Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2015

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 4, 2015Gaines County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at May 4, 2015, 4:58 PM CDT for Gaines County, Texas. It was in force for 32 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 4, 2015, 4:58 PM CDT (21:58 UTC)
Expired: May 4, 2015, 5:30 PM CDT
In force: 32 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Gaines County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 4, 3:32 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 4, 3:32 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
332 PM CDT Mon May 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

  * Severe Thunderstorm Watch 128 remains in effect until 8 pm
    CDT/7 pm MDT for Eddy and Lea counties in southeastern New
    Mexico and Culberson and Jeff Davis counties in west Texas.

  * Tornado Watch 129 remains in effect until 8 pm CDT for
    Brewster,Crane, Loving, Pecos, Reeves, Terrell, Ward, and
    Winkler counties.

 *  A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect until 7 am CDT/6 am MDT
    for Eddy and Lea counties in southeastern New Mexico and for
    Andrews, Borden, Dawson, and Gaines counties in west Texas.

Little time for discussion owing to impending heavy rainfall/flash
flooding and convective weather threats. CAMs have suggested for
several runs now that a storm (now apparently over northern Jeff Davis
county) will translate east and then begin to turn to the right as
effective shears increase to above 50 kts. Along and south of the
Pecos, there's enough phasing between instability, CAPE, and shear
to promote discrete supercellular structures until at least 01Z.
If there's enough balance between SR inflow and a supercell's
rear flank downdraft, a tornado or three is not out of the
question.

Farther north, multicellular structures are apparent now and we
should see further upscale growth into a west-east trending MCS by
sunset. With increasing moisture (DRT showed +2SD precip water
values this morning) and a strengthening low level jet, a good supply
of moisture will feed these storms. Aloft, a 110 kt+ jet streak
translating eastward across northern Mexico will become difluent
(with one "f") over eastern New Mexico and the Texas Panhandle.
Deep layer vertical motion profiles will further support deep
layer lift and efficient rain producers. As such, the flash flood
watch has been extended east to cover areas where forecast
rainfall more than 2" (isolated > 4") are possible tonight.

Should see a bit of a break tomorrow under subsidence in the wake
of the MCS. Low level moisture will be slow to move east, and as
soon as sig insolation can be realized, more convective overturning
is forecast, particularly near the mountains tomorrow afternoon and
evening.

High temperatures will stay close to normal through the week while
lows will be somewhat warmer than normal due to higher low level
moisture content. The best chances for thunderstorms will be across
the eastern Permian Basin/lower Trans Pecos each afternoon and
evening; however, wouldn't't be surprised to see PoPs increase
nearer to the mountains as well.

With a focus on the meso-alpha scale today, little changes were
made to the forecast Day 3 and have stayed close to the NAM12 in
the Day 1-3 periods. We did shift PoPs east a bit to marry up
better with HPC guidance.

For graphics on excessive rainfall forecasts from the Weather
Prediction Center, go to http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/94ewbg.gif
and for text http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/metwatchmpd.php

Users can subscribe to the Storm Prediction Center's Twitter feed
using @NWSSPC for latest in Mesoscale Convective Discussions and Watch
Status messages.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 61  81  58  84  /  60  20  10  10
BIG SPRING TX              63  81  64  84  /  30  30  30  30
CARLSBAD NM                57  82  53  85  /  40  10  10  10
DRYDEN TX                  65  84  67  86  /  30  10  20  20
FORT STOCKTON TX           63  84  60  86  /  30  10  20  20
GUADALUPE PASS TX          53  75  53  79  /  20  10  10  10
HOBBS NM                   59  79  53  82  /  70  20  10  10
MARFA TX                   49  78  43  82  /  20  10  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    61  80  63  84  /  30  20  20  20
ODESSA TX                  62  81  62  84  /  40  20  20  20
WINK TX                    65  85  56  87  /  30  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 6 PM MDT this evening through late
     tonight FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Central Lea County...
     Eddy County Plains...Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County...
     Northern Lea County...Southern Lea County.

TX...FLASH FLOOD WATCH from 7 PM CDT this evening through Tuesday
     morning FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Andrews...Borden...
     Dawson...Gaines.

&&

84/70

Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at:
http://facebook.com/NWSMidland
http://twitter.com/NWSMidland

Check us out on the internet at:
http://weather.gov/midland

Hazardous weather outlook, May 4, 1:47 PM CDT, 3 hours 11 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
147 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-051900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
147 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015 /1247 PM MDT MON MAY 4 2015/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS. THE
MAIN THREATS INCLUDE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND HEAVY
RAINFALL. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...MAINLY
ACROSS THE LOWER TRANS PECOS.

