839 3421 9866 3442 9896
      3442 9878 3432 9865

$$

330 
WGUS84 KOUN 100731
FLSOUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
231 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

OKC065-075-141-101531-
/O.EXT.KOUN.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150511T0632Z/
/HEAO2.2.ER.150509T1105Z.150510T0530Z.150511T0032Z.NO/
231 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  The North Fork Red River near Headrick 
  
* until late tonight...or until the warning is cancelled. 
  
* At  2:00 AM Sunday the stage was 16.4 feet. 
  
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. 
  
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
  
* Forecast...The North Fork Red River is near crest and will begin 
  falling mid Sunday morning. The North Fork Red River will fall 
  below flood stage Sunday evening. 
  
* Impact...At 16 feet...Flooding or isolation of agricultural lands 
  and rural roads occurs in Kiowa...Jackson...and Tillman counties.
  Upstream points in Kiowa County may see flooding several hours 
  before the crest reaches the Headrick area. The flood crest reaches
  downstream points near Tipton much later. Flood depths approach 2 
  feet over some areas along the river.
  
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3458 9924 3454 9911 3468 9902 3486 9912
      3481 9917 3471 9921

$$

804 
WGUS84 KOUN 101341
FLSOUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
841 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

OKC065-075-141-102141-
/O.EXT.KOUN.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150511T0600Z/
/HEAO2.2.ER.150509T1105Z.150510T0900Z.150511T0000Z.NO/
841 AM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fork Red River near Headrick 
  
* until late tonight...or until the warning is cancelled. 
  
* At  8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 16.1 feet. 
  
* Moderate flooding is occurring. 
  
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
  
* Forecast...The North Fork Red River has crested and will continue 
  to fall. The North Fork Red River will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday evening.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3458 9924 3454 9911 3468 9902 3486 9912
      3481 9917 3471 9921

$$

163 
WGUS84 KOUN 102017
FLSOUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
317 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

OKC065-075-141-110417-
/O.EXT.KOUN.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150511T0700Z/
/HEAO2.2.ER.150509T1105Z.150510T0900Z.150511T0100Z.NO/
317 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...
 
The Flood Warning continues for
  the North Fork Red River near Headrick 
  
* until late tonight...or until the warning is cancelled. 
  
* At  3:00 PM Sunday the stage was 14.7 feet. 
  
* Minor flooding is occurring. 
  
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet. 
  
* Forecast...The North Fork Red River has crested and will continue 
  to fall. The North Fork Red River will fall below flood stage 
  Sunday evening.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3458 9924 3454 9911 3468 9902 3486 9912
      3481 9917 3471 9921

$$

378 
WGUS84 KOUN 110142
FLSOUN
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
842 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

OKC065-075-141-110212-
/O.CAN.KOUN.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-150511T0700Z/
/HEAO2.2.ER.150509T1105Z.150510T0900Z.150511T0007Z.NO/
842 PM CDT SUN MAY 10 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The North Fork Red River near Headrick. 
  
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 13.9 feet.
  
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
  
* The North Fork Red River crested at 16.50 feet at 3 AM Sunday...
  fell below flood stage at 7 PM Sunday...
  and is forecast to continue to fall.
  
  The North Fork Red River has receded to below flood stage at this 
  location. This will be the last statement for this location for 
  this event.
  

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1248 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

.DISCUSSION...
THE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION FOLLOWS....

&&

.AVIATION...
A STALLED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM NEAR KELK TO KOKC DIVIDES
STRATIFORM LOW CLOUDS TO THE N FROM MORE CONVECTIVE CONDITIONS TO
THE S. TSRA...SOME SEVERE...ARE LIKELY TO TREK E/NE ACROSS OK/N
TX THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE MOST INTENSE STORMS MAINLY S OF THE
BOUNDARY. IT IS UNCLEAR WHETHER THE LOW CEILINGS WILL IMPROVE
SIGNIFICANTLY TODAY OR NOT. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY AGAIN OF VERY
LOW CEILINGS AND FG...BUT WE EXPECT WINDS TO REMAIN TOO STRONG FOR
THE FG. MUCH LIKE LAST NIGHT...IF WINDS DECREASE UNEXPECTEDLY...FG
WILL BE POSSIBLE. AS A LARGE STORM SYSTEM TO OUR W ADVANCES E
TONIGHT...WE EXPECT WIDESPREAD ELEVATED CONVECTION TO DEVELOP.
EXPECT SCT TO NUMEROUS SHRA AND TSRA LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY
SATURDAY. TIMING AND POSITION OF THE TSRA IS TOO DIFFICULT TO
FORECAST AT THIS POINT TO INCLUDE IN TAFS. MORE-ORGANIZED
CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED JUST BEYOND THE RANGE OF THE
TAFS.

CMS
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1043 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015/

DISCUSSION...
PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER APPEARS TO BE REDUCING THE SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL SOMEWHAT ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA TODAY.
THAT DOES NOT SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECT THE GRIDDED FORECAST...BUT
THERE MAY BE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOKS
LATER THIS MORNING.

THE SAME CLOUD COVER HAS SLOWED HEATING ACROSS MUCH OF
OKLAHOMA...AND WE WILL ADJUST THE HOURLY GRIDS ACCORDINGLY.

ADDITIONAL UPDATES MAY BE NEEDED THROUGH THE DAY AS THE EVOLUTION
OF THE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS BECOMES MORE APPARENT.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 331 AM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015/

DISCUSSION...
TODAY WILL BE ANOTHER RATHER COMPLICATED SITUATION WITH REGARDS TO
CONVECTION AND ATTENDANT SEVERE WEATHER THREAT... AS WELL AS
ADDITIONAL HEAVY... POSSIBLY FLOODING RAINFALL. WILL ALSO HAVE
SOME PATCHY FOG TO DEAL WITH FOR A WHILE THIS MORNING.

MANY OF THE MODELS DEPICT MORNING CONVECTION DEVELOPING AS LIFT
BEGINS TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA AHEAD OF A LEAD SHORTWAVE. HOWEVER
THE MODELS DIFFER IN THEIR PLACEMENT OF THIS CONVECTION THROUGH
THE MORNING HOURS. THEY ALSO DIFFER IN HOW TO HANDLE RESIDUAL LOW
LEVEL BOUNDARIES FROM OVERNIGHT CONVECTION. MAIN BOUNDARY THIS
MORNING SHOULD RESIDE TO OUR SOUTH... BUT WOULD EXPECT IT TO TRY
TO LIFT BACK TO THE NORTH AS SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW INCREASING
LATER THIS MORNING.

LATEST NAM/GFS DEPICT BOUNDARY LIFTING BACK TO NEAR I-40 CORRIDOR
BY AFTN. FOLLOWING THIS SCENARIO... WHICH ALSO KEEPS MUCH OF THE
MORNING CONVECTION ACROSS NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WOULD AID IN
REINFORCING SURFACE BOUNDARY SOMEWHERE NEAR OR SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF
THE I-40 CORRIDOR BY THIS AFTN... ALTHOUGH OTHER BOUNDARIES WILL
LIKELY BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. ALTHOUGH THIS WOULD LIMIT
INSTABILITY ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA... SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS WOULD REMAIN
IN THE MORE UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THE AFTN INTO THE EVENING.
THIS WILL BE THE MORE LIKELY AREA FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT STORMS...
INCLUDING VERY LARGE HAIL... DAMAGING WINDS AND TORNADOES THIS
AFTN AND EVENING.

LATEST FEW RUNS OF HRRR GIVE A DIFFERENT SCENARIO THIS MORNING.
THIS MODEL HAS MORE OF A COMPLEX OF STORMS DEVELOPING AND MOVING
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND THE RED RIVER VALLEY
DURING THE DAY. THIS WOULD LIKELY BE THE MAIN SHOW FOR THE DAY AND
ANY ATTENDANT SEVERE WOULD LIKELY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS COMPLEX
OF STORMS... MUCH LIKE WHAT OCCURRED ON THURSDAY. EITHER SCENARIO
WOULD SUGGEST THAT THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA SOUTH INTO NORTH
TEXAS WOULD BE THE FAVORED LOCATIONS FOR MORE SIGNIFICANT SEVERE
STORMS.

THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD GRADUALLY WEAKEN AND MOVE EAST OF THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT. WE THEN SET THE STAGE FOR ANOTHER DAY OF SEVERE
WEATHER ON SATURDAY. MAIN UPPER TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO SWING OUT
INTO THE PLAINS BY SAT AFTN AND EVENING. MODELS ARE AGAIN SHOWING
SOME MORNING SHOWERS/STORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS WESTERN INTO CENTRAL
SECTIONS OF THE AREA AS LIFT BEGINS TO INFLUENCE THE AREA AHEAD OF
MAIN TROUGH. THINK THAT THIS SHOULD PROGRESS EAST QUICK ENOUGH
THAT ATMOSPHERE SHOULD RECOVER/DESTABILIZE ALONG AND EAST OF THE
DRYLINE BY SAT AFTN ACROSS THE EASTERN OK/TX PANHANDLES INTO
WESTERN PORTIONS OF OKLAHOMA. THE COMBINATION OF EXPECTED
INSTABILITY AND FAVORABLE WIND FIELDS ARE EXPECTED TO LEAD TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS IN THESE AREAS SAT AFTN
CAPABLE OF TORNADOES/VERY LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WINDS. THESE STORMS
WILL THEN MOVE EAST AND NORTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND
PERHAPS WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TOWARD THE I-35 CORRIDOR DURING THE
EVENING HOURS.