HEAVY RAINFALL LOOKS LIKELY OVERNIGHT TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEW MEXICO AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE. AS A RESULT...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND POTENTIALLY
WEDNESDAY. THE MAIN THREATS INCLUDE LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 4, 2:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 3 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
255 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

TXZ074-042030-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
255 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE AREA THROUGH 8 PM CDT...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR THE INTERSTATE 10 AND 20 SPLIT.

GUSTY WINDS... HAIL... HEAVY RAIN... AND DEADLY LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3123 10413 3107 10390 3090 10414 3099 10432
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 212DEG 7KT 3103 10417

Local storm report, May 4, 3:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
333 PM CDT MON MAY 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0320 PM     HAIL             7 SE KENT               31.00N 104.14W
05/04/2015  E1.75 INCH       JEFF DAVIS         TX   PUBLIC

            STARTED AT 308 PM AND ENDED AT 325 PM.

&&

ANDREW.ARNOLD

Special weather statement, May 4, 3:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
350 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

TXZ058-059-067-042115-
LOVING-WARD-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
350 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55
MPH WINDS AFFECTING NORTH CENTRAL REEVES...NORTHWESTERN WARD AND
SOUTHWESTERN LOVING COUNTIES UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

TWO STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WERE LOCATED
IN REEVES COUNTY AT 347 PM CDT. ONE STRONG STORM WAS LOCATED 17
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MENTONE AT 347 PM CDT. ANOTHER STRONG STORM WAS
25 MILES SOUTH OF ORLA NEAR HIGHWAY 285. BOTH STORMS WERE MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3164 10402 3176 10403 3189 10401 3187 10364
      3165 10336 3136 10382 3152 10393
TIME...MOT...LOC 2047Z 220DEG 10KT 3153 10378

Special weather statement, May 4, 3:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 5 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
353 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

TXZ057-058-074-042115-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
353 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND 40 TO 55
MPH WINDS AFFECTING CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

A THUNDERSTORM WITH HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS WAS LOCATED IN OPEN COUNTRY
OF CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY...35 MILES NORTHWEST OF KENT AT 352 PM
CDT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO HAIL AND STRONG WINDS... DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER... YOU
ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING. SEEK SAFE SHELTER NOW.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3158 10439 3140 10412 3113 10436 3129 10467
TIME...MOT...LOC 2052Z 220DEG 10KT 3130 10444

Local storm report, May 4, 4:50 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
450 PM CDT MON MAY 04 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0447 PM     HAIL             1 N SARAGOSA            31.04N 103.66W
05/04/2015  E1.75 INCH       REEVES             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL ONGOING

&&

DH

Special weather statement, May 4, 4:58 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
458 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

TXZ045-042230-
GAINES-
458 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
NORTH CENTRAL GAINES COUNTY UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SEAGRAVES AT
458 PM CDT...MOVING NORTH AT 20 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS
GUSTING TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR
SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALSO REMAINS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT MONDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND
SOUTHWEST TEXAS.

&&

LAT...LON 3295 10278 3295 10238 3282 10249 3286 10274
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 197DEG 17KT 3292 10262

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 3, 7:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF		44 min
May 3, 7:02 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	43 min
May 3, 7:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Gaines	38 min
May 3, 8:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Gaines	66 min
May 4, 2:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	26 min
May 4, 2:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	35 min
May 4, 3:07 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Gaines	23 min
May 4, 3:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Jeff Davis, Reeves	61 min
May 4, 3:50 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Loving	25 min
May 4, 3:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Culberson	22 min
May 4, 3:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Jeff Davis, Reeves	51 min
May 4, 4:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Loving, Reeves	44 min
May 4, 4:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson, Reeves	28 min
May 4, 4:25 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Reeves	50 min
May 4, 4:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Loving, Reeves	44 min
May 4, 5:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Reeves	63 min
May 4, 5:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Gaines	61 min
May 4, 5:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Loving	25 min
May 4, 5:35 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Gaines	3 hr
May 4, 5:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson	54 min
May 4, 6:00 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Pecos, Reeves	45 min
May 4, 6:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Culberson	51 min
May 4, 6:39 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Pecos	51 min
May 3, 7:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	50 min
May 4, 2:44 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	31 min
May 4, 5:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Eddy	19 min
May 4, 5:28 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Eddy	47 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2015 Every special weather statement in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.