THIS SYSTEM WILL SLOWLY LIFT NORTH AND EAST SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY. AS THIS OCCURS... A COLD FRONT WILL SLIP SOUTH INTO THE
AREA AND WILL AGAIN BE A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORMS... SOME SEVERE
SUNDAY AFTN MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF I-44.

ALL THROUGH THIS TIME WILL BE ADDING TO THE RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN THROUGH MOTHER'S DAY
WEEKEND. WILL CONT WITH THE CURRENT FLOOD WATCH THAT GOES THROUGH
THE DAY ON SUNDAY.

SHOULD SEE A DAY OR TWO OF MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER TO BEGIN NEXT
WEEK BEFORE MOISTURE BEGINS TO PULL BACK NORTH AND PRECIP CHANCES
RETURN TO THE AREA. RIGHT NOW ADDITIONAL SEVERE WEATHER
POSSIBILITIES LOOK LOW AT LEAST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEK REMAIN MILD... BUT MUGGY CONDITIONS WILL
LINGER.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  77  63  77  63 /  60  70  70  40
HOBART OK         76  63  78  57 /  70  40  60  20
WICHITA FALLS TX  79  66  80  63 /  70  40  60  30
GAGE OK           75  59  78  51 /  50  50  60  20
PONCA CITY OK     81  63  77  63 /  50  70  70  50
DURANT OK         80  67  79  66 /  40  60  60  70

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR OKZ006>008-011>013-
     015>048-050>052.

TX...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR TXZ083>090.

&&

23/23/23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1203 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-091715-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1203 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA AND ALL OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

LOCATION...
THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS SOUTH AND WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM
GOODLETT TEXAS... TO LAWTON AND PAULS VALLEY... TO DURANT
OKLAHOMA. AN ENHANCED RISK IS GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR.

TIMING...
THROUGH 10 PM

IMPACTS...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS...WIND GUSTS UP TO 80 MPH...
AND A FEW TORNADOES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO OCCUR WHICH
MAY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN THE
RISK AREAS SHOULD BE READY FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND
AFFECT PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS ACTIVITY WILL SPREAD EAST AND NORTHEAST
THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. THE MOST LIKELY AREA
FOR THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE NEAR AND SOUTH OF
THE RED RIVER. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERNS. A FEW TORNADOES COULD BE POSSIBLE AS WELL... MAINLY IN
THE MODERATE RISK AREA. THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP INTO ONE
OR MORE BOWING LINES LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF THIS
OCCURS... DAMAGING STRAIGHT-LINE WINDS WILL BECOME A BIGGER
CONCERN THAN THE HAIL. THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL
DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER... THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE
INTO EARLY SATURDAY.

.HEAVY RAIN...
WITH THE CONTINUED THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...FLASH
FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN IN
AREAS WITH PROLONGED RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
A VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND...WITH A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS SATURDAY...AND
A SLIGHT RISK SUNDAY. ON SATURDAY...A POTENT STORM SYSTEM COMBINED
WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY...WILL YIELD A VERY
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. VERY LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A STRONG TORNADO OR TWO. ON SUNDAY...SEVERE
STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG A SLOW MOVING FRONT...BRINGING A CONTINUED
THREAT OF LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES.

BY MONDAY...A COLD FRONT SHOULD RESULT IN DECREASING STORM CHANCES
FROM WEST TO EAST...BUT A LOW CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN
ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN RETURN EACH
DAY FROM TUESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND...AS A SERIES OF SYSTEMS MOVES
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. AT THIS TIME...THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE STORMS APPEARS RELATIVELY LOW FROM TUESDAY ONWARD.

.HEAVY RAIN...
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
AREA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS COULD LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLASH
FLOODING AND MAINSTEM RIVER FLOODING. A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
121 PM CDT FRI MAY 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0104 PM     HAIL             GOULD                   34.67N 99.77W
05/08/2015  E1.00 INCH       HARMON             OK   PUBLIC

&&

EM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
126 PM CDT FRI MAY 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1250 PM     HAIL             HOLLIS                  34.69N 99.92W
05/08/2015  E1.25 INCH       HARMON             OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MDAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
139 PM CDT FRI MAY 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0137 PM     HAIL             MARTHA                  34.73N 99.39W
05/08/2015  E1.75 INCH       JACKSON            OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUARTER TO GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL.

&&

TLINDLEY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
140 PM CDT FRI MAY 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0139 PM     TSTM WND GST     MARTHA                  34.73N 99.39W
05/08/2015  E70 MPH          JACKSON            OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MDAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
142 PM CDT FRI MAY 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0142 PM     HAIL             BLAIR                   34.78N 99.33W
05/08/2015  E1.00 INCH       JACKSON            OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

MDAY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
151 PM CDT FRI MAY 08 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0148 PM     HAIL             MARTHA                  34.73N 99.39W
05/08/2015  E2.50 INCH       JACKSON            OK   PUBLIC

&&

MDAY